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Annual Arctic Meltdown Scare

September 1, 2020
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By Paul Homewood

 

 Every year alarmist scientists claim the Arctic is melting down, but it never actually happens:

 image

GENEVA — The United Nations weather agency says this summer will go down for leaving a “deep wound” in the cryosphere — the planet’s frozen parts — amid a heat wave in the Arctic, shrinking sea ice and the collapse of a leading Canadian ice shelf.

The World Meteorological Organization said Tuesday that temperatures in the Arctic are rising twice as fast as the global average, provoking what spokeswoman Clare Nullis called a “vicious circle.”

“The rapid decline of sea ice in turn contributes to more warming, and so the circle goes on and the consequences do not stay in the Arctic,” Nullis said during a regular U.N. briefing in Geneva.

The weather agency said in a statement that many new temperature records have been set in recent months, including in the Russian town of Verkhoyansk. The town, located in Siberia above the Arctic Circle line, reached 38 degrees Celsius (100 F) on June 20.

“What we saw in Siberia this year was exceptionally bad, was exceptionally severe,” Nullis said. She noted a heat wave across the Arctic, record-breaking wildfires in Siberia, nearly record-low sea ice extent, and the collapse of one of the last fully intact Canadian ice shelves.

https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/agency-laments-summers-deep-wound-earths-ice-cover-72745956

 

So let’s look at the actual facts:

Arctic sea ice extent, while low this year, is running well above the record low in 2012:

 

https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/

Arctic temperature are not “rising twice as fast as the global average”. Indeed they have nor risen at all since 2004, and current temperatures are similar to those in the 1930s and 40s.

 

https://climate4you.com/

The so-called heatwave at Verkhohansk was only 0.7C hotter than in 1988, and there is no evidence whatsoever that wildfires in Siberia are “record-breaking”.

 

And the alarmists’ favourite talking point of Greenland does not even get a mention. Could that be because the growth in the ice sheet this year has been virtually in line with the 1981-2010 mean, following one of the shortest melt seasons in recent years?

 

https://i1.wp.com/polarportal.dk/fileadmin/polarportal/surface/SMB_curves_LA_EN_20200831.png

http://polarportal.dk/en/greenland/surface-conditions/

Or that at the end of last year, NOAA were reporting that Greenland’s outlet glaciers have barely shrunk at all in the last eight years:

 image

https://www.arctic.noaa.gov/Portals/7/ArcticReportCard/Documents/ArcticReportCard_full_report2019.pdf

 

While DMI reported about Greenland’s glaciers:

 image

http://polarportal.dk/en/news/2019-season-report/

They are also strangely silent about the Antarctic which has seen sea ice extent expanding well above the mean as it approaches its maximum extent.

https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/

12 Comments
  1. Tim Spence permalink
    September 1, 2020 7:04 pm

    Griff in 3-2-1 …… Oh well, maybe later.

    It doesn’t matter if all the Arctic sea ice disappears, it’s ephemeral, at the mercy of winds and currents.

    Greenland is more significant and it’s doing just fine.

    Antarctica is even more significant and the ice is increasing there despite the sporadic volcanic activity under the WAIS.

  2. Broadlands permalink
    September 1, 2020 7:27 pm

    And it has been twelve years since Al Gore famously predicted that polar ice would all be gone in five years.

    • johnbillscott permalink
      September 1, 2020 7:45 pm

      Al has moved on to harmful “Beyond Meat” analogs, and making even more millions than Mann’s “Hockey Stick” ever brought in.

  3. MrGrimNasty permalink
    September 1, 2020 8:21 pm

    If you remember they were predicting record Arctic heat/melt back at the beginning of the year, and although the heat prediction may have been close to the mark, it probably won’t be a record low volume/extent, and if it is it won’t be anything other than by a gnat’s whisker.

    The re-freeze is among the most reluctant to start on record though.

  4. MrGrimNasty permalink
    September 1, 2020 8:40 pm

    Going back to BBC UK wheat harvest flour/bread price rise, well as the BBC admitted in a 2019 article the price is dictated by global markets. If the price rises it has nothing to do with a poor UK harvest or an issue globally with climate change affecting production. The beauty of fossil fuels is that vast quantities of grain can be transported around the globe easily. Inevitably the random nature of weather will mean that somewhere in the world will have a less than optimum harvest. So what is the global situation?

    “The world wheat crop is also expected to be a new high….”

    https://www.igc.int/en/gmr_summary.aspx

  5. September 1, 2020 9:44 pm

    Paul
    What do you make of the latest doom-mongering on ice caps causing rapid sea level rise:
    https://phys.org/news/2020-08-sea-ice-sheets-track-worst-case.html
    Cheers

    • I_am_not_a_robot permalink
      September 2, 2020 1:15 am

      From the link:
      “Since the ice sheets were first monitored by satellite in the 1990s, melting from Antarctica has pushed global sea levels up by 7.2mm, while Greenland has contributed 10.6mm. And the latest measurements show that the world’s oceans are now rising by 4mm each year …”.

      It is at coastlines where any sea level change is relevant to human populations and the measured data from tide gauges over many decades indicates a monotonic rise average of about 1 – 1.5 mm/yr.
      https://www.climate4you.com/SeaTemperatures.htm#Sea-level%20in%20general

    • I_am_not_a_robot permalink
      September 2, 2020 2:05 am

      Another factor affecting the global average sea level trend as monitored by satellite is the effect in general of El Niño (for instance most recently in 2015 – 2017):
      https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/elnino/el-nino-and-sea-level

    • September 2, 2020 6:26 pm

      They are alarmed over a lower SMB of Greenland ice sheet in 2019, while not mentioning above average mass gains in 2017 and 2018. And as Paul shows above, an average SMB year in 2020.

      More detailed discussion: https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2020/08/21/greenland-ice-varies-dont-panic/

  6. kathy marquard permalink
    September 1, 2020 11:03 pm

    so…record ice melt and where is the record sea level rise and flooding? And they wonder why we don’t believe them.

  7. mjr permalink
    September 3, 2020 10:45 am

    on the subject of wildfires, this morning , (3rd september) R4 Today programme had that well respected scientist and BBC environmental disaster Roger Harrabin on to talk about “unprecedented increase in Arctic wildfires causing huge increases in CO2 (which causes climate change, dontcha know!)” and this new concept of “zombie fires” . Apparently the fires as so bad that come winter they smoulder in the peat and in the spring break out again….
    Worth a listen ..; Starts 12 minutes in (06.12)

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