Climate change: Global impacts ‘accelerating’ – WMO
By Paul Homewood
This is a classic example of how the climate mafia operates:
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) says that the physical and financial impacts of global warming are accelerating.
Record greenhouse gas levels are driving temperatures to "increasingly dangerous levels", it says.
Their report comes in the same week as the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported a surge in CO2 in 2018.
However, new data from the UK suggests Britain is bucking the trend with emissions down by 3%.
This year’s State of the Climate report from the WMO is the 25th annual record of the climate.
When it first came out in 1993, carbon dioxide levels were at 357 parts per million (ppm) in the atmosphere. These have now risen to 405.5ppm and are expected to increase further.
This is having a significant impact on temperatures, with 2018 the fourth warmest year on record, almost 1C above what they were in the period between 1850-1900.
Image copyright Getty Images Image caption Hurricane Florence was one of 14 disasters causing over $1bn in damages
The years between 2015 and 2018 were the four warmest on that record, the study says.
"This report makes it very clear that the impacts of climate change are accelerating," said Prof Samantha Hepburn who is director of the Centre for Energy and Natural Resource Law at Deakin University in Australia.
"We know that if the current trajectory for greenhouse gas concentrations continues, temperatures may increase by 3 – 5 degrees C compared to pre-industrial levels by the end of the century and we have already reached 1 degree."
While some of these figures were published in a preliminary release of the study from last November, the full version has data on many key climate indicators, that the WMO says break new ground.
One example is ocean heat content. More than 90% of the energy trapped by greenhouse gases goes into the seas and according to the WMO, 2018 saw new records set for the amount of ocean heat content found in the upper 700 metres of the seas, and also for the upper 2,000 metres.
Sea levels also continued to increase with global mean sea level rising 3.7mm higher in 2018 than the previous year.
"This report highlights the increase in the rate of sea-level rise, and this is a real concern for those living in low-lying coastal areas, for both developed and developing countries," said Dr Sally Brown, a research fellow at the University of Southampton.
"We know that sea-level rise is a global problem that will not go away, and efforts need to be made to help those who are really vulnerable to adapt to sea-level rise or move to safer areas."
2018 Climate impacts
- According to the report, most of the natural hazards that affected nearly 62 million people in 2018 were associated with extreme weather and climate events.
- Some 35 million people were hit by floods.
- Hurricane Florence and Hurricane Michael were just two of 14 "billion dollar disasters" in 2018 in the US.
- Super Typhoon Mangkhut affected 2.4 million people in and killed 134, mainly in the Philippines.
- More than 1,600 deaths were linked to heat waves and wildfires in Europe, Japan and US.
- Kerala in India suffered the heaviest rainfall and worst flooding in nearly a century
The head of the WMO say that the signals of warming continue to be seen in events since the turn of the year.
"Extreme weather has continued in the early 2019, most recently with Tropical Cyclone Idai, which caused devastating floods and tragic loss of life in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Malawi. It may turn out to be one of the deadliest weather-related disasters to hit the southern hemisphere," said WMO Secretary General Petteri Taalas.
"Idai made landfall over the city of Beira: a rapidly growing, low-lying city on a coastline vulnerable to storm surges and already facing the consequences of sea level rise. Idai’s victims personify why we need the global agenda on sustainable development, climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction," said Mr Taalas.
The report has been launched at a news conference in New York attended by the UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres.
"There is no longer any time for delay," he wrote in a foreword to the new study.
However earlier this week the International Energy Agency published worrying data, indicating that in 2018 carbon emissions were up 1.7%, as a result of the fastest growth in energy use in the last six years.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47723577
The WMO was at the heart of the global warming scam when it began in the 1970s. Every year they publish propaganda reports like this, which the likes of Matt McGrath dutifully report as gospel truth, without any attempt to challenge.
This year the WMO has picked a few weather events and used a thoroughly meaningless sea level rise statistic to pretend that the global impacts of climate change are accelerating.
First that claim of a sea level rise of 3.7mm during the year.
Even the people who measure sea levels say that one year’s data is meaningless. For instance, AVISO state:
for scientific and statistics reasons, period under 5 years are not significant
Sea levels fluctuate from year to year for perfectly natural reasons, such as ENSO changes. In addition, the error margins are huge.
Proper oceanographers maintain that sea levels should be measured over decades, and not years. For instance, Bruce Douglas:
It is well established that sea level trends obtained from tide gauge records shorter than about 50-60 years are corrupted by interdecadal sea level variation.
What we do know is that evidence from tide gauges around the world clearly shows sea levels have been steadily rising since the late 19thC, as the world has recovered from the Little Ice Age:
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.files.wordpress.com/2018/05/jevrejevaetal2013gpchange.pdf
Furthermore, the IPCC has acknowledged that:
It is very likely that the mean rate of global averaged sea level rise was 1.7 [1.5 to 1.9] mm/yr between 1901 and 2010 and 3.2 [2.8 to 3.6] mm/yr between 1993 and 2010. Tide gauge and satellite altimeter data are consistent regarding the higher rate during the latter period. It is likely that similarly high rates occurred between 1920 and 1950.
The WMO then goes on to pick out a couple of hurricanes, deliberately ignoring the fact that hurricane activity last year was pretty average:
http://www.policlimate.com/tropical/
As for the floods in Kerala, said to be the worst in nearly a century, one can only ask what caused the ones a century ago!
They even have the nerve to say that Cyclone Idai, which recently hit Mozambique was a signal of warming continue to be seen in events since the turn of the year.
Very strange, since hurricane activity in the SH has been relatively subdued in recent years:
http://www.policlimate.com/tropical/
The WMO report is nothing more than the sort of political propaganda you would expect from the UN agency.
Comments are closed.
Lloyd’s of London had an interview in the Daily Telegraph a few days ago, blaming its losses last year on guess what? Amusingly, the Guardian put the blame on natural disasters! Huh, what gives? The answer is that Lloyd’s has attracted the wrath of the sisterhood over claims of inappropriate behavior, which must have made the Guardian take its eye off the climate ball.
“There is no longer any time for delay,” he wrote in a foreword to the new study.”
The alarmed have been saying that for decades. So…if we act now, what is the plan? How long will it take to stop this dangerous and catastrophic climate in our future? When will sea level start dropping and save us? Will the extremes become less extreme? Time for some reality with less scary propaganda?
Global impacts may be increasing, but not the climate ones. Attempting destruction of societies, increases in lies and propaganda and dumbing down of the population, yes. Weather changes, not to much. (Weather is what they are using here, make no mistake. It is NOT climate.)
“Looking at First that claim of a sea level rise of 3.7mm during the year.”
Paul, I’m looking at: https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/
What I do see in their charted satellite data is that it appears that since about5 2015 there has been a flattening of the trend. Not my forte, but showing that graph with that short trend line in it would be telling. Anyone game?
2ndly, on that page, they graph the global tide gauge data. I look at NOAA’s tide gauge quite often and I don’t see that acceleration in the rate of SLR in any individual station anywhere in the world. This is crazy.
The data fluctuate up and down relative to a background change, a large change relative to last year may just be that last years data fluctuated low. Shonky Stats 101.
As ever, listing severe weather events says nothing about the causes. Conjectures about attribution are not science.
The activists are getting impatient. We are just not doing what they want fast enough, so the “extremes are happening now” lies have to intensified. The trouble is, after all this time and all these scare stories, you either believe or you don’t. Nobody is getting converted anymore and once you reach the zenith, there’s only one way to go.
Alarmists are becoming more dependent on easily tricked school kids for their recruits.
The more the alarmists lie the more they convince me that the whole CO2 causes climate change thing is nonsense. If your case is sound you don’t need to lie to make it.
WMO?
I’m not even going to waste my time all they are, nescient bloviators and advertizers of the great green scam it sticks in the craw everytime I try to utter their acronym, they are world scale Bullshitters alright.
People like you are committing wilful ecocide.
Is it for the money that you seek to delude the dwindling band of climate deniers? Or are you simply unable to accept that you have comprehensively lost this argument.
Your time is up you just don’t know it yet.
Please explain exactly which part of the post is incorrect.
Also please explain how more people are dying from weather events now, than in the past before global warming.
I think you will have grave trouble, but I always have an open mind!!
Wow! Nice drive by Joe. Merely reporting factual inaccuracies, hyperbole, gross exaggerations and complete nonsense from the climate doom priesthood does not constitute ‘wilful ecocide’. That particular accolade seems to rest fairly and squarely on the shoulders of those fully paid up members of the alarmist brotherhood who insist on plastering the planet with bird chopping and bat frying windmills and solar panels and levelling forests for biomass and biofuels in the vain hope of changing the weather. Furthermore, I doubt you’ll find anyone who supports Paul’s sterling efforts to shed light on the insanity of Climate Change Inc is a ‘climate denier’. We all believe in climate, just not in your interpretation of impending man made climate doom. And, as far as ‘comprehensively losing the argument’ is concerned, the MSM and those who profit massively from the policies of the Green Blob simply refuse to countenance any debate or argue the facts of the matter. The argument hasn’t been lost it hasn’t even been undertaken in any meaningful way.
Can anyone help me with the statement that ……90% of the energy trapped by greenhouse gasses goes into the seas……is this true? Is this a special form of energy that only arises from greenhouse gasses?
I have seen elsewhere that this could be nonsense – but surely not…….
Views anyone?
Oh that’s easy. It’s a very special form of energy only found in GCM algorithms. A bit like ‘CO2 Radiative Forcing’. Sounds cool (or hot, rather) but is in effect bollox.
ps, if it’s trapped, how does it get into the seas? 🙂
It has many more magical properties: it dissolves more in hotter water while the oxygen reduces. It then makes the water acidic, even though its pH remains almost 8. Wonderful stuff indeed: the modern Phlogiston!
To anyone in the WMO…
[“Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I’m not sure about the former.”] Albert Einstein
Stop talking rot.
Maybe the World *Meteorology* Organisation should stick to meteorology, not climate.
Prince Charles is off on another wacky climate rant…
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family/2019/03/29/prince-charles-hails-children-demanding-concerted-action-climate/
LOL, I wonder how he and his entourage traveled around the Caribbean recently.
The WMO is a UN organisation.
Like its cousin the United Nations Environment Programme Ozone Secretariat its whole existence depends on there being a problem. Ozone depletion hasn’t changed much since the 1987 Montreal Protocol, and we should all be dead if their predictions made then were correct!
‘Climate events?’
An utter lack of understanding of what ‘climate’ means. These people aren’t fit for purpose.
‘Hurricane Florence and Hurricane Michael’
I was affected by both. Just hurricanes. Nothing new or different.