Westminster in Wonderland
November 28, 2022
By Paul Homewood
Tweedle Boris and Tweedle Truss (not to matter the Mad Hatter Militwat) would like to spend billions on more onshore wind farms.
In the book, Alice woke up from her nightmare.
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All that capital cost that needs servicing and 1% output to show for it. Must be one of the most perverse business propositions short of mobilising the defence forces.
“I am not crazy; my reality is just different from yours.”
Cheshire Cat
Today’s wind generation (1%) should open some eyes and it looks like it might continue for some days.
It’s coming home
It’s coming home
It’s coming
Reality is coming home.
At least Truss restarted fraccing.
And it highlighted just how desperate the alien forces are to stop it.
Had a NASTY FRIGHT. stepped outside to pot the dog and noticed we were down to one degree C and then looked at gridwatch.templar and there was NO WIND. South Hampshire UK, lights still on
Had a NASTY FRIGHT. stepped outside to pot the dog and noticed we were down to one degree C and then looked at gridwatch.templar and there was NO WIND. South Hampshire UK, lights still on
According to the ONS, in 2015 (the latest date I can find) electricity was 9% of the UK’s total energy needs.
According to the gridwatch report Paul has posted the amount of electricity provided by wind and solar at 21:05 GMT was 1% of that 9% (when I checked earlier today it was 7%).
Correct me if I’m wrong but does that represent 0.009% of the nations total energy demand?*
And wind and solar is expected to replace the remaining 99.991% over what time period?
*Of that figure 27% represented imported petroleum products and 33% imported crude oil. Petroleum is to be replaced by electric cars (they won’t as the only viable option are hybrids) and we presumably still refine some petroleum from the crude we import. The balance of crude will probably be spread over innumerable vital products we manufacture in the UK.
There is no doubt that the UK is doomed, thanks to idiotic policies started by Bliar and Militwat, continued by dozens of ignorant politicians and encouraged by corrupt bureaucrats, the Greenblob, the UN and the WEF.
How much will landowners receive for turbines to be built on their land?
When the watermelons spout all their rubbish about the wonderful economics of the unreliables I remind myself of the prophetic words of Humpty Dumpty – “When I use a word it means just what I choose it to mean — neither more nor less.”
Paul, IDAU – anyone – can you write up merit order pricing again? I have been watching
https://grid.iamkate.com/
for a week and you often get two wildly different prices when demand, share of gas, wind, transfers is much the same. Why?
The market trades anything up to years ahead (but perhaps as much as 40% is traded on a day ahead basis), all cleared via the same mechanism run by Elexon up until Gate Closure, which is an hour prior to the start of the half hour live settlement period. After Gate Closure, all further trades are instigated by National Grid under the Balancing Mechanism. That can have wildly oscillating System Prices depending on what is needed to balance the market. Firing up a CCGT (only some will indicate they are ready to do that at short notice) can be very expensive) while telling a CCGT plant to ease off saves it fuel: less efficient competing plants, or those with higher fuel bills, will be keener to save fuel and bid more aggressively to do so. Some of the oscillations reveal the very different prices at which fuel has been bought. Sometimes it is wind curtailment that sets prices.
This is a bit technical, but it doesn’t cover the market absurdities that arise with renewables. I’m thinking of writing a simpler, yet perhaps more informative explainer. It does go into some detail on how the balancing mechanism works.
Click to access Appendix_5.1_Wholesale_electricity_market_rules.pdf
Today ,29th November on the day ahead electricity market there 3 periods (around teatime) when there is a loss of load probability of about 0.8.because of contract shortfall. I’m no expert but presumably that shortage will be made up on the spot market. Given that one contract on the day ahead was £1400 per megawatt hour, God knows what the spot price will be. During these periods it looks like we are using every ounce of U.K. capacity ncluding coal, pumped hydro and open cycle gas turbines but it’s not enough, we are completely dependent on imported interconnector electricity from Europe.
Ah. Day ahead pricing comes into the mix. Thanks.
People demonstrably and deliberately making life worse for ordinary people and patting themselves on the back for doing do.
I sent a similar screenshot to my MP today!