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The Scotsman Lies About Sea Level Rise

October 12, 2021

By Paul Homewood



Back in the real world:


 mean trend plot

  1. NeilC permalink
    October 12, 2021 10:15 am

    With 20 days to go, the IPCC got two things wrong. cm should have been mm and they got that 97% wrong according to the info from Aberdeen 12.87mm from 1901-2018.

  2. October 12, 2021 10:33 am

    25cm in 117 years, I should be worried? 2.136mm per year, sounds like good news to me

    • Chaswarnertoo permalink
      October 12, 2021 11:07 am

      15 m higher in the Eemian. Call me when there are hippos in the Thames, again.

  3. Ben Vorlich permalink
    October 12, 2021 10:43 am

    There was an interesting piece in WUWT by Willis Eschenbach on this very topic. He made an excellent case that the acceleration in SL rise was due to successive satellites showing an increased linear rate for each change. I think have been 4 satellites.

    As someone who spent most of his life measuring stuff it has always puzzled me why so called scientists don’t run the old and new equipment in parallel and account for the differences before going full “it’s worse than we thought”

  4. Ben Vorlich permalink
    October 12, 2021 10:44 am

    I dislike the word “quickening” what’s wrong with accelerating?

  5. Gamecock permalink
    October 12, 2021 10:59 am

    ‘When the world act?’ (sic)

    Why would the world act? If you live near the water, and the level goes up (which it’s not much), you move further up.

    They act like the moral thing to do is for me to change my behavior – go neolithic – to help out people who chose to live by the water.

    ‘By Scotsman Leader Comment’

    Scotsman Leader is adolescent.

    • The Informed Consumer permalink
      October 12, 2021 11:41 am

      If they can’t get the headline of their dribbling article right, why would anyone give them the time of the day?

  6. that man permalink
    October 12, 2021 11:13 am

    “When the world act?”
    The Scotsman doesn’t even get its headline right.

  7. cookers52 permalink
    October 12, 2021 11:23 am

    One thing that is never explained for UK mean sea levels is that at the start of 20th century the difference between low tide and high tide ranges was much greater than it is today.

    • Stuart Brown permalink
      October 12, 2021 12:00 pm

      In desperation the Moon is moving further away…

    • Duker permalink
      October 14, 2021 9:12 am

      Interesting point. The tidal range varies so much over the world but the UK of up to of 7-10m is extra ordinary

  8. arfurbryant permalink
    October 12, 2021 11:42 am

    Oh Dear, yet another piece of waffle by newspapers based on false assumptions from people (I hesitate to use the word scientists) who have an alarmist agenda.
    The fact is the satellite measurements do not give sea level rise at coastal regions, just an approximate centre-of-ocean measurement and that is based on average against a geodetic mean.
    There is zero thermal expansion along the coast. Why? Because there is no significant water depth at the average water line! Thermal expansion is based on a very small percentage of the warmable depth which could be up to 100m in the ocean but zero at a beach! So there is no empirical evidence to support the wailing alarm of towns being inundated due to a metre rise any time this century. Coastal sea level rise is negative in Northern stations (Scandinavia, Arctic coasts and much of Alaska). The idea that one can factor the volume of global water with a thermal expansion is just drivel. The planet is not making more H2O molecules!

  9. Hawklord permalink
    October 12, 2021 12:04 pm

    The majority of Scotland is still benefiting from the gift that keeps on giving. No, not the egregious Barnett Formula, but post-glacial rebound/adjustment. So they’re still rising whilst the south & south-east of the U.K. are sinking. The rate averages around 1cm per year.
    In cities like London that rate can be affected due to the cumulative effect of century upon century of constantly building larger& heavier structures onto a clay base + increasing water abstraction.

    Near the other end of the scale, somewhere like Finland is actually increasing in land area by around seven square kilometres per year as shown from gps figures taken from the BIFROST GPS network which was created to measure crustal deformation in Fennoscandia. It’s estimated that globally post glacial adjustment will continue for another ten thousand years, with the final level of uplift at centres of the areas of rebound being up to several hundred metres, dependent on the initial ice loading.

    Puts the actual rate of sea-level rise from the usual suspects in the shade ~ and no amount of the current false holy grail of carbon reduction or other idiocies will have the slightest effect upon the process.

    Funny how the Biased Bullsh*t Corporation & others never seem to mention that when they talk about the ‘imminent’ threat of disastrous London flooding due to ‘Man-Made Climate Change Sea Level Rise’. Probably because ~ as with the majority of the climate change cult ~ they don’t seem to have anyone with the attention span to consider anything beyond a few decades worth of cherry-picked & manipulated data whilst at the same time ridiculing/victimising/ignoring anyone with a provably valid but contrasting viewpoint.

  10. David Wild permalink
    October 12, 2021 12:21 pm

    I have a recollection the the UK is tilting. The North is rising, whilst the South is descending. The pivot point is, very roughly from St Davids to The Wash. If this is so, why the !&%$@ are the Scots at all worried?
    Also, do these cretins not understand the at least some of the seas’ rising is due to millions of rivers carrying soil and other debris to the sea. Still, I guess you can’t scare people into The Great Reset with that story.

    • Hawklord permalink
      October 12, 2021 1:49 pm

      Yep, The Great Back To The Stone Age Socialist Reset is current flavour of the day. Next year of course it may be different. Back in the 1970’s we were ‘guaranteed’ to be entering a new mini Ice Age ~ I remember that Jethro Tull’s 1974 album ‘WarChild’ included ‘Skating Away On The Thin Ice Of The New Day’ (originally written & recorded in 1973) which Ian Anderson refers to as ‘The climate change song’ written because of the promised incoming mini ice age caused by prevalent global cooling & their 1979 album ‘Stormwatch’ had a track titled ‘Something’s On The Move’ about glaciers covering London Town. So two songs inspired by the same then current scientific consensus over a period of six years. It’s interesting to ponder what would have happened if we’d had the curse of ‘soshal meedja’ back then & what all the oh-so-brave activists would have been expecting us all to do……actually, instead of ‘expecting’ that should have read ‘demanding’(with menaces).

      Unlike the CO2 nonsense, ordinary water vapour has a far greater ‘greenhouse’ effect, since it forms 80% of greenhouse atmospheric gases by mass. CO2 accounts for between perhaps 9 to 26% of the greenhouse effect whilst boringly everyday water vapour & clouds contributes 66 to 85% of the total effect.
      Ever hear that on the BBC or similar? Thought not. Perhaps someone should whisper this fact into the echo-chamber that is Greta’s head. Then she might stridently demand at COP26 or the UN for ‘cloud capture & storage’ with the aid of huge nets woven (from all-natural recyclable materials of course) by all the rabid climate change activists who haven’t glued themselves to roads, lampposts or preferably each other.

      I should have qualified my rebound figures as there are several different sources on the subject. There is a reported average of 1cm per annum but another example says that Scotland’s rising by at least 10cm per century whilst the south & south-east are dipping at least 5cm per century. Another says London’s sinking up to 1cm per annum, escalated by water abstraction & the sheer weight of the city on the clay substrate. It is, nevertheless, a real geological process & should be included in the ongoing debate.

    • Eddie P permalink
      October 12, 2021 4:32 pm

      When studying at uni in the late 50’s we were told about the ‘Braintree axis’ for this tilt.

  11. Broadlands permalink
    October 12, 2021 1:49 pm

    “Despite this insidious, steadily growing threat, global carbon emissions continue to go up as the nations of the world continue to fail to rise to the challenge of protecting themselves against it.”

    When will these alarmists understand that rapid urgent reductions in carbon fuel emissions will create “unprecedented” petrol shortages and higher prices for transportation everywhere? That can only lead to social and economic disasters…wars? And lowering emissions does not lower the CO2 in the atmosphere anyhow. The COP26 “box” seems to be filling up with even dimmer bulbs.

  12. ThinkingScientist permalink
    October 12, 2021 5:08 pm

    The claim arises, I think, because of AR6. They are reporting the merged, spliced and smoothed tide gauge plus satellite data. Of course its nonsense, as Willis Eschenbach at WUWT demonstrated there is no overlap in the rates or error bars for satellite and tide gauge data so you can’t merge them scientifically. Its an article called “Inside the Acceleration Factory” or something.

    Plus there is the issue of the successive satellites showing shifts. Delete offending data and smooth it all together and – Hey Presto! – accelerating sea level rise.

    I was planning on a short note to my MP to point out the lie, but haven’t got round to ti yet.

  13. October 12, 2021 5:53 pm

    This journo is probably based in Edinburgh or Glasgow. If so he/she could easily get to the coast to check on this ‘faster and faster’ sea level rise. Good luck with finding it 🤣

  14. Harry Davidson permalink
    October 12, 2021 6:56 pm

    The Scotsman support Splurgeon, so lying has become such a habit they don’t even know when they are doing it anymore.

  15. Brian O'Hara permalink
    October 13, 2021 3:05 pm

    During a news brief from the June 2021 G7 Summit, held in Cornwall, the leaders were photographed in front of a bay, which was compared to a photograph taken at the same time of day 100 years ago. There was, absolutely, no difference in sea level. As it’s so difficult to present written evidence, perhaps photographic evidence is the way to prove that sea-levels are not going to rise 20 feet, as Al Gore once prophesised. If everybody sent in photo of their local beech with a similar photo, taken pre-war, maybe people will believe their eyes if not written proof?

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