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What Simon Evans Forgot To Tell You!

May 7, 2018

By Paul Homewood

 

 

That tiresome little man from Carbon Brief was bragging how much solar power was being generated yesterday, which also just happens to be one of the sunniest days this year:

 

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https://twitter.com/DrSimEvans/status/993140931779026946

 

Strangely, I don’t recall him telling us how little solar power was being generated last week and before.

Whereas yesterday it  peaked at 7.8GW, for most of last week, it rarely got above 3GW, as was also the case in early April:

 

image

https://www.solar.sheffield.ac.uk/pvlive/#

 

And, of course, we need not even mention that solar power is already down to a third of its midday level.

image

 

As with all renewable lobbyists, Simon Evans always forgets to discuss the costs.

On average, solar farms receive 1.43 ROCs per MWh, a subsidy worth £67.52 per MWh (on top of the value of electricity sold).

Last year, this subsidy is estimated to have cost electricity users £775 million, all for a tiny amount of power (3% of total generation), that is extremely intermittent at the best of times, and virtually non existent in winter.

Ah, but the cost of solar power is coming down, isn’t it, and is now supposedly one of the cheapest sources of power? So we are told anyway.

Unfortunately, investors in solar power don’t seem to agree, and have effectively gone on strike since the ending of ROC subsidies in 2016.

According to BEIS, new additions have added just 1% to solar capacity since last March.

But you will hear none of this from Simon Evans.

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41 Comments
  1. Broadlands permalink
    May 7, 2018 8:00 pm

    Temperature: 14.2°C. That’s 57.6°F and lower than what is was in 1995…

    1995 hottest, NY Times….

    “The average temperature was 58.72 degrees Fahrenheit, according to the British data, seven-hundredths of a degree higher than the previous record, established in 1990.
    The British figures, based on land and sea measurements around the world, are one of two sets of long-term data by which surface temperature trends are being tracked.
    The other, maintained by the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, shows the average 1995 temperature at 59.7 degrees, slightly ahead of 1990 as the warmest year since record-keeping began in 1866. But the difference is within the margin of sampling error, and the two years essentially finished neck and neck.”

    • dave permalink
      May 8, 2018 7:17 am

      I notice part of the headline in 1995:

      “…as the trend resumes…”

      As the lawyers would say, that assumed a fact not in evidence. As “the pause” dates from about then…

  2. Ross King permalink
    May 7, 2018 8:25 pm

    At which precise millisecond was Solar supplying the Grid with more than any other source? Hallllooooo Dr. Sim Evans????
    As to “Doctor” ….Doctor of What? Deception? Disinformation? Disingenuousness?
    3 “Ds” makes an “F”.
    Looking at the bum-fluff on his face, he knows nothing about the Real World and the exigencies of a Non-Privileged Life.

    • Ross King permalink
      May 7, 2018 8:38 pm

      Ross ….P.S. to myself ….Apropos “@DrSimEvans”, I G’gld “Dr.Sim Evans” and found no such “Doctor”. Seems like he is a vacuous promoter of the AGW Charade.

      • Ross King permalink
        May 7, 2018 8:50 pm

        Mea culpa and retraction/apologies. Second search (more precise search criteria, @drsimevans having failed) revealed he does have some academic quals from Oxford and Bristol Universiteis.
        So much for qualifications from Oxshit and Brishitol so-called gems of balanced academic teaching and product!

    • May 9, 2018 11:55 am

      His photo shows him to be the perfect dweeb.
      What ARE his academic qualifications? Does he have a PhD or and EdD. Here a doctorate in Education is just a title w/o out substance. Also, if he does have PhD, what is the discipline? English, sociology or psychology really do not count in this situation.

  3. May 7, 2018 8:25 pm

    Was startled by your headline. I thought you meant the smart Simon Evans, who posts on youtube as Reverend Simon Sideways. The one you’re talking about sounds like a twit!

    • The Old Bloke permalink
      May 8, 2018 1:41 pm

      Ah yes, the truck driving Reverend Simon. Always worth a listen to his You Tube posts.

      • Gerry, England permalink
        May 9, 2018 12:52 pm

        I was horrified as I thought it was the comedian Simon Evans.

  4. May 7, 2018 8:38 pm

    Not so clever after dark and wind is rubbish. The Greens should look at how much power we import! http://www.gridwatch.templar.co.uk/

  5. May 7, 2018 9:25 pm

    If it walks like shill, talks like a shill …etc.

    He’s just a PR guy, not a science truth guy

    • Ross King permalink
      May 7, 2018 9:37 pm

      11/10!

    • Ross King permalink
      May 7, 2018 9:40 pm

      If it walks like a turd, looks like a turd, and smells like a turd ……..??????

  6. Ross King permalink
    May 7, 2018 10:15 pm

    https://www.carbonbrief.org/author/simonevans

    Here is our HERO!!!
    Read it and I need say no more except this:
    Where, Doctor Sim Evans, would you expect the large repository of well-educated, thinking, bright, analytical , politically-savvy people to be sucked-in to your tendentious, self-serving milieu?

    • Jack Broughton permalink
      May 9, 2018 2:33 pm

      As a chemistry and biochemistry graduate, he ought to recognise that CO2 is invaluable. He also ought to understand that CO2 is a weak IR absorbing gas and the radiative forcing function in the IPCC reports is a fictional value cooked-up by a committee with vested interests and not science. This scientific-cookery which could equally (on the evidence that it provided itself even) predict a positive or negative forcing, seems to have decided world policy by claiming ridiculously high values for this forcing factor, up to 8.5 W/m2.

      It amuses me that the use of the initials FF as forcing factor is what we used to use for a “Fiddle Factor” which made results fit the observed values………

  7. Graeme No.3 permalink
    May 7, 2018 10:28 pm

    That price of £6.67 per MWh looks very cheap, until you add in the £67.52 subsidy. Works out around $135 australian per MWh, rather more than the average in South Australia (home of the World’s most expensive electricity).

    • Broadlands permalink
      May 8, 2018 12:49 am

      Wait until you get the price per ton of CO2 required to stop the climate from changing. To capture and store geologically 50 ppm? Back to 350 ppm? That’s 100 billion tons!! Hello!

  8. May 8, 2018 12:37 am

    Great argument to “frack on!”

  9. Roger B permalink
    May 8, 2018 6:07 am

    So if the demand was 29 GW there is a shortfall of 9.3 GW which I guess is nuclear which has probably fallen off the bottom of the picture as it happens to be bigger than solar.

    • paul weldon permalink
      May 8, 2018 6:56 am

      Well spotted. So the guy is just lying?

      • May 8, 2018 9:32 am

        Paul’s pic missed off the bottom part of Evans twitter pic. If you can bear to do so, click on the twitter link under Paul’s pic

  10. Robin Guenier permalink
    May 8, 2018 6:32 am

    And “right now” (7:30 AM, i.e. the peak of the morning rush hour) solar is generating no UK electricity at all: http://gridwatch.co.uk.

    • dennisambler permalink
      May 8, 2018 7:19 am

      I note Gridwatch says: “Solar Power – There is no central recording of Solar Generation. This figure is an estimated figure which comes from Sheffield University.”

      • Robin Guenier permalink
        May 8, 2018 8:04 am

        Dennis: yes, it’s a useful resource. And now that the sun is beginning to have an impact (9:00 AM) it shows that solar is generating 7% of our electricity. Wind is only managing another 7% – so it’s just as well that coal, CCGT, nuclear and the French IP (also nuclear) are providing 77%. I trust Simon Evans is paying attention to this.

    • dave permalink
      May 8, 2018 7:25 am

      “…solar is generating no UK electricity…”

      And not much wind either (3%)

      I am just happy that it is a another lovely day.

  11. Coeur de Lion permalink
    May 8, 2018 6:33 am

    I just think he’s a liar

    • May 8, 2018 10:53 am

      Absolutely not! He is merely a little selective in his verson of the truth.

      • A C Osborn permalink
        May 8, 2018 12:39 pm

        Yes, very selective, ie it met the top spot for less than an hour.
        How about the 24 hour average instead?

  12. Iain Reid permalink
    May 8, 2018 6:57 am

    As a broad generalisation it seem that when the solar output is high wind output is low so the net renewable contribution is also lower than expected. Also this particular graph is showing a low demand and should the demand be high, there would still only be the same (peaky) solar output and the gas contribution will be a lot higher.
    Do these supporters of renewable generation actually understand what they are looking at?

    • HotScot permalink
      May 8, 2018 8:35 am

      Ian

      My point to a friend yesterday when we were in our garden BBQ’ing. Eight of us, none using heat or light from the grid. The most we used all day was a kettle, so what use is solar when virtually every other family in the UK was doing the same as us.

      • May 8, 2018 9:39 am

        Don’t worry – I had my tumble drier on. Can’t have washing outside as the pigeons mess on the washing from the non-native sycamore trees in the neighbours garden, which have a tree protection order on them…

      • Gerry, England permalink
        May 9, 2018 12:54 pm

        You need a Storm kettle Mr HotScot and then even the electric kettle is not needed. Or a Cobb.

      • HotScot permalink
        May 9, 2018 1:22 pm

        Gerry

        We could have boiled a pan of water on the BBQ, just the electric kettle is quicker.

        But suggestion gratefully received.

  13. megagriff permalink
    May 8, 2018 7:57 am

    In the current quarter (Mar 1 – Jun 1) the solar panels on my roof (in South East England) are generating 15% less than the same quarter last year. I.e cloud cover is about 15% higher than last year, despite the recent run of fine days. You won’t hear this from Dr. Evans or the Met Office. Instead they keep banging on with their “hottest day EVAH” nonsense.
    How long before these charlatans are called out?!
    Grand Solar Minimum – here we come!

  14. NeilC permalink
    May 8, 2018 8:29 am

    Right NOW, there would be NO solar power where I live in the Mendip hills Somerset.

    We are in thick fog.

  15. seeker permalink
    May 8, 2018 12:35 pm

    Paul, do you have a figure for the amount of coal and gas that was burnt just to keep the turbines spinning, in case a passing cut the solar output and rapid backup was needed?

  16. Bitter@twisted permalink
    May 8, 2018 4:31 pm

    Simon Evans was a real scientist, once, until he sold out on scientific principles to be a paid shill for the green energy scamsters.

  17. 4TimesAYear permalink
    May 9, 2018 12:26 am

    Reblogged this on 4TimesAYear's Blog.

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