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10 Million Jobs At Risk From Net Zero Pledge, Says New Report

January 8, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 Well, some of us have been warning about this for years:

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https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/13650132/staggering-ten-million-jobs-at-in-red-wall-seats-at-risk-due-to-governments-carbon-neutral-pledge-research-reveals/ 

It is a bit rich for Caroline Spelman and Caroline Flint to be raising the alarm now. Neither objected to the Climate Change Act and its consequences, despite being in strong positions to in the past. On the contrary they have both vigorously supported it throughout.

Spelman was, of course, Environment Secretary from 2010 to 2012, during which time she absurdly warned us that drought would be the new norm in the UK. Meanwhile Flint held various ministerial positions under Blair and Brown, before being Shadow Energy Secretary under Ed Miliband.

I am afraid they have left this warning far too late now.

This is what the Onward report actually states:

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https://www.ukonward.com/gettingtozero/

And this highlights the very real problem – the climate change agenda is being driven by the metropolitan liberal consensus in London, where few jobs will be at risk.

Outside of London there is little support for Net Zero, but people there have little say in policy decisions. Polling may suggest otherwise, but the public have been deliberately kept in the dark about the real costs and implications involved.

As the  report makes absolutely clear, all major parties have exactly the same policies, so voters are not even allowed a choice come election time.

And, of course, it is not just Parliament. The media, civil service, quangocracy and the establishment in general have all conspired to exclude the public from any role in policy making.

There is talk of lots of green jobs being created, even though experience tells us that you cannot create jobs by government diktat, and that more jobs usually get lost as a consequence in the rest of the economy.

But even if these new jobs come about, this will be of little consequence for those losing their jobs, or the communities left behind. Try telling a well paid, highly skilled auto worker in the Midlands, that he will have to relocate to Essex to fit double glazing, or to the Scottish Highlands to plant trees. (And this only after having to retrain, with no pay coming in).

The two Carolines finish by writing that the UK will once again be “leading the way”, in the run up to COP26. This of course is exactly what Ed Miliband’s Climate Change Act promised in 2008.

The rest of the world ignored us then, just as it will ignore us again.

52 Comments
  1. George Lawson permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:20 pm

    Well done The Sun. I will now order your paper for daily delivery, and hope others will follow

    • Lez permalink
      January 8, 2021 1:23 pm

      Its got to be better than the DT, which appears to be trying to win over Grauniad readers.

    • Mad Mike permalink
      January 8, 2021 6:52 pm

      Talking about the Sun, I picked this up from another site. Its about the real Sun.

      Its about an enormous solar flare in 774 AD and I got to think what might happen to our new all electric world if a similar flare happened again. This one obviously didn’t upset civilisation at the time as they didn’t have electricity but a flare anywhere near this strength would be catastrophic.

      https://www.syfy.com/syfywire/in-774-ad-the-sun-blasted-earth-with-the-biggest-storm-in-10000-years

  2. Ian Magness permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:21 pm

    Wasn’t it Ed Davey’s Climate Change Act or am I confused?

    • Ian Magness permalink
      January 8, 2021 12:32 pm

      Ah, clearly I am confused as Gordon Brown was the PM in 2008. So the great Sir Ed had not risen to power by then 😦

      • John Palmer permalink
        January 8, 2021 1:30 pm

        And, happily, has slipped out of it again more recently!

      • BiddyB permalink
        January 8, 2021 6:27 pm

        Milliband, not Davey, was SoS for the Environment and pushed through the Climate Change Act, written by now Baroness Briony Worthington, formerly of FoE

  3. Paul Weeks permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:31 pm

    Sir
    Reading this, it seems the 10% electricity price increase from Igloo Energy I’m getting next month won’t be the last. I complained and was sent a predictable list of excuses, not enough wind was one…..

  4. Jackington permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:36 pm

    We can all take comfort from the 10million green jobs to be created by master magician Johnson living in his make – believe world.

    • January 8, 2021 4:34 pm

      Someone needs to explain to Boris that more jobs in energy is a cost, not a benefit. The value comes from using the energy to make things and move things. And if there are additional jobs in energy, then those salaries are on everyone’s fuel bill.

      It almost seems as if our lords and masters think that just by repeating something often enough they can make it true. Perhaps we should divide their pay by the inflation rate of leccy bills for the next few years.

      • Ben Vorlich permalink
        January 8, 2021 5:05 pm

        It’s been a long long time since a British PM understood that making and selling stuff and selling services to foreign countries is the only real way to make a country wealthy. Some manage by selling raw materials but the UK isn’t one of those.

      • Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
        January 8, 2021 5:43 pm

        ” more jobs in energy is a cost, not a benefit. ”

        That’s way too complicated for a politician.

    • January 8, 2021 4:39 pm

      We have already been told to “forget the details ” by our climatehypnotistas about all those thousands of gween jobs that the wonderful bird dicing planet saving wind farms were going to bring. I have only seen one or two subsequent mentions of this much promoted yarn and both were complaining that all the skilled jobs were being imported by the vendor who is not UK based leaving just the scraps to temporary UK hires. If people were made to be accountable for their claims when contracts are being awarded MAYBE they would be a little more cautious in the future…..

  5. William Birch permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:39 pm

    Nothing shows more clearly the UK democratic deficit than the so called Parliamentary consensus for the Carbon Net zero target in 2050. What is needed is a new political group that is able to articulate the concerns that many of us have that this is a huge economic folly that will result in the majority of the UK electors suffering economic hardship. The only people safe and secure from this are those on the Civil service and local government pay role plus those in the South East of England in Financial services.

    • fijndraai permalink
      January 8, 2021 2:36 pm

      Totally agree with you, the main problem is the mass media also shuts everyone out so no good news of debate on the issue despite the massive effect these green policies will have on everyone we have no voice it’s like North Korea or China. This is not how democracy is supposed to work hey? Everyone is so frightened to stand up to the green lobby.

  6. Gamecock permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:41 pm

    A neolithic economy won’t support ANY jobs.

    • Ben Vorlich permalink
      January 8, 2021 5:08 pm

      Flint axe and Deer Antler Pick makers job prospects are picking up though

      • Gamecock permalink
        January 8, 2021 11:46 pm

        Too much specialization.

  7. Harry Passfield permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:41 pm

    I’m only surprised they didn’t include the third Caroline – LUCAS – in their committee. And I thought 2020 was a bad year. I can’t see it getting much better if this is what we have too look forward to.

  8. MrGrimNasty permalink
    January 8, 2021 12:51 pm

    If you take home £20k a year (as a lot of people do), if your household energy bill goes from £1200 to £3600 or considerably more, as it certainly will in just a few short years, it’s a disaster.

    The people setting these polices will hardly notice on their grossly bloated pay.

    It’s also near certain council tax will take-off post-covid, they have their excuse now.

    The future does not look pleasant for an awful lot of people, they will really be scraping by to make ends meet.

  9. 10th MAN permalink
    January 8, 2021 1:08 pm

    So you’ve lost your job, you have to get an EV, you have to lose your gas boiler and get a heat pump and don’t even think about selling your house – you’ll never get an EPC C rating for that!! Welcome to the real Green New Deal!

  10. ianprsy permalink
    January 8, 2021 1:19 pm

    Don’t forget the consultants and their ilk who are queueing up to tell politicians what they want to hear.

    • ianprsy permalink
      January 8, 2021 1:21 pm

      This was a reply to Wm Birch’s post.

  11. Alexander JC Gwynn permalink
    January 8, 2021 1:45 pm

    The Gov’ment do not care , this all fits in with their current Covid plans to destroy the economy and keep the masses/poor on state handouts.. Covid-19 and the ‘climate change’ agenda are intimately linked

    • January 8, 2021 5:04 pm

      Don’t be stupid. No government plans to destroy an economy. Only swivel eyed conspiracy theory nutjobs could believe that.

      • Stonyground permalink
        January 9, 2021 10:45 am

        Ok David, how do you explain their behaviour? This net zero scheme will completely destroy our economy if implemented as we will be unable to manufacture anything competitively. We won’t even be able to grow crops, you can’t plough fields with an electric tractor, or reap with an electric combine harvester. If it isn’t deliberate then what, unbelievable stupidity?

  12. stevejay permalink
    January 8, 2021 1:52 pm

    As Paul says, our hopeless politicians should have seen this coming. Co2 doesn’t drive the climate and it’s beneficial to all plant life. Even the corrupt IPCC says that the human contribution to Co2 is only 1 molecule in 62,500. The corrupt NASA states, ‘There has been no significant warming for the last 18 years’.
    Who did the Government consult over climate change policies, Greta or Carrie?

    • REM permalink
      January 8, 2021 6:37 pm

      But The Sun’s sister paper, The Times, today carries a story headed “Grim milestone as CO2 levels hit 50% more than pre-industrial age”. Looks like an unquestioned press release from the Met Office. Goes on to say that the past six years have been the warmest on record. Professor Richard Betts, who heads CO2 forecasting at the Met Office, said we will need GLOBAL emissions to be brought to net zero to halt the atmospheric CO2 rise.

      So it’s not just the Isle of Wight; China needs to do it too.

  13. GeoffB permalink
    January 8, 2021 2:00 pm

    Politically, there is no opposition to the “Net zero emissions by 2050”. So fait accompli. Do we pin our hopes on Nigel Farage with his REFORM UK party, maybe, but it is just a hope nothing like a certainty.
    Just watch as the madness progresses and the country sinks into a deep recession, it has to get a lot worse before anything is stopped.
    Look at electricity today, (8 Jan) running on knife edge, make sure you have washing machine on, use the oven and boil a kettle at 1800 hrs. LETS BREAK THE GRID

    • Gerry, England permalink
      January 8, 2021 2:52 pm

      God I hope we don;t have to rely on Farage. It needs somebody who does detail and that certainly is not him. Plus he is far too divisive a person given his Brexit background.

      • January 8, 2021 2:59 pm

        The opposite is true.

        We don’t need detail, we need a proven campaigner who is in tune with public opinion.

      • Carbon500 permalink
        January 8, 2021 3:50 pm

        Agreed Paul – and look for example at Al Gore; he doesn’t need detail – a master propagandist and campaigner at work. All of the climate horror stories in the media lack detail – that’s how they’ve got away with it.

    • Vernon E permalink
      January 9, 2021 4:26 pm

      Geoff B: Tice has already announced that Reform will support the nett zero policies

  14. Broadlands permalink
    January 8, 2021 2:16 pm

    “We will conclude ahead of COP26 in November this year, when the UK will be the stage for the most important international climate summit to date. The current pandemic has shown us that nature still holds the power to transform our lives – and the vaccine reveals that with scientific endeavour, political will and international action we can wrestle back control. In the next year, ahead of COP26, we must do so again – once again with the UK leading the way.”

    Onward… You have missed the salient point. The current pandemic has shown us that rapid lowering of carbon fuel emissions, especially in transportation has already lead to severe damages to global economies. To continue that international action and path to zero emissions can only make the consequences even worse. NET-Zero is a whole different problem requiring carbon capture and geological burial…negative emission technology. No amount of scientific endeavour or political will can make a difference to the Earth’s average temperature if CO2 cannot be taken from the atmosphere in meaningful amounts. Rapid lowering of carbon emissions doesn’t do that. It simply leaves carbon in the ground while people have to rely on alternative fuels that are unreliable when the Sun doesn’t shine and the wind doesn’t blow. Lead the way??

    • bobn permalink
      January 8, 2021 4:57 pm

      Whether More or less CO2 is in the atmosphere makes no difference to the earths temperature! CO2 capture does nothing to temps. Its virtue signalling alchemy – total Bullpoo.

  15. fijndraai permalink
    January 8, 2021 2:26 pm

    Also, loss of choice and freedoms, no choice of car other than an expensive limited range electric one. Loss of efficient gas boilers for more expensive to purchase and run, air source heat pump system, ground source heat recovery systems, or simply electric only heating with the massive costs to all these especially the further north you live. Then we come to the cost of new homes set to sky rocket, fitted with these expensive heating systems together with triple glazing, underfloor heating, massive amounts of insulation. Good luck with all this

  16. Mad Mike permalink
    January 8, 2021 2:58 pm

    I had my boiler serviced yesterday and I had a short discussion with my fitter. He had been on a course for the future of the heating industry but thought that most of what was on offer was too far out in the future to affect him. He said that the instructor was quite sceptical about the possibility of bringing in heat pumps, batteries, hydrogen boilers and the like as Earth’s resources would not support their implementation and they weren’t very effective anyway, and that was the instructor!.He must read this blog.

    If anybody is interested, my fitter has a heat pump sitting in his garden, it cost £6K, and one of his customers threw it out after a few months when she saw how much electricity it was using and how little heat it was emitting. Another of his customers has a heat pump and he is quite happy to accept a lower level of heat in his house. Apparently he sits around with a heavy jumper on all the time as the heat pump cannot support a radiator system. He would be an ideal poster boy for the Greens as he is living the dream.

    • Graeme No.3 permalink
      January 8, 2021 8:23 pm

      If everything in your house (and garage) is to be powered by electricity where will that come from? More wind turbines and solar panels, in vast excess with enormously costly batteries?As events recently have shown it cannot be possible without conventional backup, presumably gas fired. Where are those willing to build them? Not those who currently refuse to invest in CCGTs because they doubt the future profitability. Will the government install them?
      Then there is the increased CO2 emissions from banning gas supply to houses. Use of gas for heat in the home is nearly 100% efficient. Using it to generate electricity is, at best, 62-65% efficient under the best conditions, so more electricity more CO2.
      And switching to hydrogen would be worse, its generation from natural gas has 85% CO2 to be captured (using more electricity) and electrolysis would require lots more electricity.
      It is a tangled web…

    • Lorde Late permalink
      January 9, 2021 5:39 pm

      I have a engineer friend who has been involved with heat pumps from the start. he doesn’t have one in his house.

  17. Steve permalink
    January 8, 2021 3:27 pm

    https://www.mygridgb.co.uk/last-12-months/
    As can be seen on the 12 months electricity chart, the total demand dropped for the three months of the spring lockdown and recovered until flattening during the November casedemic and up again over Christmas. The decision to impose another lockdown until March in the legislation may have more to do than hospital overloading. During the spring epidemic the wards were cleared of the non virus patients but now it’s more difficult to do so with so many non covid untreated patients coming in and then testing positive. A long term power cut in freezing weather would be a disaster.

  18. Tim the Coder permalink
    January 8, 2021 3:51 pm

    “… in London, where few jobs will be at risk”
    Do you really think so? How many of those jobs can be done when the electricity goes off, as it must, if the absurd Year Zero is to be achieved?
    Not that right now, and for most of this week, the last few hours of our coal power stations are provising more elcectricty than all those windmills.

    Mind you, loss of jobs will be the least of the city dwellers problems when the lorries stop delivering food. Switch to a vegetarian diet: eat vegetarians! 🙂

  19. Steve permalink
    January 8, 2021 3:59 pm

    With the Glasgow climate conference coming up, it could be an opportunity to celebrate the city’s well known Goreballs district renamed slightly in honour of the work of the Nobel Prize winning vice president and propagandist. Visits to the area’s pubs could be a highlight of the visit of the world’s leading lights.

  20. Sean Wise permalink
    January 8, 2021 5:33 pm

    If there is a division in this world that is being highlighted by climate campaigns and exacerbated by COVID is the part of the population that works in the non-tangible economy and the part that works with the tangible. It’s telling that most of the decision makers and rule makers for both are part of the that non-tangible element. They are the elite working in government, academia, software companies and consultancies. Their solutions have little impact on their lives or livelihoods in the non-tangible economy but tremendous negative impact on those in the tangible part. Worse, those same elites craft policies they can then afford to take advantage of to encourage low carbon practices by subsidizing their affluent lifestyle through energy taxes and restrictions in the tangible economy served by lower wage workers. And the reason the COVID exacerbates the division is that the non-tangible economy workers can work from home on a computer, do zoom meetings and still collect a paycheck. Unfortunately, those that literally have to make or deliver tangible goods either loose their jobs or are essential workers who are much more exposed to getting sick. I suspect this class struggle, which the elites will call racism, will soon come to the forefront of the debate on climate and the response to the Covid epidemic.

  21. Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
    January 8, 2021 5:49 pm

    I live in the “Late Great” USA.
    I needed a good chuckle this morning.
    … and the prices of some goods will rise.

    Say in ain’t so …. .
    And that’s only half of it. Regular folks will be trying to keep up with payments on insulation and heat pumps. Eating is over rated, anyway.

  22. January 8, 2021 7:36 pm

    BBC report, 2011…’Study says green sector costs more jobs than it creates’

    It said 3.7 jobs were lost for every one created in the UK as a whole and that political leaders needed to engage in “honest debate” about the issue.

    The Scottish government called the study “misleading” and said 60,000 jobs could be created by the sector by 2020.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-12597097
    – – –
    The latest green jobs figure for Scotland is a small fraction of that. Unions are not amused. The Herald ran a story: *Scotland’s green jobs revolution ‘on life support’* last November.

  23. Coeur de Lion permalink
    January 8, 2021 7:54 pm

    The Red Wall is not going to like paying four times more for electric heating and cooking. Nor forking out thirty grand to buy a Nissan Leaf and watching it depreciate at £5000 pa. and being unable to buy, sell, mortgage their home because of some arbitrary, ill-determined insulation standard. Vote Labour

  24. Malcolm Chapman permalink
    January 8, 2021 8:31 pm

    It is easy to mock. Perhaps we should think about the many job prospects that open up for Red Wall workers, once they are repurposed away from polluting carbon-belching sectors. The new anti-discrimination centres will need janitors and cleaners. Some erstwhile non-environmentally friendly workers may be able to espouse new skills and learning sets, bringing counselling to families brought from the south-east of the country to manage the new not-for-profit sustainability retail complexes; such families will be unfamiliar with local names for meals, tatoo patterns, and weather events. Re-ambitioning of some up-coming seniors will allow a diminution per capita of carbon consumption. Some experts think that this will allow a more nuanced cushioning of approach towards Zero Carbon, without undue negative attitudinal outcomes at a mass media level.

    How am I doing? I will work towards achieving greater syllablarity with lowered carbon per word (CPW) configurations, in future communications.

    I’ve just got one word to say to you, youngster – Physics!

  25. Gary Kerkin permalink
    January 8, 2021 8:41 pm

    The report was published to mark today’s launch of a cross-party programme of of research overseen by Onward, to identify the challenges of delivering net-zero by 2050

    This is not a report written to just scare people, this is a report intended to raise the ante.

    How long will it be before Onward is seeking more funds for the project?

    Follow the money!

  26. donald penman permalink
    January 9, 2021 4:44 am

    Why can’t we have a political party that opposes this green madness? If not the reform party then who?

    • Rowland P permalink
      January 9, 2021 11:18 am

      I recommend the Heritage Party which has an extremely robust manifesto.

  27. Rowland P permalink
    January 9, 2021 11:17 am

    The government has put out a “Call for Evidence” at https://committees.parliament.uk/call-for-evidence/339/risk-assessment-and-risk-planning/?utm_source=House+of+Commons&utm_campaign=84216c9639-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_09_29_08_48_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_569847b89d-84216c9639-97054627&mc_cid=84216c9639&mc_eid=0eb1e2baa6.

    I have claimed that the biggest risk is the implementation of the Climate Change Act with appropriate supporting evidence. I recommend that everybody do the same.

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