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No, June 2020 Was Not the Hottest June on Record

July 11, 2020

By Paul Homewood

 

 

 

Anthony Watts debunks “hottest June” claims:

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The Washington Post and other media outlets are claiming June 2020 was the hottest June on record. Not surprisingly, that is fake news and a lie. Let’s set the record straight.

The root of the claim that June 2020 was the warmest on record comes from an announcement from European Union climate scientists. Yet the scientists don’t say that June 2020 was the warmest June on record. Here’s what they actually said:

“Globally, temperatures last month were 0.53°C warmer than the average June from 1981-2010, almost tied as the warmest June in this record and with the Siberian Arctic experiencing the most above-average conditions. In Europe, temperatures were far above average in the north but below average in the south, overall tying as the second warmest European June in our record.”

Since when does a finding of “almost tied as the warmest June” allow ostensibly factual new organizations to breathlessly exaggerate and claim “almost tied” is the same as being “the hottest on record.” Again, the Washington Post simply printed “fake news” to further its ideological agendas, as well as generate unprofessional click-bait.

Full story here:

https://climaterealism.com/2020/07/no-june-2020-was-not-the-hottest-june-on-record/

22 Comments
  1. Stewart Herring permalink
    July 11, 2020 10:27 am

    Can we get the Washington Post to print a retraction of the outand out lies it printed?

  2. July 11, 2020 11:07 am

    Stewart. EVEN if they do which will be a struggle the retraction will be in the small print and Joe and Josephine Public will be left with the memory of the original headline. It is a very sly and fast practice and I see it being repeated with little or no consequences for the purps when they are caught out. This also applies to papers mysteriously finding their way through the peerless peer review process with grammatical and factual errors and so often appallingly flawed experimental methodologies designed with the specific intention of achieving a specific answer.

  3. July 11, 2020 11:34 am

    “The Washington Post and other media outlets are claiming June 2020 was the hottest June on record. Not surprisingly, that is fake news”

    Why bother? AGW climate change is a theory about a long term (longer than 30 years) warming trend in global mean temperature. Not about temperature events.

  4. July 11, 2020 12:48 pm

    chaamjamal Everyone here knows that. The point is the newspapers concerned ascribe it to climate change. They don’t appear to know or they do but and lie to push their agenda.

  5. Broadlands permalink
    July 11, 2020 1:35 pm

    Another sleight-of-hand announcement? “Globally, temperatures last month were 0.53°C warmer than the average June from 1981-2010, almost tied as the warmest June in this record..”

    The 1981-2010 average is now the magical benchmark for Junes… Nothing earlier counts?

    • Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
      July 11, 2020 10:02 pm

      The “30 year” thing came from meetings in the 1930s when weather folks were trying to find a more-or-less common way of presenting data that could be compared to historical weather known by the local reader of newspapers. They chose 30 years and called the averages “Climate Normals.”

      Remember this was before modern computers so recording readings, summaries, and averages was time consuming.

      During the meeting (I think 1935 in Warsaw) the folks settled on a 30 year average with the spans beginning with a year where the last digit of the first year is ‘1’ and the last digit of the ending year is ‘0’.

      We thus have “Climate Normals” for the spans of 1961-1990, 1971-2000, 1981-2010, 1991- 2020… the last soon to appear in mid-2021.
      https://www.weather.gov/grr/climatenormals

      A common sense idea has been forgotten and now gives folks a twist in the knickers.
      That’s sort of magical.

      • Phoenix44 permalink
        July 12, 2020 8:13 am

        And “normal” is now misused and misunderstood by almost everybody. The concept of variability in an average is wholly beyond most.

  6. Ben Vorlich permalink
    July 11, 2020 1:36 pm

    I read in WUWT that Australia’s hottest day ever recorded has been confirmed by Craig Kelly MP who has found a nearby weather station recording a similar temperature on the same day 3rd January 1909. Not only that he’s found the second highest Australian temperature on 12th January 1939.

    lots of records being created if you ignore the past. You can also maintain the charade by ignoring cold records like those in the Netherlands the other day, 9th July?

    • July 11, 2020 5:50 pm

      There is a statistical issue that make it difficult to draw conclusions from these records, other than falsifying claims of recent records. The issue is that the current Climate Optimum has only lasted for around 25 years, whereas the previous Climate Sub-optimal period lasted around 85 years from 1910. Thus, there are many more sub-optimal years, making it likely that records are found there, despite those years being cooler on average than current ones.

      See here for histories of maximum temperature averages in Australia and New Zealand:

      https://diymetanalysis.wordpress.com/2020/01/31/australia-nz-tmax/

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      July 12, 2020 8:17 am

      Or by ignoring the multiple chances of a record if you are clever – day, 24 hours, Bank Holiday, month, summer, single station, town, area, county, country, UK, EU, Europe…

      Since energy in the atmosphere is never uniformly distributed, a large area being slightly below average can easily trans into a small area being somewhat higher than average.

      • dave permalink
        July 13, 2020 7:50 pm

        “…multiple chances…”

        Interestingly, it was a meteorologist, Sir Gilbert Walker, who first squarely faced the problem inherent in making multiple comparisons in a slew of statistical data – namely, that it was bound to produce spurious features and relationships. He is still remembered as a pioneer in statistical theory.

        Walker was also the discoverer, in atmospheric pressure tendencies, of the Southern Oscillation (the El Nino/La Nina phenomenon is an aspect of this*) and the North Atlantic Oscillation, and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. He named them, fully a century ago, and coined the word ‘teleconnections’ to indicate their global reach.

        His ideas, after some initial interest, were mostly ignored by other meteorologists.

        *The Walker Circulation of the air in the Pacific is named after him.

  7. July 11, 2020 4:28 pm

    8pm Radio4 special 1 hour, 20 minutes Archive on 4
    Summer with Greta
    Campaigner Greta Thunberg describes the remarkable and tumultuous past year of her life and makes a passionate plea for action on climate change.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000kwcc

    #Woke-supremacism is a form of racism

  8. Broadlands permalink
    July 11, 2020 4:53 pm

    Another passionate plea for action? But unspecified? What action have her puppeteers recommended that could possibly help the climate by 2050? Passionate pleas have been made for decades. None of them can work by 2050…if ever.

    • Stonyground permalink
      July 11, 2020 5:47 pm

      Lots of nuclear power stations. All railways electrified. Electric trams replacing buses wherever practical. There are many practical solutions to the non problem but the alarmists are only interested in the ones that don’t work. Solving the non problem would leave them with nothing to bang on about.

      • Mack permalink
        July 11, 2020 9:58 pm

        ‘Alarmists are only interested in the (solutions) that don’t work’. Funny that. A cynic might even suspect that they had a hidden agenda in their hurry to dismantle Western Civilization and the economies and energy systems that sustain it. Surely not?

  9. July 11, 2020 7:52 pm

    Slightly off-topic but I have just had a look at the official web site of the Committee for Climate Change and was not very impressed.

    They believe that global warming encompasses (1) warming of the troposphere, (2) acidification of the oceans (3) rising sea levels(4) declining of glacial and sea ice (5) Slowing of increments to crop productivity

    I have not finished looking at all the other stuff but if this is the standard of justification it is begging for a robust challenge. Perhaps a few of the regulars here could study the website and discuss the possibility of launching a robust challenge if they feel that the climate change evidence does not merit the expensive changes being proposed by Deben.

    For a start, I have not found much on models yet but I would bet that they are depending on rcp 8.5.

    I feel that doing nothing is not an option. I would be happy to help set up a working group if necessary, but would wish to see a younger, fitter person take up the reins as soon as possible.

    Is this something of interest or a dead duck?

    • Thomas Carr permalink
      July 12, 2020 2:19 pm

      Peter
      A working group is long overdue. It is apparent that we have the technical competence from what I have read of others writing in this forum and we should go for a target which will have a strong resonance with the general public such as gas — yes or no: green electricity -cheap or not: green electricity — fragile or robust etc.

      If the working group tends towards the complex technical we lose the public , the editors and, with wishful thinking , the opportunity to set up a petition leading to a debate in Parliament.

      If our argument is based mainly on financial grounds it may be taken up by the Tax Payers Alliance an organisation already in the public eye and well past the fragile credibility stage.. This would save time getting the message across and the need to establish another pressure group or think tank as these are vulnerable to articulate zealots for the true faith, supporting the Met Office carelessness and the BBC’s casual reporting.

  10. Sheri permalink
    July 12, 2020 1:25 am

    The media was always lying: See FDR for a very good example of the press making sure a guy got most of FOUR terms to keep the economy depressed. Had he not died……

    I don’t know how hot June was, but July is starting out scorching here, so I expect a SUPER record hot July record in the USA.

    • Duker permalink
      July 12, 2020 2:32 am

      None of that about FDR is true…you left out the part about being elected 2x during war time.

      The Democrats gained control of both the house and senate in 1930..because of the start of the depression, FDR was only being re-elected NY Governor that year and only won the election in 1932
      More importantly there was a rise in more ‘progressive’ candidates being elected in both parties.
      Historians consider the FDR win in 1932 a realignment of the 2 party system from its 4th to 5th phase. This was due to the voters and most states ‘usually’ voting for the Democratic party even though in many states they were ‘conservative’ Democrats. ( Often aligned with mild conservative NE Republicans) to control the agenda in Congress.
      California was often a Republican win in that period with a slight Democrat advantage. Not the case now.

  11. Phoenix44 permalink
    July 12, 2020 8:19 am

    Oh well, if someone’s passionate about what they want, we should go along with it then.

    • dave permalink
      July 12, 2020 8:46 am

      “…passionate…”

      Or she should read her Herodotus*, have a laugh, and chill out.

      “The storm lasted three days. At length the Magians, by offering victims to the Winds, and charming them with the help of conjurors, while at the same time giving sacrifices to Thetis and the Nereids, succeeded in laying the storm, four days after it first began; or maybe it just stopped.”

      *Assuming she has heard of him.

      • dave permalink
        July 12, 2020 8:52 am

        So far, 2020 has been a much quieter year for cyclones than 2019.
        ACE measure is at 150 for calendar-year to date, compared to historical average of 254.

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