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English Summer Failing To Meet Alarmist Expectations! (Again)

August 1, 2019

By Paul Homewood

After all of the fuss about a couple of days of sunshine in Britain, reality brings us back down to earth with the monthly CET figures:



Average mean temperatures for July ended up at 17.5C, meaning that last month was an unremarkable 45th warmest since 1660, tying with years like 1847, 1870 and 1923. It was also 1.3C cooler than July 1783.

This is known as CLIMATE CHANGE.

Taking both June and July together, this year’s ranking drops even further, to 82nd, in a tie with 1706 and 1878.

Top ranking goes to 1976, followed by 2006 and 1826:



With disappointing numbers like these, it is no surprise that the Met Office were so desperate to trumpet one day’s weather.

Meanwhile the ambulance chasers have turned their attention elsewhere.

  1. August 1, 2019 7:03 pm

    Reblogged this on Climate- Science.

  2. August 1, 2019 7:57 pm

    It will be a similar non-story in the Benelux countries, which also had daily “records” maybe, early July was cold there, as a brisk Northerly wind came down the North Sea coasts of Norway and Denmark.

    I can believe though that the recent “records” were influenced by the Greenhouse Effect … from the notably high air temperature and humidity, i.e. more than average downward radiation from a warm moist sky. No obvious connection to CO2.

  3. MrGrimNasty permalink
    August 1, 2019 8:44 pm

    Last time I said unless the long term weather forecast changes drastically, it did! But tempting fate again, August looks like being decidedly average overall, and summer 2019 will end up being completely unremarkable.

    Looking at the bridge collapse and dam damage in the news – old and not properly maintained and waiting to fail comes to mind. Things decay, they will go at some point given a nudge. And the flooded localities are old problem catchment areas mostly.

    Have you noticed how “a month’s worth of rain in” has become the latest scare headline or excuse for maintenance neglect, as if that is unusual Before climate change, UK summers used to be known for 3 days of heat followed by a thundery breakdown. Now it’s a dangerous heatwave followed by unprecedented rainfall. Thunderstorms by their very nature give random localities a month’s worth of rain – is that supposed to be unusual/scary?

    • dave permalink
      August 1, 2019 8:56 pm

      About seventy years ago mathematicians, analyzing turbulence in systems, established that there is a natural progression so that eddies on small scales inevitably sacrifice their energy into a few larger-scale phenomena. But…exactly where and how these larger scale perturbations develop will always be unknowable and unpredictable either in prospect or retrospect.

    • August 1, 2019 9:23 pm

      I ate a days worth of food in an hour today, and a weeks worth of petrol was consumed in a drive of several hours.

      • Phoenix44 permalink
        August 2, 2019 10:03 am

        Great analogy to one of my pet peeves! Do these reporters actually believe that the monthly average of rain falls equally over each hour during a month?

    • Smoke&Mirrors permalink
      August 1, 2019 10:14 pm

      Ah yes. Climate change – the Great Absolver.
      Inept strategic infrastructure inspection, maintenance and renewal?
      Nah! It’s climate change, so we’re off the hook!
      Except that you’re not….

    • J Burns permalink
      August 2, 2019 9:58 am

      I’ve notice the increasingly mindless use of the word ‘unprecedented’ in the apparently senile mainstream media, especially the BBC – I guess they assume the research skills of ordinary people are even worse than their own. Most recently yesterday in reaction to some damage on the covering of a dam in Yorkshire. Perhaps they need reminding that ‘unprecedented’ means that something has never happened before..

      • Mike Jackson permalink
        August 2, 2019 2:15 pm

        Ah, but! This was Derbyshire, you see!!

        I keep being reminded of this satirical comment on cricket commentators’ obsession with statistics no matter how obscure:

        There once was a bowler called Clover
        Who bowled sixteen wides in one over.
        It had never been done
        By a clergyman’s son
        On a Tuesday, in August, at Dover.

        If you want to find something “unprecedented” you don’t need to look far. I dismantled a roller-blind yesterday. First time in 70-odd years!

      • J Burns permalink
        August 4, 2019 10:53 am

        @Mike Jackson: Brilliant!

  4. Graeme No.3 permalink
    August 1, 2019 10:10 pm

    Reality is disapointing the Global Warming/Climate Change/Disruption etc. so it is time for the “prophets”/Met Office/BBC etc. to abandon reality…Oops! They already have.

    • AndyG55 permalink
      August 1, 2019 10:21 pm

      Ramping up the mindless anti-science propaganda and rhetoric.

      Hadn’t you noticed ! 😉

  5. August 2, 2019 8:38 am

    As the hottest days pass surprisingly at the height of the summer and it gets a bit colder.
    I have been seeing a new banner on the news. 10 coldest years not from 1963.
    We still have one month of summer but I guess they just could not wait.
    So just to remind you that it was colder before than it is now. So as autumn approaches and we put up the heating and put on our woolly jumpers. They will have to change tack to keep up the climate porn. What a relief we have the heavy rain emergency to blame on Climate Change.
    How about reminding us just how mild our climate is in the UK.
    I remember heavier winters just a short distance away in Germany from 1962-1964

  6. Oyster permalink
    August 2, 2019 9:01 am

    Most interesting. Not outside my thinking without proof or statistics. It is not unusual to have flash floods in Midsummer.

    • angryscotonfragglerock permalink
      August 2, 2019 11:51 am

      Or even the odd murder 🤣🤣🤣🤣

  7. dennisambler permalink
    August 2, 2019 10:13 am

    As the news headlines on the BBC progress on the half hour, by 8am, it was becoming The Hottest The Planet Has Ever Been and we must cut emissions immediately.

    The Met office rankings themselves show there is no warming:

    July 2019 was 2.2 degrees colder than 2006.

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      August 2, 2019 10:48 am

      Yes the BBC are pre-announcing records again, it’s expected to be the hottest July globally ‘ever’ they say, even though the final figure hasn’t been manipulated into existence yet and with no error margins explained.

      According to UAH July 2019 is the same as July 2016, so it’s close, but no cigar.

      It’s simply due to the step up pattern we seem to see after each decent El Nino – linking that to CO2? Good luck!

      • Gerry, England permalink
        August 2, 2019 1:45 pm

        Meanwhile iceagenow is reporting the new record July lows set in the southern states of US where the general description is of autumn weather in July. And they wonder why they are considered to be fiddling the records.

        On top of that we have a book by Dr Rex Fleming – formerly of NOAA – now feeling it is safe to talk about what goes on there and the level of scepticism that is kept quiet due to fear. And a final damning thing is the existence of another dataset for the US that shows cooling. No wonder the warmists are panicking.

    • Pancho Plail permalink
      August 2, 2019 1:31 pm

      It continued this lunchtime with claims of 1.2K above preindustrial levels – only 0.3K below catastrophic levels! And then they had Bob Ward came on and lost me when he started wittering on about rises of 3 degrees.

  8. Athelstan. permalink
    August 2, 2019 10:55 am

    Wow, It’s all ‘boiling up’ to be another wonderfully average UK summer and a bit of everything thrown in.

    Very sadly some flash flooding in the Dales but that is what happens sometimes, thankfully rare events and I don’t say that lightly. Boscastle 2004, Lynmouth 1952, horrible but infrequent happenstance.

    At times, mother Nature is a very fearsome mistress, ah but then she gives us all life.

  9. Vernon E permalink
    August 2, 2019 11:00 am

    Slightly off-topic but I spent yesterday evening listening to the BBC and the other commentariat banging on about saving the planet from plastic annihilation by fiddling with packaging and plastic straws. Don’t these morons know that Saudi Arabia has recently commissioned the largest integrated petrochemical facility ever imagined and Egypt is following closely behind. Millions of tons of the stuff that will mostly finish up as plastic waste.
    These should be the real targets for concern, whether through the UN or by sanctions or just public opinion – I don’t know. Why are these greenies so stupid?

  10. Victor Hanby permalink
    August 2, 2019 11:59 am

    I’ve been collecting hourly weather data for East Midlands Airport (egnx) since 2003. The max for this July was 34C (they only report whole numbers), equal to 2015. The mean (17.5) was exceeded in six years since 2003. Nothing to get excited about.

  11. MrGrimNasty permalink
    August 2, 2019 1:16 pm

    The moronic BBC is linking the spillway collapse to climate change.

    No, the spillway was doing it’s normal job, somehow water got between/underneath the concrete slabs, washed out the soil, and allowed them to collapse.

    That process has probably been going on for years unnoticed because the gaps between the slabs, and the slabs and the abutment, and any cracks, had not been attended to and kept sealed.

    Incompetence/money pinching maintenance failure again.

  12. Coeur de Lion permalink
    August 2, 2019 2:11 pm

    Off-thread, but as I write British Windmills are producing two per cent of our electricity demand. Just not good enough. And the Synod of the Church of England wants to disinvest from fossil fuels.

    • Athelstan. permalink
      August 2, 2019 3:38 pm


      Now, much more akin to a coven.

      “how about some green tea?”

      said the actress…………..

      “that’ll put the very devil in you, your reverence”

  13. john cooknell permalink
    August 2, 2019 2:49 pm

    Matt McGrath at the BBC has lost the plot. I feel very sorry for him, he just believes the end is nigh, when quite clearly it is not.

    You can always trust BBC journalism to not be that bothered about the truth.

  14. MrGrimNasty permalink
    August 2, 2019 3:44 pm

    July 2019th hottest? Not according to Dr Roy Spencer.

  15. Dunno permalink
    August 2, 2019 4:53 pm

    The BBC says: “The world is getting hotter. July 2019 was one of the warmest months ever recorded – and July temperatures almost everywhere on Earth have been higher in the last 10 years compared with 1880-1900.

    Who should I believe?

  16. Colin bain permalink
    August 3, 2019 4:08 pm

    Related topic of.propaganda
    I noticed that the latest Drama of the Week productions both have very positive climate change features as part of the storyline. Looks like playwrights have got the message. Put on positive climate.action pieces and we publish. Of course it could be coincidence …

  17. iamreddave permalink
    August 7, 2019 9:10 pm

    The mean in all this data is 15.64 and for just the last 25 years 16.54

    • August 7, 2019 9:46 pm


      • iamreddave permalink
        August 7, 2019 10:14 pm

        And recent July’s being warmer than average seems to provide evidence against the claim in the article.

      • August 8, 2019 9:53 am

        It is warmer now than during the Little Ice Age, so what is your point?

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