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Shiver Me Timbers!

February 23, 2018

By Paul Homewood


It’s going to get much colder in the next week or two!



  1. Chilli permalink
    February 23, 2018 11:54 am

    -6°C ? Looks like fossil fuels will be saving millions of Brits from freezing to death again. Curse those life-giving planet-warming fossil fuels and the greedy corporations that produce them!

  2. Ian Magness permalink
    February 23, 2018 11:55 am

    Yes, but freezing springs are EXACTLY what we can now expect due to catastrophic climate change. Our children won’t know what sunny and warm spring days are within a few years.

  3. February 23, 2018 12:06 pm

    Yes that vortex is doing unusual things, like splitting recently. Meanwhile the warm temps in US Northeast are hailed as global warming. Shortlived it seems

    • tom0mason permalink
      February 23, 2018 4:42 pm

      Thank-you Ron what a really interesting piece you’ve written there.
      I suppose the cAGW advocates will tell us that the CO2 levels governs the jet-stream next!

      • February 23, 2018 5:24 pm

        Thanks tom, but you give me too much credit. Dr. Judah Cohen is the smart guy in the room, but also refreshingly candid about the limits of our knowing.

  4. February 23, 2018 12:25 pm

    We were nearly 80 F here for a couple of days this week. I remember such days when a student at my nearby grade school in the 1950’s. We would sit on the playground at recess in just sweaters. Then it would go back to winter.

    Who expects spring to be in full bloom, so to speak, the first of March?

    Nothing to see here. Seems to be a case of nearly 6 minutes to fill up and nothing to say.

    • Ian Magness permalink
      February 23, 2018 12:57 pm

      The answer to your question is “the Welsh” thanks to St David and daffodils.
      Pretty soon, however, I predict that our children won’t even know what daffodils in March are….

      • February 26, 2018 12:14 pm

        My daffodils are coming up–ca. 4″, but likely won’t bloom until around the first of April. April is our spring flower month here in northern West Virginia.

        However, in May over Mother’s Day weekend when I lead tours for the West Virginia Wildflower Pilgrimage, ti will be a different story. Blackwater Falls State Park, where the Pilgrimage headquarters, is east in the Allegheny Mountains of the Appalachians. My Friday tour to Dolly Sods, is on the eastern divide ridge above Canaan Valley at ca. 4000′. It has glacial relict communities of bogs and heath barrens and we will see things which are very late to bloom or come up at that location. My Saturday tour is for wildflowers & birds in the Fernow Federal Experimental Forest. There, along a river, the flowers will be far ahead of Dolly Sods. Several tours will drop down east of the divide into the Ridge & Valley Province which is underlain by shales and much more basic soils than where I will be. The rainfall there is half what it is on top of the Allegheny Front where Dolly Sods is.

    • HotScot permalink
      February 26, 2018 12:04 am

      N’er cast a cloot till May is oot.

      Old Scottish saying, common across Northern England too, in it’s various dialects.

      In other words, don’t bother with spring cleaning until the end of May.

      Our ancestors had more of an idea of climate with a bit of seaweed than our current scientists know with all the computers they can muster.

  5. Broadlands permalink
    February 23, 2018 1:33 pm

    So.. if we all get together and lower our carbon emissions to zero, transition to solar and wind “farms”, technologically take out 50 ppm of CO2 from the atmosphere and safely rebury it somewhere… Will that change what the natural variations decide to do? Who is in charge of this “asylum”?

  6. Gerry, England permalink
    February 23, 2018 1:42 pm

    Is this cold spell due to one large ‘warming hole’ or lots of small ‘warming holes’ allowing the heat to escape? And all in the hottest spell on Earth evah!

  7. Mike Jackson permalink
    February 23, 2018 2:57 pm

    The forecast for next Monday/Tuesday here in southern Burgundy east of the River Sâone is -6 / -2 & -7 / -1. The -7° will be the lowest for end February since we came here in 2010 but not excessively so. The -2° max will be the lowest for any corresponding week by a good 6°!

    Friends in the vineyards on the other side of the river are looking at -10 / -3, which is an improvement on the forecast three days ago which was predicting -16°!

    It is, of course, only weather! But in 20 years time when the paradigm has shifted again it will be a foretaste of the Little Ice Age which 97% of climate scientists have been predicting since the freak winters of 2008-10. I would offer a wager but I shan’t be around by then to collect!

  8. TinyCO2 permalink
    February 23, 2018 3:08 pm

    We might see a lot of snow deposited on Greenland too.

  9. John F. Hultquist permalink
    February 23, 2018 3:18 pm

    Here in the State of Washington we are freezing our butts off.
    The Senate Ways and Means Committee passed Senate Bill 6203 Thursday afternoon.
    If passed by the full house of nutcases, Washington state would be the first in the nation to impose a direct tax on carbon emissions.
    Voters turned this sort of thing down a couple of years ago. The climate warriors did not like the idea voted on because some of the taxes were to be diverted to serious issues instead of being wasted on green initiatives. Otherwise it would have passed. Now, Gov. Jay Inslee and others are trying to get OPM in a different way. They still want to waste it.

    Did I mention we are freezing: -11°C, as the Sun comes up.

  10. Richard Bell permalink
    February 23, 2018 3:18 pm

    Can’t wait for the Thames to FREEZE ……. 1963 here we come …… As Joe says ” Enjoy the Weather it’s the only Weather you’ve Got “

  11. John Fuller permalink
    February 23, 2018 3:18 pm

    “Unusually cold”, until the NOAA have homogenised the data, then it will be the warmest winter evah!

    • Nordisch-geo-climber permalink
      February 23, 2018 3:42 pm

      My friend in Canada yesterday:
      “It was -26 again last night and winter seems relentless this year, and no spring in sight”.

  12. Athelstan permalink
    February 23, 2018 5:09 pm

    The month of March, is still winter in my book and bu88er the wet office and what is called ‘meteorological spring’.

    A chilly snap!?

    Bring it on.

    Meanwhile, erm I just hope the interconnectors are going to allow us to bring ‘juice’ over from France otherwise we’re in deep do do’s, and no sh*&. Seriously if, it becomes really cold in the Fatherland, French send it there first, you heard it first – here.

    I recall back in 2013 the same threat being discussed, mind you back then we could crank up the coal fired generators…………………………….since then mrs maybot got her feet under the table and green solutions (no don’t snigger) here, we’ve jolly well arrived.

    Blackouts – this time the blame will fall on Mrs Theresa May, Rudd, persistently stupid Perry. Though RED Ed and Bryony set the train in motion.

  13. dave permalink
    February 24, 2018 11:41 am

    Why is everybody only looking at the Arctic, when the World has two Polar Regions?

    Silly question, of course.

    “They” tell us to look at the Arctic, if “something warm” is happening there;

    (e.g. )

    and direct our attention to Antarctica, when “something warm” happens there;

    (e.g. that slab of ice that split away a few months ago.)

    Else – when there is nothing to be be spun – there is silence in the MSM.

    The theory (I do not think it has been fudged away, just yet) is that CAGW will show up first in the Polar Regions, and especially by warming in the Winter. Obviously, to examine this, for each calendar year, for the whole Globe, one has to examine anomalies for both hemispheres offset by six months.

    Thus, if one adds the UAH “brightness temperature anomaly” for the Arctic for January 2017 (+ 0.95 C) to the anomaly for Antarctica for July 2017 (- 0.92 C) one has as good an estimate as any* for the whole World for 2017 for winter regimes – of + 0.03 C.

    If one does this for the whole satellite record and puts the resulting time series through a double exponential smoother one gets this:

    One scrolls down to the graphs. A completely sideways, “nothing,” picture is found.

    End of story.

    *Which might not be much, au fond; but what the heck.

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