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Climate Breakdown!

October 2, 2020

By Paul Homewood

 

Last month, temperatures in England were notably unnotable!

 

 image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat

 

Since 1659, there have been 122 Septembers as warm or warmer. The hottest, in order, were 2006, 1729, 1865 and 1949.

 

The hottest day last month was Sep 15th, which reached 27.4C, well below the record of 31.3C set in 1906.

 

The coldest night was the 28th, with 3.0C. Extreme cold September nights are now very uncommon:

image

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

 

I guess this is what they call climate breakdown!

24 Comments
  1. jack broughton permalink
    October 2, 2020 1:44 pm

    A good illustration of the “climate emergency”!
    If it had been hotter than average the screams would be heard of course.

  2. LeedsChris permalink
    October 2, 2020 1:54 pm

    I don’t know whether you picked up that the coldest ever September night in Northern Ireland (that’s any date in any September) was recorded on Saturday 27th September -3.7C. That’s also the coldest for the whole island of Ireland, according to Met Eireann, the previous record for September being -3.5C in County Offaly in 1972.

    In addition in Scotland Altnahara, Sutherland, recorded -5.0C on 24th September toad this was the lowest ever September temperature at this station and the coldest September in the entire UK since 1997. The record low for the UK and Scotland is -6.7C in Dalwhinnie in 1942

    • October 2, 2020 2:25 pm

      That night was 3.0C on CET

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      October 2, 2020 3:04 pm

      I suspect September in Scotland might have actually been colder than average.
      There were at least 2 Highland nights reached -5C and numerous others below zero.
      The Sept Highland and UK low record is -6.7C.

      According to the MO the previous NI record was actually -3.6C just 2 years ago in the same location as the new – Katesbridge, which is one of those anomalous weather stations (in an elevated frost hollow), and tends to give regular extreme readings even compared to a mile away. It’s a bit like the opposite of Heathrow!

  3. Pancho Plail permalink
    October 2, 2020 1:59 pm

    Paul, I think you need to point the arrowhead the other way in the title of the last graph.

  4. LeedsChris permalink
    October 2, 2020 2:07 pm

    The September 1906 heatwave that you reported, Paul, is undoubtedly one of the most remarkable heatwaves ever in the UK. Extraordinary because it was so late in the summer and because that summer was not especially notable. I have done some work on weather data for Leicestershire and the East Midlands and this was a heatwave with four consecutive days in excess of the old 90F from 31st August to 3rd September. This did not happen again until 1976 and barely repeated since. In Leicester the peak temperature was 93F (33.9C) on the 2nd September, but 95F (35c) was reached that day in the Welland Valley, about 18 miles ESE on the borders of Rutland, Leicestershire and Northamptonshire. The extraordinary thing was also that this heatwave was hotter in a number of cases in the East Midlands and up to Yorkshire than further south. The record 35C recorded in this event in the East Midlands and 35.6C at Bawtry (on the borders of Yorkshire and Nottinghamshire) remained – for some locations in this area – the hottest all-time temperatures until 2018 (although the 35C was equalled in some locations in this area in 1911, 1990 and 2003).

  5. cajwbroomhill permalink
    October 2, 2020 2:18 pm

    Just as Germany’s and Sweden’s reactions seem to hve got better results in Covid reactions,
    surely the UK could adopt a wait and see policy on AGE.

    After all our greenhouse gas release is negligible and our remaining financial assets likewise.

    (If the Scottish “Government” are seeking a good example to show their “prudence” in this vexed question, such a U turn would be a good idea, but I’m not very hopeful)

    • cajwbroomhill permalink
      October 2, 2020 2:21 pm

      My tablet substituted AGE for AGW, which is what I meant.
      (Not all robotic reactions are reliable!)

    • Harry Davidson permalink
      October 2, 2020 4:20 pm

      From a story on this on WUWT, BTL:

      “Joseph Bastardi October 1, 2020 at 5:09 am
      THIS IS NOT THE COLDEST SEPTEMBER IN 50 YEARS IN ITALY. The local cold shot this week may be a record for the month, coldest so early, similar to what happened in the northern plains, but this certainly isnt the coldest September on record there. It may be the coldest for the period since its at the end of the month means it is, but that is a cherry pick.
      Here is what Italy had for the month most of the land of my forefathers was above normal
      https://maps.weatherbell.com/view/analysis/cdas-all?d=europe_wide&p=tmp2m_anom_mtd_back_c

      IT IS CERTAINLY NOT THE COLDEST SEPTEMBER IN 50 YEARS, Coldest end in some places, perhaps. In fact you choose. 1 day and if its that cold, and the month as a whole is above normal, can you imagine how warm it was much of the month ( which it was.. Alarmist could have been using the Euro warmth if they chose but they were too focused on hurricane name games). Peace”

      I am assuming that is the Joe Bastardi, not someone’s dog.

      • October 2, 2020 5:00 pm

        Yes, it’s the usual warmist trick of cherry picking one day, and we should not copy it

  6. bobn permalink
    October 2, 2020 2:54 pm

    Hope you have all noted the new cold and snow records set this last week in parts of Australia. Start of Spring there and dramatic snowfalls across south australia, tasmania and New Zealand. Gee this global warming is getting cold.

  7. bobn permalink
    October 2, 2020 2:57 pm

    Not so hot in Europe either:

    Snow Falls near Rome as Italy suffers its Coldest September Temperatures in 50 years.
    (report September 29, 2020 Cap Allon)

    “Italy’s Coldest September in 50 Years,” reads the headline of a wantedinmilan.com article dated Sept, 28.

    Over the weekend, Italy suffered a sudden and dramatic drop in temperature. The mercury plunged by between 10 and 15 degrees Celsius across the country, resulting in Italy’s coldest September temps since the early 1970s (since the ‘weak’ solar cycle 20).

    The bone-chilling cold, originating from the Arctic, also delivered heavy early-season snow to the most unusual of places: September snow fell on the hills in the greater Rome area as well as in the Lazio region. According to Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera, snow rarely ever falls this early in Lazio.

    • Harry Davidson permalink
      October 2, 2020 4:40 pm

      I posted a reply to that, but the website attached it to the wrong post. Basically, Joe Bastardi says no. Look upwards a little to see it.

  8. MrGrimNasty permalink
    October 2, 2020 3:12 pm

    Interesting weather today. For much of the day the rain radar has looked like there was a circulating narrow front, even a squall line, between Brighton and S.Wales in an arc. But it has remained almost in the same position whilst it constantly regenerated in a streamer from the Channel. Some places in a narrow band will have got some impressive rain totals today.

  9. October 2, 2020 4:14 pm

    Good work Paul. I’m glad I’m not on the other side.

  10. MrGrimNasty permalink
    October 2, 2020 10:19 pm

    Monty Don is convinced that climate change is to blame for his under-performing tomatoes in one greenhouse for the last couple of years. His potted theory is that late spring/early summer is getting more overcast/less sunny so they aren’t getting enough light. Short memory, or short on the facts Monty!

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2020/2020-spring-and-may-stats

    Generally in the last 30 years the trend in England is May has got a bit sunnier, June/July have got marginally sunnier.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series

    Climate change has been implanted in the minds of the gullible as the universal bogeyman to blame for all ills.

    Of course Monty also mentioned the enormous grape vine that was shading the tomato plants, that he put in a few years ago!

    • Chilli permalink
      October 3, 2020 1:27 am

      Yup – saw that too. My money’s on that grape vine shading the tomatoes. But he probably got brownie points with the BBC management for promoting the climate change scam. May help delay his inevitable replacement by a BAME gardener for another few seasons.

      • Phillip Bratby permalink
        October 3, 2020 7:33 am

        I saw it too. I had a bumper crop of tomatoes this year, obviously because of climate change. Mind you, I wasn’t stupid enough to grow the tomato plants in the shade of a vine. I too am convinced that mainstream presenters have it in their BBC contracts to mention climate change at least once in every programme, even if it makes them come across as idiots (which is not hard to do for most BBC presenters).

      • MrGrimNasty permalink
        October 3, 2020 9:46 am

        To use the PC terminology:-

        The BBC is institutionally biased.
        The BBC is institutionally climate alarmist.
        The BBC is guilty of casual climate alarmism.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      October 3, 2020 8:06 am

      Could be tens, perhaps hundreds of things. It’s not science when it’s done like that!

  11. Tonyb permalink
    October 2, 2020 10:21 pm

    You need to look at your main graph at a 45 degree angle and with one eye closed, whilst standing on one leg, then you can clearly see we are in the midst of climate devastation, emergency, and crisis all rolled in to one

    • roger permalink
      October 2, 2020 10:53 pm

      Piratical rather than practical although the end of some people’s world might be Penzance

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      October 3, 2020 9:43 am

      I remember when Heller predicted that the inconvenient RSS data would be ‘adjusted’ because it showed insufficient warming compared with what models expected etc.

      He showed what would happen by tilting the graph up. Which is what they effectively did soon enough, and they didn’t allow the UAH people, the best qualified, to peer review their adjustments.

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