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Environment Agency Blames Storm Christoph On Climate Change!

January 24, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

 

It did not take long for the Environment Agency to blame Storm Christoph on climate change!

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 image

The flooding caused by Storm Christoph is a harbinger of worsening “climate shocks” in the UK, the chair of the Environment Agency has warned.

England and Wales faced a deluge this week as the storm brought high winds, heavy rainfall and snow. The flooding has so far affected around 400 homes in England and forced thousands more to evacuate.

Emma Howard Boyd, chair of the Environment Agency, visited an affected area in Didsbury, Greater Manchester on Thursday alongside the prime minister. She told The Independent: “We know from our research that from every home that is flooded, 16 other people are affected by flooding to infrastructure. You see it in the roads, the rail, the disruption to sewage works.”

Storm Christoph caused particularly heavy rainfall across northern England. Parts of North Yorkshire received more than their average January rainfall in just two days from Tuesday to Wednesday, according to provisional data from the Met Office. 

Meanwhile, Honister in Cumbria received 123.8mm of rainfall on Tuesday alone – the highest amount seen in a single day this winter.

The storm arrived after a particularly wet autumn, meaning soils were already saturated and unable to absorb much additional water. 

The sight of swollen rivers and rushing water seen across much of northern England this week are a visual sign of “the changing dynamic we’re now seeing in our climate”, said Ms Howard Boyd.

The climate crisis is happening right now,” she said. “What we’ve seen in the past 24 hours should remind us that we continually need to enhance the way we prepare for the climate shocks that we’re going to see.”

https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/storm-christoph-floods-uk-weather-b1791414.html

 

In reality, Storm Christoph was no more than a typical winter storm, which we see several times every year.

The 400 homes “affected”, which they refer to, is also a tiny number in comparison with historical floods. There is actually no evidence of any serious river flooding last week, merely a handful of localised events on low lying ground.

image

https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/gallery/gallery-storm-christoph-causes-flooding-19677907

As for the rainfall data, the best they can seemingly come up with is 123.8mm at the notoriously unrepresentative mountain site at Honister Pass (now obviously the go-to place for the Met Office to bandy “record rain” claims.) And the significance of 123.8mm? The highest daily rain this winter!!! Utterly pathetic.

 

The Met Office have more detail on the storm, but I am afraid this does not help Emma Boyd’s claims one iota:

 image

 https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2021/end-of-storm-christoph

 

The wettest January day in a few locations in Lancashire since 1954? Seriously? What on earth significance does this have, given that there are 12 months every year? Daily rainfall of 40mm is common in places like Preston, and there is no trend towards heavier downpours there:

image

https://www.ecad.eu/utils/showindices.php?av5nbr500k2i3rq38d48hnsit3

 

As for Cleveland, average January rainfall is 41mm, and there is nothing remotely unusual to see this amount of rain in two days up in that part of the country. It is grossly dishonest for the Met Office to imply that there is.

image

 https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-averages/gcxn3ykru

 image

 https://www.ecad.eu/utils/showindices.php?av5nbr500k2i3rq38d48hnsit3

 

Finally, let’s deal with the implication that winters and autumns are getting wetter, or that we have just has a particularly wet autumn. As ever such claims have no basis in fact.

 

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series

 

It is really quite shameful that both the Met Office and the Environment Agency keep peddling lies like this.

52 Comments
  1. Ian Magness permalink
    January 24, 2021 11:21 am

    Brilliant evisceration as ever Paul.
    As I write, there’s 2 1/2” of global warming outside my Surrey house and more falling. It must also be unprecedented – must tell the Met Office.

    • January 24, 2021 1:05 pm

      Snowing in Surrey? Must be a mistake. 😉

      • Beagle permalink
        January 24, 2021 1:57 pm

        Yes an anomaly, I think we can just ignore it.

    • January 24, 2021 2:43 pm

      Snow in London – it must be photoshopped.

      • Penda100 permalink
        January 24, 2021 3:18 pm

        Extreme weather event caused by AGW. clear evidence of a Climate Emergency!

      • Patrick Healy permalink
        January 24, 2021 8:18 pm

        Southern softies. I played golf in Carnoustie three times this past week. My grand children will never know what snow is.

    • January 24, 2021 4:19 pm

      You obviously don’t speak “policlimate”

      “The climate crisis is happening right now,” she said. “What we’ve seen in the past 24 hours should remind us that we continually need to enhance the way we prepare for the climate shocks that we’re going to see.”

      Interpretation; “Give us much more money. Give it immediately . We don’t spend money on maintenance and defences will fail. We shall blame a worsening climate and the public-sorry I meant voters-will blame the Govt

  2. JimW permalink
    January 24, 2021 11:21 am

    Its just the same as the ramping up of fear about covid. They are using fear to influence acceptability of change on the population. Its premeditated lies designed for purpose.
    And its working on a cowed populace.
    I have absolutely no idea how a relatively small group of unrelated individuals can do to change this.

    • Broadlands permalink
      January 24, 2021 1:12 pm

      Yes, Jim. They are yelling FIRE! on an increasing crowded planet. I thought that was illegal?

    • January 24, 2021 10:02 pm

      AGW is much less convincing than Covid as a fear-stimulus!

      The former is clearly a contrived load of cr@p, lacking in any empirical evidrnce, whilst there are actually people sick and dying of the latter.

    • M E permalink
      January 25, 2021 8:30 pm

      It is strange that people think that the Covid 19 virus is being falsely used by governments to regulate society. This is just as much a conspiracy theory as Green House Gases are heating the world which this site is very properly combatting. The virus is being allowed to spread by such conspiracy theories and the hospitals are filling with others who thought it was all imaginary . See MedCram free medical information for those who care to investigate it will not be of interest to the virus deniers ,of course 🙂

  3. January 24, 2021 11:31 am

    The Environment Agency is serially incompetent (and has been for years). It always blames its failings on “climate change”.

    • January 24, 2021 12:06 pm

      Ahaaaaaaa! Got it in one! CC is (they think) the perfek get out of jail card to play to throw out any time they feel they are about to be exposed for their incompetence in office….. Remember Andrew Haines, Network Rail’s chief executive spouting off about Climate Change within hours of the tragic train derailment near Stonehaven last year without any possible qualified basis for his comments. Climate Change they think is the perfect rock under which to hide and be protected by from any questions about them not doing their job(s) properly. Bottom covering par excellence.

      • Patrick Healy permalink
        January 24, 2021 8:29 pm

        Btw. That railway line from Dundee to Aberdeen has been blocked again this week due to a landslide. I suppose that will be blamed on global warming any time soon.
        We have had over 80 trains a day (40 up 40 down) on here.
        Last week we saw three – that’s 3 – people on a train!!!! A new Scottish all comers record.
        The tax payer is running empty trains hundreds of times a day at God knows what cost. This has been going on now for nearly a year. What a shame that the occupation of investigative journalism is no more.

  4. January 24, 2021 11:35 am

    Does anybody remember this insider view of the Environment Agency?
    http://insidetheenvironmentagency.co.uk/

    • Devoncamel permalink
      January 24, 2021 3:16 pm

      Read it just now PB. Even if it is a bit anecdotal it reveals a culture that would not be tolerated in the private sector.

    • January 25, 2021 7:02 am

      I remember it well, thought site had been taken down as part of a legal settlement in case bought by EA against Henry.

      There’s always the way back when machine

  5. Alan permalink
    January 24, 2021 11:39 am

    I used to live in Yarn on the river Tees, before the barrier was put in, floods were common. There is an old Town hall in Yarm high Street which used to marked with the height of floods , sadly it was being used as a public convenience all those years ago, I hope they have restored it’s dignity. Someone should go measure the height if the marks are still there.

  6. Hall permalink
    January 24, 2021 11:39 am

    How did a rabid greenie with law and education degrees get to chair the EA?

    • 4 Eyes permalink
      January 25, 2021 6:55 am

      The last thing they want is someone who might understand a few things cos all their groupthink might occasionally get challenged and exposed. Same with Biden’s new administration.

    • George Lawson permalink
      January 26, 2021 11:30 am

      Money

  7. January 24, 2021 11:43 am

    https://www.civilsociety.co.uk/people.emma-howard-boyd.html

    “Emma has spent her 25-year career working in financial services, initially in corporate finance, and then in fund management, specialising in sustainable investment and corporate governance. – See more at: https://www.civilsociety.co.uk/people.emma-howard-boyd.html#sthash.55XG5H8O.dpuf“.

    Another clear example of an “expert” in all things environment and climate………..

    I have a question.

    There seems to be a pattern of people heading government and none government agencies spouting endlesly about climate change.

    Is it just me or does anyone notice that the common factor which seems to run through most if not all of government and non govenment agencies is that they are headed by individuals with no direcly applicable qualification qualifications for the job except for the fact that they are professional meeting attenders?

    Are they are chosen for those jobs because they are already infected with the religion or that being unqualified they are weak and succeptible to external influence?

    NONE of them are qualified in anyway to make such pronouncements yet not only does that not make them focus on their day job but seems to make them more enthusiastic cheerleaders for the climate mob. Is it because they see the climate religion as the perfect fall back excuse to be put in place ahead of time should they mess up in their jobs?

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      January 24, 2021 12:15 pm

      It is a top item in selection criteria. The ability to spout the climate catechism and use it in deciding internal promotions dominates in quangoland, the civil service and political parties has been a sine qua non for a long time.

    • Gerry, England permalink
      January 24, 2021 3:19 pm

      The other issue is that even if the top level person does have knowledge in the relevant area, that knowledge seems to be sucked out of their brains before they take office.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      January 24, 2021 4:39 pm

      You have absolutely zero chance of getting any government, NGO or quango job unless you have already signed up to the catechism t of Climate Change, White Privilege and Patriarchy dominance. Competence, knowledge, experience, ideas simply do not matter.

    • Vernon E permalink
      January 25, 2021 2:32 pm

      pardonme…. Study Agenda 21 ans all will become clear.

  8. dennisambler permalink
    January 24, 2021 11:43 am

    The Met Office and the Environment Agency are required to provide pseudo science authority to the “climate change” meme to prepare for COP26 and keep the public believing that there is a climate crisis. Boris has now spoken to Joe Biden and they have agreed that climate change is the biggest problem facing the planet. Therefore there will be much more of this stuff to come as we head towards Glasgow in November.

  9. GeoffB permalink
    January 24, 2021 11:48 am

    How come the head of these government agencies actually have no understanding of statistics and ignore facts, It just baffles me how they get these senior high paid jobs when they are that thick!

  10. Athelstan permalink
    January 24, 2021 11:54 am

    tea lady makes predictions, and is awarded chairmanship of expensive useless quango into the bargain!

  11. John189 permalink
    January 24, 2021 12:06 pm

    I am astonsihed that the Met Office in the report above can already claim a rainfall record for 2021. What utter garbage! Who on earth writes this stuff?

    • Cheshire Red permalink
      January 24, 2021 12:18 pm

      Well we are over 3 weeks into 2021!

      More than enough time to declare ‘we’re all about to drown due to record rainfall caused by climate change’.

  12. Penda100 permalink
    January 24, 2021 12:07 pm

    So much easier to blame “Climate Change” than carry our proper water course and river management. And no one can hold you to account for any failings!

  13. Gamecock permalink
    January 24, 2021 12:14 pm

    pardonme, GeoffB, the installation of nincompoops as heads of big government agencies – currently headlined in the U.S. with Levine and Buttjudge – indicate that the AGENCIES THEMSELVES are a joke, and can be eliminated.

    ‘Biden picks Dr. Rachel Levine, a transgender woman, as assistant health secretary in historic first’

    Medical creds don’t matter. Mental illness more important than skills/knowledge.

    “Screw the people! We’ve got quotas to meet!”

    ‘Emma Howard Boyd, chair of the Environment Agency’

    . . . shouts that the Environment Agency can be eliminated.

  14. Tym fern permalink
    January 24, 2021 12:24 pm

    It is snowing here in Wales, climate changed again

  15. Harry Passfield permalink
    January 24, 2021 12:25 pm

    The ‘Meteorological Office’ should change its name to ‘The Climatological Office’. Or, to be more accurate: ‘The Climat-illogical Office’

  16. January 24, 2021 12:57 pm

    “The sight of swollen rivers and rushing water seen across much of northern England this week are a visual sign of the changing dynamic we’re now seeing in our climate. The climate crisis is happening right now. What we’ve seen in the past 24 hours should remind us that we continually need to enhance the way we prepare for the climate shocks that we’re going to see”

    And should remind us also that we are humans, a creature prone to supersition and confirmation bias.

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/08/03/confirmationbias/

  17. January 24, 2021 1:10 pm

    Makes a change from “The Wrong Type of Rain”

  18. Beagle permalink
    January 24, 2021 2:10 pm

    They do like to use the words “Burst it’s Banks”, it sounds much more dramatic than “overflowed” or “over topped”. My son has a place that had a river view. The Environment Agency had just completed updating of the river banks before the 2013 East Coast flooding, where the river broke through the wall in several places and the EA said they weren’t going to repair it. It was then up to the local property owners to build there own defenses. My son now has a riverside property designed so it will over top in extreme high wind/high tide conditions but has non-return valves fitted in the banking which has drained within 2 tides on the couple of occasions it over topped.

    • Curious George permalink
      January 24, 2021 11:50 pm

      Unbelievable how much money your family spent on a climate change denialism 🙂

  19. Mad Mike permalink
    January 24, 2021 2:59 pm

    I and the local river management group, consisting mainly of parish councillors, were told last year by the EA that they had no priority in protecting people’s gardens and farmers’ field. They were concerned about actual property but their main aim was to protect the biodiversity of the rivers. As far as we could see, this means they won’t dredge nor clear vegetation from the rivers and riverbanks. In consultations, they like meetings, CC is mentioned by them time and time again and we should expect more flooding in the future. Naturally the data I am able to supply from Paul and others cuts no ice.

  20. tom0mason permalink
    January 24, 2021 4:29 pm

    So old items like this do not apply any more? …

    From Bucha: Annales Geophysicae, 1988, 6(5), 513-524.

    Solar affects — a more wobbly jet-stream when the sun is around its solar minimum bringing bouts of colder polar weather southwards. We are currently slowly moving out of a solar minimum with the sun still at very low levels of activity — see https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression . This low level of activity will slowly change but probably will not be effective until after the middle of 2022.

    Neither the Met Office nor the Environment Agency can tell the difference between persistent climate effects and transitory weather.

  21. cookers52 permalink
    January 24, 2021 4:46 pm

    The EA won’t dredge main rivers to protect the wildlife.

    However, the farmers round our way constantly dredge and dig out the smaller watercourses and the EA support this. Lesson! Don’t be a crustacean in a ditch

    • Chaswarnertoo permalink
      January 25, 2021 7:54 am

      They didn’t dredge the rivers on the Somerset levels, like they have for 900 years, the wildlife drowned.

  22. Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
    January 24, 2021 5:45 pm

    Please note that the last hope of Earth, the scheduled COP26 for the Scottish Events Campus in November 2020, was postponed until early November this year. . .
    Unless, of course, folks don’t stop dying. Then it can be postponed until Nov. 2022, or Nov. 2023, or . . .

    It is always good to have an extinction that can be rescheduled.

  23. Patrick Healy permalink
    January 24, 2021 8:40 pm

    Btw,
    Does any one know who this bloke (saint?) Cristoph is?
    As an old fashioned Catholic I thought I had heard of most Saints, but not this one.

  24. tomo permalink
    January 24, 2021 10:13 pm

    I see the brains at The Guardian have a piece on the EA and flooding

    England’s Flood Defences are Almost Useless”

    – that’d be apart from the ones in the Somerset Levels that they were forced to maintain mebbe?

  25. 2hmp permalink
    January 25, 2021 9:09 am

    What chance is there of politicians correcting this situation when a local MP told me that CO2 was about 60% of the atmosphere.!

    • January 25, 2021 12:09 pm

      If that were the case, the only people alive in 5 minutes would be submariners. Now that would be an extinction event.

      I hope you explained the facts of life to your MP…

  26. europeanonion permalink
    January 25, 2021 10:13 am

    You have to feel sorry for them. It is quite obvious that the question is not about the weather but about the need to present a persistent message as cover for another truth. Whatever is driving this, there is some element in the political, advisory constituents of the state that crosses the political divide and is at the nub of weather related policy matters.

    The civil service, charged with finding stories and maintaining perceptions, are in a parlous position. The only thing that causes one to reflect is that there are so many independent minds in governmental agencies that have input to weather related scenarios and yet, seemingly, none that deem it fit to break ranks and divulge anything whatever relating to whatever coercion may be in play. From that we can only deduce that an awful lot of potentially clever people are quite willing to continue the farrago so that, what, they keep their jobs, that simple?

    If I am not over-estimating their intelligence, which of them, in a professional capacity and in contradiction of their qualification, can support a thesis whereby one week the opinion is voiced that we may never see snow again and the then, almost immediately, be subjected to this evident contradiction, wintry conditions pertaining that we would, according to the record, expect as an historic certainty?

    This is not a Conservative owned conundrum but something national and all pervasive in the state’s agencies. What factors are coercing the sentiment? Why do our leaders, being led by science (where have I heard that before?) stick to the narrative as gospel? The penchant for forecasting and the reliance on modelling may be a good earner but when it defies the evidence of one’s own eyes one would have thought observers would form an at least a scintilla of doubt. Things can only get worse as people inveigled into what looks like a scheme search ever more brazenly for abstruse data to feed to their models

  27. January 25, 2021 11:40 am

    How was this causation determined? Did they do an Event Attribution study?

    https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/07/10/event-attribution-science-a-case-study/

  28. tomo permalink
    January 25, 2021 11:52 am

    http://insidetheenvironmentagency.co.uk/

    A shadow of its former self, after a concerted campaign to persecute the whistleblowers. (Site now on its 3rd iteration)

    Egregious waste
    Vestigial or non-existent documentation of major projects (TE2100 tech doc missing for years)
    Failed modelling
    Evasion of FoI
    Licensing Fraud
    Flat out misrepresentation of flood risk assessment data

    The list is seemingly endless

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