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Biggest offshore windfarm to start UK supply this week

February 12, 2019

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Dennis Ambler

 

From the Guardian:

 

 image

An offshore windfarm on the Yorkshire coast that will dwarf the world’s largest when completed is to supply its first power to the UK electricity grid this week.

The Danish developer Ørsted, which will be installing the first of 174 turbines at Hornsea One, said it was ready to step up its plans and fill the gap left by failed nuclear power schemes.

The size of the project takes the burgeoning offshore wind power sector to a new scale, on a par with conventional fossil fuel-fired power stations.

Hornsea One will cover 407 sq km, five times the size of the nearby city of Hull. At 1.2GW of capacity it will power 1m homes, making it about twice as powerful as today’s biggest offshore windfarm once it is completed in the second half of this year.

“The ability to generate clean electricity offshore at this scale is a globally significant milestone at a time when urgent action needs to be taken to tackle climate change,” said Matthew Wright, UK managing director of Ørsted, the world’s biggest offshore windfarm builder.

The power station is only the first of four planned in the area, with a green light and subsidies already awarded to a second stage due for completion in the early 2020s.

The first two phases will use 7MW turbines, which are taller than London’s Gherkin building.

But the latter stages of the Hornsea development could use even more powerful, 10MW-plus turbines. Bigger turbines will capture more of the energy from the wind and should lower costs by reducing the number of foundations and amount of cabling firms need to put into the water.

Henrik Poulsen, Ørsted’s chief executive, said he was in close dialogue with major manufacturers to use the new generation of turbines, some of which are expected to approach the height of the Shard in London, the tallest building in the EU.

The UK has a great wind resource and shallow enough seabed to exploit it, and could even “power most of Europe if it [the UK] went to the extreme with offshore”, he said.

Offshore windfarms could help ministers fill the low carbon power gap created by Hitachi and Toshiba scrapping nuclear plants, the executive suggested. “If nuclear should play less of a role than expected, I believe offshore wind can step up,” he said.

New nuclear projects in Europe had been “dramatically delayed and over budget”, he added, in comparison to “the strong track record for delivering offshore [wind]”.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/feb/11/biggest-offshore-windfarm-to-start-uk-supply-this-week

 

My eyes are obviously failing me! Nowhere in this Guardian piece can I find a mention of how much we will all be paying for Hornsea.

So, just for those who also have poor eyesight, here is the confirmation that the price is £155.53/MWh, triple the market price:

 

 image

https://www.lowcarboncontracts.uk/cfds/hornsea-phase-1

34 Comments
  1. Adrian permalink
    February 12, 2019 11:45 am

    Oh goody

    I’ll put the kettle on…………… when the wind blows

  2. February 12, 2019 11:45 am

    “making it about twice as powerful as today’s biggest offshore windfarm”
    No, it won’t. The only thing that may be powerful in this context is the wind which will drive the contraptions when the weather suits. At other times, they are useless as replacement for proper power stations.

  3. A C Osborn permalink
    February 12, 2019 12:59 pm

    “Fill the gap of Nuclear”, for 20% to 30% of the time.
    What do we do for the other 70-80% of the time?

  4. Gerry, England permalink
    February 12, 2019 1:52 pm

    Sadly, such ignorant and inaccurate drivel is not confined to the Guardian and the BBC. Other outlets – Silly Jilly at the Telegraph – never question the stupidity presented to them.

  5. tom0mason permalink
    February 12, 2019 2:32 pm

    And other countries experiences with off-shore wind electricity generation …

    Germany for instance, from http://notrickszone.com/2016/02/02/offshore-offshore-wind-turbine-maintenance-costs-100-times-more-expensive-than-new-turbine-itself/

    100 times the cost of a new turbine

    The figure that is especially astonishing about offshore wind power turbines is that the “maintenance and repair costs of offshore wind turbines over the years add up to be a hundred times the cost of the new turbine itself,” says Peter Plagemann of the Fraunhofer Institute for Production Technology and Applied Material Science (IFAM) in Bremen.

    Plagemann adds (my emphasis):

    While a metal coating during the construction of a turbine on land can cost up to 20 to 30 euros per square meter, it can be several thousand euros for offshore turbines.

    • tom0mason permalink
      February 13, 2019 10:28 am

      There is also this Dutch study that suggests employing dual use for the windmill platforms to help reduce costs. Basically cost savings in a combined offshore Multi-Use Platform (MUP), based on the example of a virtual offshore wind-mussel-farm (OWMF) enterprise. How many potential mussel farmers are there who would be willing to pay to farm around these dangerous monstrosities?

      Called ‘Operation and Maintenance Costs of Offshore Wind Farms and Potential Multi-use Platforms in the Dutch North Sea’ and available at https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-51159-7_4

    • February 13, 2019 11:07 am

      Let’s be clear here.
      These costs are not merely a matter of a paint job. They involve sophisticated application of highly abrasive resistant metal/ ceramic coatings. The turbine blades are constantly subjected to very high air velocities akin to the grit blasting process; so suffer rapid erosion of not treated with these coatings. This affects the efficiency of the blades. Offshore the addition of salt particals exacerbates the problem.
      Hence this large increase in Costs, quite apart from the practicalities of operating in severe conditions , should any repairs to the coating be required.

      With experience in these matters; if I were asked to repair the coating on an offshore turbine blade I would run a mile.

  6. john cheshire permalink
    February 12, 2019 3:16 pm

    If people recall the old rude poem from childhood days, The Good Ship Venus, they will know the job that the first mate, Carter, had.

    I hope this lot are hiring an army of Carters for when the wind doesn’t blow.

    • jack broughton permalink
      February 12, 2019 3:39 pm

      As I remember (distantly), he was third mate, maybe my memory or he may have been promoted!

  7. February 12, 2019 4:16 pm

    The Yorkshire Post business section today gives a quarter page to Lord Haskins for a Humber “Energy Estuary” advertorial.

    Haskins is a subsidy sucker, his farmland takes £81K from th EU pa , for a start.

    • February 12, 2019 4:19 pm

      adjoining column is “Green economy a great investment opportunity” from FTSE Russel
      They have just launched an “environmental stock index”

  8. markl permalink
    February 12, 2019 4:25 pm

    This should open a few eyes to the real availability of wind power. Whether you have one small or a thousand huge turbines the output when there is no wind is still zero. Fortunately they’ll be installed in phases so they’ll be able to find out for themselves…..however I don’t think it will make a difference. The maintenance cost of this farm when completed will be astronomical.

  9. Curious George permalink
    February 12, 2019 4:29 pm

    What is the difference between “price” and “strike price”?

    • February 12, 2019 5:41 pm

      Strike price is the contract price that is guaranteed by govt.

      • Up2snuff permalink
        February 13, 2019 5:35 pm

        PH: “So, just for those who also have poor eyesight, here is the confirmation that the price is £155.53/MWh, triple the market price”

        Is it coincidental that OFGEM has raised the energy price cap for consumers this week, despite a fall in oil and gas prices?

        Silly me, I shouldn’t need to ask. We are mugs. And we are being mugged. By our own Government!

  10. Coeur de Lion permalink
    February 12, 2019 4:38 pm

    Didn’t the ridiculous Gummer say that onshore wind is the cheapest generator of electricity? Has he pronounced on offshore? Will he be caught out lying again?

  11. February 12, 2019 4:44 pm

    Unfortunately Claire Perry will believe these lies and will carry on with the insane and unaffordable offshore wind policy.

    I noted that the media commentary on the increased “capped” electricity bills blamed the price rises on increased fossil fuel prices, with no mention of the astronomical prices being paid for increasing amounts of offshore wind.

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      February 12, 2019 6:45 pm

      You can look at the history of NBP gas prices (UK gas price marker) in this chart (set a 20 year view):

      https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/NF*0/interactive-chart

      Currently, prices seem to be in free fall at around 45 p/therm after a spike to 80p/therm last summer. Gas prices tend to set electricity prices most of the time. There is noting to suggest that gas prices are exceptional. Even at 80p/therm, that’s under 3p/kWh for gas, and wholesale electricity for just over 5p/kWh or £50/MWh from a CCGT plant. Wholesale costs of course do include expensive wind and the rising cost of the transmission network to service the distant offshore windfarms etc.

      In short, the claim looks to be b******ks.

  12. February 12, 2019 5:05 pm

    Can’t put a price on ‘saving the world’ :/

  13. Athelstan. permalink
    February 12, 2019 5:20 pm

    combined tariffs for gas/elec’ will go up again by 10%………….inflation is 2.1 there will be a minor kerfuffle but the real problem will not be addressed – the insane costs of ruinables.

    I notice that they’re getting very shy about announcing the initiatl outlay I’d guess £3-4 billion………… of this latest sea planted whirlygig boondoggle and the graun should hang it’s head in shame about repeating the boast that:
    “The Danish developer Ørsted, which will be installing the first of 174 turbines at Hornsea One, said it was ready to step up its plans and fill the gap left by failed nuclear power schemes.”

    for the cost of this monster white elephant! Ooh look, we could probably build two lean burn efficient, reliable, easily serviceable coal fired stations and 3.6 GW (based on Kingsnorth figures), you know, just like the Japanese are doing, coal it’s the easy answer, it’s the logical answer, it’s the best answer and that’s why the BEIS/green blobettes ain’t doing it, its far too simple for them.

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      February 12, 2019 9:58 pm

      I couldn’t find anything much to offer a guide: we know the estimated subsidy was over £4.2bn when the project was launched

      https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/energy/windpower/12138194/Worlds-biggest-offshore-wind-farm-to-add-4.2-billion-to-energy-bills.html

      I tried looking up the turbines. There’s scant information on that too, though I did find that the cut in speed is quoted as 3-5 metres per second, and the speed at which full output is attained is claimed to be 13-15 m/sec. With a swept area of 18,600 sq m, and taking standard 1.225kg/cu m air density (15C, 101.325kPa) then at 13 m/sec the power of the wind through the swept area is

      18,600x(13)^3×1.225/2 W, or almost exactly 25MW. The power that can be extracted is 16/27ths of this because of Betz’ Law, so 14.83MW. Against that 7MW is not impressive – less than 50% efficient – and this will be more or less the maximum efficiency: at higher wind speeds, efficiency falls because the generator cannot produce more. If the real speed for maximum power is 15 m/sec, then the effective maximum efficiency might be little over 30%.

      I did note they have since developed an 8MW version with the same blade diameter: the problems seem to be in upsizing the generator because of limitations in the magnetic field density of the permanent magnets, even with lots of Chinese Neodymium, and weight limits on the turbine. However, it only produces 10% more power on average, instead of the 14.3% you might hope for.

      If the cut in speed is 5 m/sec, then the turbine is throwing away about 840kW just to get started (18,600x(5)^3×1.225/2)x16/27 W

      • Athelstan. permalink
        February 13, 2019 11:20 pm

        thank you for that reall good stuff, and much appreciated!

        “If the cut in speed is 5 m/sec, then the turbine is throwing away about 840kW just to get started (18,600x(5)^3×1.225/2)x16/27 W”

        dear Lord, the tears of frustration are beginning to well………….

  14. afbainbridge permalink
    February 12, 2019 5:49 pm

    … plus of course it won’t be generating so much as a sausage if there’s no wind – i. e. when it’s most needed.

  15. dennisambler permalink
    February 12, 2019 6:01 pm

    Straight from the Climate Change Committee:
    https://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/opinion/baroness-brown-chance-to-make-uk-wind-sector-a-world-leader-1-9082426

    “Baroness Brown: Chance to make UK wind sector a world leader” 26 March 2018

    “As the Sector Champion for Offshore Wind, I will be articulating the industry’s vision of what is possible between now and 2030 to Ministers. We need to retain our position as the number one destination for offshore wind investment.

    We can secure £48bn of investment in UK infrastructure, increasing the number of jobs in the offshore wind industry from 11,000 today to 27,000 by the end of the next decade. By that time, offshore wind can be generating one-third of the UK’s electricity, with 30 gigawatts of capacity installed.

    It will be the backbone of our modern clean energy system, critical to meeting our CO2 reduction targets and our global commitments to address climate change, helping ensure that we leave a habitable and productive world for our children and grandchildren.”

    Followed by more of the same.

    https://www.owjonline.com/news/view,uk-seeks-transformative-sector-deal-for-offshore-wind_51158.htm

    “The UK offshore wind industry has committed to work with the government on a transformative Sector Deal, which by 2030 could deliver thousands of additional skilled jobs in coastal areas, and billions of pounds worth of export opportunities.

    The offshore wind industry’s vision for 2030 includes £48Bn (US$67Bn) in investment in UK infrastructure; a five-fold increase in export value, to £2.6Bn a year; 27,000 skilled jobs across the UK (up from 11,000 today) mainly in coastal areas; and £2.4Bn a year reduction in total electricity system costs, reducing costs to consumers.

    The offshore wind industry aims to generate one third of the UK’s electricity from offshore wind by 2030. This scaled-up ambition, coupled with the government’s Clean Growth Strategy, means the industry will more than double its capacity from 13 GW deployed or contracted today, to 30 GW by 2030.

    This additional capacity will not only generate affordable and clean electricity for UK business and consumers, it will also have a direct impact on supply chain productivity and efficiency, benefiting other sectors as well as the UK’s ability to export.

    The Sector’s engagement with the government will be led by Baroness Brown of Cambridge, Professor Dame Julia King, who is the UK’s Low Carbon Business ambassador and vice chair of the Committee on Climate Change.”

    Conflict of interest? What’s that m’lud?

    I found these snippets a few weeks ago looking around Offshore Renewable Energy Catapult, the company of which she is a non-exec director.

    “By the end of 2018, installed offshore wind power capacity will reach a total of 30.2GW, with 22.9GW of generation in Europe and 7.3GW across the rest of the world. The UK remains the global leader in offshore wind, with a total capacity of 6,385MW and an additional capacity of 3.2GW entering operation by 2020.

    As the industry’s generation capacity continues to grow, so does the need for developing reliable, high-capacity transmission cable technologies. Subsea power cable failure is frequently reported as an issue for offshore wind farm operators.

    Such failures are reported to account for 75-80% of the total cost of offshore wind insurance claims – in comparison, cabling makes up only around 9% of the overall cost of an offshore wind farm.

    The UK’s operational offshore wind farms are using 62 export cables totalling a length of 1,499km and over 1,806km of inter-array cables to transport the 6,385MW of electrical generation.

    A total of 43 array and export cable failures have been reported since 2007. Issues associated with manufacturing and/or installation are reported to be the most common cause of cable failure.

    From 2014 to the end of 2017, recorded cable failures at UK offshore wind projects have led to a cumulative loss of power generation of approximately 1.97 TWh.”

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      February 12, 2019 9:30 pm

      Interesting data. From 2014 to 2017 inclusive UK wind farms generated 159.2TWh. Another way to look at it is that 1.97TWh is worth £305 million at 155 £/MWh.

      Not sure what the Baroness’ savings figure is relative to – an all solar solution perhaps?

  16. Mrs Purdy permalink
    February 12, 2019 7:22 pm

    This will prove to be the death knell of migrating birds, such as Bewick swans. The Green lobby never mention the cost in wildlife though. Funny that.

  17. Paul H permalink
    February 12, 2019 8:09 pm

    There’s no problem with lack of wind, it’s all been sorted.

    https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/KtbxLzfpjPFNLVCrHlwdCkMkwtSgwmXlFL

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      February 12, 2019 10:08 pm

      This looks like clickbait spam to me. Perhaps the comment or at least its link should be deleted?

      • Paul H permalink
        February 13, 2019 2:40 pm

        It doesn’t… The link was an attempt at mocking ridicule of the wind turbine fiasco, albeit poorly executed. The original photo showed two Chinooks over the offshore wind farm which I posited as what was being done to keep the sails turning. Sorry it fell flat with you.

  18. Colin Megson permalink
    February 13, 2019 12:06 am

    This Roger Andrew’s piece gives the cost at £3.36 billion but is linked to 4Coffshore, which no longer gives project costs unless you’re ‘signed-up’:
    http://euanmearns.com/the-real-strike-price-of-offshore-wind/

    £3.36 billion for intermittent electricity to 1 million homes for 25 years is equivalent to £134.40 per annum per home.

    In 15 years, the NOAK BWRX-300 SMR from GE-Hitachi will be available at £462 million and will supply 24/7 electricity to 625,550 homes for 60 years. That’s equivalent to £12.30 per annum per home.

    10.9X more per annum per home for a pathetic product that will forever require fossil-fuelled backup.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/1032713003519847/

  19. February 13, 2019 10:57 am

    The wholesale electricity price is about £55.53/MWh, so we’ll be contributing £100/MWh in subsidies to Hornsea 1. In total, over its 15 years of subsidy, it will amount to £15.14 billion.

    Hinkley, at £92.50/MWh, for its 35 years of subsidy will receive £32.65 billion.

    But Hinkley will deliver 15.55X more MWh of electricity for 2.16X the subsidy.

  20. February 13, 2019 10:58 am

    This Roger Andrew’s piece gives the cost at £3.36 billion but is linked to 4Coffshore, which no longer gives project costs unless you’re ‘signed-up’:
    http://euanmearns.com/the-real-strike-price-of-offshore-wi…/

    £3.36 billion for intermittent electricity to 1 million homes for 25 years is equivalent to £134.40 per annum per home.

    In 15 years, the NOAK BWRX-300 SMR from GE-Hitachi will be available at £462 million and will supply 24/7 electricity to 625,550 homes for 60 years. That’s equivalent to £12.30 per annum per home.

    10.9X more per annum per home for a pathetic product that will forever require fossil-fuelled backup.

    https://www.facebook.com/groups/1032713003519847/

  21. February 14, 2019 10:09 am

    Reblogged this on ajmarciniak.

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