Autumn Rainfall Data
December 28, 2020
By Paul Homewood
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-actual-and-anomaly-maps
Reports of Storm In A Teacup Bella reminded me to look at autumn rainfall data.
Overall it has been a remarkably unremarkable autumn, with no part of the country experiencing anything remotely unusual. The England data in particular shows a notable absence of any long term trends at all.
We await the December data, but I am not aware of anything out of the ordinary this month either.
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ah… the UK Met Office
I went to background a Twitter squabble yesterday and wanted to compare a Met Office report / forecast (disputed) with a nearby calibrated weather station that had their own weather station archived on their web site.
The Met Office site was Cambridge Botanical Gardens which offers a forecast … there is a link given on the landing page which purports to be “previous 24 hours” that kicks the visitor to “the nearest site to Cambridge Botanical Gardens” which is at an obscure airfield 25mile SSE of Cambridge Botanical Gardens….
That’d be the Cambridge Botanical Gardens that gave the record summer temperature … – a bit odd….
Given UK weather is rarely “average” you should use standard deviations around the mean, assuming the weather has a normal distribution. My bet would be that almost all “extremes” would vanish in 2 SDs.
The continual use of “average” by the Met Office is highly misleading for data that is highly variable.
Yes. The frequent use of “temperatures are not where they should be at this time of year” raises my blood pressure to a level where it should not be at any time of year.
“temperatures are not where they should be at this time of year”
– too bluidy right ! – in the case of Cambridge Botanical Gardens somewhere near Stanstead!