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John Kerry Praises India For Continuing To Increase Emissions

February 20, 2022
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By Paul Homewood

 

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https://asianlite.com/2022/usa/kerry-calls-out-countries-not-adopting-science/

In his speech, John Kerry states:

Commending the ambitious goals of 500 GW renewables by 2030 set by Prime Minister Narendra Modi at Glasgow (where the annual climate change summit was held in November 2021), Kerry said: “The criticality of achieving that goal was very simple. It is the only way that India itself becomes compliant with the 1.5 degrees goal, which we all ratified in Glasgow recently.”

It sounds a lot, but what impact would that 500 GW have, bearing in mind renewable capacity already stands at 152 GW?

Currently fossil fuels account for 1125 TWh a year, of which coal makes up 1125 TWh. No hydro renewables provide 10% of India’s power.

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According to the IEA, demand for electricity in India is expected to rise by 5% a year through to 2040, bringing total generation up to about 2300 TWh. If the country achieves its 500 GW target, the mix will therefore look like this:

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While the renewables share increases to 25%, similar to the current UK position, fossil fuel generation will still need to rise significantly, from 1125 to 1502 TWh. It is little surprise then that India is still building lots of coal power plants.

If we extrapolate forward to 2040, there are various scenarios in play, according to the IEA, but electricity demand will probably be in the region of 4000 TWh. They also reckon that wind and solar capacity will have grown from 450 GW to 941 GW during the 2030s.

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https://www.iea.org/reports/india-energy-outlook-2021

Plugging these numbers in, we find that although renewables contribute 31%, fossil fuels generation is more than double today’s.

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I’m not really sure how John Kerry equates with his 1.5C target, which he himself defines as a cut of emissions by 45 per cent in the course of this next eight year period,”

The reality is actually much starker, as we have only looked at the power sector. Demand for energy for industry and transport will continue to be mainly met by fossil fuels.

Even in the power sector, emissions will continue to rise till 2040, probably in the region of 20%. (Bear in mind, this is the Stated Policies Scenario, which already builds in most of Modi’s pledges at COP26).

But growth in industry and transport will likely add an extra 1300 MT CO2 to emissions.

 

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https://www.iea.org/reports/india-energy-outlook-2021

India’s emissions in 2020 were 2298 MT CO2, so will be at least 50% higher on current projections by 2040.

19 Comments
  1. Broadlands permalink
    February 20, 2022 3:35 pm

    “Demand for energy for industry and transport will continue to be mainly met by fossil fuels.”

    The words “industry” and “mainly” can be left out because transportation is required by everyone. And fossil fuels for transportation are entirely petroleum products. Even renewable biofuels are 90% fossil fuel. There is no way that zero or net zero emissions can ever be reached for that reason. John Kerry is not the only “green” one unable to understand that.

  2. Jack Broughton permalink
    February 20, 2022 4:14 pm

    Interesting to look at net zero in UK: according to BP, the UK emitted 387 mt CO2 in 2019.
    India will have increased its emissions by over 500 mt CO2 by then, Makes a total nonsense of net zero and the whole CO2 fear campaign. The UK is committing economic suicide for no world benefit (and certainly no UK benefit).

    • Broadlands permalink
      February 20, 2022 4:20 pm

      Exactly Jack. And remember that net zero (by definition) requires that whatever is emitted must be balanced by the same amount taken out. Nobody is even trying to do that in the huge amounts required. It’s an expensive academic exercise with enormous negative benefits.

      • Coeur de Lion permalink
        February 20, 2022 10:24 pm

        What chance that anyone can have any effect on the relentless rise of CO2 at c 2,5ppm a year for the foreseeable future? So we’d better just shut up snd get on with living.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      February 21, 2022 10:52 am

      Exactly. There is literally no point in the UK doing anything until China, India and others do something.

      There is lots of harm and no benefit to being a “leader”.

  3. markl permalink
    February 20, 2022 5:10 pm

    “Science” today is in the eye of the beholder.

    • February 20, 2022 5:36 pm

      Indeed. All the trace gas theory of climate effects is unsubstantiated anyway, so their so-called targets are meaningless.

    • Graeme No.3 permalink
      February 21, 2022 2:00 am

      I think that he is “in the cult” brainwashed by the repeated claims that CO2 causes warming.
      It is strange that his idea of science differs so much from reality, but my hope is that reality wins out in the end.

      • T Walker permalink
        February 21, 2022 7:49 am

        You are one of the optimists Graeme. Thank you.

  4. Dan permalink
    February 20, 2022 5:46 pm

    Ratified

  5. John Hultquist permalink
    February 20, 2022 5:56 pm

    The charts used show nuclear power not changing. I’m confused about that.
    From here:
    https://energycentral.com/news/nuclear-power-answer-indias-clean-energy-targets

    Further, the Government of India has accorded administrative approval and financial sanction for the construction of ten indigenous pressurized heavy water reactors (“PHWRs”), each with a capacity of 700 MW, to be set up in fleet mode. This is a first of its kind project for India’s nuclear power sector, as these reactors would be completely made in India.

    On progressive completion of the projects approved and under construction, it is expected that the installed nuclear capacity in India would be 22,480 MW by 2031.”

    I think “Net-Zero” and “1.5°” should be carved on John Kerry’s tombstone. We don’t want future activists to forget how silly he has been.

  6. February 20, 2022 5:58 pm

    Paul perhaps you are preparing an article about the EV-car transporter ship that’s on fire
    Here’s a new vice article https://www.vice.com/en/article/dypw5x/largest-lithium-ion-battery-in-the-world-meltdown-moss-landing

  7. Chaswarnertoo permalink
    February 20, 2022 6:41 pm

    Lurch confirms he’s a moron.

  8. February 20, 2022 8:44 pm

    Not forgetting that the installed capacity of renewables is significantly higher than average output. Even at a third availabilty figure the 500 quoted is more like 170 Gwatts. While coal generation availability depends on grid demand it is generally able to generate near 100% nameplate if required to so do. Wind cannot.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      February 21, 2022 10:55 am

      And even that doesn’t tell you the whole story. Wind averages 30%. Sometimes it’s at zero.

      Averages won’t heat my room or my food at 7pm on Thursday.

  9. Gamecock permalink
    February 21, 2022 12:09 am

    ‘Kerry calls out countries not adopting science’

    What a clown.

    And . . . the article states the the meeting was virtual. The pic of Kerry behind a podium is bogus. Unless the haughty John Kerry does virtual meetings from a podium.

  10. T Walker permalink
    February 21, 2022 7:47 am

    John Kerry. The man who 10 years ago told an international conference that a metre rise in sea level would see cities like Chicago underwater.

  11. D Hynes permalink
    February 22, 2022 4:42 am

    There have been slight ‘hints’ in the msm of countries learning to ‘adapt’ to climate change. Their green blob is starting to hit the buffers.

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