Skip to content

Global Warming To Threaten Wimbledon

July 6, 2021

By Paul Homewood

The Met Office have this ridiculous article on their website today, called “Increasing climate challenge to Wimbledon Championships”:

.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2021/wimbledon-environment-day

.

It makes the usual claims of how global warming will impact sports like tennis:

Professor Stephen Belcher, the Met Office’s chief scientist, commented: “All the available evidence points towards the fact that our climate is changing: we have already seen aspects such as extreme heat, and the worse is yet to come.

“The UK has not recorded temperatures of more than 38.7 °C. However, our climate projections show temperatures of 40.0 °C or more are possible at Wimbledon even during future tournaments, posing considerable challenges for the health of players and spectators. Climate change will affect every facet of our lives, including the sports we love to watch. Wimbledon Environment Day is a reminder that society has very little time left to keep the temperature of our atmosphere within sustainable limits.”

A rather fatuous statement, given that tennis is already played in much hotter conditions than Wimbledon around the world, without health problems. Indeed most players I suspect would rather be somewhere else on a cold, damp day on Court 14!

But as the Met Office’s own data shows, UK summers are not actually getting hotter:

Occasionally weather conditions bring hot summers, as in 1976 and 2018, but the former still remains the hottest. In other years, we may see cold, wet summers.

But there is a reason why no summer since has topped 1976, the sun.

It is the sun that regulates temperatures in summer, not CO2. For instance, summers are hotter in Paris than London, because the sun is higher in the sky. A long, dry summer, dominated by high pressure, will always bring hot weather.

Occasionally the jet stream will also pull up very hot air from the Sahara, as in 2019, but this a short term meteorological occurrence, typically for a day or two, not evidence of climate change.

Unless the Earth shifts on its orbit, UK summers will be unlikely to top 1976 temperatures in our lifetimes.

It is shameful that the Met Office should give its name to this pernicious, politically motivated propaganda

53 Comments
  1. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    July 7, 2021 1:21 am

    Belcher dutifully predicts the end is neigh and the things people love are doomed.
    He is able to spew his nonsense because of his job title, just two words. Not because he can point to hard and fast science.
    Steven has sold his soul.
    Without evidence of more than a couple of warm summers with numerical facts to back up his claim Steven is nothing more than a warm up act. A little cog in the state’s propaganda machine. A sinister figure paid to embed fear, anxiety and misinformation, in anyone misguided enough to read his shameful tripe.
    As has been humerously written here before, all that concerned people need remember is the motto, ‘Is that true ? Or did you hear it on the BBC ?’

    • Vic Hanby permalink
      July 7, 2021 7:04 pm

      I’ve worked with Steven, I think someone put him up to this.

      • Mack permalink
        July 7, 2021 11:30 pm

        In stating that modern society has very limited time left in which to keep the temperature of our atmosphere to sustainable limits demonstrates this clown’s complete ignorance of geological and climatological history. And, not only has he seemed to have purloined a professorship based on weapons grade historical ignorance but he’s managed to achieve ‘head honcho’ status at the Met Office to boot. Just shows you that you no longer have to be an actual scientist to be the Met’s Chief Scientist. In his training did anyone not point out to him that the temperatures and co2 levels of the planet, when life forms first exploded and flourished, were much higher than today? In comparison, our world is now pretty chilly and co2 starved. Belcher quite clearly hasn’t read ‘all the available evidence’ to come to his conclusions.

  2. July 7, 2021 1:42 am

    Consistency rules the Met Office: you cannot believe their weather forecasts or their climate projections, reliability a they always let you down, super computers or not.

  3. Graeme No.3 permalink
    July 7, 2021 1:43 am

    from The OBSERVER July 18, 1852 (discussing Weather in France) In 1538, 1539, 1540, 1541 the rivers were almost dried up.
    In 1556 there was a great drought all over Europe
    In 1615 & 1616 the heat was overwhelming in France, Italy and The Netherlands.
    In 1646 there were 58 consecutive days of excessive heat
    In 1678 excessive heat. The same was the case in the first 3 years of the eighteenth Century In 1718 it did not rain once between April and October. The Theaters were closed by decree of the Lieutenant of Police. The temperature was recorded at 45℃ (converted from Réaumur ) In 1748, 1754, 1760, 1767, 1777 and 1778 the heat was excessive
    In 1818 Theatres in Paris were closed for nearly a month when the temperature reached 35℃
    In 1830, while the fighting was going on in 27th, 28th and 29th of July the thermometer recorded 36℃
    In 1835 the Seine almost dried up.
    In 1850, in the month of June, on the second appearance of the cholera, the thermometer marked 34℃

    Obviously it is too hot in France to play tennis. And Australia will have to move their Open Tournament from January in summer to cooler times – I wonder how many players would like 8-12 ℃?

    • tom0mason permalink
      July 7, 2021 8:36 am

      Also noted is the great drought that affected the UK and parts of Europe 1665-1666 leading up to the Great Fire of London.
      From the free resources at gutenber.org at —
      http://www.self.gutenberg.org/articles/eng/List_of_natural_disasters_in_the_United_Kingdom

      Every month from November 1665 to September 1666 was dry. The climatological summer (June, July & August) of 1666 was amongst the top 10 or so of warm summers in the CET series (began 1659). Central English Temperatures also suggests that July 1666 had a mean value of 18degC, and August was 17degC. The heat and long drought added to a heightened risk of fire in populated areas. Lack of rain and hot temperatures helped spark towards the Great Fire of London.[8] As a result this year saw an end to the Great Plague of London due to extreme heat and fire.

      • Graeme No.3 permalink
        July 7, 2021 8:48 am

        So they want a cooler climate and a return of the plague?

      • tom0mason permalink
        July 7, 2021 10:29 am

        Graeme No.3,
        In all probability, after-all most of the UN and Western leaders are believers in the Fabian way and the philosophy of Malthus.
        Boris-the-Bozo Johnson and his dad are very much of that belief with Boris’s dad recently voicing the opinion that the total population of England should be about 15 million maximum.
        After all in their mindset ‘the ends justify the means’.

  4. Broadlands permalink
    July 7, 2021 1:46 am

    “All the available evidence points towards the fact that our climate is changing: we have already seen aspects such as extreme heat, and the worse is yet to come.”

    Yes, it is a fact the Earth has warmed, but less than one degree C since 1900 when CO2 was pre-industrial at ~280 ppm. Extreme heat (and cold) has always been with us, but there is no evidence (outside of climate model forecasts…projections) that extreme heat will get worse. It’s political and all about climate models and their dire predictions.These models were wrong when global cooling and a new Ice Age was imminent. They are wrong now, as the last 20 years have shown…all part of the “available evidence”.

    “…society has very little time left to keep the temperature of our atmosphere within sustainable limits.”

    So Professor Stephen Belcher, please respond with corrections… and itemize quantitatively what actions humans can take to keep the temperature from rising beyond sustainable limits. You must have a plan with a target amount of CO2 that must be removed to lower the temperature of the planet. Net-zero negative emissions. What is it? How long will it take and what might it cost? Time top stop whining?

    • July 7, 2021 10:41 am

      Far too much, and from where will the heat come from?

  5. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    July 7, 2021 1:49 am

    Apologies, its a Met. Office web site and not the Beeb.
    But rather amusingly the motto transfers without a problem.
    The shear number of actors that are being wheeled out to repeat this bilge is staggering. Certainty in numbers !
    Here’s another one, ‘Is that true or did you get it from a computer model ?’

  6. Gamecock permalink
    July 7, 2021 1:50 am

    “All the available evidence points towards the fact that our climate is changing: we have already seen aspects such as extreme heat, and the worse is yet to come.”

    Able to predict the future. That is a special skill.

    ‘However, our climate projections show temperatures of 40.0 °C or more are possible at Wimbledon even during future tournament’

    Oh, not predictions. ‘Climate projections,’ whatever that means.

    ‘In this year of significant climate action across the United Kingdom ahead of COP26’

    Significant attacks on your economy.

    ‘Every aspect of our lives has an impact on the climate, from the food we eat to the sports that we love to watch and play, and tennis is no exception.’

    No, not really. Dude is hyperventilating.

    ‘Aidan said: “In the case of this forecast, the data showed a heatwave that occurred at the beginning of July in 2059. Now we’re not saying that in July 2059 there will definitely be a heatwave. But, we can say that in the 2050s, the UK will continue to experience heatwaves and these are the kinds of temperatures we can expect during those heatwaves.”’

    Climatists do this all the time. They make an assertion, then couch it as not a declaration, then assert you should accept the assertion.

    Parsing rest of article, it is all rubbish. Nothing is true.

    • John Hultquist permalink
      July 7, 2021 5:37 am

      @ Gamecock: ‘Climate projections,’ whatever that means.

      I’ll guess they have run hundreds of Monte Carlo simulations with varying random changes to inputs. The results are often call scenarios, and because of the random nature there will be outliers.
      A financial analyst can do the same sort of thing with your age, income, and retirement funds. One hopes that many of the scenarios suggest your money will outlive you, rather than the other way around. There will be outliers on both ends – from “Black Swan” randomness. Ouch.
      If many of the outcomes show you will be short of money, then you may wish to make adjustments in your inputs (e. g., fewer overseas vacations).

      Climate folks seem to publicize the overly hot scenario with low probability and ignore all the hundreds of others.

      As a country radio station says: Soon we’ll play a song that doesn’t mention pickup trucks, beer, or girls – – – “It could happen.”

  7. spike55 permalink
    July 7, 2021 4:12 am

    The warming in the last little while in the UK is to do with some UHI effects, but mostly an increase in sunshine hours

    • Tony G permalink
      July 7, 2021 7:02 am

      I’m a bit confused. Paul says that summers aren’t getting warmer, but I can clearly see a slight rise in the trend, which is attributed to UHI and increased sunshine???

      • July 7, 2021 10:13 am

        The average has risen, but the extremes have not, ie 1976 is still the hottest

      • Phoenix44 permalink
        July 8, 2021 8:42 am

        Because the terminology is confused and unscientific. No individual summer has been hotter than previously. There’s no obvious increase in the number of “hot” summers. But we haven’t had a “cool” summer (below 19 degrees) for thirty years, so the average (mislabelled trend on the graph) is rising. It’s fair to claim average summer temperatures are rising but not to claim any individual summer will be hotter based on that data.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      July 8, 2021 8:48 am

      Which explains why we have had no cool summers for thirty years but no increase in extreme summer temperatures as they were already high sunshine years.

      So why more sunshine? The models can handle clouds so I don’t rust their output on this.

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        July 8, 2021 11:05 am

        Didn’t you mean: ‘Models CAN’T handle clouds’?

  8. July 7, 2021 6:10 am

    I just give the following quote from the All England Lawn Tennis Association – I saw the woman give her ridiculous spiel on the BBC:

    “It’s a big day for us, our first Environment Day and we hope that we can shine a spotlight on the climate challenge,” said Hattie Parks, AELTC Sustainability Manager. “We’re teaming up with the Met Office, the BBC and with the COP26 team [the United Nations Climate Change Summit set to be hosted by the UK in Glasgow later this year] to talk about what people can do to protect the environment.”

    “Sport, tennis, we’re not immune to climate change. Heat will be an issue in the future. Tennis players more and more are aware and we hope that today we can encourage people to think about how to use their voice, to raise awareness and champion the cause and get everyone involved.”

    No bias here when Wimbledon teams up with the Met Office and the BBC to spread the propaganda.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      July 8, 2021 8:44 am

      And no mention that early in the Championshios this year players were wearing long sleeved tops and warm-up trousers to play as it was so cold!

  9. tom0mason permalink
    July 7, 2021 6:29 am

    An entertaining video has been released by GavsweatherVids, called ‘1846: Hottest June EVER and a very cold December! ‘
    The video can be seen here …

    Note Gavin holds no public views on how the climate changes, and will not answer questions on ‘climate’ — he deals with weather and is quite good at it. He’s on a break at the moment so not so much output from him currently.

    1846 with lower CO2 levels, the UK had a hotter summers than nowadays, while the winter’s were just as bitterly cold and not far off normal for that era.

    Weather, if it ain’t too hot it’s too cold, occasionally it’s just right but it’s changes are quite chaotic in nature.

    • tom0mason permalink
      July 7, 2021 6:42 am

      Moving on to more recent times, Gavin covers what he calls ‘The Great Drought – The Summer Of 1976’ at

  10. Stonyground permalink
    July 7, 2021 8:48 am

    “All the available evidence points towards the fact that our climate is changing.”

    That is just an outright lie isn’t it?

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      July 7, 2021 10:15 am

      I think I’d be more concerned if they said the climate was not changing.
      Then again, when ‘they’ say ‘evidence’ I bet they really mean, ‘model outcomes’.

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      July 7, 2021 10:39 am

      It’s a fatuous/intentionally misleading statement – the climate has and always will change.

  11. trevorshurmer permalink
    July 7, 2021 9:43 am

    As I questioned last year, after the 38.7 degree claim, why, in the same city, did another weather station (decent I think) see a max temperature some 1.6 degree less than the officially accepted one? I never did receive any response from Paul or anybody, to be honest, so I have no idea of the validity of it all. 36.1 I think it was. Maybe somebody with a bit more insight than me could take a look and give an answer. https://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/research/dtg/weather/period-graph.cgi?2019-07

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      July 7, 2021 11:08 am

      I don’t think there’s any dispute here that it was an exceptionally hot day but the precise record is dubious (especially from a scientifically rigorous climatological point of view). A photo of the site on the day of the record shows that the soil around is freshly cleared/worked. The site has also been heavily modified with massive buildings, hard landscaping, and has a lot of aircon/kitchen extraction.

      Other stations did report very close values. When looking at other stations you have to be sure that they are not hourly reports with higher intermediate values possible. But a variation of 1.6C is nothing, 2 places very close by could easily vary by that amount.

      The Met Office has ruled and that’s the end of it sadly.

      • Ray Sanders permalink
        July 7, 2021 2:08 pm

        There is another angle on the Met Office declaring records – they really do not care about them being genuine. I live in Kent (near Canterbury) and for a time lived in Faversham (I was married there). The record temperature prior to the Cambridge con was at Brogdale Farm in Faversham in 2003. This “record” was so dubious that Philip Eden of the Royal Meteorological Society actually had a report done on Met Office records and concluded it was not an accurate figure. Indeed in the investigation they actually seperately discovered the Stevenson Screen at Kew Gardens was set too low and giving unreliable data! The report suggested that actions by “persons unknown” could not be ruled out for the anomalous figure at Brogdale which was later in the day than other high points.
        So this is the real story…The National Fruit Farm collection had recently been moved to Brogdale. The area was being developed as a small retail and cafe area, local agricultural businesses and with various tourist attractions such as a miniature railway. The site was trying to get itself “on the map”
        Builders were laying the central courtyard area with dense decorative paving setts which had been delivered on pallets. They noticed in the hot days prior to laying them that they were noticeably warmer than the surrounding area for a lot longer having soaked up the heat earlier in the day. They also knew the weather station was only monitored every few days. So a bit of rascality took over and pallets of paving setts were wheeled on a pallet truck around the weather station when nobody was particularly looking and then removed much later in the day. The end result was an artificial overheating of the temperature recorder that was slightly later in the day.
        None of this was intended to be taken seriously but when a few days later they unit was checked it was declared the record. The culprits really could not feel they could own up to their trick and so incredibly it stuck. The report by RMetS is still online (but Ii can’t find a link at present – if anyone can I would appreciate it as I have lost my note of it) and in the photographs taken in early September many of the building materials are still visible.
        No I was not personally involved in the subterfuge (though I was working in an office on the site at the time) but the ruse was actually reasonably well known locally and joked about in the nearby pubs for quite a while.
        In hindsight perhaps the perpetrators should have owned up but hey ho!

  12. July 7, 2021 10:01 am

    “Increasing climate challenge to Wimbledon Championships”

    Move the tournament to September then. A lot easier than trying to change the weather by upending the national economy, restricting travel etc.

    • UKJohn permalink
      July 7, 2021 10:56 am

      It’s not that many years ago that they moved the tournament from June to July after a series of cold wet spells in June. The GW crowd said st the time we should expect more rain due to CC.

      • Phoenix44 permalink
        July 8, 2021 8:47 am

        Weren’t we told recently that cricket would be destroyed because of all the wet days in summer? Does climate change somehow know to ruin Wimbledon fortnight with extreme temperatures and Test matches with rain?

  13. MikeHig permalink
    July 7, 2021 10:10 am

    This is such utter tosh.
    As we all know, the human race evolved in warm/hot climes: we are far better adapted to heat than to cold.
    I’d love to see a simple plot of the world’s population spread against ambient temperature. That would show that a huge majority live in the warm/hot regions.
    If heat was a major problem for our species, the population distribution would be completely inverted with the majority living further north or south.

    • Broadlands permalink
      July 7, 2021 4:23 pm

      Mike… If you plot the global population against Mauna Loa CO2 the correlation is almost perfect. Newell & Marcus pointed that out in 1987: “Carbon Dioxide and People”. Their data were up to 1983. A continuation of that plot to the present provides a similar result. Obviously, it is not people per se, but the sum total of all of their activities. Any such correlation with global temperatures fails simply because the climate cycles as it has done since at least 1880. Warming gives way to cooling and then back again. CO2 kept rising the entire time. So did population. There is a message there. Newell & Marcus discussed the dilemma it poses.

  14. MrGrimNasty permalink
    July 7, 2021 10:54 am

    How the BBC reports 1/3 degree C of global cooling for June year on year and a 50% drop in the temperature anomaly in the entire satellite (UAH) record from the peak.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-57742482

    Yes NA was hottest in the satellite record, that’s weather, as was the fact Australia was massively cooler this June than last.

    Imagine a cherry tart making machine in a factory that drops 30 cherries evenly into the tart, but it hiccups and drops them all in one quarter. The BBC then deliberately slices out the abundant quarter and announces there’s four times as many cherries in the tart.

  15. MrGrimNasty permalink
    July 7, 2021 11:34 am

    Harrabin shows yet again that he is an emotional climate extremist.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57729502

    The IPCC says:-

    “The climate system is particularly challenging since it is known that components in the system are inherently chaotic; there are feedbacks that could potentially switch sign, and there are central processes that affect the system in a complicated, non-linear manner. These complex, chaotic, non-linear dynamics are an inherent aspect of the climate system. As the Second Assessment Report has previously noted, ‘future unexpected, large and rapid climate system changes (as have occurred in the past) are, by their nature, difficult to predict.'”

    Although this is in respect of climate, the same applies to weather, ‘black swan’ events are to be expected, part of the inherent random nature of weather. Deluded Harrabin thinks it’s all the fault of men, yet nature is by far the most likely suspect.

  16. Gamecock permalink
    July 7, 2021 11:53 am

    All England Lawn Tennis Association is committing suicide. AELTA product has been tennis. They have decided to make their product tennis and weather. Just like the NFL, it is rooted in decadence. They think they can dilute their product, and no one will mind. Some of them surely think it will even grow their audience. NFL seems to think tossing a bone to women will get them to watch football. They think endorsing Marxist racists is the right thing to do. Viewership is collapsing, as their core audience leaves.

    Wokeness is the path to brokeness.

  17. Jack Broughton permalink
    July 7, 2021 12:07 pm

    Lies, half-truths and dubious claims in the meja would be tolerable IF opposing views or denials were also published. There is a massive meja machine churning out downright lies but refusing any criticism of these.

    An e-mag called Renewable Energy World even today published an article from that well known source of balanced news, the Grauniad, called “The Climate Crisis is a Crime”, It was written by an obvious fool called Mark Hertsgaard and was so plainly nonsense that no editor ought to have published it: but they do! That is what we are up against.

  18. Dave Gardner permalink
    July 7, 2021 12:12 pm

    There seems to be an affinity between UK Greenies and Wimbledon. I used to work in the nuclear power industry in the UK in the 1980s and I followed what was going on at the Sizewell B Public Inquiry through newspaper reports.

    I remember reading an article by a journalist (I think from The Times) who happened to attend the inquiry (which was held over several years at some building in Suffolk) during Wimbledon Fortnight. The journalist wandered around the rooms where the anti-nuclear objectors were hanging out, and observed that the main topic of conversation between them was the tennis at Wimbledon. An average cross-section of the British public would know far less about tennis than these people did, and might not even know that the Wimbledon tournament was on. Tennis is regarded as a posh sport in the UK (which is why we’re no good at it, with the strange exception of Andy Murray). The journalist concluded that environmentalists were surprisingly posh, much posher than people might assume they were.

    • MikeHig permalink
      July 7, 2021 12:33 pm

      Dave G: off-topic but I also worked in nuclear power in the early 80s, with Westinghouse in Brussels. I have that memory of following the enquiry. It’s such a tragedy that they did not build the rest of the fleet of which Sizewell was the first/prototype. That plant has consistently performed beyond its spec.

      • Ray Sanders permalink
        July 7, 2021 2:22 pm

        Me too, self employed subbie principally on Dungeness B construction (forever!). Remember the protests at Druridge Bay? I could cheerfully have machine gunned down some of those idiots. Do they now admit to all the extra CO2 caused by not building the plant? I doubt it.
        https://www.theambler.co.uk/2016/12/12/the-battle-of-druridge-bay/
        what a bunch of ……..

  19. CheshireRed permalink
    July 7, 2021 12:35 pm

    An ace response from our host.

  20. daveR permalink
    July 7, 2021 12:58 pm

    Lest it be forgotten

    “First, I asked Stephen Belcher, the head of the Met Office Hadley Centre, whether the recent extended winter was related to global warming.

    Shaking his famous “ghost stick”, and fingering his trademark necklace of sharks’ teeth and mammoth bones, the loin-clothed Belcher blew smoke into a conch, and replied,

    “Here come de heap big warmy. Bigtime warmy warmy. Is big big hot. Plenty big warm burny hot. Hot! Hot hot! But now not hot. Not hot now. De hot come go, come go. Now Is Coldy Coldy. Is ice. Hot den cold. Frreeeezy ice til hot again. Den de rain. It faaaalllll. Make pasty.”

    For a final word, I turned to the greatest climate change scientist of all, Dr David Viner, one-time senior research scientist at the climatic research unit of the University of East Anglia, who predicted in 2000 that, within a few years, winter snowfall would become “a very rare and exciting event”.

    However, he was trapped under a glacier in Stockport, so was unable to comment at the time the Telegraph went to press.

    Ice cream vans in Strathclyde Country Park setting new Scottish record heat? Err,… no! https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/07/06/friday-funny-scottish-record-high-temperature-caused-by-ice-cream-truck/

  21. Ulric Lyons permalink
    July 7, 2021 1:18 pm

    The next 1976 type event is in 2045:

    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/major-heat-cold-waves-driven-key-heliocentric-alignments-ulric-lyons

  22. Shoki Kaneda permalink
    July 7, 2021 2:10 pm

    Potential loss of an elitist spectacle and warm, pleasant weather in UK. What’s not to like?

  23. tom0mason permalink
    July 7, 2021 2:47 pm

    “Professor Stephen Belcher, the Met Office’s chief scientist, commented: “All the available evidence points towards the fact that our climate is changing: we have already seen aspects such as extreme heat, and the worse is yet to come.”

    So THE most significant part of ‘climate change’ is warmer summers appears to be the order of the day. Humm, a warm summer this year, or any particular year, is NOT evidence of climate change but an indication of WEATHER variability. And what the heck is wrong with having a hot summer?
    I should suppose from this professor (educated beyond his capacity to understand) that the cooler than normal April/May are not indications variable weather?

    Professor Stephen Belcher another true believer in faux science of ‘climate change’ and has a crystal ball called ‘climate model’ that so far reveals the changing climate that has/is completely at odds with observations.

    • Broadlands permalink
      July 7, 2021 4:38 pm

      Tom (or anyone)… Do you know what the 1991-2000 base period reference temperature for that chart is? How does it compare with the earlier pre-satellite values.

      The peak value on this chart correlates with the very strong 1998 La-Nina that followed the strong El-Nino in 1997. Both, natural events of course. It does not, however, show the impact of the 1982-83 ENSO.

      • tom0mason permalink
        July 7, 2021 6:28 pm

        Thank-you Broadlands,
        I’m aware of base period reference temperature and it’s change in February 2nd, 2021 (at drroyspencer.com).
        As his site says on that date “The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for January, 2021 was +0.12 deg. C, down a little from the December, 2020 value of +0.15 deg. C. NOTE: We have changed the 30-year averaging period from which we compute anomalies to 1991-2020, from the old period 1981-2010. This change does not affect the temperature trends.
        This chart shows the average variation with a 30 year averaging. If this was plotted on a global average temperature chart it would be the very small ‘wiggle’ seen at the top. Effectively Dr. Spencer’s graph magnifies this small ‘wiggly’ variation. IMO pushing the monthly temperature to 1/100th of a degree may be considered a bit of a stretch.

        From the Met Office site —
        “El Niño is felt strongly in the tropical eastern Pacific with warmer than average weather. The effects of El Niño often peak during December; it’s name “the boy” is thought to have originated as “El Niño de Navidad” centuries ago when Peruvian fishermen named the weather phenomenon after the newborn Christ. What is La Niña? ‘La Niña’ or “the girl” is the term adopted for the opposite side “
        However Professor Stephen Belcher alludes to hot summers (and this current summer if it turns hot) as being evidence of ‘climate change’. (Shame he didn’t look at Brazil.)

        As this planet exits the climate regime of the LIA then planetary warming should be expected. As Ole Humlum shows on his climate4you.com our current warm period is not particularly strong or unusual (except is is so weak).

  24. July 7, 2021 3:03 pm

    It is time that infected organizations like the BBC and Met Office are FORCED to provide data to back up their nonsensical claims on this and other pertinent issues of the day. They have been getting away with it for far too long because like all the rest of the alarmist industry arm waving and doom laden statements are accepted unquestioningly especially coming from once august bodies like the MetOffice. Now with so many infected players making fatuous claims about X-Z being being because of climut chaenge it is time that requirements are put in place for empirical data based support being expected for the claims certainly NOT the result of deliberately biased models..

    It is not unreasonable at all for this requirement to be put in place by the government. I am sure it will not happen because it will result in 99.999999999% of the BS we are treated to every single day disappearing from the media waves…

  25. Bill Francis permalink
    July 7, 2021 4:01 pm

    Just as a postscript to all the other comments, climate comprises the weather patterns that a given place on the planet might receive over the space of one year. Within those weather patterns, there may be extremes of one sort or another, but the fact that they occur does not mean that the climate is changing.
    If, however, you started to receive snow consistently in the middle of Summer, and a heatwave in the middle of Winter, then you could realistically claim climate change. Even then, claiming it was done by CO2 is rank stupidity, as it shows no understanding of what climate is, or how it is formed.
    Mr. Belcher would be well advised to get an education before he shoots his mouth off.

    • Gamecock permalink
      July 8, 2021 10:50 am

      Correct. ‘Climate change’ is nonsense. Climate is the generalized weather of an area or region. Weather has extremes; climate cannot – by definition.

      Yet you will see people on these pages claim that “climate changes all the time.” No. It. Doesn’t.

  26. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    July 7, 2021 9:43 pm

    Brilliant ! :^))

  27. Phoenix44 permalink
    July 8, 2021 8:36 am

    Once again, summers are not getting hotter but there are fewer coller summers – there’s been none below 19 degrees for 30 years. The Met Office seem incapable of looking at their own data. There’s no obvious risk of hotter individual summers but the average may increase a little.

    It’s interesting that the change appears to coincide with the 1987 El Nino.

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: