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BBC’s Fake Hurricane Season Claim

December 4, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

 

How the BBC twist the facts:

 

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The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season has now officially ended, and it’s been the third most active on record.

Though the last month has seen little tropical storm activity, all the pre-determined names have been exhausted for the second year in a row.

There were 21 named tropical storms, including seven hurricanes, four of which were major hurricanes – where wind speeds were 111mph or greater.

This puts 2021 behind 2020 and 2015 – the first and second most active years.

Matthew Rosencrans, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (Noaa) Climate Prediction Center in the US, said: "Climate factors, which include La Nina, above normal sea surface temperatures earlier in the season, and above average West African Monsoon rainfall were the primary contributors for this above average hurricane season."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-59489559

 

In fact this year was nowhere near the third most active for hurricanes. Since 1851, there have been 50 other years with as many or more than the seven recorded this year in the Atlantic.

Neither was it a particularly active season for major hurricanes. There have been 29 other years with as many or more:

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 https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2021/11/30/atlantic-hurricane-season-2021/

It is true that this year has had the third highest count of TROPICAL STORMS, a category which includes weaker storms as well as hurricanes. But this is largely due to changes in observing practices. Nowadays every single storm is monitored by satellite, whereas in the past many crossed the ocean unobserved.

 Dr Neil Frank, who was Director of the US National Hurricane Center from 1974 to 1987 goes further, maintaining that many of the storms now named would not have been in his day.

He made two particular complaints about current methods last year:

1) Many named storms are actually winter storms, not tropical storms. He states that the first six tropical storms last year would not have been counted in his time.

2) Nowadays the NHC rushes to name a storm, simply based on wind speeds. His team would have waited until the central pressure dropped to confirm that it really was a tropical storm, and not just a thunderstorm. This often explains why named storms are often so short lasting now.

 

Even the BBC admitted earlier this year that increasing numbers of hurricanes were due to changing observation practices and not global warming, in article written by the same Simon King!

 

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The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on 1 June. But over the past six years, significant storms have been forming earlier than this. So does the hurricane season need to start earlier – and is climate change to blame?

At a regional meeting of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) this week, meteorologists and officials will be discussing a possible change to how the hurricane season is defined.

"The 2020 hurricane season was one of the most challenging in the 40-year history of [the] WMO’s Tropical Cyclone Programme," says WMO Secretary-General Prof Petteri Taalas.

"The record number of hurricanes combined with Covid-19 to create, literally, the perfect storm."

The hurricane season has officially started on the 1 June since the mid-1960s, when hurricane reconnaissance planes would start routine trips into the Atlantic to spot storm development.

Over the past 10 to 15 years, though, named storms have formed prior to the official start about 50% of the time.

And the way they are defined and observed has changed significantly over time.

"Many of these storms are short-lived systems that are now being identified because of better monitoring and policy changes that now name sub-tropical storms," Dennis Feltgen, meteorologist at the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) told BBC Weather.

Is climate change playing a role?

The number of named storms has increased over the decades, but there is no real evidence this is the result of a warming world.

Dr McNoldy notes "the big shift in counts is simply that there were several inactive seasons from 1981-1990 and several active seasons from 2011-2020".

"Once that inactive period drops out of the average, and is replaced by the active, it will increase the numbers"

The overall increase from 1961 is also likely to be due to better technology, along with observations over the Atlantic Ocean.

Since satellites came along in the 1980s, we can spot and monitor the development of tropical cyclones and name them when they meet the threshold.

We are simply able to record more.

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2021/03/16/increasing-hurricane-frequency-due-to-better-observation-not-climate-change-bbc/

Looks like poor Simon King must have been sent to the Harrabin Re-education Camp!

15 Comments
  1. December 4, 2021 11:57 am

    BBC climate catastrophists have to write or say something as often as possible, and it has to stir up the public somehow. Any excuse however feeble will do.

    • December 4, 2021 1:01 pm

      Is that true, or did you hear it on the BBC?

      • Phil O'Sophical permalink
        December 4, 2021 1:39 pm

        After accusations of bias and misinformation, the BBC simply repeats its mantra that they are the most trusted news source in the country.

        Sadly it may be true, but of course trusted and trustworthy are two quite different things.

        Many people trusted Jimmy Saville and Harold Shipman.

      • T Walker permalink
        December 4, 2021 7:14 pm

        Beat me to it Phillip.

  2. December 4, 2021 12:20 pm

    Is that building supposed to show hurricane damage? Why are the deciduous trees in the background perfect? Why are the various poles not damaged while a brick building is? The roof of the adjoining building shows no damage. This looks like a demolition the way the bricks are arranged. But it is NOT hurricane damage.

    • Mack permalink
      December 4, 2021 1:00 pm

      I see your point Joan but I think the building shown is in Houma, Louisiana and collapsed after Hurricane Ida popped ashore. The adjacent restaurant only lost a few roof tiles so the photographed structure may not have been completely sound in the first place.

      • Gamecock permalink
        December 4, 2021 9:30 pm

        The ironing being that the tenant of the collapsed 7905 W Main in Houma is an architect.

        More starch on the ironing. The Terrebonne Bayou, like a canal behind the building, flooded because of the flood gate.

        The eye of the storm came in East of Houma, so they got the backside, less powerful, winds from the storm. As Joan notes, the trees appear undamaged.

        The northerly wind direction pushed water down into the bayou, and, with the flood gate CLOSED, it backed up behind it!

        Flood gates aren’t check valves; they block the water BOTH directions.

    • Harry Davidson permalink
      December 4, 2021 1:26 pm

      Hurricane Michael set a new standard for considerate Cat 5 hurricanes, only tearing one corner of a roof back on modern housing 100 metres from the beach. Didn’t even break any windows.

      You see, nature knows that we are starting to respect her, so she is making her hurricanes be kind to us.

      What will they do if they get another Labor Day? Send an underling to stand in the middle and report it, natch.

  3. David Wojick permalink
    December 4, 2021 12:45 pm

    An interesting point: “… policy changes that now name sub-tropical storms”. In short, alarmist semantics are increasing, not bad weather.

    This is worth a serious laugh.

  4. David Wojick permalink
    December 4, 2021 12:50 pm

    This is off topic but worth knowing about:
    https://www.cfact.org/2021/12/04/clintel-trilogy-calls-on-heads-of-government-young-people-and-climate-scientists-to-wake-up/

    The message to young people is especially interesting and new.

  5. PaulM permalink
    December 4, 2021 1:03 pm

    Once again kudos to Paul for his impeccable attention to detail!

  6. Coeur de Lion permalink
    December 4, 2021 2:04 pm

    The UK Met Office’s adoption of ‘named storms’ is purely from the alarmist playbook. Storm this, storm that,storm, storm, storm. Oooh we are like American hurricanes! As a yottie, we used to say; “stay in, fellers, another dartboard coming up-Channel”

  7. David permalink
    December 4, 2021 2:19 pm

    The climate industry will not miss a trick to promote their propaganda

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