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Our broken energy policies need reform – but don’t hold your breath– Jeremy Warner

October 29, 2017

By Paul Homewood

 

 

h/t Philip Bratby

 

Jeremy Warner follows up on the Helm report:

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Theresa May was quick to endorse the findings and recommendations last week of a review into mental health in the workplace – Thriving at Work – by Paul Farmer, the chief executive of Mind, and Dennis Stevenson, a former HBOS chairman who has been refreshingly open about his own mental health issues. And rightly so. For whatever reasons, mental illness is a growing scourge, and must be treated much more sensitively by employers.

There was a less fulsome welcome, however, for Dieter Helm’s equally compelling review of the cost of UK energy. Greg Clark, the Business and Energy Secretary, would say only that he was “grateful to Professor Helm for his forensic examination. We will now carefully consider his findings.” In Whitehall speak, that’s what’s known as playing it off into the long grass. Privately, some of the central ideas are already being rubbished as unrealistic. That Professor Helm apparently spent only four weeks of his own time on the report is cited as further grounds for scepticism. It should not; Helm has devoted much of his adult life to this stuff. Few know the territory better.

 

His report is one of those plague-on-all-your-houses exercises; he blames just about everyone for the scandal that is the British energy market – the distribution companies for engaging in financial engineering, the regulator, Ofgem, for allowing it, National Grid for the way it operates the system that matches supply and demand, and the suppliers for not properly reflecting the fall since 2014 in the price of oil, gas, coal and renewables.

But most of all he blames Government policy. The scale of multiple interventions is now so great, Helm observes, that few, if any, can even list them any longer. Complexity is itself a major cause of rising costs, and tinkering with regulation, as the Government proposes with its planned price cap, will only make things worse. But the biggest curses of all are the Government’s green and nuclear energy interventions, which through feed-in tariffs and contracts for difference unnecessarily lock consumers into what now seem usurious prices.

Most of all, Dieter Helm blames Government policy

Most of all, Dieter Helm blames Government policy

We were told that these prices would eventually look cheap, such was the inevitability of the ever-rising cost of hydrocarbons. Then along came shale and blew all such calculations out of the water.

The now fast-falling price of renewables, moreover, promises eventually to reduce the marginal operating costs of generation to virtually zero. For the guilty men – and women – look to Ed Miliband, Chris Huhne, Ed Davey and Amber Rudd. They were the ministers who presided over this spectacularly ill-judged bet at the consumer’s expense.

For years, the likes of Centrica, owner of British Gas, have been characterised as supposedly profiteering monopolists. Ministers were only too happy to let that narrative run riot. Those who suggested the rise in fuel prices was primarily down to Government policy got shouted out, such that ridiculously, one of the few manifesto commitments to have survived the Conservative Party’s drubbing at the polls is that of imposing energy bill price caps.

To see the damage likely to be inflicted, ministers need look no further than university tuition fees, where virtually all colleges now charge the maximum £9,000 a year, regardless of quality or value of degree. Fuel bills will likewise gravitate to the cap, rendering all competition meaningless.

Since 2014, the policy-mandated costs of the average electricity bill have more than doubled to £165 a year, which is actually more than the electricity generation component itself. These costs are highly regressive; the poorest are paying as much as the rich for the decarbonisation of our electricity network. A more honest and progressive approach would be to take them out of the bill entirely, and instead charge for them through taxation, but no prizes for guessing where that suggestion will end up; in the bin, which is unfortunately the all-too-likely destination for many of Helm’s recommendations. They are far too sensible to be worthy of serious consideration.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/10/28/broken-energy-policies-need-reform-dont-hold-breath/

 

Warner comes close to outing the elephant in the room – the Climate Change Act. But unfortunately does not quite make it.

Still, at least this is finally getting widespread attention in the media. For far too long, those of us who have been pointing out these basic facts have been shouted down and ignored. Instead the constant lies and misinformation from successive governments, the BBC and the renewable lobby have been allowed to take hold.

15 Comments
  1. Ian Magness permalink
    October 29, 2017 11:29 am

    British skeptics need an intelligent, presentable, climate science knowledgeable spokesperson with integrity and gravitas to lead (or generally initiate) the debate in public. Sadly, the bumbling Lord Lawson, brilliant man though he may be, isn’t the man to do it.

  2. richardw permalink
    October 29, 2017 11:47 am

    The GWPF has a panel of trustees as well as an academic advisory council. Lord Lawson, having founded it, has provided much of the funding to the GWPF and we should be extremely grateful. However it is time to ask Lord Lawson to take a less active role and ask trustees and advisers to consider putting themselves forward as spokespeople in their expert areas. Perhaps Peter Lilley, having recently retired from Parliament, and having written a devastating expose of the economic consequences of our energy policy, would be well placed to take over as executive chairman?

    • Ian Magness permalink
      October 29, 2017 12:57 pm

      Richard,
      For the avoidance of doubt, I concur entirely with your point about the gratitude that we owe Lord Lawson. My point was merely about how he comes across to the public now. Sadly, Peter Lilley, for different reasons, will not come across any better. Someone with a little bit of charm and charisma is needed.

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        October 29, 2017 1:55 pm

        We need a ‘Nigel Farage’ to put the argument.

      • HotScot permalink
        October 29, 2017 5:45 pm

        Ian Magness

        I wholeheartedly agree with you.

        And whilst I’m not a UKIP supporter, they are the only prominent political party I know of that is publicly sceptical of AGW. Unfortunately, without Farage they are nowhere again.

        And I agree with Harry, Farage would make a brilliant GWPF spokesman.

  3. jim permalink
    October 29, 2017 11:59 am

    Just get Dieter to do it, as Warner says he knows this stuff inside and out. By all means have Lilley as ‘lead’, but you need the real expert to be seen to demolish opposition at ease.
    The on-going problem is the vast amount of money that rides on the back of keeping the CAGW myth going. Its going to take a British Trump-like character to have the balls to say ‘enough’. Either that or a couple of really cold winters with a series of black-outs.

  4. Athelstan permalink
    October 29, 2017 12:14 pm

    “Either that or a couple of really cold winters with a series of black-outs.”

    Oh that would do it alright, and the unavoidable, wanton, lawlessness in the aftermath of a major outage, the likelihood would be to say the least traumatic for those residing in the seat of power, incumbents in the Westminster executive.

    I don’t wish it but major Outages………………. like with compo and the mentals/ lavs, until people have experienced it, they don’t know how bad it could be.

    Is that a price worth paying? Either or, the impending catastrophe is imminent and though I will not make definite predictions, there is too much latent malpractice, poor maintenance, debt, lack of expertise, woeful standards, moral bankruptcy and malevolence stored for the trigger – a blackout or corbyn in power causing social collapse to be anything other than not good, not very good at all

  5. October 29, 2017 12:42 pm

    Reblogged this on Wolsten.

  6. Derek Buxton permalink
    October 29, 2017 2:11 pm

    I agree with most of the comments, it is without doubt the governments, past and present who should be called to account for this sad state of affairs. But when you get a PM who is constantly wittering on about low or no carbon economy, we have a major problem. Carbon comes in a variety of guises, from diamonds to carbon fibres to Bucky balls, A small dose of humility and a larger dose of education may help, ie CO2 is a plant food, not a pollutant.

  7. October 29, 2017 2:15 pm

    ‘Fuel bills will likewise gravitate to the cap’

    Doesn’t the initial proposal only apply to the ‘standard variable tariff’? And even then it’s only an option for Ofgen to wave at the suppliers.

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      October 29, 2017 3:47 pm

      If the tariff is set at an unprofitable level, then there can be no extra profit from other tariffs to compensate, and the cap becomes binding on all tariffs. If it is set at too high a level, then there is still profit in keeping SVT customers, which offering a slightly ore competitive deal for switchers.

  8. October 29, 2017 2:54 pm

    An independent observer would think that if a non-expert like Jeremy Warner could understand the mess successive government ministers have made, it shouldn’t be beyond the wit of most politicians to see that the writing is on the wall and make sure something is done.

  9. HotScot permalink
    October 29, 2017 5:50 pm

    If you want a bit of hope injected into the debate, watch this. It’s only 12 minutes, but it seems a reliable nuclear supply is closer than we might think. From the horses mouth.

  10. Tim Hammond permalink
    October 30, 2017 9:15 am

    Slightly off topic but I do think the use of the word “regressive” in describing these things is wrong. It has become defined in this way, but it is a nonsense, and certainly not the opposite of “progressive”when used to describes taxes. By the definition used, all prices are regressive.The poor pay the same for milk, yet that prices represents a larger proportion of their income that it does for the rich. And the cost of electricity without subsidies, taxes and so on is the same for rich and poor.

    It also spectacularly misses the point about externalities. We tax some things that have externalities in order to give them the “correct” price and thus make people allocate their resources efficiently. That only works i all uses pay the same price.

  11. Rowland H permalink
    October 30, 2017 9:57 am

    You need only take a look at the government’s Clean Growth Strategy to see how happy it is to spray our money about on projects and initiatives in the name of “tackling climate change” – probably the most fatuous and stupid statement ever to be dreamed up. Not least to eventually phase out domestic oil and gas heating forcing the use of electric only which is some three times more expensive. And Mrs Perry considers it fair for all of us to pay for the extra “environmental” costs enforced on us by her inane policies. None of it will have the slightest effect on the world’s climate. Why should we be paying for the development of electric cars and how can it be right to encourage the scrapping of cars just 7 years old when they have the potential life double or triple that?

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