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IPCC report is ‘code red for humanity’

August 9, 2021
tags:

By Paul Homewood

 

The new IPCC report is out, and unsurprisingly jacks up the alarm, as the absurd Matt McGrath reports: 

 

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Humanity’s damaging impact on the climate is a "statement of fact", say UN scientists in a landmark study.

The report says that ongoing emissions of warming gases could also see a key temperature limit broken in just over a decade.

The authors also show that a rise in sea levels approaching 2m by the end of this century "cannot be ruled out".

But there is new hope that deep cuts in emissions of greenhouse gases could stabilise rising temperatures.

This sober assessment from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) features in a 42-page document known as the Summary for Policymakers.

It leads a series of reports that will be published over coming months and is the first major review of the science of climate change since 2013. Its release comes less than three months before a key climate summit in Glasgow known as COP26.

"Today’s IPCC Working Group 1 Report is a code red for humanity," said UN Secretary-General, António Guterres.

"If we combine forces now, we can avert climate catastrophe. But, as today’s report makes clear, there is no time for delay and no room for excuses. I count on government leaders and all stakeholders to ensure COP26 is a success."

According to Prof Ed Hawkins, from the University of Reading, UK, and one of the report’s authors, the scientists cannot be any clearer on this point.

"It is a statement of fact, we cannot be any more certain; it is unequivocal and indisputable that humans are warming the planet."

Petteri Taalas, Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization, said: "By using sports terms, one could say the atmosphere has been exposed to doping, which means we have begun observing extremes more often than before."

The authors say that since 1970, global surface temperatures have risen faster than in any other 50-year period over the past 2,000 years.

This warming is "already affecting many weather and climate extremes in every region across the globe".

Whether it’s heatwaves like the ones recently experienced in Greece and western North America, or floods like those in Germany and China, "their attribution to human influence has strengthened" over the past decade.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-58130705

 

 

As I commented last week, this is the Summary for Policymakers (SPM), the result of negotiations between governments. In other words it is a political statement, not a scientific document. The latter won’t be published until much later, probably long after COP26.

And as Guterres makes clear, the whole object of the SPM is to scare governments into signing up to the UN agenda at COP26.

Notably there is nothing in the BBC report, and therefore presumably in the SPM, to show that extreme weather has actually got any worse. Nor does it seem likely that the full scientific review either, given that the IPCC has failed to find any evidence in earlier reports. Indeed, the only mention  is this:

 

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Instead it is all about projections of doom and catastrophe, based on computer models written by grant addicted climate scientists. Every IPCC Assessment Report since the first in 1990 has threatened us with apocalypse, and none of their warnings of disaster have come true. But that has not stopped each report using ever stronger language.

Consequently we are treated to threats of a 2 meter sea level rise, an ice-free Arctic,  an increasing occurrence of some extreme events "unprecedented in the historical record”, and wildfires.

102 Comments
  1. jmmcthompson permalink
    August 9, 2021 11:33 am

    Even with what we read and hear now it is obviously another case of more boys crying “wolf”!

    • Sean permalink
      August 9, 2021 1:19 pm

      We’re not rolling over on our backs and blindly fallen into line to impoverish ourselves by making the changes that the warmists have decreed are necessary to save the world from its thermopocalypse, so they’re doubling down on the apocalyptic doomcrying, hoping that if they just get more dire with their predictions, we’ll accept their pravda and accept their control over our lives.

  2. jimiam permalink
    August 9, 2021 11:39 am

    “Whether it’s heatwaves like the ones recently experienced in Greece” I found this very interesting piece on forest management and wildfires in Greece from 1980 to 1990 http://www.fao.org/3/ad653e/ad653e64.htm

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      August 10, 2021 8:15 am

      It’s hot in Greece because it’s cold in France! It’s just heat distribution not more heat.

    • Ray Sanders permalink
      August 10, 2021 10:22 am

      Thanks for posting that very informative report. It is notable how it is written in genuine research/investigative style rather than attempting to endlessly give false attribution of everything to climate change. How things have changed…for the worst!

    • StephenP permalink
      August 10, 2021 10:40 am

      What a very, very interesting article on the situation of forestry in Greece and the effect of fires, of which the report says that very few (3%) have natural causes, most being due to human influences.
      Similar reports should be done for every country, but I suspect will not because the conclusions won’t fit the narrative.

  3. Jack Broughton permalink
    August 9, 2021 11:40 am

    Fortunately for us all, the weather / climate don’t give a monkeys what the models say: they never have an never will as the models are so primitive.
    War with China and Russia must be inevitable now in order to save the world: 1984 scenario maybe.

    • Mike Stoddart permalink
      August 9, 2021 12:26 pm

      If climate change is the existential threat that alarmists claim, it seems perfectly logical to go to war against any country that refuses to curb its CO2 emissions.

      • Chaswarnertoo permalink
        August 9, 2021 1:31 pm

        They can’t be that mad, can they?

      • It doesn't add up... permalink
        August 9, 2021 4:00 pm

        Reality is slightly different. If China ends up controlling much of the world’s resources it may prove necessary to fight them to gain access.

      • Ray Sanders permalink
        August 10, 2021 10:39 am

        “If climate change is the existential threat that alarmists claim” then all the greenies would support a massive roll out of nuclear power plants à la messmer plan. https://francenuclear168.weebly.com/messmer-plan.html

        But of course they will not because their plan has nothing to do with the climate which is just being corrupted as a cover for their agenda. In searching google for the above link to the Messmer Plan the first link that came up was…https://www.oneearth.org/the-7-reasons-why-nuclear-energy-is-not-the-answer-to-solve-climate-change/

        So even though their religious head office (the IPCC) promotes Nuclear power and the likes of all their gurus (Hansen, Caldeira, Wigley, Emmanuel etc etc) also support nuclear, they refuse to. Why? Because they know it solves the “problem” they have artificially imagined. Even the Graun had to print this https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/dec/03/nuclear-power-paves-the-only-viable-path-forward-on-climate-change

        Show that to a greenie (I have on the Graun’s own chat forum) and unbelievably (almost) and you will get shouted down by claims that climate scientists have no expertise in the energy sector!

    • Russ Wood permalink
      August 9, 2021 4:47 pm

      -But we have ALWAYS been at war with EastAsia!

    • 2hmp permalink
      August 10, 2021 6:27 pm

      The Club of Rome decided after glasnost that nuclear war was no longer the greatest threat to humanity so they settled on global warming. Since serious global warming wasn’t happening they retitled it climate change , a much more comfortable and unarguable description.

  4. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    August 9, 2021 11:44 am

    Threats of a grim future awaits for those who will not convert and do as the high priests command are nothing new.
    Just their voices, getting more shrill, is the only change.

  5. Ann farmer permalink
    August 9, 2021 11:48 am

    Dear Paul,

    You may be interested in my futuristic story ‘Taking the Plunge’ (links below), which takes aim at the Climate Change obsession.

    Hoping you are well, and thanks for all your valuable work on this issue,

    Best wishes,

    Ann.

    https://independencedaily.co.uk/taking-the-plunge-1st-instalment/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=INDEPENDENCE+Daily+Newsletter1

    https://independencedaily.co.uk/taking-the-plunge-2nd-instalment/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=INDEPENDENCE+Daily+Newsletter1

    https://independencedaily.co.uk/taking-the-plunge-3rd-instalment/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=INDEPENDENCE+Daily+Newsletter1

    https://independencedaily.co.uk/taking-the-plunge-4th-instalment/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=INDEPENDENCE+Daily+Newsletter1

    https://independencedaily.co.uk/taking-the-plunge-5th-instalment/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=INDEPENDENCE+Daily+Newsletter1 https://independencedaily.co.uk/taking-the-plunge-final-instalment/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=INDEPENDENCE+Daily+Newsletter1

    On Mon, 9 Aug 2021 at 11:22, NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT wrote:

    > Paul Homewood posted: “By Paul Homewood The new IPCC report is out, and > unsurprisingly jacks up the alarm, as the absurd Matt McGrath reports: > Humanity’s damaging impact on the climate is a “statement of fact”, say UN > scientists in a landm” >

  6. Rajesh Taylor permalink
    August 9, 2021 11:57 am

    The quicker we can separate State from Money the better. These people want you to inject unapproved spike proteins, live like a vegan, never travel and go through your phone pics and stop community’s meeting.

    Carbon, cholesterol and covid. Can’t see them, but apparently all kill me.

    • Adam Gallon permalink
      August 10, 2021 9:28 am

      Congratulations, you’ve won “Idiot of the Week” award.

  7. tomo permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:00 pm

    I understand that “The Propaganda Bureau” pamphlet from Andrew Montford is going to “free to download”.

    The BBC’s mendacity and highhandedness from 10 years ago… they’ve only honed those talents over the intervening time to date….

    It’s a tale that has been memory holed – Mr Harrabin won’t be happy

  8. GeoffB permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:04 pm

    They were hardly likely to do a U-turn after 30 years of promoting climate change due to man made CO2, I have looked at the telegraph comments and 97% are skeptical of the latest conclusions, its just a propaganda exercise from the nudge committee to try and rescue COP 26, I do not expect China, India and Russia are going to fall for it. A harsh winter with no wind, running out of gas, power cuts should finish them off.

  9. August 9, 2021 12:05 pm

    Covid lockdowns and restrictions will be the trojan horse for similar restrictions on our lives in order to save the planet from becoming molten lava and our children frying to death.

    The trouble is that public have been softened up and scared stiff, and will believe whatever they are told and a large percentage seem to like being told what to do anyway and want more of it..

  10. August 9, 2021 12:09 pm

    8am BBC local radio news
    after 3 items the presenter said “and in other news ..”
    Why did she say that ?
    Cos they’d cooked up a package of the first 3 items
    #1 The BBC campaign local radio stations litter pick the beach
    Statement from Chris Packham
    #2 Greek/California * wild fires *
    #3 Alarming Climate report to be released

    * This seems similar to the Burnley shooting, where lots of libmob Twitter accounts cited “Islamophobia”
    Yet it turned out to be between two ethnic-Muslim gangs.

    Fair enough attribute stuff months after you have gathered data
    but with recent events it’s always too early to call
    You don’t know what human malice or negligence played a major part
    eg arson or filing to maintain fire-breaks etc.

    by 9am they chnaged and opened with “Hull wind turbine factory to double in size”

    • bobn permalink
      August 9, 2021 12:51 pm

      You still listen to the BBC?!!! Suggest you change channel and get actual news.

      • August 9, 2021 3:03 pm

        @BobN No in the UK all channels carry the same carefully curated agenda pushing articles and PRasNews
        whilst at the same time major stories and info are omitted
        very 1984.

    • Ray Sanders permalink
      August 10, 2021 11:23 am

      At the risk of moderation(!) I find Chris Packham the most obnoxious shitbag I have ever had the misfortune to actually meet. Why on earth this piece of pondlife scum is even allowed on the BBC as well as paid to insult us all as well is frankly beyond me.

  11. 2hmp permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:14 pm

    Does anyone in the IPCC know how CO2 heats the atmosphere and by how much ? I am beginning to doubt it.

    • August 9, 2021 3:04 pm

      The avoid giving a figure for CO2 sensitivity
      we suspect that it is very very low

      • HotScot permalink
        August 9, 2021 9:11 pm

        This is the calculation. It’s basic Arithmetic, nothing fancy, no hidden agenda, just factual information.

        Atmospheric CO2 levels in 1850 (beginning of the Industrial Revolution): ~280ppm (parts per million atmospheric content).

        Atmospheric CO2 level in 2021: ~410ppm.
        410ppm minus 280ppm = 130ppm ÷ 171 years (2021 minus 1850) = 0.76ppm of which man is responsible for ~3% = ~0.02ppm.

        That’s every human on the planet and every industrial process adds ~0.02ppm CO2 to the atmosphere per year on average.

        At that rate mankind’s CO2 contribution to the atmosphere would take more than 20,000 years to double the CO2 content in the atmosphere which, the IPCC states, would cause around 2°C of temperature rise. That’s ~0.0001°C increase per year for 20,000 years.

        One hundred (100) generations of humanity from now (assuming ~ 25 years per generation) would experience warming of ~0.25°C more than we have today.

        The Manua Loa CO2 observatory (and others) can identify and illustrate Natures seasonal variations of atmospheric CO2, but does not distinguish between natural and man made atmospheric CO2.

        Hardly surprising really, mankind’s CO2 emissions are completely independent of seasonal variation and should reveal itself as a straight line, but is so inconsequential, this ‘vital component’ of Global Warming is not/can’t be illustrated.

        The global fall in output of man made CO2 over the last 16 months of the Covid-19 pandemic, estimated at ~14% (14% of ~0.02ppm CO2 = 0.0028ppm) does not register anywhere on the Manua Loa data.

        Why am I not surprised?!

      • Chaswarnertoo permalink
        August 10, 2021 9:52 am

        0.89 degrees C per doubling of atmospheric CO2 ie to 800ppm. Tops.
        This is still less than the ideal greenhouse CO2 of 1000ppm for growing food.
        It cannot be achieved even if we burn all available fossil fuels.
        Humans are quite happy at 10,000 ppm. We die (and plants) at below 150ppm.
        CO2 appears to be dangerously low.
        Who the hell wants a return to glaciation?

  12. Tim Spence permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:34 pm

    Haven’t they ejaculated prematurely here? It’s got to fever pitch and it’s not even September yet. Overplaying your hands, er I mean cards, makes the public wary and the public are getting wiser and wiser after the year they’ve experienced.

    As for the wildfires in California, Bolivia, Greece, Turkey, Lebanon, Russia etc. These also seem to have multiple start points.

    • Peter Barrett permalink
      August 9, 2021 2:48 pm

      Still nothing on the BBC about the arrest of several arsonists in Greece, will they ever admit the truth? Regrettably life has now been lost there as a result of the fires.

      • Ray Sanders permalink
        August 10, 2021 11:28 am

        The Greek Arsonist issue is rather like Australian Tesla Battery fires in that according to the likes of the BBC and the Graun they do not exist because if they did they would destroy the propaganda narrative.
        Personally i find it beggars belief that with all the news hours to cover things this storey below does not get covered.

        https://greekcitytimes.com/2021/08/07/three-arsons-arrested-fires-friday/

  13. Mark permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:36 pm

    It’s really worrying how all this nonsense goes unchallenged. It’s going to ruin western economies and for what. In 2050, when we find out that all these green agendas have made no difference, they’ll just be saying we didn’t try hard enough or sooner.

  14. Micky R permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:37 pm

    James O’Brien on LBC radio is refusing to take calls from non-believers about the report. OTOH, Kevin O’Driscoll on Talkradio has stated that climate change has always occurred, he appears to be a non-believer.

    • Micky R permalink
      August 9, 2021 12:41 pm

      Kevin O’Sullivan, not Kevin O’Driscoll

  15. Harry Passfield permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:51 pm

    Don’t you just love that qualifier: ‘virtually’? Like, it’s virtually science.

  16. bobn permalink
    August 9, 2021 12:54 pm

    Can we stop calling Climate computer-gamers, Climate scientists! They dont use the scientific method therefore they are not scientists – they are gamers, speculators and fantacists (or should that be fascists?).

    • August 9, 2021 4:50 pm

      According to the BBC, they are hundreds of the world’s top scientists (but in reality, only mediocre scientists go into climate science, because the money is there and proper science is not required).

  17. August 9, 2021 1:12 pm

    I’ve found your blog randomly after looking for stats on summer rainfall in UK.

    In 2002 UK Climate Impact Programme published a report (Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom The UKCIP02 Briefing Report) which predicted even under low emissions summers in UK would be 10 to 20% drier by 2020 and I googled just to see how the prediction went (I am not British so I had no idea) and thanks to you I learned summers were actually pretty rainy. Funny thing is now they use that as an evidence of climate change. Please keep the blog going. Bookmarked it!

    • HotScot permalink
      August 9, 2021 9:14 pm

      Welcome.

    • Ray Sanders permalink
      August 10, 2021 11:32 am

      Hi E, If you have not already, could you notify everyone you know about this blog please. It is in fact a very internationally viewed forum and not strictly UK oriented. The accurate and unbiased data that Paul promotes must be heard everywhere. Regards, Ray.

  18. David Wojick permalink
    August 9, 2021 1:14 pm

    I cannot find a link to the SPM.

    • Mewswithaview permalink
      August 9, 2021 1:21 pm

      Click to access IPCC_AR6_WGI_SPM.pdf

      • August 9, 2021 1:26 pm

        Mews

        have you got a direct link to that? it turned into the document. If you disable the first ‘h’ of the link it should be ok and we can add it back in

    • August 9, 2021 1:21 pm

      A search for “IPCC report” should find it, but this morning the download wouldn’t start for me, and now there is a 503 error, must be fossil fuel funded hackers.

  19. David Wojick permalink
    August 9, 2021 2:30 pm

    Here is CLINTEL’s statement on the SPM, including a link:
    https://clintel.org/statement-clintel-new-ipcc-report-provides-little-objective-basis-for-policymaking/

    Seems the IPCC ignored the ScienceMag critique of the CMIP 6 models and opted instead for “insanely scary and wrong” forecasts.

    • David Wojick permalink
      August 9, 2021 2:44 pm

      Google news search on “IPCC Report” full of similar “Code red for humanity” headlines. Truly stupid run up to COP26 no doubt.

    • David Wojick permalink
      August 9, 2021 3:15 pm

      Here is an extreme prediction: “Extreme sea level events that previously occurred once in 100 years could happen every year by the end of this century.”

      Click to access IPCC_WGI-AR6-Press-Release_en.pdf

    • Fran permalink
      August 9, 2021 3:20 pm

      For the life of me I can’t understand the difference between those articles and the report. Politically it makes no sense for renowed IPCC scientist to come weeks early of this date casting doubts about the models. I can’t imagine they acted alone and/or without the consent of other scientists in the Panel, which makes it even more strange. Those articles just fuel the skepticism of the alarmist tone the UN is giving now, and now with good reason (no longer existing in blogs such as this one, Judith Curry’s, etc., but in Science, etc.). What gives?

      • AC Osborn permalink
        August 9, 2021 8:15 pm

        The report is not written by the Scientists that contribute data and summaries.
        The Report is written Green NGOs and Green UN politicians.

        Over the years many real Scientists have stopped contributing to the IPCC because the IPCC ignore their data and summaries and write their own. summary report

  20. Peter Barrett permalink
    August 9, 2021 2:53 pm

    Hopefully COP26 will fulfil its promise and be a complete and humiliating failure. (Sorry, Glasgow.) Perhaps then we can rid No10 of its green lobby infestation, expose the CCC for the corrupt and self interested body it is and bring some sanity to this country’s energy policy. Perhaps.

  21. Gamecock permalink
    August 9, 2021 2:56 pm

    ‘The report says that ongoing emissions of warming gases could also see a key temperature limit broken in just over a decade.’

    Can we just go ahead and break it this year? I’m tired of hearing about it. The Climate Change Show is in its 33rd year of reruns.

    • Cheshire Red permalink
      August 9, 2021 3:55 pm

      ‘Key temperature limit’…see the problems with that? Sounds scary!

      Who decided it was ‘key’?
      Who decided it was a ‘limit’?

      Those are sales pitches, not scientific matters.

  22. August 9, 2021 3:02 pm

    Reblogged this on Tallbloke's Talkshop and commented:
    So say the totally predictable climate cultists in the political summary version of the IPCC’s not yet published report, version whatever.

  23. Pitchfork Revolt permalink
    August 9, 2021 3:08 pm

    One of the IPCC members is on record as saying it’s ‘not about climate it’s about the redistribution of wealth.’ Curiously, this gets no publicity on the BBC. The whole thing is a sham. As the warnings become ever more hysterical, so it become easier and easier to debunk them.

    The problem is that most people are uncurious and simply accept the broadcast media’s skewed agenda as the truth.

  24. Broadlands permalink
    August 9, 2021 3:15 pm

    It is virtually certain that… heatwaves have been more common.

    Yet one hundred years ago in 1921:

    “ITALY: Venice, July 30. The principal phenomena which prevailed [this week] was the intensely hot weather. An unprecedented heat wave continued to develop in its intensity of heat and in length of its duration. For several weeks the heat has increased until the past week the temperature has been up in the high nineties for day after day, and unofficial reports of over 100° have been frequent. The extremely high humidity has practically brought active business to a standstill, and has caused many deaths and heat exhaustions. The principal damage caused by the heat wave is the protracted period of drought which accompanies it. Agriculture is the chief sufferer from the heat and drought and no alleviation appears in sight. Weeks of cloudless scorching days have played havoc with the crops which were in progress when the heat wave began.”

    Atmospheric CO2 was at pre-industrial levels. Something else must have created all of this extreme weather.

  25. August 9, 2021 3:16 pm

    It’s #ClimateFearPornDay so I have transcribed our local news reports from 8am, 9am , 1pm, 2pm
    https://biasedbbc.tv/blog/2021/08/08/start-the-week-9-august-2021/#comment-1133508

    9am They led with Hull windturbine blade factory to expand
    Only later did they add that the taxpayer is funding all this
    and Lord Grimstone clips appeared on BBC and ITVlocal news

  26. August 9, 2021 3:17 pm

    #ClimateFearPornDay

    • Cheshire Red permalink
      August 9, 2021 3:46 pm

      That’ll all be too much excitement for him to take. Leo will be knocking one out as we speak.

  27. August 9, 2021 3:18 pm

    2 fundamental flaws, as always:
    1. The assumption that climate is linear, not cyclic.
    2. That CO2 drives climate.
    The IPCC is up to its normal old tricks.

  28. dennisambler permalink
    August 9, 2021 3:23 pm

    How disappointing that GWPF is endorsing the anthropogenic CO2 meme:

    “30 years after the IPCC’s first report and despite yearly UN climate conferences it is now beyond doubt that renewable energy policies have failed to halt or slow the relentless rise in global CO2 emissions.

    In the wake of the publication today of the IPCC’s 6 Assessment Report (AR6) the UK government, like many around the world, will face growing calls to “do more” to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.

    In truth, many governments, and the UK is a clear example, are already trying extremely hard to reduce emissions. They are spending very heavily on emissions reduction technologies, mostly on renewable energy. Income support subsidies to renewables in the UK alone cost consumers over £10 billion a year, a total that is still rising.

    However, these policies have only destroyed industry in the West and exported production and their CO2 emissions to areas still using low cost fossil fuels, such as China. The conclusion is obvious. Climate policies are failing not because of a lack of political will, but because the technologies selected are extortionately expensive and ineffective, and are already stimulating public resistance.”

    We do not need to halt or slow the “relentless rise in CO2 emissions”, nor can we do so, as shown by the pandemic. The only thing relentless in all this is 30 years of propaganda. “Climate policies” will not control the climate. CO2 does not drive global temperatures. Increases in atmospheric CO2 do not correlate with anthropogenic emissions, nor do they correlate with annual temperature changes. (see Spurious Correlations In Time Series Data: A Note, Jamal Munshi, 2016). The 2 degree and 1.5 degree C “targets” have no basis in science. “2 degrees” was first introduced by economist William Nordhaus in 1975 and resurrected by Schellnhuber in 1995.

    Margaret Thatcher on climate change, 2003 https://www.manilatimes.net/2021/07/31/opinion/columns/where-women-stand-on-climate-debate-2-distinguished-ladies-air-their-views/1809108

    “In matters of public policy, it is important to recognize what we don’t know, as much as what we do. Governments, in this respect, are not like private individuals.

    An individual can most of the time act on hunches or incomplete information without doing any great harm. But governments, whose actions affect millions of individuals, must be much more circumspect.

    The golden rule is: All government interventions are problematic, so intervene only when the case is fully proven.”

    • John Hultquist permalink
      August 9, 2021 5:27 pm

      “How disappointing that GWPF is endorsing the anthropogenic CO2 meme:”

      This header does not seem to fit the text.
      What am I missing?

  29. Broadlands permalink
    August 9, 2021 3:30 pm

    IS OUR CLIMATE CHANGING? A STUDY OF LONG-TIME TEMPERATURE TRENDS
    By J. B. KINCER Weather Bureau, Washington, D.C., Sept. 29, 1933

    The present wide-spread and persistent tendency toward warmer weather, and especially the recent long series of mild winters, has attracted considerable public interest; so much so that frequently the question is asked “Is our climate changing?”

    “In concluding this study,other weather features directly related to general temperature conditions were examined such as the occurrence of frost in the fall and spring, the number of days in winter with certain low temperatures, the occurrence of freezing weather in the fall and spring seasons, the length of the winters, as indicated by the first frost in fall and the last in spring, etc. All of these confirm the general statement that we are in the midst of a period of abnormal warmth, which has come on more or less gradually for many years.”

    Atmospheric CO2 was at pre-industrial levels. After about 1940 this warming abated while CO2 continued to rise. Something other than a CO2 “control knob” must have been the cause.

  30. Cheshire Red permalink
    August 9, 2021 3:41 pm

    More BBC repeats.

    As ever it’s what they DON’T say, ie provide any observed data, that belies their hysterical nonsense.

    Projections all the way, including the preposterous ‘2 meter’ sea level rise.

    • August 9, 2021 5:44 pm

      Yes, the BBC have mentioned the report just once or twice during the day…

  31. cookers52 permalink
    August 9, 2021 3:59 pm

    To achieve a 2 m mean sea level rise by 2100 would need a average annual rate of 25mm per year.
    The report makes this prediction, so credibility zero?

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      August 9, 2021 4:27 pm

      We should make a list of falsifiable predictions and keep testing them.

    • Harry Davidson permalink
      August 10, 2021 12:09 am

      They are learning. That prediction is 79 years into the future so it cannot be proven to have failed in any adult’s lifetime.

  32. 1saveenergy permalink
    August 9, 2021 4:30 pm

    “rise in sea levels approaching 2m by the end of this century “cannot be ruled out”. ”

    & sea ice in The Canary Islands by the end of this century “cannot be ruled out” either.
    Both scenarios are possible … but neither is probable.

    • August 9, 2021 5:48 pm

      It is strange that no one ever points out that sea level have been rising as ice has been melting, both coinciding with the warming after the little Ice Age.

      When the snow and ice accumulated during that period melts then a change in sea level is inevitable and started over 250 years ago. Similarly sea levels fell when the ice started to accumulate. its not rocket science

      • August 9, 2021 10:51 pm

        Rest assured, these things have been pointed out many times. But alarmists don’t want rational thought or logic, they want scary headlines.

  33. Ian C permalink
    August 9, 2021 4:37 pm

    So they measure temps from 1850-1900; precipitation from 1950;droughts from 1950s;storm tracks from 1980s; glaciers from 1990s. I wonder why? Droughts dont seem to be getting worse and little confidence in heavy precipitation being worse. Are hockey sticks back in fashion? What happened to the Roman and Mediaeval warm periods?

  34. Curious George permalink
    August 9, 2021 4:39 pm

    Due to the seriousness of the situation, air travel should be banned immediately for all UN officials and personnel. Back to horses!

  35. August 9, 2021 5:15 pm

    BBC been colluding with activists from #28Gate and before

  36. Graham Finney permalink
    August 9, 2021 6:34 pm

    Why is it that the mainstream media do not allow or show alternative views to be aired. I understand it is because they believe or have been told that the science is settled. Well at one time the earth was considered flat and it was considered to be the centre of the universe until sceptics challenged the consensus view. So let’s have alternative views and then we can make informed judgements

  37. Farmer Sooticle permalink
    August 9, 2021 6:40 pm

    Worth reminding ourselves:
    “The UN has been predicting planetary disaster for decades, usually scheduled to happen in about a decade’s time. In 1972 – half a century ago – Maurice Strong, the first UN Environment Programme director warned that the world “had just 10 years to avoid catastrophe”. In 1982 his successor, Mostafa Tolba, the then head of the UN Environment Programme told the world that it had just 18 years before “an environmental catastrophe as irreversible as any nuclear holocaust”. Yet 2000 came and went and we just partied like it was 1999…”
    https://order-order.com/2021/08/09/un-has-been-predicting-planetary-disaster-for-50-years/

  38. August 9, 2021 6:47 pm

    Here is where this was “supposed to end up!

    “A Red Code for Humanity”! Hahahahaha! How many million dollars did that cost and bloated plutocrats had to get together to come up with that latest piece of climate language inflation?

    Where do they go after that? The (Un)democrats in the US have already called climate “racist”.
    I know I know but I have to ask. Does the BBC not know how this report is produced?

    Some funnies from history for you all curtesy of Guido:

    https://order-order.com/2021/08/09/un-has-been-predicting-planetary-disaster-for-50-years/

  39. lapford permalink
    August 9, 2021 7:35 pm

    Dread to think what psychological damage all this doom mongering is causing today’s children. If you want a steady job in the future, psychiatry will be the way to go. Climate research will of course attract much better funding.

    • Curious George permalink
      August 9, 2021 7:50 pm

      Greta is a fine example.

    • Fran permalink
      August 9, 2021 10:35 pm

      Oh it’s not only children, millenials and Gen-Z as well. I was born in 1988 and during the 90s-2000s the doomsday predictions of global warming were already mainstream. I was pretty convinced myself until a couple of years ago (and, funnily enough, it was a topic I brought up when I went to a therapist some years ago). Lots of people around my age have terrible anxiety over it, and some even aren’t sure about having children bc of that reason alone.

  40. fretslider permalink
    August 9, 2021 8:37 pm

    I can’t get my head around their doublethink

    Take this summer, the Met Office says it’s hotter and drier than average. I can see plainly that it isn’t

  41. M E permalink
    August 9, 2021 8:50 pm

    It’s all boring. Another thing we think is that a lot of people have made a good livelihood for years with this hypothesis ,which cannot be proven, and are unlikely to retire soon, unfortunately. Switch off the TV and online news media and the advertisers will fall away.

  42. Chaswarnertoo permalink
    August 9, 2021 10:01 pm

    Call me when there are hippos back in the Thames. Why would anyone want glaciation?

  43. Jack Broughton permalink
    August 9, 2021 10:06 pm

    Incredibly, the disgraceful hockey stick is still in use.
    The report is 3949 pages long and mostly unreadable, (over 3 times the equally undecipherable bible). The longer a “justifying” book is the less I trust it: the best theses are very short as the proof is clear and simple…….

    The IPCC technical section admits that they have little understanding of clouds but claim that the models are getting better (based on the models of course). The report avoids cloud cover-variation as humidity increases and rainfall increases.

    As in all of the reports, the calculation of Radiant Forcing Factor is a committee-based judgement – this is incredible given that the RFF is the thing that drives the models. The RFF varies from 1 to 8.4 W/m2 in various models ,according to the feedback assumed. They have not used HITRAN or anything technical, unlike David Coe’s recent articles that use real physics to calculate the ECE and RFF.

    Almost every conclusion is fairly confident or high confidence, with no real justification for the level of confidence of course.

  44. David B permalink
    August 9, 2021 10:26 pm

    Had a quick look at the back-up report behind the SPM (I know there’s always previously been a complete disconnect between the two but you never know) – 3949 pages; a search for “empirical evidence” brings up only a handful of references, none setting out any evidence; dipping in at random brings up only modelling stuff – so I suspect it’s the usual troughers working for the Great Reset.

  45. August 10, 2021 1:35 am

    Why when I hear “code red for humanity” all I can think of is watermelons?

  46. tom0mason permalink
    August 10, 2021 4:55 am

    IPCC report is ‘code red for humanity’
    IT’S NOTHING BUT ALARMISM AND POLITICS!
    “Code Red” = socialist destruction of Western economy, industry and employment with the imposition national and personal ‘Carbon’ credits through the One World Government(OWG).
    A OWG operating on strict socialist/Marxist-Leninist methods. Offering the standard socialist fare of a ruling elite enjoying everything and anything they want, and everyone else working for the elites, and their crony capitalists. Then ‘workers’ allowed to perish when they are no longer useful; terminated by bureaucratically enhanced neglect — e.g. the confusion and laxity of the WHO responses, the UK’s NHS ongoing eugenics for the old, the deliberate US mess of the CDC and US NIAID, UN ‘Peace-keepers’ that do not keep the peace, etc.

  47. Douglas Dagonfly permalink
    August 10, 2021 7:05 am

    There I’d dissent against the BBC and other mainstream media. Though it’s not reported on BBC radio 4.
    This was emotional because it was about children.
    Will a movement developed when people become aware of the Great Reset and how much it will cost the individual ?
    BBC and ITV targeted as protesters swarm on London studios – police scrambled.
    https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1474387/bbc-news-protest-anti-vax-met-police-clash-storm-studios-white-city-one-latest-video

  48. Phoenix44 permalink
    August 10, 2021 8:05 am

    “their attribution to human influence has strengthened” 

    This is pure nonsense. You simply cannot attribute increased probability to a single cause without (i) knowing prior probability and (ii) knowing all other possible causes. That we are spending such vast sums on such flimsy evidence is madness.

  49. August 10, 2021 8:36 am

    I just love how the ecomentalists are prophesiesing doom & gloom ‘code red for mankind’ yet British Gas are still advertising new gas boilers like there’s no tomorrow. They’re the devil incarnate, aren’t they 🤣🤣 Just shows how divorced from reality these green nutters are.

  50. Plowjogger1776 permalink
    August 10, 2021 8:41 am

    If you thought Covid restrictions were draconian, wait until this bunch gets power.

  51. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    August 10, 2021 11:27 am

    Chief hypocrite and money grabber Greta Thunberg moans about something but gets caught out –
    https://www.rt.com/news/531553-greta-thunberg-fashion-climate-vogue/

  52. James Neill permalink
    August 10, 2021 11:36 am

    “And as Guterres makes clear, the whole object of the SPM is to scare governments into signing up to the UN agenda at COP26.”

    Paul do you have a reference I could look up for where the UN Secretary-General made that comment?

  53. August 10, 2021 11:37 am

    Time to ask our MPs to call ‘code red’ (red card) on the BBC? (I have) After all, it’s Parliament who created the BBC’s legal Charter to impartiality, and the BBC who are making a mockery of Parliament, and bringing them into disrepute. Perhaps we should just rename the BBC to the Boris Bullshit Corporation?

  54. ewing caldwell permalink
    August 11, 2021 12:47 am

    Oh dear. Not one of the authors seems to realise that a Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) has started and we are entering its early phases. Warming out to 2040? Risible. It will be cold then.

    Sea levels rising three times faster? Risible. Ice will be increasing so sea levels will fall.

    They’ve done a grand job of shooting themselves in two feet.

    • August 11, 2021 8:49 am

      With the totally backwards way they have it, their two feet will be shooting them.

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