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Wildfires In Wales Due To Arson, Not Climate Change

October 1, 2021

By Paul Homewood

Please save us from these cretins!



Firefighter Craig Hope deals with "hundreds and hundreds" of wildfires across the south Wales valleys every year.

But he has noticed recently they are changing – burning later into the year, getting larger and causing more damage.

All signs of climate change, he says – and "it’s like watching a Hollywood film".

With a month to go until world leaders gather in Glasgow for the crucial COP26 summit on global warming, the Fire Brigades Union (FBU) has urged action, warning that its members are on the front line.

As a wildfire specialist, Mr Hope travelled to Greece in August with three other colleagues from South Wales Fire and Rescue to assist with devastating blazes there.

Wildfire worries

He predicts parts of Wales could soon suffer similar scenes unless action is taken to adapt to the challenges of warmer weather.

Mediterranean countries now experiencing severe issues "were having fires like we have 30 years ago", he explained.

"We’re in a position where we need to act – the next 30 years will be the deciding factor."

"The problem we have in Wales is that we have a lot of poor weather."

He said it meant fires might not be at the forefront of people’s minds.

But when it is wet in Wales, vegetation grows and it gets bigger and bigger.

"And then we get bursts of very hot, dry, windy weather," said the firefighter.


The Forestry Commission Wales were so concerned a few years ago about wildfires in South Wales that they commissioned a study, “Wildfires in Wales: social drivers and mitigation measures”.

The problem was not “climate change”, but arson:


The evidence was pretty damning. Most fire incidents proportionally occurred in deprived areas. Furthermore 90% of fires happened within 100m of a road or public right of way.


And 60% of fires started between 4pm and midnight, with the number at weekends above average:




The report, which was written in 2011, did not make one solitary reference to climate as a potential factor, but made a long series of recommendations as to how the level of arson could be reduced.

It did note that most grassfires occur in March and April:




In one significant section, they look at the impact of weather. Unsurprisingly there are fewer fires during times of increased rainfall, yet it does not seem to take long for the number of fires to significantly increase once the rain stops.

This strongly suggests that the rainfall factor is more to do with arsonists staying indoors than a direct cause of fire. You also do not need weeks of dry weather for fires to start.




So, what about the fireman’s opinion that the weather must be getting hotter and drier at this time of year?

Plainly it is without foundation:





As for his suggestion that Wales will soon be having wildfires like Greece, he has clearly lost the plot!

Perhaps Mr Hope should stick to what he is good at in future, fire fighting, instead of lecturing us on things he does not understand.

  1. October 1, 2021 11:22 am

    Warmer weather in Wales would be a fine thing. Bring it on!

  2. October 1, 2021 11:22 am

    If you want to cause confusion, ask your local woodland trust “what is their wildfire prevention strategy” as you are concerned that they just leave all the Tree trimmings and off cuts lying around.

  3. Phoenix44 permalink
    October 1, 2021 11:40 am

    Socialist union uses climate change as an excuse to demand socialist policies. BBC gladly obliges.

  4. October 1, 2021 11:41 am

    People will say anything to get a free foreign holiday

  5. October 1, 2021 11:42 am

    What he says is rather incoherent, he clearly hasn’t a clue himself but he’s been told to bring in climate change.

  6. October 1, 2021 11:45 am

    Never let the truth get in the way of a good piece of climate porn by the ever so virtuous marxist (News you can trust) from the B(LM)BC!

  7. Mack permalink
    October 1, 2021 11:49 am

    Em, looking at the recent arrests in California, it would suggest that climate change derangement syndrome causes more nutty professors to go into the forests and play with lighters than ever before. When added to the ranks of serial pyromaniacs, idiots discarding bbq’s and lit cigarettes carelessly or mismanaging bonfires, power line failures and lightening strikes, and exacerbated by poor land management processes, I’m surprised the ‘climate’ even gets a look in. And that’s in a hot arid zone. But Wales? I think Fireman Sam needs help.

  8. Phoenix44 permalink
    October 1, 2021 11:59 am

    No reason why Wales should be any different from anywhere else, 90% of fires are probably deliberate everywhere. If the BBC think things have changed since 2011 then they should prove it with actual data, not have some puppet make stuff up. Time for more complaints?

    • Adam Gallon permalink
      October 2, 2021 8:56 am

      IIRC, both in Australia & California, ~85% of fires are caused by arson, accidents or negligence.

  9. lucretiauk permalink
    October 1, 2021 12:02 pm

    Aluminium from geoengineering will cause fires to spread rapidly and burn hotter. Plus the other weather weapons they deploy, such as DEW.

    • Adam Gallon permalink
      October 2, 2021 8:56 am


  10. stevejay permalink
    October 1, 2021 12:05 pm

    A bit off subject I know except it’s all about deception. I keep finding references to the ‘Climate Gate’ issue, when 6,000 e.mails from the CRU at the Univ. of East Anglia exposed evidence of corruption. Yet little else is revealed. Could Paul or one of our regulars throw some light on this issue? What exactly was the content of these e.mails or has the whole scandal been hushed up?

    • T Walker permalink
      October 1, 2021 12:23 pm

      Steve – Just type “climategate” into the search area of this site and you will get a lot of info from Paul’s posts on this subject over a long period.

      Some of what went on, revealed by the emails, was unbelieveable to anyone with a scientific or engineering background – but move along “nothing to see here” was the official reaction which in itself tells you much of what you need to know.

    • Joe Public permalink
      October 1, 2021 6:53 pm


      Tom Nelson has put together a list:

      John Costella did his “THE CLIMATEGATE EMAILS” analysis:

      Click to access climategate-emails.pdf

      Here’s a 2012 dump of the raw emails:

    • Martin Brumby permalink
      October 1, 2021 11:22 pm

      Best source is, I think, “The Hockey Stick Illusion, Climategate and the Corruption of Science”, by Andrew Montford.
      Now of the GWPF, but when written a blogger “Bishop Hill”.
      One of the essential reads and, helpfully, a real pleasure to read, some of it like a good detective thriller.
      It is a fairly old book now but this will give you a very firm basis, especially in considering the three “Inquiries”, none of which were more than ludicrous whitewashing exercises.

      • stevejay permalink
        October 6, 2021 9:11 pm

        Thanks everyone for your replies to my post. It’s incredible that more of this deception hasn’t been exposed to the general public. There’s enough here to destroy the credibility of all those involved.

  11. T Walker permalink
    October 1, 2021 12:10 pm

    We all know that Climate Change is racist and disproportionally affects poorer people.

    BUT we can safely ignore all the things that are racist and do disproportionally affect the poor all over the world.

    Meanwhile the Royal Mail only seem to make deliveries twice a week – I believe it is due to Climate Change, which has driven the postpersons to wear shorts.

    O/T (well not entirely) – I see, having recenty bought a new house with a very efficient gas boiler, I am now to be increasingly taxed in a drive to make me buy a useless heat pump. Surely at some point the Tory men in grey suits must get their act together and get the men in white coats to visit No.10 with a van.

    • Robert Christopher permalink
      October 1, 2021 1:13 pm

      Dissuading their Backbenchers parading their Net Zero Intelligence credentials in the Media would help. Just replacing the (wo)man at the top would only result in another of the same.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      October 1, 2021 2:23 pm

      The biggest success of the climate change extremists was somehow persuading many people that scepticism was a nutty flat Earth type belief. It is truly astonishing how easy it is to set up a cult and how hard it is to get cultists to see that.

      • T Walker permalink
        October 1, 2021 2:45 pm

        “It’s easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled.”

        Possibly Mark Twain

      • October 1, 2021 4:02 pm

        “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.” Joseph Goebbels

      • Mack permalink
        October 1, 2021 8:32 pm

        PDFB, not a Nazi sympathiser myself but, it Goebells were still alive, it would seem that he could have written the ‘man made global warming songbook’ himself. I noticed that the first inklings that we’d entered a new era of parallel language was under the late Blair/early Brown / Obama era. It’s now hit peak idiocy under Boris/Biden. The bottom line is that, on current government mandated trajectories, we all need to do our best to protect ourselves and our loved ones as best we can.

  12. fretslider permalink
    October 1, 2021 1:20 pm

    “”The problem we have in Wales is that we have a lot of poor weather.””

    He’s right. Wales is the most depressing place I ever visited – only Portmeirion cheered it up

  13. ThinkingScientist permalink
    October 1, 2021 1:30 pm

    I am a rock climber and went to Bangor University, a long time ago.

    The climbers weather phrase for Wales is:
    “If you can see the mountains, it’s about to rain. If you can’t see the mountains, it is raining.”

    • Crowcatcher permalink
      October 1, 2021 3:08 pm

      There’s the other one as well – “If it wasn’t wet it wouldn’t be Wales!!”

  14. Chaswarnertoo permalink
    October 1, 2021 1:46 pm

    He appears to lack normal human cranial capacity.

  15. roger permalink
    October 1, 2021 2:07 pm

    This morning on the BBC advice was offered to those who had lost their leccy supplier and /or faced the swingeing increases from their new supplier/ prepayment charges.
    Suggestions made were to do one less clothing wash per week, one less dish washing per week, beware of the drying machine and turn the central heating down a couple of degrees whilst wearing an extra sweater.
    Do these recipients of the extreme beneficence of the BBC, sweltering in their overheated studios and offices really believe that the poor and elderly gratuitously wash their clothes bedding, towels and dishes with reckless abandon and are the proud possessors of unlimited cashmere and merino jumpers conserved in an overheated airing cupboard?

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      October 1, 2021 2:19 pm

      You can either be poorer by having less money to spend on what you want or you can be poorer by consuming less of what you want.

      Bizarrely half of the BBC that happily promotes increasing poverty for Green reasons whilst the other half angrily decries supposed increasing poverty caused by the Tories.

      • T Walker permalink
        October 1, 2021 3:06 pm

        Trouble is P44 – that is all the Tories now – Green and Mean !!!!

    • October 1, 2021 4:19 pm

      There is a very sudden change in the language used by the wannabe marxists and their propaganda arm…BBC / Gruaniad in the UK. They are now pushing the term “over consumption” without of course any clarification of what it means while at the same time conflating it with automatic pollution and yes of course Klymutt Chaeyngshe. The term is cropping up in useful idiot speak all over the media.
      This development is no different from the appalling conflation of the words “sex” and “violence” by the sadly repressed Whitehouse woman and her entourage in the 1970’s.

      There is only one focus for this garbage and it is the hobbling of Western Civilization and in particular the English speaking world. WHO exactly gets to decide what represents the vague and highly subjective term “overconsumption”? Eating an egg a week for example 100 years ago would have been considered exceptional to the vast majority and by their standards “over consumption”.

      I for one call the scrapping of perfectly good petrol or diesel powered vehicles and buying naff electric virtue signalling machines by those who can afford to so publicly virtue signal is for me the crass height of unnecessary and pointless consumption therefore qualifying as a perfect example of “over consumption”.

      I rest my case M’Lud.

  16. David V permalink
    October 1, 2021 2:39 pm

    Given the way the media is forever blaming every wildfire (flood, puff of wind, etc.) on climate change it’s hardly surprising if every Tom, Dick and Harry looks no further for an explanation.

    • T Walker permalink
      October 1, 2021 3:08 pm

      Yes David – I don’t know where it’s going to end – except badly

  17. October 1, 2021 3:12 pm

    I recommend this Brazier video
    : Here’s the full 17 mins .. Starkey comes on 4m45s in

  18. October 1, 2021 3:15 pm

    Dale Vince got a free 2 min advertising slot in today’s local radio news bulletin
    Summary : like most Green businesses Dale Vince can’t make his product as cheaply as his competitors
    so he has a solution … BAN THE COMPETITORS
    So we can only have gas & electricity at the expensive price he makes it at.

    1pm news
    Item #3 “energy price rises”
    “Dale Vince the owner of Green energy co Ecotricity says the UK has become UTTERLY dependant on Fossil Fuels ”
    ( ” utterly” is untrue Nuclear is at 5GW 24/7 )
    Dale Vince “we actually can make all of the electricity we need in our country from the wind & the sun and a LITTLE bit of sea

    We can make ALL of the gas from GRASS

    But unless we change the market then we’ll still follow global prices for energy
    We’ve gotta delink ourselves from that
    With government intervention /regulation that sets the price for energy based on what it costs to make it here in Britain, not what it gets sold for in the rest of the world.
    That’s not happening right now”

  19. October 1, 2021 3:17 pm

    BTW Sept 20th false claim in this BBCnews statement from Vince at 2m08s
    “Our nuclear fleet is OUT of OPERATION and we’ve had low wind”
    AFAIK nuclear has been going on at 5GW 24/7
    Am I wrong ?

    • Ray Sanders permalink
      October 1, 2021 4:06 pm

      You are perfectly correct Stew. You can simply go to gridwatch
      click on download and get the full data for any period over the last 10 years. Nuclear was on 5GW…and Dale Vince is an ignorant and arrogant liar.

  20. Curious George permalink
    October 1, 2021 3:54 pm

    Is Wales exceptionally dry in 2021 due to Climate Change?

    • October 1, 2021 4:21 pm

      I know due to temperance in some of the valleees it has been dry for quite a while.

      • bluecat57 permalink
        October 1, 2021 8:25 pm

        In America we called that Prohibition. 🙀

  21. mjr permalink
    October 1, 2021 4:34 pm

    Glad to see the BBC is spending the licence fee wisely. As well as the usual hordes of “environment” correspondents employed centrally (mcgrath etc) it now seems that they have regional “environment” correspondents as the by line on this pap is the Wales correspondent. Is there now one for scotland, another for northern ireland?

  22. Pink Panther permalink
    October 1, 2021 4:35 pm

    The poll tax ended Margaret Thatcher’s tenure, surely the 1922 committee are sharpening the knives for Johnson for his charge of the light brigade approach to net zero. When the real facts are discovered by the man in the street, he will be unelectable.

    • October 1, 2021 4:44 pm

      Problem is, Labour/Libs/Greens – you name it – would be just as foolish, if not more so.

    • I don't believe it! permalink
      October 3, 2021 8:44 am

      Not so, it was primarily her lack of enthusiasm for the EU.

  23. dennisambler permalink
    October 1, 2021 6:42 pm

    They forget when there was massive flooding in recent centuries, there were no mobile phones, no SUV’s, no powered boats, lots of people died.

  24. bluecat57 permalink
    October 1, 2021 8:25 pm

    Arson? Is that Welsh for “our son”?
    Or are you just a couple of weeks late for Talk Like A Pirate Day?
    Sorry, been watching a lot of BritBox and AcornTV. (shameless product plug, contact me for referral code)

  25. Ade Fisher permalink
    October 2, 2021 12:04 am

    Worked with Craig when he first joined the fire service, his nickname was Swampy as he was an eco warrior then and is reverting to type now, grass fires in Wales are the same as they’ve always been, they get started by kids in a dry spell which can be any time of the year but worst when the fearns have died back, what’s he going to say when the glaciers come back to the valleys, beware the Beaufort Gyre Craig!

  26. Gerry, England permalink
    October 2, 2021 10:49 am

    Another 5 energy companies are on the brink because they have not paid their green taxes and when the extended deadline to pay of 31 October expires it is likely they will close down.

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