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Storm Eunice

February 17, 2022

By Paul Homewood


Eunice is on the way –stay safe:




There is no doubt according to the forecasts that Storm Eunice will be one of the strongest storms in recent years. The Bristol Channel area will be particularly affected.


In true BBC fashion, however, they have hyped it up into something it is not, or at least hopefully won’t be:


So let’s get this absolutely straight now, the Burns Day storm was much, much worse:


Bear in mind these are knots, not mph – 1kt = 1.15 mph. Wind gusts of over 80kts plus (92 mph) were widespread inland and away from highly exposed coastal sites. Top speed was 107 mph at Aberporth. Avonmouth clocked 97 mph while Sheerness across in Kent went higher at 101 mph.


The latest Met Office forecast suggest winds of 80 to 90 mph along the Bristol Channel. There is nothing to suggest anything much above 90 mph. except at the top of a high, exposed cliff top.

Further north, winds of 70kts and over (80 mph) were widespread in 1990. Here in Sheffield we are expecting maximum winds of 60 mph tomorrow:


Sadly I have no doubt that the BBC/Met Office will cherry pick a few cliff top and high level sites to claim 100 mph winds. Shame on them if they do, for making political propaganda out of a human tragedy.

Storm Dudley

While we’re at it, let’s take a look back at Storm Dudley, which I seem to recall had forecasts of over 100 mph winds.

In reality, it turned out to be just a typical winter storm. As usual the Met Office use unsuitable and unrepresentative sites for top gusts. Capel Curig is half way up a mountain in Snowdonia. Emley Moor, which I often cycle up, is about 800 ft up where the ITV TV mast is, and so on.


One of the saddest things about the Met Office’s determination to give every storm that passes our way a silly name is that it detracts from the really memorable events.

In twenty years time, who will remember Eunice? It will just be another in a long line of run of the mill storms. By contrast, the Burns Day storm or the Great Storm of 1987 will rightly be remembered for many years to come, precisely because they were extraordinary and were rightly named as such at the time.

  1. February 17, 2022 9:48 pm

    So it’s ‘unprecedented’ then??!!

  2. Derek Wood permalink
    February 17, 2022 9:52 pm

    Speaking of storms being given names, The Great Storm of 1987 is known in my house as “The Michael Fish Storm”!

    • T Walker permalink
      February 18, 2022 9:57 am

      Just “Storm Michael” now Derek to cover his blushes. OR in these days where everything is apocalyptic “Hurricane Michael”

  3. Ray Sanders permalink
    February 17, 2022 10:07 pm

    I guess everyone (who was around at the great Storm of 1987) has a memorable tale to tell. One of mine was driving along the A20 and being overtaken by a tent! Let’s see what this current event actually brings but i seriously doubt (and hope) it will be anything like as severe.

    • dennisambler permalink
      February 18, 2022 11:56 am

      I slept right through it, never heard a thing…

      • that man permalink
        February 18, 2022 12:44 pm

        …even though you were in the tent?? 😉

  4. Ann farmer permalink
    February 17, 2022 10:14 pm

    Copy of letter to the Daily Express:

    Dear Sir,

    To frack or not to frack: a seismic issue left blowing in the wind?

    Tim Newark, political commentator for the Express, challenges the current UK ban on fracking for shale gas, of which there is an abundant supply; he argues that we are sitting on an ‘energy goldmine’, pointing out that ‘the UK is missing out on billions of pounds from exporting gas to the rest of the world’, while last year, ‘our trade deficit in natural gas almost doubled from £2.6billion to £4.7billion’.

    In contrast, ‘in the US the domestic price of gas has barely risen because of their own huge shale gas reserves’. As to ‘[f]ears of earth tremors’, he says these ‘have been much overplayed by opponents of fracking’, and although ‘an earthquake of 2.4’ on the Richter scale ‘led to the ban in Lancashire’, it would be ‘termed minor by international standards and happens millions of times a year globally, more like the effect of a large truck rumbling by. With the improved use of seismic monitors, earth-shaking issues can be anticipated and reduced’ (‘Fracking ban means we’re missing out on energy goldmine’, *Daily Express*, February 16, 2022).

    Mr Newark is right: we need to consider not just ‘green’ issues but energy security, especially in the context of European over-reliance on Russian gas, which has added an extra element of peril to the dangerous situation in the Ukraine.

    Quite understandably, residents in potential fracking areas are concerned about reports of earthquakes caused by extracting the shale gas, notably the 2.4 earthquake that prompted the Lancashire fracking ban, but as he notes, earthquakes, some of them so mild as not to be noticed, happen all the time. And this is not a new thing: in 1884, an earthquake in Colchester, Essex, measured 4.6 on the Richter scale; lasting a mere 20 seconds it was reckoned to be the worst since the Dover Straits earthquake of 1580 – both of them occurring long before claims of ‘climate change’ grabbed the headline.

    Mr Newark notes that ‘[m]uch of the objection to shale gas is coming from anti-capitalist protesters who are using green arguments to shackle our economy’, and it is interesting that at its most fanatical, the ‘green’ campaign is fundamentally anti-democratic, since we still have just one Green Party MP in Parliament and yet our public policy is being shaped by their priorities. This is regardless of the impact on the living standards of the vast majority, and is set to get a lot worse, costing the taxpayer trillions of pounds.

    As he warns: ‘The current cost of living crisis is a sign of where this rush to Net Zero can lead if we are not more cautious.’

    Even more sinister, its most zealous supporters, in demanding curbs on the number of potential voters, are effectively attacking democracy by attacking the very basis of our democracy h ttps://

    – even while our birth rates go into free fall.

    While many in the environmental campaign seem sincere, even if misguided, in calling for a halt to progress, some of its most prominent advocates seem to be forming a new elite whose main purpose is to lecture the rest of the world – especially the poorer countries – on the need to ‘go green’, even while their habitual use of yachts and jets suggests they do not really believe in the sermons they preach.

    But then, in this post-democratic era, who better than the rich to teach the poor how to be mean?

    Meanwhile, on Monday a 300 foot wind turbine was ‘blown over’ by ‘heavy gales’; ‘reduced to a crumpled heap’ thanks to ‘stormy weather’, the ‘£20million turbine, double the height of Nelson’s Column, snapped apart as its blades struggled in the raging winds’, while ‘[f]amilies in the nearly village of Gilfach Goch, south Wales, said the crash … sounded like “thunder and lightning”’; villager Sharon Westgate commented: ‘“We need to start saying no to these surely? Thank God nobody was hurt”‘ (‘Villagers shocked as giant turbine blown over … by heavy gales’, *Daily Express*, February 16, 2022).

    Environmentalists would no doubt claim that such gales are caused by ‘climate change’, but again, gales are nothing new in this country, and while the danger of earthquakes caused by fracking has dogged the energy debate, few, it seems, have given much thought to the dangers of windmills blowing down in the wind. In yet more irony, the ‘11-turbine Fforch Nest wind farm opened in 2013 to give power to 19,000 homes’, even though South Wales used to be famed as a proud producer of high-quality coal. However, while much hot air has been expended over the plight of the post-industrial parts of the UK, very little has been done to reclaim our historical reputation as the ‘workshop of the world’ – lest it dent the ‘green’ agenda, naturally.

    All that ‘free’ wind energy has turned out to be more expensive than we were told, not least because it is heavily subsidised by the taxpayer,

    but we must get to grips with this green madness before the frail and elderly end up freezing to death because of global warming. The question ‘to frack or not to frack’ may be a seismic issue, but we cannot afford to leave it blowing in the wind for very much longer.

    Yours faithfully,

    Mrs A. E. Farmer.


    On Thu, 17 Feb 2022 at 21:45, NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT wrote:

    > Paul Homewood posted: “By Paul Homewood Eunice is on the way –stay safe: > There is no doubt according > to the forecasts that Storm Eunice will be one of the strongest storms in > recent years. The Bristol ” >

    • Vernon E permalink
      February 18, 2022 2:17 pm

      Mrs Farmer: I’m not sure what you are getting at here. The issue under debate is whether fracking causes earthquakes. Cuadrilla (and all fracking in UK) was stopped because they far exceeded their agreed seismic disturbance magnitude (to 2.7 versus the governments 0.5). Both are at fault. Cuadrilla chanced their arm and the government figure was (is) stupidly low. Where do we go from here? For reference, in 2011 fracking in Barnett Shale in Youngston, Ohio, induced a Magnitude 3.9 quake and in Irving near Dallas in Marcellus Shale fracking induced a Magnitude 3.6 quake and in both cases ground level disturbances were severe (buildings shaking etc). Until a compromise is agreed this subject is frozen.

  5. John Smith permalink
    February 17, 2022 10:53 pm

    The ‘Great Storm’ of 1953 that killed over 300 in the Uk alone hardly ever gets a mention

    • February 18, 2022 2:55 am

      I remember 1953 it was a great storm and the loss of the ferry Princess Victoria in the Irish Sea and loss of 133 lives. For me personally the tidal surge made for excellent beach combing at Tynemouth and the high winds were memorable. The devastation around the North Sea was horrendous and well above RED in todays parlance.

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        February 18, 2022 9:10 am

        Would that not also be the time of the Lynemouth flood?

      • T Walker permalink
        February 18, 2022 10:08 am

        Harry, the Lynmouth flood disaster was the year before 15th August 1952 – a heavy rain event – 9 inches in the day up on the moors, with most it falling in few hours.

        The east coast storm surge was January 31st 1953. As John Smith says above more than 300 died in the UK – 1500 died in Holland I believe.

        If we had these happenings now – it would be due to Climate Change!!!!!

      • ThinkingScientist permalink
        February 18, 2022 10:58 am

        Lynmouth 1952 was a local cloudburst from a big summer thunderstorm rather than a cyclone, I think.

  6. Martin Brumby permalink
    February 17, 2022 11:10 pm

    What about one of Sheffield’s many claims to fame?

    The 1962 Great Storm?
    I know you were nowt but a lad, but did yer Dad never mention it?

    Sincerely hope Storm Useless isn’t that bad.

    Keep Safe!

  7. Coeur de Lion permalink
    February 17, 2022 11:16 pm

    I’ll worry when an 80 ton vessel is blown over Chesil beach into Portland Harbour (1704?)

  8. ThinkingScientist permalink
    February 17, 2022 11:28 pm

    Let’s not forget the great storm of 1703. 4,000 oaks brought down in New Forest.

    Or 1607 in the Bristol Channel.

    Or 1362 which caused significant damage to Salisbury and Winchester cathedrals.

    • Ian Wilson permalink
      February 18, 2022 8:11 am

      Every politician and anyone else claiming extreme weather events are increasing should read Daniel Defoe’s book The Storm about the 1703 event. It is often claimed as the first work of modern journalism and is still available today.
      Around 8,000 lives were lost including the Bishop of Bath and Wells, killed in his bed when a chimney blew down on him, and Henry Winstanley, builder of the first Eddystone Lighthouse who was inside it when it blew down.
      Of course modern ships are far more robust than 18th Century sailing vessels as is the James Douglass lighthouse compared with Winstanley’s, but it is clear the 1703 Great storm was more ferocious than any in modern times. Unless my history is badly adrift I don’t think there were many SUVs or jumbo jets around then to blame.

      • Coeur de Lion permalink
        February 18, 2022 9:04 am

        And an 80 ton vessel was blown over Chesil beach into Portland Harbour. Waiting for it again.

      • ThinkingScientist permalink
        February 18, 2022 10:45 am

        1703 sounds epic, I’ll look out for the book you reference. I recall 6,000 people were killed, but I’ll take your estimate of 8,000. Bear in mind this was at a time when the population was likely not much over 5 million, and life expectancy was under 40 years.

        So glad the greenies are trying to take us back to those idyllic times. When life was brutal and short.

  9. John Hultquist permalink
    February 18, 2022 5:06 am

    From several thousand miles west (Wash. State), my high gust today was just 52 mph. Common here, so it won’t be on the news.

  10. February 18, 2022 6:46 am

    Since the Michael Fish fiasco it has been noticeable that the Met Office (and thus the BBC) always overestimate the severity of expected weather events. Down here in Devon I am hoping they have done the same for Eunice. Only time will tell,

    • February 18, 2022 6:57 am

      That’s very true. Just public servants protecting their backs. If you forecast calamity and it’s only bad, everyone is relieved and your forecast is largely forgotten. But just forecast sunshine and there’s a single light shower and you’re the devil incarnate

  11. February 18, 2022 7:55 am

    It is Nearly 8AM on Friday

    . Here on the coast of South West England it is very breezy but does not as yet warrant being called a storm. Local schools are closed. I am anxiously eyeing my fence in the gusts. The worst is supposed to reach us over the next four hours so lets see if the fence is still standing as that will be a good test of the ferocity of the winds.

    In the 1987 storm I had a large glasshouse completely wrecked when living in Berkshire

    • February 18, 2022 8:53 am

      Its now getting on for 9am and the gusts have certainly got very much worse. I have tried to fortify the fence but it is swaying a lot. The winds are not supposed to noticeably ease until after lunch.

    • February 18, 2022 12:21 pm

      The Mail quotes a gust of 122mh at the Needles making it the ‘worst ever’.

      I have been following this on ventusky and couldn’t see a gust anywhere near that level. Anyone got better information?

      • Ray Sanders permalink
        February 18, 2022 12:41 pm

        I was guaranteeing yesterday that the “record” would be broken according to the Met Office whether or not it actually was – they had already decided what the news would be before the event!
        The Met Office are tweeting 122mph as a record conveniently forgetting the 106knots recorded at Gorleston on Sea in 1987 (an inhabited normal area) rather than the current new “record” at the Needles lighthouse – a virtually uninhabited and completely unrepresentative site.

      • February 18, 2022 1:44 pm

        I make 106 knots exactly 122 mph.

        As has been said elsewhere there are no other gusts anything like that high in the region

  12. February 18, 2022 7:57 am

    As regards Storm Dudley we were out and about in it and although breezy it was nothing special for winter

    • mikewaite permalink
      February 18, 2022 9:49 am

      Somewhere in our area, according a very distressed BBC reporter, Dudley knocked over and completely wrecked a wind turbine . As they say – its an ill wind….

      • February 18, 2022 10:08 am

        Rather than the wind I wonder f they should look to the quality of the steel? I understand it was Chinese and built to a price, but others would know more than me about its construction

      • ThinkingScientist permalink
        February 18, 2022 10:54 am

        For Storm Dudley, I can see reported one wind turbine in Cumbria lost its blades and there is the one already mentioned above in South Wales where the support tower sheared. At least that’s two down.

        Here’s hoping Storm Eunice wipes out a load more. Might make a few people pause to think that relying on wind power in the future when they are simultaneously predicting storms to get worse thus putting the turbines at increasing risk might be a rather perverse policy!

        Wind power generation currently high at 12 GW (33% of demand) but it will be interesting to see if that drops as the storm passes through and wind farms are shut in to prevent damage as a consequence.

        Blowing a hooley here in the New Forest! Unusual to get a daytime storm passing through it seems – must be climate change……I’ll get my coat.

      • It doesn't add up... permalink
        February 18, 2022 3:17 pm

        There’s definitely been feathering of turbines in gusting locations. Rampton was only reporting generation of about 15MW out of400MW capacity earlier. How much damage has been done we await to see. Gusts should be well within survival parameters, but if they drop suddenly maybe they set off a dangerous vibration.

  13. David V permalink
    February 18, 2022 8:15 am

    Poor old Michael Fish! I remember some of his infamous forecast – he started mentioning a correspondent whose mother(?) was on a cruise in the Caribbean and was worried about hurricanes. He went on to say “don’t worry, there is no hurricane” (in the Caribbean) before going on to describe a serious storm in southern England.
    A far more honest forecast than today’s nonsense.

  14. Mal Fraser permalink
    February 18, 2022 8:20 am

    Capel Curig is at the confluence of two valleys and having cycled through them quite often the tunnelling effect is quite pronounced so possibly not ideal for taking wind speeds (bbc please note).
    1987, storm Fish, I have to say the tv coverage didn’t do it justice, I/we were sent south from Co. Durham to put the telegraph poles and cables back up in Kent and East Sussex and the forestry devastation was quite remarkable. Recently I read a report that the unmanaged area’s of woodland had recovered better than the managed area’s, looks like the planet can sort itself out without human aid!

  15. February 18, 2022 8:26 am

    ‘Extremeness’ of single weather events is just an excuse for climate alarmists to be miserable about something. Where’s the science that an additional 0.1% of CO2 in the atmosphere has anything to do with it? Don’t mention climate models.

    • Mike Jackson permalink
      February 18, 2022 11:16 am

      Oh, I think we should mention climate models. And compare them at every opportunity to Covid-19 models!
      I have detected a slight shift away from believing that “latest research” shows anything useful when you point out that the “research” is only computer modelling! Something positive from the pandemic?

  16. Harry Davidson permalink
    February 18, 2022 9:10 am

    I am sitting here in South Wales at the centre of the disaster area of Storm Eunice. Outside, with unprecedented ferocity, the bullshit is raging with horrendous intensity. The bullshit is so fierce that the schools are all closed and few have made it to work this morning, and there is no football to watch.

    Tomorrow the bullshit will continue with sustained intensity. Walesonline will have a report of Carys’ bin having been blown over and Carys being terrified she was going to die (shots of Carys’ bin and Carys being terrified). They will find a tree that blew over.

    • Stuart Brown permalink
      February 18, 2022 8:59 pm

      Well, looks like it’s pretty much over in the Midlands. My bin blew over, my BBQ cover has vanished and my garden bench moved. Can I get counselling?

      More seriously though, bad weather does have consequences. RIP the 3 or 4 people who got the worst of it, and best hopes for those injured.

  17. Mal Fraser permalink
    February 18, 2022 9:22 am

    0920 hours, Holyhead port
    Average wind speed 20.8 knots (F5)
    Gust 28.1 (F7)

  18. Ian PRSY permalink
    February 18, 2022 9:27 am

    Well, true Yorkshire Grit is conspicuous by its absence today. Some ongoing local roadworks have been causing gridlock at peak times, but not today. Looks like people have rediscovered WFH.

  19. cookers52 permalink
    February 18, 2022 9:29 am

    Lovely morning in Warwickshire, a bit breezy, but I still plan to take my daily cycle ride unless things take a turn for the worse.
    Webcam at St Ives conditions looked normal nobody looked bent over into a gale.
    Forecast was wrong.

  20. grammarschoolman permalink
    February 18, 2022 9:32 am

    Judging by how calm it is in London at the moment, perhaps they should rename it Storm Useless.

  21. cookers52 permalink
    February 18, 2022 9:43 am

    You know its overhyped when the BBC can reach their news teams parked on the sea front.

  22. mwhite permalink
    February 18, 2022 10:12 am,51.97,4500

    Looking out the window, it’s nothing I haven’t seen before.

    • ThinkingScientist permalink
      February 18, 2022 11:02 am

      Great dynamic plot! Take a look at the wind at higher altitudes, like 850, 700, 500 or 250 hPa!

  23. February 18, 2022 10:17 am

    “So let’s get this absolutely straight now, the Burns Day storm was much, much worse:”

    I’m afraid that you’re being a bit previous with this statement. Storm Eunice has not even arrived yet, so there is no way that you can make that statement now.

    In 24 hours time once it is all over, then is the time to judge.

    I’d prefer the Met Office to be on the cautious side and put us all on our guard – 1987 was a harsh lesson. If we can save some lives through caution, I’m all for caution.

    • February 18, 2022 10:31 am

      I was referring to the BBC claim that:

      “The wind strengths forecast were comparable to the Burns Day storm”

      They are not

    • February 18, 2022 1:24 pm

      well I agree it isn’t over til it’s over but for now at least, where I live (North Lincs) nothing has happened yet. Just got back from a dog walk along the top of the wolds – the odd gust but not much to write home about. Predicted wind speed on BBC weather page for now is over 70mph – observations are 28mph. They’re closing the Humber Bridge based on the forecast.

  24. Mal Fraser permalink
    February 18, 2022 10:20 am

    Update 1020 hours Holyhead port 17.5 knots

  25. MrGrimNasty permalink
    February 18, 2022 10:34 am

    Strongest gusts in extreme exposure so far are high 80s/low 90s mph, but generally there is nothing particularly extreme. Could well get away without even reaching 100mph at The Needles. Noticeable lack of the promised 80mph widely inland that was promised, but strongest winds yet to reach SE.

    • February 18, 2022 12:22 pm

      See my post above, 122mph claimed at the needles

      • MrGrimNasty permalink
        February 18, 2022 12:28 pm

        Obviously nonsense.

      • February 18, 2022 1:31 pm

        A case of ‘overblowing’ their claims 🙂

      • MrGrimNasty permalink
        February 18, 2022 12:52 pm

        Some outlets are now claiming another record of just over 125mph.
        Both readings are ~30mph above anywhere else close by at the same time.
        Now whilst The Needles is a unique site and often records the highest gusts, this is an obvious error.
        But no doubt it will be verified as it suits the politics.

      • MrGrimNasty permalink
        February 18, 2022 1:45 pm

        I live within sight of the IOW right on the coast, peak winds have now gone by – 71mph was the biggest gust today. In 1987 we recorded 115mph. 122/125 mph at the Needles today is pure fantasy, the original report of a max of 92mph is credible – what happened after that? Error or mischief I would suggest.

      • February 18, 2022 1:56 pm

        Mr McNasty

        As mentioned elsewhere I have been following the storm on ventusky and the met office site. I can’t see that any other site recorded anything like 122mph. Berry Head near me or Portland bill the other side of lyme bay to me would seem to have recorded way below this value. They are normally up there with the highest as would some other sites in Cornwall and Devon

        Where did your 71m,ph come from? Do you have your own weather station?

      • MrGrimNasty permalink
        February 18, 2022 7:24 pm

        I had XCWEATHER wind speed feed on all day and 122mph was never approached, Portland and St Catherine were nowhere near 100mph.

        71mph is from an official MO coastal station – I mentioned it because I am close to the IOW and the record there is 115mph, so clearly this storm was nowhere near that special.

  26. Vernon E permalink
    February 18, 2022 11:05 am

    Goodness me, we are showing our age. Is there anyone on here who doesn’t remember the Michael Fish storm or the floods of 1952?

    • Stuart Brown permalink
      February 18, 2022 8:21 pm

      Err… Me, I was born in 57.

    • Stuart Brown permalink
      February 18, 2022 8:42 pm

      You said ‘or’. I was in Cornwall, in the Nare Hotel, the night of Storm Fish. The view of the sea in that bay (or trying to get out of it) was something else! Finding a road without a tree across it the day after…

  27. February 18, 2022 11:34 am

    Another 3 trees down in a (non-road) lane in the village, but after a recent working party where we discovered many trees inside the large growth of ivy were actually dead, doesn’t surprise me. It’s just nature’s way of providing me the opportunity to have some fun with my chainsaw 🙂

  28. John189 permalink
    February 18, 2022 11:46 am

    Storms are a regular feature of life and so are the damage and loss of life that they bring. In my lifetime the Clyde Valley Storm and the October 1987 storm may have been the strongest but they did not much affect where I live. Burns Day 1990 was far more widely felt and had much higher human casualties. However for sheer impact I remember the Sheffield storm in 1962. Although 40 miles north our house shook repeatedly as lee wave gusts slammed into it, uprooting trees and turning our neighbours’ garage into a pile of firewood. There is nothing new in Eunice.

  29. February 18, 2022 11:51 am

    Just to put the storms in some kind of context, I have put the charts for the three storms mentioned on line here … …
    While there are similarities, the two earlier storms were both deeper and more intense, but it is far better to view the reality rather than the hysterical screaming of the media !

  30. John permalink
    February 18, 2022 11:55 am

    We’ve had Eunice here in SW Ireland, it was a windy night, a bit of power outage, but it doesn’t take much to do that. Not half as bad as was hyped

  31. mwhite permalink
    February 18, 2022 12:09 pm

    Glad the bins were emptied this week.

    • that man permalink
      February 18, 2022 12:57 pm

      —but then, don’t they blow over more easily?

      • mwhite permalink
        February 18, 2022 4:19 pm

        maybe so but there’s no rubbish to fly around all over the place.

  32. that man permalink
    February 18, 2022 12:55 pm

    Storm Dudley was well named —a dud.

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