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UK Weather Trends In 2020/21

May 17, 2022

By Paul Homewood

My latest paper on UK weather trends has just been published by GWPF:


London, 17 May – UK weather trends have changed very little in recent decades and have become, if anything, less extreme, according to a new paper published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation.

That’s according to an annual review of official weather data by climate researcher Paul Homewood. The paper shows that while very cold winters are now very rare, heatwaves have not been increasing.

Similarly, there have been fewer droughts in recent decades, but we are not seeing more wet years, wet months, or wet days.

Paul Homewood says:

“The UK’s weather is becoming, if anything,  less extreme. We are still waiting for evidence of a ‘climate crisis’ that politicians and environmentalists claim is upon us. But observational data shows that in the UK there is no evidence for any worsening weather trends."

Homewood also notes that storms are not an increasing problem either, with extreme winds having been on the decline for 30 years.

Note for journalists and bloggers:

Homewood’s paper is entitled "The UK’s Weather in 2020-21" and can be downloaded here (pdf).

The GWPF invited the Royal Society and the Met Office to review and submit a response to this paper, to be published as an addendum to it. The invitation was not taken up.

  1. Harry Passfield permalink
    May 17, 2022 3:16 pm

    “…the invitation was not taken up.”
    Dogs and mangers come to mind. The MET and RS probably think someone like Rowlatt is better to their taste.

  2. Thomas Carr permalink
    May 17, 2022 3:29 pm

    Very welcome setting out of the statistics which we have been able to access on a fragmented or instalment basis. There is a story for the media in that the MET and the RS found the invitation inconvenient and their position was inviolate. Not unlike the capacity for debate allowed by the ‘woke’ movement.

  3. John Hultquist permalink
    May 17, 2022 3:48 pm

    “We are still waiting for evidence of a ‘climate crisis’ . . .”

    I sense an echo of “Waiting for Godot.”
    Good for a smile this morning!

  4. It doesn't add up... permalink
    May 18, 2022 2:37 pm

    Very useful reference. Downloaded.

  5. May 18, 2022 5:58 pm

    By coincidence? the annual WMO climate report for the previous year was also published today:

    The youtube video is shameless propaganda, revealing the totally unscientific nature of the WMO.

  6. Alan Kendall permalink
    May 19, 2022 9:08 am

    Once again this site is my refuge. I read about some weather somewhere being unprecedented or made so, so much worse by our evil release of CO2. But I head here to find it’s nothing of the kind. It’s precidented.

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