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Environment Agency Stokes Flood Fears

November 26, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

The Daily Express is well known for its fake warnings of weather apocalypse, supplied by the likes of Exacta Weather, in the last few years – there’s always, supposedly a heatwave, blizzard, superstorm or flood just around the corner.

The only trouble is they never arrive. This has long been a source of mirth amongst Express readers.

 

However, under its new, woke, left wing, remoaner editor, Gary Jones, the Express has launched its Green Britain Campaign. This week it features fake warnings of apocalypse not from the clowns at Exacta, but the clowns at the Met Office and Environment Agency:

 

 

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The link leads to this article:

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https://www.express.co.uk/life-style/property/1525547/Flooding-protect-home-evg

 

Some winters are wetter than average, and others aren’t. But climate change has nothing to do with it.

 

If we analyse the November to January rainfall records, we can see there is no such trend at all:

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Rainfall/date/England.txt

 

The Met Office has specifically referred to the period November to January, as this is the crucial determinant of winter floods. February is generally a dry month, so the traditional winter period of December to February is less significant. Also the rainfall totals leading up to the start of winter are an important factor in the severity of the floods that follow.

It is quite irresponsible for the Met Office and Environmental Agency to put their names to this rubbish. Particularly when it is obviously intended for political purposes.

As for the idea that 1.5 million homes could flood, this is sheer hysteria, calculated to scare the masses into submission. Even in the worst years, flooding never affects more than a few thousand homes, most of which are built on flood plains.

Flooding is terrible for those involved, but from a nationwide wide viewpoint is no more than an irritant. To deliberately peddle the lie that millions of people could be flooded is contemptible.

27 Comments
  1. November 26, 2021 9:59 pm

    ‘Likely because of climate change’

    That explains everything then 🙄

  2. MrGrimNasty permalink
    November 26, 2021 10:23 pm

    New Monks Farm development in Sussex, not a flood concern apparently, so why is all this required!

    https://www.theargus.co.uk/resources/images/13194132
    https://www.theargus.co.uk/resources/images/13194134
    https://www.theargus.co.uk/resources/images/13194138

  3. November 26, 2021 10:36 pm

    So true Paul !

    How about this for a little more input ?

    The docks at the Tower of London were built by William the Conqueror in the 11th century. The paintings on the wall of the British museum, stand as proof. Built in the middle of the Medieval Warming Period while the Vikings were living on Greenland. Somewhere between 10 & 20% of the Greenland Ice Pack was gone at that time. By current predictions, the water in London would have been 20’ higher then than it is today. By extension, those docks should be 20’ above water in 1750 . . . the coldest year in 2,500 years . . . they were not. (Reverse thinking)

    Nor have they ever been. The Docks at the Tower are 4’ plus or minus above water as they always have been. History speaks volumes while conjecture on what might happen as temperatures rise is extremism without merit, augmenting, ‘fear-mongering’ and the Environmentalist Narrative. Historical facts have proven and continue to contradict these false predictions about what may happen as the Greenland Ice Pack recedes. Absent of any proof in Historical records or from Science whatsoever. Global Warming will not bring higher sea levels. History has factually proven to the contrary. See photos of the Docks at The Tower of London today and compare to the paintings from the 11th century or from 1750. The more things change . . . the more they stay the same !!

    Gyers stabilize the Ocean’s levels. Nature Rules Life on Earth . . . NOT humans !! They rise and fall in keeping with the volumes of water contained within the Oceans.

  4. cookers52 permalink
    November 26, 2021 11:08 pm

    The 1.5million homes at risk of flooding is true, as that is correct for the number of homes covered by 1 in 100 year flood extents. But of course only a fraction are affected in any particular flood event.

    To alleviate these issues when flood plain development is allowed the latest development fashion is for sustainable drainage systems which fall into disrepair over time. So then properties flood due to lack of regulatory oversight.

    • November 27, 2021 12:03 am

      Exactly !!

      Too busy dealing with other stuff until it’s Too late . . . THEN the finger pointers come out !

  5. November 26, 2021 11:10 pm

    Not our fault. Building on floodplain with poor dikes not our fault period. Give us more money for general stuff to spend on our friends’ cool, Green, vote getting projects.

    Just happened in BC, Canada. They don’t mention the flooded area is a former (drained) lake bed.

    • November 26, 2021 11:58 pm

      Very true . . . Good point . . . I am from BC, Canada Because a dyke that stood for 70 years got washed out in one place . . . all the water came rushing in . . . from 3 overflowing converging rivers.

      But in the mountains on the 4 lane Highway # 5, 7 bridges were washed away making 130 kilometers of the Highway impassable.

      The Trans Canada Highway had 3 Bridges wash out . . . Impassible.

      Canadian National Railway and The Canadian Pacific Railway had bridge wash outs in the Mountains. Shut Down.

      ALL Freight in and out of BC has been cut off for 10 days . . . 5 Billion in trade impossible . . . 162 ships are moored waiting to offloaded at the Port of Vancouver . . . NOT because a lake bed was drained . . .

      Because we received 9″ or 23 cm. of rain in 5 days . . .

      Humanity’s Plans and Calculations are nothing against Mother Nature’s POWER !!!

      The Cycles of Nature will always trump anything humans plan for or ever think could happen!

    • Malcolm Bell permalink
      November 27, 2021 10:28 am

      — and my friend who lives in Oregon says the lakebed area is kept dry all year round by big diesel pumps moving 50,000 gallons a minute, day and night. Not clever.

  6. cookers52 permalink
    November 27, 2021 12:25 am

    Following the devastating UK 2007 flooding parliament passed legislation called the Flood and Water Management Act 2010 to make sure the lack of regulations and oversight that made things worse never happened again.

    However the government have not enacted large parts of the Act, in consequence the same things will happen again, but like last time it will all be blamed on climate change.

    • November 27, 2021 1:10 am

      EXACTLT . . . the new SCAPE GOAT . . . for ALL things NATURAL . . . Human Stupidity, Ignorance and a failure to plan and Execute the Plan !!

    • November 27, 2021 7:44 am

      I believe that about 10% of new homes are still being built on flood plains. The amazing thing is that people still buy them. But there is no cure for stupidity.

      I have lived in four houses, and the first consideration has always been “Is it likely to get flooded”?

  7. Gamecock permalink
    November 27, 2021 2:52 am

    All long range weather forecasts are for entertainment purposes.

    Agree with douglasproctor. The public is not responsible for people’s property.

    “Your house on the creek got flooded? Why is that my problem?”

  8. November 27, 2021 7:39 am

    Is that true or did you hear it on the BBC?
    Is that true or did you hear it from the Met Office?
    Is that true or did you read it in the Express?
    etc
    etc
    etc

  9. Coeur de Lion permalink
    November 27, 2021 7:56 am

    “February Fill-Dyke”?

  10. cookers52 permalink
    November 27, 2021 8:15 am

    The existing planning control framework allows building on certain parts of flood risk zones as long as loss of flood plain compensation measures etc are taken.

    However these compensation measures are usually lake’s, ponds, channels etc that need maintenance throughout their life, local councils or the EA are NOT responsible for these things, after a few years the developer passes responsibility on to Mr Nobody so the flood alleviation fails.
    The Flood and Water Management Act would have made local councils responsible, but the government decided not to bother because the projected whole life cost of looking after these things is greater than the loss caused by flooding, but as always there is a great deal of uncertainty.

    The cost of keeping these things maintained actua

  11. David V permalink
    November 27, 2021 8:41 am

    Next time you look at a river, consider how the valley through which it flows was formed – it was the foods that did it…

    • David V permalink
      November 27, 2021 8:41 am

      Floods!

  12. Mad Mike permalink
    November 27, 2021 9:13 am

    When it comes to river management the EA, which is mainly responsible for our river systems, is not fit for purpose. It’s main role, as it sees it, is to promote bio-diversity. Gone are the days of river dredging etc. In my village we have a running battle with the EA which has control of an overflow channel that was built to alleviate the pressure on our main river when the flow threatens cause flooding. The EA sees the need to get rid of the annual silt build up but sees the answer as allowing as much water as possible to flow down the river to do the job and is very reluctant to use the overflow channel until a crisis is reached.

    The problem with their pet idea is that the weeds, which they refuse to clear due to it’s bio-diversity aims, cling on to the silt and silt is only washed through where there are gaps between the weeds so overall the river is silting up.

    We also have a water meadow on one side of the river and this floods most years taking some pressure off the river. This year the EA have placed soil/sand bags at low points along the river bank to stop any overflow in to the water meadow. This is to keep as much water as possible in the river to help with the silt clearing which doesn’t work as I stated before. We don’t know what this will do with regards to flooding but it can hardly be termed a flood prevention scheme.

    So fixated with their bio-diversity policy we, living along the river, have been told that we will need a license to instigate any weed clearing or amendments within 8 meters of the river bank even though we have riparian rights and responsibilities to look after the river.

    As I said before, the EA, in it’s role of river management, is not fit for purpose so warnings about flood alleviation etc. from them ring very hollow indeed.

    • November 27, 2021 9:28 am

      I too am a riparian owner, but we (my farming neighbours and I) do what is necessary to keep the river flowing (i.e. removing dead branches and other debris etc) and to stop the river from undermining the bridge foundations. Highways (well the actual Highways workers who maintain the lanes and bridges) are happy that we do what is sensible and necessary. The problem is, as always, higher up the chain of command, where sense and knowledge of the real world is in short supply.

    • David V permalink
      November 27, 2021 2:09 pm

      There’s another problem with that. Water meadows have a unique and diverse flora which is maintained by the frequent winter flooding – stop that and pretty soon the plants will change and the unique meadow flora is lost.

  13. cookers52 permalink
    November 27, 2021 9:43 am

    Before criticism is levelled at the EA just remember who gives them the operating frameworks that they have to adhere to.

    It is parliament and government that have decided these frameworks on your behalf after careful consideration of all the issues. Expert opinions vary.

    However it doesn’t help when after such careful consideration by parliament that the government of the day decides to do something different and ignores parliament, because it has short term goals.

  14. Harry Passfield permalink
    November 27, 2021 10:27 am

    Slightly O/T, Paul, but this piece in the DT by Zak Goldsmith about Drax is quite illuminating. He actually admits that there might be something wrong with the claim that burning wood pellets at Drax is ‘carbon neutral’.
    There are some classic quotes in it that could come back to bite him. My favourite is: “I’m not an expert on this, and I probably will never be an expert, but I will be looking more in detail.”
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/drax/

  15. Bloke down the pub permalink
    November 27, 2021 1:50 pm

    TBF the claim is only that 1.5 million homes are at risk. In any wet winter those same homes will be ‘at risk’, though the roll of the dice means that the majority will not be adversely affected.

  16. dennisambler permalink
    November 28, 2021 11:08 am

    It was a lot more difficult to deal with flooding in the days before petrol and diesel engined boats, diesel powered pumps, diggers, SUV’s, helicopters and mobile phones.

    The British Hydrological Society has a massive searchable database on floods and drought.
    https://www.cbhe.hydrology.org.uk/index.php

    Click on “search events” and pick a river, get a full history of events for that river. Great records showing how much flooding there has always been and how much worse than now on very may occasions.

  17. dennisambler permalink
    November 28, 2021 11:14 am

    “Many” occasions! Including this: 1216 London: “It is recorded that in 1216 people have rowed through the Great Hall of Westminster whose floor lay covered in fish as the floods receded”

  18. 2hmp permalink
    November 28, 2021 12:05 pm

    Contemptible. That’s the Daily Express for you.

  19. John Wainwright permalink
    November 29, 2021 9:18 am

    Just like that ‘barbecue summer’ a few years ago, I’m waiting for yet another prediction from those clowns to go ‘t#ts up’. They jeep telling us what’s going to happen in 20 or 30 years time, but can’t even get next week right most of the time.

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