UK weather extremes to become new normal, says National Trust
By Paul Homewood
h/t Ian Magness/Robin Guenier
What an utterly absurd report! This year has been one of the least extreme on record in England.
Quite when the National Trust became climate experts, I have no idea!
The National Trust has warned that extreme weather seen in the UK in 2022 has set a benchmark for what a typical year could be like from now on.
The charity said high temperatures, drought and back-to-back storms have created major challenges for nature.
In its annual review, it described such conditions as the "new normal".
It said this year was a "stark illustration" of the difficulties many UK species could face without more action to tackle climate change.
The hot summer and months of low rainfall dried up rivers, fragile chalk streams and ponds, damaged crops and natural habitats, and fuelled wildfires that destroyed landscapes, the charity said.
The National Trust’s climate change adviser, Keith Jones, said there was "no escaping" how challenging this year’s weather had been for nature.
"Drought, high temperatures, back-to-back storms, unseasonal heat, the recent cold snap and floods means nature, like us, is having to cope with a new litany of weather extremes," he said.
He added weather experts were predicting the future would see more torrential downpours, along with very dry and hot summers.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-64107967
The Facts
- Three storms in a week – the first time since, wait for it, 2015. How pathetically ridiculous. Just because the Met Office has started giving silly names to storms does not mean that these things never happened before.
Winter storms are perfectly normal, and often two or three depressions follow in quick succession. During February as a whole, the rainfall totals in England were not unusually high, being only the 20th highest since 1836:
- Hot summer – according to CET, it was hotter in 1976, 1995 and 2018. It was even hotter in 1826!
- Dry summer – it was drier in 1869, 1887, 1976, 1983 and 1995: there is no trend to summers becoming drier:
- Autumn was mild, the total opposite of any honest person’s definition of extreme.
- Cold weather in December! They are really are scarping the bottom of the barrel now, trying to pretend that cold winters will now be the norm.
For the record, the December CET currently stands at 2.7C. Throughout the CET record, December mean temperatures have ranged from –0.8C to + 9.6C.
An average temperature of 2.7C is nothing out of the ordinary at all.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/meantemp_monthly_totals.txt
Finally let’s challenge this idea that warm weather is extreme but cold is not, and that there is something new about large swings in temperature from winter to summer. The chart below plots the temperature between winter and summer each year on CET:
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/meantemp_seasonal_totals.txt
This year the difference was 11.4C. The average for the full record since 1660 is 11.6C.
Enough said I think!
Comments are closed.
NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
The hottest year ever for cet according to the NBC. Is that correct? Mind you very hot 1540 falls outside the cet parameters
Yes it does precede the parameters of the CET and it must be remembered the CET series is only one pinpoint location in the northern hemisphere while thermometers only evolved to a reliable level of accuracy by the 1840’s . The 1540 Tudor Drought and heatwaves lasted 11 months in England and mainland Europe , temperatures were 5-7C above the normal 20th century values and proxy studies have determined that temperatures almost certainly exceeded 40 C in places Chroniclers in northern Italy told of 1540 winters resembling the balmy warmth of ‘ July ” .. The so called ‘record ” 40C temperature reading at Coningsby in 2022 was at an urban heat island RAF base surrounded by tarmac and concrete
Should be the BBc of course
Yes, read this nonsense earlier today, the NT not satisfied with searching for the most distant connection with slavery and their ‘gifted’ properties, now they are climate experts!
Here in N. Wales they turned down having a defibrillator on site because ‘they didn’t want the staff to have the responsibility’!
An appalling outfit, who treat their volunteers in a most disrespectful manner, not seeing the irony that these may be ‘modern day slaves’.
When it comes to the climate change propaganda being rammed down our throats by organisations like the National Trust/the BBC/the Met Office/various national newspapers, magazines and web sites, is it not time someone carried out a forensic investigation as to how much cash/grants/sponsorship is being received from outside sources whose stand to gain financially by the promotion of the climate change catastrophes and the drive to achieve zero carbon energy production?
Is the National Trust for the island of Sans Serif?
Shame on you Paul! NT doesn’t recognise weather before 1895, the year it was founded. Octavia Hill must be revolving still…
“The National Trust’s climate change adviser, Keith Jones, said there was “no escaping” how challenging this year’s weather had been for nature.
“Drought, high temperatures, back-to-back storms, unseasonal heat, the recent cold snap and floods means nature, like us, is having to cope with a new litany of weather extremes”
What completely unadulterated bollux
Boilerplate UN climate scare-speak from the NT parrot.
And drought plus floods = average rainfall.
That’s the problem with this nonsense – you have so many possible time periods to choose from in so many places, there’s bound to be something unusual to find.
This was reported by the Biased Broadcasting Corporation at lunchtime. Justin Ragwort, the BBC’s pseudo-climate expert, was wheeled in to ‘explain’ the ‘causal’ relationship between these events and ‘climate change.’ Why this charlatan is allowed to comment on anything more important than the local charity tombola results beggars belief!
I agree. I think his sister is a member of Extinction Rebellion! The National Trust report was done by their Climate Change Adviser. He wouldn’t have a job if he didn’t come up with this rubbish would he?
BBC 1pm news had Scruffy Rowlatt on today pushing this story, he was also on the other day reporting that climate change caused the snow across USA. He did the polar bears one over Christmas as well Why do they devote so much time to him? It is supposed to be news, not propaganda!
Hi I’ve just posted a comment on the National Trust report but it just seems to have disappeared. Nothing came up suggesting it was subject to moderating so I am a tad puzzled. James
“We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough tooperate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way toavoid error is to detect it, that the only way to detect it is to be free toinquire. We know that in secrecy error undetected will flourish and subvert”. –J Robert Oppenheimer.
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Would you please remove my post above as it has been posted in error.
WEATHER it’s called WEATHER!
Another example of why we cancelled our membership. Same with English Heritage. The story is in the national newspapers too. Strange how they always find room for these stories but not for those from, for example, Net Zero Watch.
the ‘national trust’?
When did that lot become climate experts and advocates for the great scam?
When the communists came to town and painted all national UK institutions red.
Keith Jones. Degree in Environmental Planning. Bangor University. Just the man for the job then.
Provided he says what the activists in charge want him to say, he’s an expert.
Another Institution claiming virtue LYING IN ITS TEETH. Is there no end to this? Are we all now destined to be ruled by the Mantra: “That the End Justifies the Means” ?
“it said this year was a “stark illustration” of the difficulties many UK species could face without more action to tackle climate change.”
More of the endless conclusions that rarely discusses or explains what tackling climate change action actually means. It’s just another do something quickly request.
As a Trust tenant farmer I find it very odd that the Trust encourages people to run their dogs – sorry, ‘four legged friends’ – all over their/my land and then blames climate change for the destruction of wildlife.
I couldn’t find details of his degree course on the Bangor site (entrance quals., modules studied etc.) but from what I did find, the whole area seems to be centred on a sort of economics, business management model.
This seems to be the way nowadays: the basic narrative is accepted as “gospel” (much as the original gospel once was) and everything that follows is just a matter of relating observation/experience to the received widom in a way that makes internal sense, i.e. “fits the hypothesis”.
It’s the same thought process that explained epileptic seizures as the expression of demonic possession. What else could they be?
It’s a pre-enlightenment doctrine/philosophy which is very much the “post-modern” way in many university departments nowadays.
The triumph of science over unreason is down to observable progress in the human condition. The hope for the future is that ordinary people will reject the miserablist, backward looking conclusions of this cult of “chaos”
Oh the climate lovies in their echo chamber. There is something quite telling and absurd that the BBC is quoting the National Trust as a source of klymutt shamanism. Let’s not bother anymore with any pretence of science, let’s go to the horses mouth. The National Trust, Christian Aid, Oxfam….these are now the go to sources for wait for it.. climate science. If this was not so serious it would be funny. What is wrong with the general population? Are they so dense that they cannot see when they is being ‘ad?
What we have is a bunch of clueless arts graduates quoting each other, then trying to outdo each other with more emotional language. I have often said that language inflation is rife in the klymutt industrial complex. They will soon run out of hyperbolae. That is what klymutt cyense is all about, project fear to get the general population to accept the degradation of their lives which is the real aim of the club that the BBC and their partners in crime are propagandists for .
Regarding the despicable BBC. Have you been watching their coverage of the carnage in the US? How straightforward and unemotional it is, quite factual rightly describing the WEATHER event that it is. Funnily that weather event is almost the reverse of the one which caused a couple of warm days this summer. Why were they then unable to describe that event correctly in context without resorting to hysteria and inserting “proof of climate change” and the slight of hand that it is only man made into every sound bite of twaddle that fell from the outfall from the sewer which is the BBC news room?
The Guardian also has the story (of course). Inevitably, perhaps, its headline was much more alarmist than the BBC’s:
“UK wildlife ‘devastated by litany of weather extremes’ in 2022
National Trust’s annual audit reveals a dire year for animals from toads and bats to birds and butterflies”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/dec/28/uk-wildlife-devastated-by-litany-of-weather-extremes-in-2022
The Guardian links to the National Trust website, but not to the annual Christmas audit, which I can’t find. I did find the Annual Report & Accounts, which has a big section on climate change. It says its plans are based on working to a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5 or 4.3C of warming) so we know that they’re an alarmist organisation whose output should be treated as propaganda.
I think they are lying. In SW France we had very hot weather for a long time and the best butterflies we’ve ever seen. The bats were fine too as there were plenty of insects snd the were active till late.
That’s great! It would seem that there aren’t enough wind turbines where you live to chop up the bats and butterflies!
What a great take-down, Paul! I really hope you have made sure the Keith Jones gets to read it – and that he knows where he can shove it. At least we can be sure that the relentless Sun does not shine there. The NT lost my trust a few years ago. They forgot there primary objective and got above themselves by playing politics. I just hope they know more about maintaining heritage properties – but I’m beginning to doubt it.
Oh….and Happy New Year!
These organisations are being paid to produce alarmist ‘reports’. Each becomes another pro-climate PR release to do the rounds across complaint media.
(Witness this NT piece being covered by the BBC and Guardian amongst others)
Just imagine if they presented the long-term data alongside their ridiculous claims! I recently read ‘A Fruit Grower’s Diary’ (written in 1935-38) by Raymond Bush and his detailed descriptions of the weather in Kent are so interesting, the weather was variable, extreme, and does not persuade me that attempting to lower atmospheric CO2 will stop any of these naturally occurring weather events… see extracts:
‘1938: a bad year for fruit. Early warmth in January (54 degrees Fahrenheit) outside on the 11th) with gales in February and summer heat in early April, were followed by devastating frosts in mid-April on bud and blossom which were unusually forward. Drought persisted, and where drought is there will be pests also.’
‘Nov 5th: Heatwave. Winter draws off and I perspired freely as I walked an apple farm in the morning sun in a record November temperature of 69 (degF) in the shade.’
‘Apr 18th: A frost of 10 degrees (F) below again this morning. We may safely say that two-thirds of the promised fruit has gone. From Hampshire: ‘Everything gone. I wish I could find a job.’ A big farmer says: ‘Fifty-third day of drought and twelfth day of frost. Corn is suffering severely, barley especially. Unless rain comes very soon it will be one of the most disastrous years British agriculture has ever experienced. Grass has almost entirely disappeared, which means heavy expense feeding the stock.’
‘1935
Sept 17th: Disaster… Wind began to increase from the south, the temperature shot up several degrees and a hurricane became inevitable. Trees down in all directions and the ground carpeted with fruit. The gale blew till evening when a sudden local thunderstorm dropped a half-inch of rain in a few minutes…
Sept 19th: Another severe gale during the night
Sept 20th: An ex-pupil beyond the Malvern hills has had over 1,000 trees, some seven years planted, blown over by the gale.
Sept 22nd: a tremendous thunderstorm near Cheltenham and a four-hour thunderstorm last night.’
I’m sure you are already working on the debunk…
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-11579513/2022-warmest-year-record-UK-says-Met-Office.html
Quite when did the Xwxyz Kprtb became climate experts, I have no idea!
Climate experts have been growing like mushrooms in a dark room.
“Climate experts have been growing like mushrooms in a dark room.”
Fed on bull shit perhaps?
‘The National Trust’s climate change adviser, Keith Jones, said there was “no escaping” how challenging this year’s weather had been for nature.’
Mother Nature just called. She ain’t skeert. Ain’t bothered at all by this year’s weather.
And she says Mr Jones better watch his backside. She doesn’t like being lied about.
They are SLAVES to misinformation. Oops sorry
Christian Aid have just produced similar garbage.
I think that the Devil is winning.
May God save us from this Green Pestilence that stalks this beautiful Earth of ours.
Common Purpose morons lying again.
There is no point in explaining how incorrect the climate propaganda is.
It is not meant to change people’s minds. It is simply there to provide justification for anti-human ‘green’ policies. If they want to ration water or tax local travel, it will be these stories which are cited as the reason….
The President of the National Trust since 2003 has been Charles now the king of England but also a close friend of Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum.
The national trust was set up to preserve for future generations homes and estates of recognised character that were being lost through the decline of the land owning classes and through encroaching urbanisation and industrialisation.
If you read the diaries of James Lees-Milne, who worked for the Trust in the 40s and 50s , during a period of financial difficulty because of the war and the attempts later of Atlee’s ministers to take over the Trust the main difficulties are due to money(lack of ) and politics and competing personalities (too much of).
He copes with the dreadful winter of ’47 and , later a heatwave in London so severe he thought that he would dissolve into a puddle of sweat.
The Trust today is living in much easier times .The hard work that Lees-Milne put in to acquire places such as Charlecote and , pre-eminently (he would have thought ) Knole are done . Life is rosy in comparison now for the Trust , so that they have the luxury of inventing problems , because there are no longer any major ones.
The trust is also caretaker of farms and gardens. This last year was amazing for the quantity and quality of fruit , vegetables and blooms. Blogging with other gardeners , there seems universal agreement that 2022 was an outstanding year, whatever part of England you were in. The Trust’s accounts from their own farms and gardens should show that if they were honest enough to make them public.
So November 2022 was nearly as warm as 2006, 16 years previously. So over 16 years, temperatures in November have fallen slightly.
It’s a bandwagon that every quango and university has to jump on in order to signal their virtue to an increasingly misled and deluded public. Also, the minute they can include “climate change”, “environment”or similar into their title, they know it will dramatically increase their chance of funding with our money.
In between recommending woodworm treatments for old buildings and managing stately gardens, the National Trust somehow developed an expertise for diagnosing symptoms of a global ‘climate crisis’ in run of the mill British weather, such as consecutive Atlantic depressions and a period of heavy frosts – in winter, of all times!
I think someone called Charles has been advising the Trust for some years now.
He has moved on I believe, officially, but his influence is still there, unfortunately.
I wonder if the Met Office is offering a subscriber service of pre-digested climate propaganda.
The real question for me is when did the Met Office become climate experts?
What! A cold snap in the WINTER!
I knowI’m a day later in commenting but tonight , channel hopping to Europe and German channels – THEY TOO are saying it will be / is the hottest year ever recorded… and go on to tell us the usual rubbish. So of course there had been/MUST have been, a great meeting somewhere.
Granpa tell us about the winter of the early 70’s. or maybe also one of 83 or 84 when Temps in the Highlands and even in the Scottish borders reached at least +17C. certainly it was not unknown in the 70’s to have white hills today and green again tomorrow, several times in quick succession. Some of those winters were a real pain for field work, feeding the outdoor animals when so wet underfoot, but in amongst the trees there was sufficient shelter and all thrived.
And then we had winters like now – warm air but the soil was freezing and become glazed with ice from rain, moreso than sleet. Had to watch for animals getting broken legs on the slopes – yes Grass became a skating / skiing Piste.
Had it been such a great year, our fruit would not have died on the tree, immature apples and plums. what does thattell me about leaving things to nature, going “organic” etc ?
If the BBC wants their government funding renewed they have gotta play anlong with the climate hustle.
Huh, Fell over this tonight from quite a long time ago: This newspaper cutting of 8 January 1935 reads:”A contestant during an interval at a ploughing match held at Humberston Farm,Dingwall,Ross-shire. Almost springlike weather prevailed.” Beginning JANUARY 1935 from the Daily Mirror. Yes….