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Will Heatwave End Next Week?

July 11, 2018

By Paul Homewood

 

I mentioned last week that the heatwave/drought might be coming to an end next week, and the latest jetstream forecasts seem to bear this out now.

 

image

https://www.netweather.tv/charts-and-data/jetstream

 

Temperatures have already started to dip, and are forecast to drop further next week, with the north west expecting some rain.

By the end of next week, the jetstream forecast suggests a run of low pressure systems taking over.

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19 Comments leave one →
  1. July 11, 2018 11:40 am

    Heatwave ??
    Here near the east coast, it’s been a dry wave, but not always hot, cos there’s been a constant breeze from the east.
    Yesterday had morning cloud so long trousers.
    And this morning is probably colder with almost 100% cloud.

  2. HotScot permalink
    July 11, 2018 12:02 pm

    Back to our usual monsoon summer then.

  3. Gerry, England permalink
    July 11, 2018 12:45 pm

    No respite for the South East according to my charts until August. But given we are so small a shift of 100 miles or so can bring a change so the rain in the rest of the country could drift further south, or north….

  4. tom0mason permalink
    July 11, 2018 4:10 pm

    One of Britain’s brightest amateur internet weather forecaster says probably…
    Gavin at www·gavsweathervids·com has a thorough forecast with (many charts from the major weather models) for the coming 10 days at https://youtu.be/GHISkNp9xD4 .

  5. Broadlands permalink
    July 11, 2018 7:06 pm

    “By the end of next week, the jetstream forecast suggests a run of low pressure systems taking over.”

    Does the jet stream realize that CO2 has been rising? The CO2 is supposed to take over and “run” the show, not natural variability.

  6. Roy permalink
    July 11, 2018 9:21 pm

    Like England’s World Cup run – it was good while it lasted….

  7. Athelstan permalink
    July 12, 2018 8:11 am

    We need some rain, if only to put the dampers on the moorland fires and make the grass green again, this is England not the Camargue.

  8. paul weldon permalink
    July 12, 2018 8:36 am

    I have noticed over recent years that the jet stream seems to have taken over as being the explain-all for the positioning of weather systems over the Atlantic and NW Europe. I seem to remember that in the past the explanation was that the jet steam positioning was the result of the siting of low and high pressure areas. Is this just a change in the way things are taught or is there now a scientific (meteorological) consensus on the issue? I have always thought of the jet stream as being both cause AND effect, and inextricably linked to frontal systems. If the new explanation is correct, does the jet steam therefore control the NAO? Constructive thoughts on the issue would be welcome, the reality is, in my opinion, important to the understanding of how climate has/will change.

    • Athelstan permalink
      July 12, 2018 11:21 am

      The overwhelming forces governing climate are in order, the Sun, solar irradiation/ wind, Water vapour, corriolis, axial tilt, oceans and atmospheric cells/ITCZ interaction with Arctic polar air and the stream in between – it’s a Jet, why it goes into hiatus – is a question as yet poorly understood.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      July 13, 2018 7:07 am

      It’s a complex non-linear system. There is no start point, and everything interacts with everything else, which is why it is impossible to model and why forecasts past a few days are useless.

      • Athelstan permalink
        July 13, 2018 9:31 am

        Well said.

  9. Ian permalink
    July 12, 2018 8:38 am

    You can’t both be right, Paul (though the text doesn’t quite match the headline):

    https://www.sheffieldtelegraph.co.uk/news/long-term-weather-forecast-shows-there-s-no-end-in-sight-for-britain-s-heatwave-1-9246658

  10. July 12, 2018 8:54 am

    Ah the smart meter advert thread has closed.
    Pg 3 of Yorkshire Post
    Re switching providers : “expert advice from consumer groups say this should not be an issue
    … A lot of MYTHS around switching appear to be down to confusion over the different types of meter -first and second generation……blah, blah, blah
    … it is a actually easier to get a good deal than with a traditional meter.” End

    …aren’t they lucky the ASA don’t give a toss if the break the rules.

    • Athelstan permalink
      July 12, 2018 11:01 am

      ASA read ofwat, electoral commissariat, ofgen, any bleedin’ useless fekkin’ quango/NGO/gov.screwing the public +NT, EA, Forestry Commission, wet Office – you you could care to mention, all working for the Brussels direktorate and making you PAY.

      Read today’s main article in the DT, Allister Heath and how the UK administration hamstrung and now drawn and quartered Leaving the EU, don’t kid yourself that Westminster has any power – they don’t, the country is run by Brussels through the UK civil service and other unelected Nomenklatura – answerable only to the EU bound controllers.

      Get real, start to vote tactically never vote liblavcon – if, you want your country back.

    • July 12, 2018 11:13 am

      The “myth” technique of mind control is about to be rolled out for electric cars, as in “some older people don’t like them because of myths”. It started this morning on the BBC.

      The telescreens of 1984 fame are now with us, controlled not so much by a politburo but by a green zombie takeover of the media.

  11. TinyCO2 permalink
    July 12, 2018 11:10 am

    Kids holidays are starting….

  12. David permalink
    July 12, 2018 11:19 am

    I do hope you are right. I really want to stop watering the garden.

  13. Europeanonion permalink
    July 12, 2018 2:29 pm

    It’s amazing that the Jet Stream should have gained such prominence in forecasting. Prior to this last year I cannot recall a single prognosticator referring to it.

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