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Record Grain Harvest In India

October 26, 2021
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By Paul Homewood


India has hit another record high for production of food grains this year:




Output is measured from July to June, so this year’s record is a reflection of the bountiful monsoon last year.

This year’s monsoon has also been good. Measured over the traditional June to September period, rainfall was spot on the average. However, the monsoon actually continued well into October, officially ending on Oct 25th, the seventh-most delayed retreat since 1975.


daily evolution of All India Summer Monsoon Rainfall, cumulative, 2021

All India Rainfall – 2021

As a result, next year’s harvest is also expected to be good.


NEW DELHI: The recently-concluded normal monsoon season will provide a much-needed cushion to both India’s agriculture and inflation in 2021-22, said India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) in a report. According to the report, the arrival of the new kharif [Autumn harvest] output in the market, along with a cut in the import duties for edible oils, will help in keeping food inflation benign.

Long term monsoon rainfall trends show little movement one way or the other. The notably dry period in the 1960s through 1980s was a direct result of global cooling, which pushed the tropical rainfall bands towards the equator.

All India Summer Monsoon Rainfall based on IITM/IMD homogenous Indian monthly rainfall data

  1. Broadlands permalink
    October 26, 2021 4:09 pm

    It’s important to remember that the monsoons are like the ENSO, they are part of Earth’s natural variability and have been taking place for thousands of years. Man-made CO2 (AGW) has no impact on them. No meaningful correlation. One of the most devastating monsoons took place in 1877, a year of a strong El-Nino.

  2. 1saveenergy permalink
    October 26, 2021 4:12 pm

    Nature just loves a bit if extra airborne fertilizer, lets get to 900ppm soon.

  3. John Hultquist permalink
    October 26, 2021 4:52 pm

    Better plants, better weather, and more CO2 –> = more food.

    What about technology? New technology and directed research lead to greater productivity.
    If this happens in India, what will happen to the millions of folks now producing food?

  4. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    October 26, 2021 5:59 pm

    Good for India !
    An unbelievable place with very lovely people.

  5. Harry Passfield permalink
    October 26, 2021 6:47 pm

    You won’t see that stat broadcast at COP26. But had the harvest been just 1% below average it would have been plastered all over the place.

  6. John Winward permalink
    October 27, 2021 3:33 am

    The Guardian is going to hate this.

  7. Stephen Lord permalink
    October 27, 2021 6:30 am

    Is it not also a reflection of higher CO2 in theatmosphere. Only a .65% increase though in CO2.

    • October 27, 2021 3:51 pm

      That could equate to the entire increase. it isn’t a straight swap you know. 0.65% extra CO2 doesn’t necessarily equate to a 0.65% increase or decrease in anything.

  8. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    October 27, 2021 11:43 am

    It is heartening to hear positive news regarding food production in India.
    They have had a tough time regarding Monsanto, privatisation of seeds, and cotton production requiring so much water.
    And of course the rolling electricity blackouts keep life complex at times.
    With so many mouths to feed daily the people are fantastic. I hope the weather, monsoons and all continue to be in people’s favour.

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