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Shock News–The Arctic Is Freezing In Winter!!

November 27, 2019
tags:

By Paul Homewood

 

Today’s junk science comes from NASA:

image

New NASA research has found that increases in the rate at which Arctic sea ice grows in the winter may have partially slowed down the decline of the Arctic sea ice cover.

As temperatures in the Arctic have warmed at double the pace of the rest of the planet, the expanse of frozen seawater that blankets the Arctic Ocean and neighboring seas has shrunk and thinned over the past three decades. The end-of-summer Arctic sea ice extent has almost halved since the early 1980s. A recent NASA study found that since 1958, the Arctic sea ice cover has lost on average around two-thirds of its thickness and now 70 percent of the sea ice cap is made of seasonal ice, or ice that forms and melts within a single year.

But at the same time that sea ice is vanishing quicker than it has ever been observed in the satellite record, it is also thickening at a faster rate during winter. This increase in growth rate might last for decades, a new study accepted for publication in Geophysical Research Letters found.

https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2831/wintertime-arctic-sea-ice-growth-slows-long-term-decline-nasa/

 

The paper goes on to look at why the Arctic freezes during winter. But here’s a clue I offer free of charge to the experts at NASA:

THE POLAR NIGHT

As most schoolkids probably know, the Arctic never sees the sun during winter. Unsurprisingly, it gets very cold, with temperatures 30C below freezing.

Never mind the Arctic Ocean, I suspect even hell would freeze over!

https://i2.wp.com/ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2019.png

 

As sensible minded sceptics have been pointing out for years, summer Arctic sea ice will never disappear whilst so much new ice grows every winter.

There are also two very misleading statements in that section I have quoted:

1) As temperatures in the Arctic have warmed at double the pace of the rest of the planet, the expanse of frozen seawater that blankets the Arctic Ocean and neighboring seas has shrunk and thinned over the past three decades.

While technically true, it omits the highly relevant fact that temperatures around the Arctic plunged sharply between the 1940s and 1980s, conveniently just before NASA’s “past three decades”:

nuuk

dikson

aku

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data_v4_globe/

 

2) But at the same time that sea ice is vanishing quicker than it has ever been observed in the satellite record

This is an outright lie.

Summer sea ice extent, which is being referred to, fell between 1980 and 2007, but since then has remained pretty stable.

 osisaf_nh_iceextent_monthly-09_en http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover_30y.uk.php

 

It is sad that NASA’s reputation, hard earned over the years, is being trashed by a small minority who are more interested in propaganda.

24 Comments
  1. November 27, 2019 11:52 am

    Amazing!!! Who knew????

  2. November 27, 2019 11:55 am

    Reblogged this on Climate- Science.press.

  3. November 27, 2019 11:55 am

    “Ice extent in September” .. That looks like cherry picking a metric,
    cherry picking a time period
    and then sticking straight trend line on it when you shouldn’t be.

    • Mack permalink
      November 27, 2019 6:08 pm

      Spot on. And I’m not quite sure why they compared current ice thickness to ice thickness in 1958 and came up with a dramatic difference (unless they compared late summer to late winter), certainly nothing appears to be going on now that would appear to justify a conclusion that anything unusual or unprecedented is going on. It was the late 50s when the US Navy started popping their submarines through the roof of the North Pole when ice thickness was comparable to today’s. What will they do when the AMO goes headlong in to it’s next negative phase and ice area/thickness expands dramatically, despite ‘runaway’ global warming and enhanced CO2 levels?

    • November 27, 2019 6:23 pm

      Ice area and extent reaches its minimum in September. It is reasonable to pick that month, because if the sea ice ever does dip below an extent of 1 million km sq (the somewhat dubious definition of “ice-free”) for a week or two in the year, that time will be in September.

  4. Emrys Jones permalink
    November 27, 2019 12:04 pm

    A point that is completely ignored is that Arctic summer temperatures (i.e. when the ice melts) have been slightly below average for some years now. The winter temperatures have been warmer, but that doesn’t matter so much. The cooler summer temperatures mean that the run-off water is in a more super-cooled state than in previous years, full of miniature ice crystals, so when winter returns ice forms very rapidly. Faster than the DMI model of ice formation says is possible.

    That is why the DMI were so deeply embarrassed by the Norwegian icebreaker Crown Prince Haakon finding far more, and far thicker ice than their models predicted. I have read of no response from the DMI to that huge embarrassment – I wonder what their view is?

    • dave permalink
      November 27, 2019 12:39 pm

      The writer of this rubbish article, by talking about “two-thirds decline in average thickness,” seems to be making an incredibly wild statement, to the effect that sea-ice volume in mid-winter 1958 was 60,000 cubic kilometers as opposed to the 20,000 in recent winters. Of course, we can see instantly that he has merely picked up something about the decline of multi-year ice, and run with that in a moronic way.

      ” frozen sea water that blankets the Arctic…”

      They have got that right (probably by accident – the writer was using it as a tired synonym for “covers”). For it does act like a blanket on a bed. As soon as ice covers a part of the ocean it stops that part of the ocean from losing heat by radiation*. In other words, sea-ice is something which tends to promote global warming (in the sense that the globe leaks less heat than might be expected from the polar regions during the dark of their winters).

      * Ice is a wonderful insulator.

      • November 27, 2019 6:20 pm

        Ice has a higher thermal conductivity than water. Snow is another matter.

  5. Kelvin Vaughan permalink
    November 27, 2019 12:09 pm

    It’s the summer Sun that causes the Poles to freeze after all it is -18C according to NASA. In the winter it’s the CO2 that causes it to freeze because cold warms hot.

  6. jack broughton permalink
    November 27, 2019 12:29 pm

    You illustrate beautifully the big problem that the AGW keep trying to cover up and that is that there is a long history of data in some areas. An interesting point is that Iceland seems to show is a massive heating rate over the 1920s / 30s: far higher than any of their doom-claims about recent years (the time of the dust-bowl of course). Wadders would have been predicting ice-free by 1935!

    The global cooling fear of the 1960s / 70s is only apparent in Akureyri. Maybe a review of the global-cooling fear-campaign would make and interesting comparison?

    Of course that will just be weather, while recent changes are clearly signs of Armageddon!
    Maybe, to quote Orwell again, “who controls the past controls the future”.

  7. Ian Cook permalink
    November 27, 2019 12:42 pm

    Taking the comment ‘faster melting in summer and more freezing in winter’ just suggests a change to better measurement, to my mind. Although, it might have something to do with aliens, or trolls, I’m not sure of the details of the eco-nutter belief system.

  8. chaswarnertoo permalink
    November 27, 2019 1:03 pm

    Unfreezing allows heat to escape……

  9. Michael Adams permalink
    November 27, 2019 1:33 pm

    Its off topic but it seems that an Australian firefighter might have lit 7 bush fires in NSW recently. I think the official report might include the fact that climate change changed the mental stability of this poor chap.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/11/27/australian-firefighter-accused-arson-record-bush-fires-ultimate/

  10. Gerry, England permalink
    November 27, 2019 1:50 pm

    So double the tiny rise in global temperatures excluding the poles so far still ends up as a tiny rise in the Arctic. It’s not like summer there is t-shirt, shorts and sandals is it?

    • dave permalink
      November 27, 2019 5:07 pm

      The sixty-year cycle in the vigour of the World Ocean’s “conveyor belt” has climatic effects which are magnified in the Polar Regions. That is my long-standing opinion. It is a falsifiable statement, but we will need a couple of decades more of observational data. A twinkling of geologic time. I will probably not be around, to be vindicated or corrected, however, since I do not run on geologic time.

  11. Tim Spence permalink
    November 27, 2019 2:05 pm

    For 15 years I’ve been complaining that NASA use the term ‘long term trend’ when referring to the satellite record. 40 years is weather, it isn’t even short-term climate, I’d put short-term at 100-10,000 years.

  12. November 27, 2019 2:33 pm

    Always worth revisiting Tony Heller on Graphs

  13. Up2snuff permalink
    November 27, 2019 4:14 pm

    Funny, I was wondering how those Climate Alarmists were getting on in their determined summer effort to prove the North Pole ice had all melted. I guess the ones who have not yet turned back or been rescued will just have to tough it out on the ice over the winter.

    I hope they have a long saw for cutting ice holes and are good at fishing.

  14. November 27, 2019 6:26 pm

    Something that is not widely known is that first year ice can end up thicker in the following June than ice that survives the summer melt. The reason is that the thin ice grows quickly initially and the thickening of the 2nd year ice is curtailed by a layer of snow that falls in the autumn.

    This is quite a reset mechanism.

    In contrast to ice minima, which have declined, ice maxima have hardly declined at all – seemingly the Arctic resets, at least in the area frozen, every winter.

  15. Pancho Plail permalink
    November 27, 2019 7:36 pm

    Do people need degrees to work this out. Unbelievable!

  16. Duker permalink
    November 28, 2019 3:24 am

    I always thought more closely defining the area of ‘arctic sea ice’ was needed , as it seems the sea ice in winter goes all the way down to the Gulf of St Lawrence and the other side , past the Bering St and into the Bering sea. Thats not what you would think as Arctic ice.

    After all New York Harbour /Hudson River froze over in 1821 The East River froze 8 times between 1780 and 1888. We all know what the period is described as.

    There may even be a case for for only covering ice within the Arctic Circle ( which also excludes Hudson bay and White Sea. Maybe enclosed areas off the Arctic sea added as well.)

  17. 4 Eyes permalink
    November 28, 2019 4:46 am

    And NASA seems unaware of reports in the early 1920s that there was little ice

  18. 4 Eyes permalink
    November 28, 2019 4:50 am

    NASA like most alarmist groups uses whatever timeframe suits the alarm of the day

  19. A R Clapham. permalink
    November 28, 2019 11:12 pm

    Experts? were telling us in the 1960s that we were heading into a new Ice Age! They will say anything to make money from their scare stories.

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