Extreme Weather Last Month? Sorry, I Must Have Missed It!
By Paul Homewood
The BBC’s weather forecasters are obviously under instruction to label our weather “extreme”, whenever the opportunity arises:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/61275197
According to Sarah Keith-Lucas, a few dry Aprils in the last few years means that Aprils are becoming more extreme at both the dry and wet ends. As usual, she is talking poppycock.
According to the Met Office data, only one April since 1980 appears in the ten driest since 1936. This was in fact last year, hence the attempt to fool the public while it is still fresh in people’s minds.
April 2012 obviously appears as an outlier as the wettest, but it is the only one on the list of wettest since 2000. It certainly is not part of any “trend”, as she claims.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Rainfall/date/UK.txt
This April ended up being only the 52nd driest in 187 years, well within the normal range. In Sarah’s world, of course, anything above or below average is extreme and must be due to global warming!
Much more significant are the seasonal trends, which show that springs have certainly been wetter than they were during the 19thC, but are little different now to the early 20thC. Springs were also noticeably much wetter in the 1980s:
The reality is that no sane person would call the weather we had last month “extreme”, unless you are a BBC weather girl.
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
The Covid / Climate link is obvious and staring everyone in the face. Just look at this garbage: https://news.sky.com/story/thousands-of-new-virus-transmissions-from-bats-projected-due-to-climate-change-scientists-forecast-12600544
WAKE UP PEOPLE !!
Covid was very real, climate change is not
Only in the minds of the fooled.
If you don’t think it was real, what on earth are you doing here on a site that sets some store by evidence based science? If you think it wasn’t real I feel sorry for you, for you must be amazingly gullible.
The science is indisputable as are the facts. Turn off the BBC & check some out.
A pretty young woman does not a data analyst make.
You saw her first….
Argumentum ad puellam pulchram fallacy.
(Argument from a pretty girl.)
She’s not that pretty.
How I prefer Katie (is it?) Humble in her furry parka going on about extinct Churchill polar bears! So pretty! So pretty!
“..a pretty girl who naked is
is worth a million statues..”
e e cummings
A wet / dry / hot / cold / windy / doldrummy / sunny / dull /exciting / boring / month worth of weather, no matter how “extreme”; cannot possibly have any bearing whatever on the “Climate”.
The Climate just keeps on doing what a Climate’s gotta do.
And even the biggest and most expensive computer in the world is incapable of predicting it with even reasonable accuracy.
Come back and wake me up in thirty years.
O/T but has anybody got anything on how, and by whom, was the IPCC formed? I know Maurice Strong was involved and his links with China are known superficially, at least by me, but others, including those funding it, must have been involved.
Download to your Kindle the two books by Donna Laframboise covering the decades of IPCC dishonesty. Second one (2013) deals with the corrupt chairmanship of Rajendra Pachauri the sexually compromised railway engineer.
GIYF
I don’t know where the idea came from but a founding member, first Chairman and editor of the first assessment report, was Sir John Haohghton, head of the UK Met Office and son of my old scripture teacher at Rhyl Grammar School (1950-1957). Father and son(s) were profoundly religious (Plymouth Brethren Methodists) and it is widely reported that Sir John believed that Global Warming (as it then was) came about as a warning from God to mend our ways.
The Cristian Faith and the Muslim faith both came to be in ‘The Dark Ages’ after two VEI 7 Volcanoes one year apart destroyed the relative calm of climate in the years 535 and 536 . . . Humanity ran for cover and found ‘Faith’ as the only salvation . . . The more things change . . . the more they stay the same . . .
Not quite ..Christianity was actually consolidated as the state religion across the Eastern Roman Empire and the remnants of Rome’s western continental dominions by 400 – 450 AD It was only in Ireland and the British Isles that the inhabitants adopted the Christian faith in growing numbers after the terrible calamities and plagues of the 530’s and 540’s …Aside from the citadel of Byzantium the remote monasteries of Scotland and Ireland collected and saved many invaluable works of Western civilizational learning that would otherwise have been lost in the demographic collapses and barbarian invasions of the 5th and 6th centuries ..
The Early Middle Ages. 284-1000
A very good Yale online lecture course if you are interested in the Later Roman Empire and Early Middle Ages. No, Byzantium continued to have overseas territories and only was taken over in the Middle Ages by Islamic forces. BTW Some barbarians did not want take over but to join the Roman Empire . v Ostrogoths
The climate change caused by volcanic activity idea comes from a book called ‘Catastrophe’ by David Keys. 1999.
These are my findings re: The Dark Ages . . .
The Dark Ages Cooling Period
A new era to end those “Glory Days” of Roman superiority in the known world. You guessed it . . . Volcanoes. This time two Colossal Volcanoes on opposite sides of the Pacific Ocean erupted more or less at the same time (in planetary terms). First the notorious Indonesian Volcano, Krakatoa erupted as a VEI 7 volcano. Early Chinese reports of this Eruption have been confirmed. Then, more or less in the same year, Ilopango in El Salvador, Central America, Erupted as a VEI 6.9 volcano. Documentary evidence clearly demonstrates that the years 435 and 436 would launch the worst natural Climactic Disruption in 10,000 years. Global changes resulting from the Environmental Catastrophe affected Humans from Mongolia to Constantinople, Greenland to Antarctica which precipitated plague, famine and widespread death from starvation and disease. Great migrations and tumultuous events ensued which brought on the fall of the great Mexican city of Teotihuacan, the Anglo-Saxon victory over the Celts and the rise of the unified peoples of China. If one Volcano, Tambora, registering 7 on the VEI index brought Volcanic Winter to the summer of 1816, just imagine the consequences of two in more or less the same year . . . A quote in shivering detail is ascribed to Cassiodorus by Rampino et al. “the Sun . . . seems to have lost its wonted light, and appears of a blush color. We marvel to see no shadows of our bodies at noon, to feel the mighty vigor of the Sun’s heat wasted into feebleness, and the phenomena which accompanies an eclipse prolonged through almost a whole year. We have had . . . a summer without heat . . . the crops have been chilled by north winds . . . the rain is denied . . .”
– The plague of Justinian wiped out 25% of the population of the known world and
50% of the citizens of Rome (the first known version of the Bubonic Plague)
– There were 7 years of crop failures
– Empires around the world fell
– In places drought destroyed the land and the crops
– In others torrential rains and floods brought chaos and death
– Tree ring growth did not return to normal for 15 years
– Even the Nile and the Black Sea were known to have frozen over
– Temperatures took up to 30 years to return to normal
– The “Bavarian hordes” descended from northern European countries in search of
food and arable land.
– Armies were able to cross the frozen Rhyne River and defeat the Romans in their
encampments to the east without using the heavily fortified bridges to get there.
– The Avar, a horse-based tribe of Mongols moved west through the mountains to
Carpathia to challenge what was left of the Romans to the East.
– Mass graves first for the starving and then for the plague ridden are to be found
throughout the known civilized world.
– In China ‘yellow dust rained like snow’ . . . The following year crops were ruined
by snow in August
So, this was the beginning of what we now call The Dark Ages Cooling Period. At its height the cooling was known to cause freezing of the Nile in 829 and The Black Sea (a Salt Lake) in 800 and 801 AD. (Pidwirny, 2006). These two volcanoes, Ilopango and Krakatoa, each were equal to Tambora in 1815. Together they had more than double the Climatological effect and would last more than twice as long . . . it has a logarithmic effect on Global Climate. So changed was our Planet at this time, that Humanity would take hundreds of years to recover socially, politically and culturally. Lead poisoning, the plague and famine had taken the stuffing out of the intelligencia of a world that had so flourished but a decade before. Beyond the Human toll no reference is ever made as to the status of Wildlife under these conditions . . . the word bleak is all that comes to mind.
From . . . https://www.academia.edu/45570971/The_Environmentalist_and_The_Neanderthal
Pages 33 – 37 . . .
Fascinating stuff – thanks.
They are not ‘your findings’ …..That information was included in Mike
Baillie’s and David Keys books and multiple research papers as far back as the 1990’s [ Stothers and Rampino etc ]
Officially? Malta.
https://mra.org.mt/climate-change/
Unofficially? 1972, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP),
established by Maurice Strong, its first director, after the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment in Stockholm in June 1972
Download the following and search it for “strong”
Click to access EDBLICKRANT.pdf
While I use DuckDuckGo (not G), it helps if long-term reading is working for you.
Mr. Hamish . . . quite right, that was ‘my summary’ . . .
Try this for starters
Maurice Strong, the Father of America’s Destruction (unitypublishing.com)
Maurice Strong – Bio – KeyWiki
Check out “United Socialist Nations” it gives some history and background on Strong, IPCC, UNFCC, COPs etc.
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/science-papers/originals/un-progress-governance-via-climate-change
April rainfall correlates negatively with sunshine (R^2 = 0.33).
“According to the Met Office data, only one April since 1980 appears in the ten driest since 1936.” I presume that should be 1836?
One can see the clusters of drier than average seasons during the 1830’s and early 1850’s in the UK Met Office annual spring rainfall series The spring rainfall trendline has not dipped below pre 1860 levels when northern hemisphere temperatures were cooler ..So there is no ‘global warming ‘ signal although you would not know that from the BBC
Paul, can these charts be shown with 1st and 2nd Standard Deviations? TIA
I think the weather has been extreme (ly) normal for years – and by extension so has the climate.
It looks like the story of cheap CFDs is unwinding:
https://www.gbnews.uk/news/wind-farms-earn-hundreds-of-millions-more-from-energy-crisis-after-delaying-government-subsidy-contract/285252
Of course, Gordon Hughes and I have both pointed this out frequently in recent months. But the consequences of it hitting the media realm are potentially explosive for the Kwarteng/BEIS/Boris strategy of relying on wind.
It also completely undermines the AR4 CFD auction round, with the bid prices now being meaningless.
As expected.
Anybody would think that electricity prices needed pushing up to make the wind subsidy farms not just profitable, but viable.
Eyeballing the charts suggests virtually no year is “average” and the norm is actually extreme variability. There’s literally no trend, as can be seen by the fact that high years are followed by low years, often immediately. Any apparent trend is driven by randomness. I suspect a simple random walk programme will often produce graphs that look exactly like that one.
I’ve been keeping rainfall measurements in North Lancashire for the last ten years. There’s really no general pattern, some months wetter, some drier……except April, which counter-intuitively (April showers and all that) is very often the driest month of the year!
Whilst April 2012 was very wet, it should be remembered that the preceding 6 months had been exceptionally dry; thereby showing how foolish it is to attach any significance to one month’s data.
I know from my daily cycle ride, April 2022 prevailing winds have been NE in origin, and for most of the time I have consequently kept my cycling outfit in winter mode.
No doubt the monsoon will arrive when the westerly’s return, and global warming (summer) arrives.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/47990422
“BBC Weather’s Nick Miller and Sarah Keith-Lucas visit West Sussex to look at how our changing climate and ever-unpredictable seasons can impact on the things that live and grow around us.”
she & Nick are non biased when it comes to UK’s “changing climate and ever-unpredictable seasons” it seems !!!
As per usual with these articles – I’ve gone on to her twitter account and sent her the link with the message ‘why are you lying to us Sarah?’. I think it’s important we shame these people.
Has your reply to her stayed there?
Yes it’s still there as far as I can see – go to this link and add a comment like ‘very true James why DO you keep lying to us Sarah?’ – or something similar:
I guess eventually we’ll all get blocked but how else are we to fight these fuck-wads.
The trouble is all the BBC weather presenters are riding tigers. If they get off the sanctioned forecasts they will lose their jobs. It pays for them to lie.
Personally, I found April to be extremely pleasant.
In which case you must be one of those evil climate deniers! If the BBC said the weather was extreme then extreme it was!
Aprils do have a drying trend since 2007: