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January Weather Present & Past

February 6, 2021

By Paul Homewood



According to the Met Office, last year was a “Remarkable Year” as far as weather was concerned, and the year before a “ Year of Extremes”! I wonder what absurd epithet they’ll use for this year?


As you may recall, a couple of months ago I compared the weather of 1940, 1950 and 1960 with 2020. This year I will do the same with 1941, 1951, 1961 and 1971, but on a monthly basis. I have no idea what the outcome will be, but I very much doubt if this year’s weather will be any more extraordinary.



Last month was rather unremarkable. It was slightly colder and wetter than average, but not unusually so. (You might notice that the Met Office are still incorrectly using 1981-2010 as the baseline). It was 1.7C colder than the 30-year average and 15mm wetter.

Snowfall was commonplace, but not unusually severe. What you might call a normal January’s weather.





January 1941 really was an extreme month by any account. It was not quite as brutally cold as the previous January, but otherwise was the coldest January since 1895.

Even now it is still the sixth coldest on record in the UK, and heavy snow was widespread:






January 1951 was not as cold as in 1941, but there was considerable snow at times:





January was another cold and wet month ten years later, with a particularly stormy period at the end of the month.





January 1971 however was at the other end of the scale, and saw a number of extreme weather events. It was a particularly mild month, unusually free of snow.

On the 10th, an unusually warm spell brought record temperatures to many areas. Aber in Wales experienced a temperature of 18.3C, which still stands a the highest January temperature anywhere in the UK. More heavy rain brought floods to the south later in the month.

A few days earlier, heavy rainfall affected the north and west of the country. To cap it all, whirlwinds caused widespread damage across southern England.









What is striking about these weather reports is just how variable UK weather is from year to year, and indeed week to week. Wet, dry, cold , mild, snowy or stormy – we can, and should, expect to see them all at any time.

  1. Nancy & John Hultquist permalink
    February 6, 2021 7:11 pm

    Hope you don’t object to skipping into February weather!

    Most readers here won’t notice (nor care), but a mass of very cold air is drifting south from its winter home {source region} in northwest Canada. Along the CA/US border temperatures are minus double digits and headed lower. This is also pushing westward into Idaho and Washington. Across the continent, staying warm and safe will become the issue of concern.
    Late this coming week this episode will be in the MSM because – climate change.

    {I’ll post this on Paul’s and Jo Nova’s sites.}

  2. Duker permalink
    February 6, 2021 10:15 pm

    Another severe snowstorm ..again this week… for US NE and New York.
    The ‘big media’ story referenced a local forecaster, so I check his website to see what they say.
    “Meteorology Not Modelology™’ was the first words you see on the home page

    They know that the weather models cant create accurate detailed forecasts for the next day, even as the computer power gets greater -this may be the reason for it- thus the modelology.
    We all know how much the climate models vary from each other and really cant be called predictions but its a bit of a revelation that computer weather models for the next day are heading that way.

  3. Robert Christopher permalink
    February 6, 2021 11:14 pm

    It looks like Germany is in for some cold weather as well:
    Winter Storm Threatens Germany’s Power…Freezing Hell Threatens If Already Rickety Grid Collapses!

    Green energy and COVID-19 lockdowns are playing energy Russian roulette with people’s lives. Perfect winter storm brewing.

  4. Stonyground permalink
    February 7, 2021 9:21 am

    In my little village half way between Hull and Hornsea we had our first snowfall of the year today. What I describe as a dusting rather than a significant amount. It is quite windy so if a lot of snow falls it could get interesting.

  5. Phoenix44 permalink
    February 7, 2021 9:52 am

    Its interesting to look at 1920-39 in terms of temperatures. Quite a run of mild Januarys, most above the 1981-2010 average. Theres then 50-60 years of much more variable weather before it becomes less variable and milder again. Prior to 1920 it also looks very variable. Suggests periods of stability which are mild followed by periods of instability with very large variation.

    Eyeballing the rainfall and temperature graphs I suspect theres no correlation.

  6. Brian Smith permalink
    February 7, 2021 11:00 am

    You had better start collecting any historical weather reports you can find/might need as I am pretty sure they will start to disappear.

    Your constant referring back to actual recorded data must be a never ending irritant to the econuts and as we saw with the University of East Anglia they think, because God is on their side, that it is perfectly right and proper to either hide or corrupt the data record to suit their narrative.

  7. Stonyground permalink
    February 7, 2021 6:27 pm

    Can I just say that this feature, and the previous one with the years ending in 0, is a really valuable resource. It gives an irrefutable demonstration that there is nothing unusual about the current weather. More importantly, it provides irrefutable evidence that the UK Met office and the BBC are telling deliberate lies.

  8. February 8, 2021 10:07 am

    I was 7 in January 1941 and living in Ashbourne, Derbyshire. I made a tunnel through the snow that I could crawl along and our neighbour’s father built a sort of igloo on the lawn. That was cold! Mike

  9. February 8, 2021 7:09 pm

    “Not A Lot Of People Know That” – the first place to visit for weather and climate FACTS and deconstruction (rebuttals) of AGW BS!

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