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China’s Thermal Power Output Rising By 6.3% So Far This Year

November 16, 2017

By Paul Homewood



Further to the recent Global Carbon Project report, which revealed that CO2 emissions were on the rise again in China this year, it is worth looking at what the China Energy Portal has to say. Although they are an independent outfit, they say that all of their data comes from governmental websites, and I have found them reliable in the past.


Below is their YTD summary of electricity generation, showing how thermal has dominated the increase in total generation. Wind and solar barely figure at all.



[Note graph is Q3 2017 year to date versus Q3 2016 year to date. *Thermal includes coal, gas, oil, and biomass]


Based on these increases, we can project the outturn numbers for 2017 as a whole. Wind and solar would increase their contribution from 5.1% to 5.9% of the electricity mix.


While China’s demand for electricity continues to rise at this sort of rate, wind and solar will never be more than bit part players.


They also include some other interesting data:





  • “New energy vehicles” are still chicken feed.
  • Coal production is up 5.7%
  • Natural gas production is also up at 9.1%
  1. A C Osborn permalink
    November 16, 2017 9:59 am

    Pretty much in line with their Paris INDC then.

  2. November 16, 2017 10:06 am

    What’s obvious is that whilst GreenBlib dark PR agents have been saying “look over there at magic solar/wind” China has been piling on the nuclear plants.
    “Mainland China has 37 nuclear power reactors in operation, about 20 under construction, and more about to start construction.
    The reactors under construction include some of the world’s most advanced, to give a 70% increase of nuclear capacity to 58 GWe by 2020-21. Plans are for up to 150 GWe by 2030, and much more by 2050.”

    How come in the last 10 years China built so much more nuclear capacity, whilst we in the west have been flailing our arm ?
    That’s 19 new plants completed and a further 8 completing late

    • Jack Broughton permalink
      November 16, 2017 12:12 pm

      Could it be that China is growing and planning to carry-on growing while the west are no longer run by people who see growth as a positive for society but as a great evil?

      • Gerry, England permalink
        November 16, 2017 1:44 pm

        The Chinese leadership are technocrats and quite savvy. The west is led by left-wing liberal morons with the fine exception of the USA, who despite the Republican party becoming centre left is a true Republican.

  3. Robin Guenier permalink
    November 16, 2017 11:08 am

    Paul, I don’t understand: the graph shows hydro (dark blue) at 2.4 TWh and wind (pale blue) at 33.2 TWh? How do you calculate the wind/solar 5.1% to 5.9% contribution?

    • November 16, 2017 11:34 am

      The graph gives the year on year changes in output, Robin.

      Hydro has naturally changed little since 2015. Wind is up by 21% or 33 TWh, but only from a very low level in 2015.

      Actual output Q3 YTD was 814 Twh for hydro, and 212 TWh for wind.

      Total electricity was 4689 TWh

  4. Robin Guenier permalink
    November 16, 2017 1:00 pm

    Thanks Paul. Is BP the source of the total electricity figure?

    • November 16, 2017 6:37 pm

      No, it’s the China Portal.

      The full year figures for 2016 do crosscheck though

  5. November 17, 2017 8:04 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    ONE of my favourite pieces of climate propaganda trotted out by the climate crisis industry is the coordinated line, “China, leading the world in renewable energy penetration…rest of the world will be left behind blah blah..”

    UNRELIABLES are certainly a “bit-player” in China at best. I suspect there’s more green-washing than green-energy going on in the red state.

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