BP Energy Review
By Paul Homewood
https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html
The BP Energy Review for 2017 is now published, and again it is bad news for anybody who thought the Paris Agreement would make the slightest difference.
Globally, CO2 emissions are up 1.6% year-on-year, which is actually greater than the 2006-16 average growth rate of 1.3%.
Regionally emissions have increased throughout the world, with the exception of the US.
The story is the same as in previous years, with increasing renewable output unable to keep up with rising overall energy demand.
While renewables (excl hydro) output rose by 69 Mtoe total primary energy consumption increased by 253 Mtoe, rise of 2.2% (after adjusting for leap years). Fossil fuels inevitable filled most of the gap.
In overall terms, wind/solar still only account for a tiny 3% of primary energy, with fossil fuels dominating at 85%.
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Renewable’s includes the dirty biomass I wonder what the real renewable numbers are. This data clearly shows the complete nonsense of a decarbonized economy.
This must be sticking in the craw of European politicians, especially the Germans.
They have resisted fracking on the basis that wind and solar would ride to the rescue on white chargers, but they didn’t. Instead, it couldn’t possibly be much worse, and it could be an awful lot better, and cheaper.
There are still a few US greens wailing about fracking causing earthquakes and contaminating water, but that appears to have largely gone away, and the UK government is gently pushing to start the fracking ball rolling here.
With persistent results like these, I expect there will shortly be an EU wide cry to start fracking, not by the public, but by industry. Europe can’t possibly compete with America, China and India when the latter pair are building coal fired power stations by the hundred and America is way ahead of the game in both the cost of it’s energy and it’s falling emissions.
As far as the UK is concerned, start fracking fast, ensure a hard Brexit so we are no longer forced to deal with a vindictive EU. And if the EU want to use the Irish border as a means of extortion, tell them to sort it out themselves. It’s the EU that don’t want NI used as a back door for their goods and services, it makes sod all difference to the UK. The EU will then be stuck with the problem of potentially violating the Good Friday agreement, not us.
The Irish border problem has been created by Theresa May so it is perfectly correct to require her to come up with the solution. In response all the EU has received is drivel about customs and deluded thinking about mutual recognition. Customs is a non-issue. Border controls is different entirely. No food products will be able to enter to EU from the UK for at least a year and even once they are allowed they must use a Border Inspection Post of which, of course, there are none along the border.
“The Irish border problem has been created by Theresa May” No it’s not, it was a consequence of Brexit.
Customs is border control. It controls the passage of goods and people from one country to another. A border inspection post is a customs post for the same reason.
So if there are no border inspection/customs posts along the Eire/NI border, who does that disadvantage? Tons of stuff from/to the EU can be shipped into/out of Eire then across the border with NI to/from the UK, including BMW Mini’s.
The EU is already a protection racket, imposing tariffs on goods from outwith it’s political reach. And they have the cheek to object to Trump raising tariffs?
Remind me again, whose problem is the border?
I wish they would start Fracking, my understanding is that one Vertical shaft has been drilled and they are thinking about starting horizontaL drilling. But of course, we really want it running before next winter or it cost us dear!
Sorry, missed out the word “will” cost us.
Derek
I believe local councils have had planning laws relaxed to encourage fracking. It’ll take some time for companies to make application, but it should start happening. Over the next year or two, is my guess.
Finally, the University of Cincinnati study conducted between 2012 and 2015 by geologist Amy Townsend Small has been published. The University was dragged kicking and screaming as the environmentalists had a major meltdown over the findings of the study and managed to delay publication for several years. While the University capitulated to the demands of the environmentalists that it be suppressed, some of the findings of the study had reached the public.
The dam burst in May. I had heard about the publication of the paper on a regional program, “Inside Shale Weekly”, which is produced on our local WAJR station. They had initially spoken of the findings several years ago and the fact that UC was seeking to suppress the study.
http://magazine.uc.edu/editors_picks/recent_features/methane.html
https://marcellusdrilling.com/2018/05/univ-of-cincinnati-utica-groundwater-study-finally-published/
Well done U of C, but “greens” will simply revert to plan B: ignore unfavorable evidence.
They already have. THEY funded the study and the Marcellus Drilling News shot right back exposing them. Below is the quote from that article and the link. There is another link in that article to the initial whining by the anti-fracking group who funded the study.
“The research found no evidence that fracking had led to any kind of water well contamination (see Antis Not Happy with Results of OH Fracking Study They Funded). We now have a bit more to the story. The two anti groups that funded the research, the Deer Creek Foundation in St. Louis and the Alice Weston foundation from Cincinnati, abruptly stopped funding the study when they got the preliminary (and as yet, unpublished) results. The foundations thought they had bought and paid for a particular outcome, and when that didn’t happen, they withdrew their money and presumably will now support someone they can buy off.”
https://marcellusdrilling.com/2016/02/anti-groups-abruptly-cut-funding-for-oh-fracking-study/
And to think we accuse the USA of not doing irony. Which country – the only one to have announced its departure from the Paris Agreement – is the star performer in reducing emissions? Oh, how that must hurt the others. And it has happened by accident too.
Gerry, England
Burning gas is cleaner than burning coal. Why do you think this was accidental?
Did anyone watch BBC Shukman’s piece when Trump pulled out of the Paris Agreement? Remarkable for its multi-layered lies, starting with a failure to mention that USA is the only large country to reduce CO2 emissions. Then we had ‘Miami Flooded Streets’ (again) (lie), ‘shrinking Pacific islands'(lie) , rising sea levels (lie), a little Maldivian (lie) (- wants $US to build his airport, not sea walls. ) The BBC is a serial liar.
Harrabin’s reporting from Paris itself was shocking, showing how much the BBC was (and still is) part of the politburo.
Sorry, but BBC is the king of fake news. So how would you expect anything else from them other than c***.
HotScot wrote “and the UK government is gently pushing to start the fracking ball rolling here.”
This simple line shows an aspect of the sickness of society today. Even as recently as when I was starting in a minerals career in the 1970s, if we wanted to go out and frack, we as players in a major industry did just that. There was a need for some legalities, because we often had to share property rights with land owners for a while, but the essential decision – to frack or not – was ours.
Now, I look forward to a phase in time when the near-anonymous greens/bureaucrats/pollies who have interfered since then will come forwards, identify themselves, their reasoning, their real motivation, then grovel for forgiveness.
An early personal memory from a Guy Fawkes Day long gone, of a Responsible Person saying “You can do that with a cracker, it is quite safe”, then seeing the victim child taken to hospital less a finger. That is how I now regard most regulators. Ignorant and more harmful than they had ever imagined. Geoff.