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US Climate In 2019

September 18, 2020

By Paul Homewood


My new paper on US climate trends has just been published by GWPF:




A new paper published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation shows that U.S. climate has been changing very gradually, and mostly in a benign way.

The paper, by British climate writer Paul Homewood, examines official US weather sources and finds almost nothing to justify alarm.

“The temperature has risen a little”, says Homewood, “but temperature extremes are still a long way off the levels seen in the 1930s. And there has been a reduction in cold spells and climate-related deaths, so in many ways, the US climate has become less extreme compared to previous ages.”

It is the same story for rainfall. There has been an increase overall, but the wettest year on record was nearly 50 years ago. Droughts were mostly far worse in the 1930s.

“It’s hard to find anything in the records of recent weather in the US that should give anyone any cause for alarm” says Homewood.

“It’s mostly rather reassuring. From heat to cold to storms and tornadoes, there is no trend that is out of the ordinary.”

Homewood’s paper, entitled The US Climate in 2019, can be downloaded here (pdf)



  1. September 18, 2020 3:56 pm

    Looking forward to reading it.

  2. Broadlands permalink
    September 18, 2020 4:02 pm

    Very comprehensive. And all of that in spite of the fact that NOAA has systematically and seasonally adjusted (mostly lowered) the official US Weather Bureau’s monthly temperatures for every state going back at least to 1921 and up to 1940. The data are available from the Weather Bureau Climatological tables. Example from May 1934:

  3. Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
    September 18, 2020 4:30 pm

    You had better take a vacation in an undisclosed location.
    Klimate Kult will be looking for you.

    • September 19, 2020 5:25 pm

      Yes, ‘nothing to see here, move long’ is definitely off message for climate cultists. What a shame 😄

  4. Geoff B permalink
    September 18, 2020 4:51 pm

    Excellent report Paul, factual with meaningful charts . Contrast with the reports put out by our own Met office “Hottest day ever (at Heathrow)” grabbing the headlines with a temperature that is almost certainly suspect.
    The discrepancy between Fig 6 and Fig 7 is interesting, I like the way you suggest NOAA fiddled the readings for the 30’s.
    • Large-scale adjustments were made to the US temperature record by NOAA around 1999, which had the effect of reducing temperatures in the 1930s by around 0.9°F.

  5. Gamecock permalink
    September 18, 2020 5:06 pm

    ‘A new paper published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation shows that U.S. climate has been changing very gradually, and mostly in a benign way.’

    ‘the US climate has become less extreme compared to previous ages’

    Sir, you abuse the word ‘climate.’ The U.S. has several climates. Where I live, it is Köppen Cfa. Köppen BWh in Phoenix. Köppen Dfc in Anchorage. We have tropics, searing deserts and frozen tundra, all at the same time. Referring to ‘the US climate’ singularly is bogus.

    • September 18, 2020 6:34 pm

      That is one definition.

      However, climate is also defined as the long-term average of weather, typically averaged over a period of 30 years.The paper also looks closely at regional trends

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      September 18, 2020 8:02 pm

      Gamecock, I assume you feel the same about the ridiculous idea that there is a Global Average Temperature.
      I figure that Paul is having to play the game by alarmists’ rules: they are the ones who define ‘climate’. (See IPCCC)

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        September 18, 2020 8:03 pm


      • Gamecock permalink
        September 20, 2020 10:55 pm

        Don’t play by their rules. And don’t accept their corruption of the language.

  6. Thomas Carr permalink
    September 18, 2020 8:31 pm

    Lucid and attractively presented. Thank you. I look forward to learning of its wider reception from those with closed minds. It will be upsetting for those allied to the arch gloomster’s valedictory message…….DA , who else.

  7. Jackington permalink
    September 18, 2020 8:45 pm

    A lovely piece of work Paul – expect a call from the White House!? But Sleepy Joe won’t like it.

  8. Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
    September 18, 2020 10:22 pm

    I have often made the point introduced by Gamecock, above.

    However, within the current “existential crisis” the temperature concept is the “climate” definer. This is why so much effort, technology, and money has been spent on everything from treemonitors to stalagmites to satellites.
    The Köppen-Geiger classification of areas via vegetation types (Köppen was an experienced botanist) was based on what types of vegetation grow where. Doing this for all of Earth is too costly and a bit subjective, so simple physical parameters became widely used, and modified.

    I live east of the Cascade Mountains in Washington State. We get 7-9 inches of precipitation, a lot of that as winter snow. Winters are cold and summers are hot. An ecotone is a transition area between two biological communities. We live where forested mountains give way (going east) to Sagebrush/Steppe.

    Earth’s average temperature, if such exists, is not of great concern to the plants that have been growing here for the last 10,000 years.

    There is no sense trying to communicate with the “Climate Cult” researchers and activists using the term climate as proposed by Köppen.

    See Humpty Dumpty Theory of Language

  9. Don Keiller permalink
    September 19, 2020 9:08 am

    Excellent piece of climate accounting, Paul.
    You are a Star!

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