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Sky’s Extreme Weather Lies

January 6, 2023

By Paul Homewood

h/t Ian Magness

 

 

Visions of apocalypse from Sky News:

 

 

image

The UK has recorded an average annual temperature of more than 10C (50F) for the first time, the Met Office has said.

The mean temperature across the 12 months of 2022 was 10.03C, beating the previous all-time high of 9.88C in 2014.

The national weather service also said 2022 was the country’s hottest on record, confirming provisional figures that the year would set a new record.

Hot temperatures throughout the year fuelled prolonged drought, threatened crops and drove hundreds of excess deaths.

Such a freakishly hot year is now likely to happen every three to four years, the Met Office warned, whereas once it would have struck just once in 500 years, had humans not polluted and warmed the climate.

Met Office Climate Attribution Scientist, Dr Nikos Christidis, said a UK average temperature of 10C “could occur almost every year” by the end of this century, if the planet warms by around 2.7C as is currently projected.….

Scores of other records were smashed all around the globe last year, which also saw Europe’s worst drought in 500 years, savage heat in India, and multibillion dollar losses from Hurricane Ian in Florida and from flooding in Pakistan.

Burning fossil fuels, intensive animal farming and slashing down forests are contributing to the rising global temperature, which in turn is driving costly, violent and extreme weather.

“Human-caused climate change explains the unprecedented nature of the summer heatwave in the UK as well as the sustained warmth seen throughout most of 2022, ” said climate science professor Richard Allan from Reading University.

Higher temperatures in the UK are driving more severe heatwaves, droughts, wildfires and flooding, he said.

“And these impacts will become progressively worse until global temperatures are stabilized by cutting global carbon emissions to net zero.”

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-average-annual-temperature-was-10c-or-more-for-first-time-in-2022-met-office-says-12780281

 

Despite the claims made by the Met Office that “a UK average temperature of 10C could occur almost every year by the end of this century”, their own data shows that warming in the UK stopped two decades ago. Average temperatures did rise by a degree during the late 80s and 90s, so we are now living with a new, higher temperature baseline. Annual temperatures may now hit 11C in CET, but this is only 0.5C higher than other years before the 1990s warm up. Hardly catastrophic! Indeed it is the relative absence of extremely cold years nowadays which is most responsible for the rise in average temperature.

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.files.wordpress.com/2023/01/image-20.png

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.files.wordpress.com/2023/01/image-20.png 

 

But what about these claims of extreme weather? According to Sky, “Hot temperatures throughout the year fuelled prolonged drought, threatened crops and drove hundreds of excess deaths.”

For a start, hot temperatures do not fuel drought. The reverse is true – dry, sunny weather leads to higher temperatures. As for “threatened crops”, maybe Sky should have got the actual data from DEFRA:

 

image

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/cereal-and-oilseed-rape-production/provisional-cereal-and-oilseed-production-estimates-for-england-2022

 

Cereal production was up by 9.4% last year, on the back of much higher yields, which were the third highest on record. Apparently wheat prefers sunny weather! Who would have guessed?

And as we already know, excess deaths could not have been driven by the hot weather, because they have been running at a high level ever since May, with no spikes at all in the summer:

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.files.wordpress.com/2022/11/image-42.png

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2022/11/12/jenny-harries-caught-lying-about-heatwave-deaths/

 

What about the claims of global extreme weather – droughts, floods, hurricanes?

Once again, Sky’s claims are contradicted by the facts.

The number of deaths from disasters, for instance, were close to record lows last year:

 

natural-disasters

natural-disasters(1)

https://ourworldindata.org/natural-disasters 

 

Hurricanes, and particularly major ones, were close to the lowest on record in 2022:

 

 

global

global(1)

http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?arch&loc=global 

 

And although global cereal production was marginally down last year solely because of the war in Ukraine, it was still one of the highest on record, making a nonsense of Sky’s claims of catastrophic droughts:

 

.

https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/csdb/en/

 

All of this rubbish begs the question of who is actually directing this torrent of Goebbels-like propaganda? It is not only the BBC and Sky who continually propagate these lies; it is pretty much the whole of the media here and in the western world as a whole.

49 Comments
  1. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    January 6, 2023 11:02 am

    All of this rubbish begs the question of who is actually directing this torrent of Goebbels-like propaganda?
    Possibly the likes of this one ?
    Watch “Klaus Schwab: David Whitehead” on YouTube

  2. Phoenix44 permalink
    January 6, 2023 11:06 am

    The attribution claims ate complete nonsense. This year was warm because of clear weather phenomena, not some mysterious invisible warming. So the question is whether such phenomena could happen without climate change? The clear answer is yes. You simply need a relatively small number of variables to all align. And we know this is true because the global annual average temperature was nothing special – thus the heat in the UK was “stolen” from somewhere else, not new warmth. The attribution studies ignore the causes and treat it the same as others years, which is utterly wrong.

    • 1saveenergy permalink
      January 6, 2023 11:32 am

      ” thus the heat in the UK was “stolen” from somewhere else, ”
      Carrying on a Great British tradition of taking other people’s stuff …
      Tea from China, Coffee from Arabia, Black slaves from Africa, Oil from Persia, Land from everyone !

      • Rowland P permalink
        January 6, 2023 12:01 pm

        Ooooh! You anti-colonialist!!

      • Phoenix44 permalink
        January 6, 2023 12:12 pm

        Yeah yeah. The Chinese, Arabs, most black tribes never did any of that. Weird how those Arabs ended up fighting at Tours then? Was it just a holiday gone wrong? Same with the Ottoman Turks at Vienna? How about the Mongols across Eastern Europe? Maybe ask the San how they’ve ended up pushed to extreme environments? And before the UK really had people there were the Persians, Babylonians, Assyrians, all busy stealing other people’s land. You have to be ignorant of history to think the UK was evil in some way.

    • bobn permalink
      January 6, 2023 12:34 pm

      Well Australia had a record cold year in 2022 so i guess thats where the UK stole some warmth from! Aussies wont mind as they’ve got too much of the stuff and the UK not enough – even in 2022. Let the warming continue so then I wont have to burn so much fossil fuel. I’ll just go put another log on the fire;-)

    • January 6, 2023 8:10 pm

      “Clear weather phenomena” <—– reduced real pollution

  3. January 6, 2023 11:10 am

    Don’t you just love the way the Met Office can determine the UK’s average annual temperature to an accuracy of a hundredth of a degree. I wonder what the uncertainty is!

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      January 6, 2023 12:13 pm

      Via an average of averages of averages…

      No problem there.

      • Chaswarnertoo permalink
        January 6, 2023 1:07 pm

        No, no, none at all. Totally legit…..

    • catweazle666 permalink
      January 6, 2023 4:47 pm

      False precision syndrome strikes again…

      You would have thought they would have more sense, we learned to specify plus/minus limits in elementary physics at school.

  4. Harry Passfield permalink
    January 6, 2023 11:19 am

    That 0.15 deg increase really made all the difference – and as a result we must throw out all known comforts for our civilised lifestyle and take on totally unproven and expensive net zero gimmicks.

  5. January 6, 2023 11:23 am

    You wouldn’t expect anything other than false information from Victoria Seabrook, who has no relevant qualifications – she is just a journalist (aka a propagandist).

  6. GeoffB permalink
    January 6, 2023 11:32 am

    This idea of attribution theory seems to be some make believe statistics that has been thought up to get round the problem that standard null hypothesis arguments shows no significant change in temperature. Fisher and Yates must be rolling in their graves!

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      January 6, 2023 12:17 pm

      It is utter junk science. It’s saying that throwing a 12 on a dice that has an unknown number of sides and unknown numbers on those sides means the duce is loaded. They claim they use Bayesian statistics but they misuse that methodology and its extremely dubious anyway when properly used. We have say 150 years of proper data but there must be trillions of possible combinations of weather. The idea we’ve had them all in that 150 years is absurd.

      • catweazle666 permalink
        January 6, 2023 4:50 pm

        “Bayesian statistics” AKA WAGs – Wild Assed Guesses.

  7. Stuart Hamish permalink
    January 6, 2023 11:47 am

    ” It is not only the BBC and Sky who continually propagate these lies
    it is pretty much the whole of the media here and in the Western world
    as a whole ”

    The exceptions Paul are The Australian , Rowan Deans Sky News Outsiders team, Andrew Bolts ‘ The Bolt Report and GB News ……. UK Sky News climate propaganda hasnt satisfied the Just Stop Oil freakshow whose puritan activists recently sprayed the Murdoch media offices with orange paint …I would like to see the historical data regarding the claim : ” Higher temperatures in the UK are driving ……..more severe wildfires and flooding “…….I have Robert Does book chronicling extreme rainfall events and flood disasters in the British Isles from the 1st to the 21st centuries and there is no worsening of flooding

    • Stuart Hamish permalink
      January 6, 2023 1:10 pm

      Report prepared for the Third UK Climate Change Risk Assessment [ CCRA3 ] : ‘ UK Wildfires and Their Climate Challenges ‘

      FigC7 is the chart of interest here and the caveats are the limited UK wildfire burned area timescale [ 2003 start ] and the MODIS vis a vis EFFIS data explained in the text : ” There are no consistent datasets that enable us to establish a ‘climatology’ of wildfires for the UK [ ie 30 year trends ] which makes it difficult to discern whether the recent spike in activity detected by EFFIS is unusual …..FigC7 shows the MODIS data for the UK and the calculated total monthly burned area across the UK compared to that from the EFFIS …..The MODIS data under reports burned area more than EFFIS as it often fails to map small burns of less than 1km …..the current trend would be a decreasing one according to MODIS as the years 2003 and 2007 had large burned areas which were not covered in the EFFIS period that would suggest an increasing trend . Hence the start date of recording can have a large effect on apparent trends over short time periods ” https://C:/Users/stuha/Downloads/UK-Wildfires-and-their-Climate-Challenges.pdf

    • Cobden permalink
      January 6, 2023 4:09 pm

      Sky News UK now belongs to Comcast.

  8. Gamecock permalink
    January 6, 2023 12:36 pm

    Hot! Hot! Hot! And FREAKY HOT !!!

    Y’all don’t know what ‘hot’ is.

    Maybe English English ‘hot’ is different from American English ‘hot?’

    ‘Annual temperatures may now hit 11C in CET’

    Oh noes!

    It looks to me like you could use more hot.

  9. johnbillscott permalink
    January 6, 2023 1:18 pm

    There are hundreds of component events which can contribute to make up of a major climate event. Every event, is and of itself, a minor irritant. However, as every risk analyst knows, applying the Swiss Cheese theory, a number of otherwise small events can combine to produce a serious climatic episodic event. The trouble is the “warmist fraternity and the corrupted science” would have everyone believe that a single episodic event is a trend. Gummer and his CCC are too financially conflicted to give any advise. Gummers elevation to the Lords was political cronyism not scientific abilities.

    • Gamecock permalink
      January 6, 2023 4:34 pm

      GRRRR. Weather has events. CLIMATE CANNOT HAVE EVENTS ! Do you even know what “climate” means?

      • johnbillscott permalink
        January 6, 2023 6:02 pm

        you are correct my mistake

  10. Ray Sanders permalink
    January 6, 2023 1:30 pm

    Meanwhile today’s award for weapons grade bullshit goes to the National Lottery as reported in the Graun. Let’s just spaff £2 million on preventing climate change in Bude. YCMIU
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jan/06/bude-in-cornwall-awarded-2m-pounds-to-fight-climate-threat

  11. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    January 6, 2023 1:40 pm

    Hopefully it is not Big Brother but you never know these days. Here is a final attempt to post the link again.
    Many commentators here will already know this (and more).
    It is useful however when trying to explain matters to others.

  12. Jack Broughton permalink
    January 6, 2023 1:51 pm

    The problem of the Orwellian “Duckspeak” in the media is not just the “Goodthinkers” who propagate the message, it is the total refusal to allow any of the duckspeak to be questioned. The BBC has a list of climate programmes, all are hosted by Activists and brook no dispute. GB News is the only station that seems to allow, and even encourage, this important counter-viewpoint to the brainwashing Climate change courses are being proposed for schools and universities, sadly they are just the usual one-sided propaganda.

  13. NeilC permalink
    January 6, 2023 1:59 pm

    I have been collecting daily weather data for 28 location in the UK since Oct1998. This year’s mean UK temperature was 11.1 degC which was the warmest in the 24 year history. The next warmest was in 1999 with 11.0 degC.
    So it was a massive 0.1 DegC warmer than 24 years ago.

    • January 6, 2023 2:38 pm

      And your measurement accuracy – + or – 0.1 perhaps.

  14. January 6, 2023 2:28 pm

    Hot temperatures throughout the year

    Make that two unusually warm days in July.

    • January 6, 2023 2:39 pm

      Which came with the ground bone dry which will have had an amplifying effect on the temperature.

    • liardetg permalink
      January 7, 2023 9:51 am

      BBC called it a heatwave. Met Office didn’t. Needs 5 days not 48 hours

  15. January 6, 2023 2:42 pm

    Perhaps Sky has missed the announcement that 2022 was the weakest year for storm levels since 1981.

    Also not making news is that the Sydney Observatory has seen the first year in history where no day reached 32C – or 90f.

  16. Roger Crisp permalink
    January 6, 2023 3:39 pm

    “All of this rubbish begs the question of who is actually directing this torrent of Goebbels-like propaganda? It is not only the BBC and Sky who continually propagate these lies; it is pretty much the whole of the media here and in the western world as a whole.”

    I’d suggest looking no further than 350.org and all the media from around the world who have sgned up to it.

  17. xmetman permalink
    January 6, 2023 3:59 pm

    2022 is not the warmest 12 months on record in the gridded monthly series:-
    https://www.weatherdiary.uk/2023/01/06/2022-not-the-warmest-12-months-on-record/
    Neither is 2022 the warmest 365 days in the Central England series:-
    https://www.weatherdiary.uk/2023/01/06/2022-not-the-warmest-365-days-in-central-england-either/
    There’s no reason to think that the UKMO weren’t aware of this fact, but they obviously kept shtum about it, not wanting to detract from making an even bigger splash with a headline “Warmest year on record” or the climate crisis version of it “Hottest year ever!“.

    • xmetman permalink
      January 8, 2023 1:46 pm

      I wonder if anyone read either of these two blogs that I included links to?

      The warmest 12 months on record, both in the gridded series for the whole UK or in Central England, occurred back in 2006-07 and is an indisputable FACT.

      The odd thing is that the articles didn’t elicit a single response from either the global warming fraternity on Twitter (tagged #GlobalWarming) or the deniers who subscribe to this blog.

      I suppose all that can mean is that I truly am a global warming agnostic.

      • catweazle666 permalink
        January 8, 2023 5:33 pm

        They’re still trying to make out that the exceptional 1976 summer was unexceptional.

        “The data doesn’t matter. We’re not basing our recommendations on the data. We’re basing them on the climate models.”

        ~ Prof. Chris Folland ~ (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research)

      • Roy Banks permalink
        January 9, 2023 5:26 pm

        Maybe this is because your 12 month graph doesnt actually show any plots for 2022. It stops at 2021 where I would guess your 2021 average is around 9.3 which doesnt look correct?

      • xmetman permalink
        January 10, 2023 9:34 am

        I reckon you need to pay a visit to Specsavers Roy.
        Both graphs are bang up to date and extend right up to the start of 2023.

    • Roy Banks permalink
      January 10, 2023 3:39 pm

      My apologies but when displayed on my laptop it cuts off at 2021 although I can see the 10.03 balloon. hence my comment.
      I can’t see the remainder of the data far right showing 2022 and I can’t move the screen display to the left to see it. It is not a touch screen laptop. I have now viewed on my smartphone and using this I can move the screen to the left and view your data for 2022 and agree your 10.03 number. It is still wider than the normal width so you need to know there is some data hidden
      Not a problem for Specsavers, just an IT problem for the size of the normal screen display when shown on none touch screen laptops!!!!!

      • xmetman permalink
        January 10, 2023 5:15 pm

        To be fair Roy it is a big image meant for my 28″ monitor.
        I use the blog as a weather diary for my own use.

  18. January 6, 2023 4:09 pm

    The great 1976 UK heatwave occurred during a prolonged La Niña spell. The 2022 warm summer also had a rare extended La Niña prior to its arrival. Meteorology has answers for some of the resulting effects (e.g. heat transfer from the Azores High region to parts of Europe), biased climate science not so much.


    – – –
    “Human-caused climate change explains the unprecedented nature of the summer heatwave in the UK as well as the sustained warmth seen throughout most of 2022, ” said climate science professor Richard Allan from Reading University.

    An assertion doesn’t explain anything.

  19. mjr permalink
    January 6, 2023 4:40 pm

    justin Rollout was repeating the same Met office bullsh*t on BBC news climate pages and i noticed got a prime spot on the BBC1 news last night https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-64173485
    also noticed on the BBC news climate site front page today, currently latest item on the latest updates a piece about protests in India over buildings cracking due to subsidence. the article itself makes no reference to cause of this and climate is not mentioned. So why is it linked from the climate page (it is on the india pages), or indeed even mentioned on the climate page . Clearly they want readers to assume that there is a link – oh houses are cracking due to climate change. sneaky and mendacious
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-56837908

    • Gamecock permalink
      January 8, 2023 12:59 pm

      The invisible hand of the editor. There are many ways to editorialize without the reader realizing it.

  20. Hivemind permalink
    January 7, 2023 3:59 am

    Every time I see climate change protests from the UK, etc, I’m always astonished at how heavily they have to dress. Singlet, shirt, pull-over, coat. Sometimes also an overcoat. If it’s that cold over there, why are they protesting against the idea of a few degrees of warming.

    • catweazle666 permalink
      January 7, 2023 3:22 pm

      They neither know nor care the first thing about climate, they are the same old semi-professional virtue signalling recreational outrage brigade that went on the CND marches, demonstrated outside the US embassy, camped at Greenham
      Common and have too much time on their hands.

      • Gamecock permalink
        January 8, 2023 1:01 pm

        Hear him!

  21. Michael Perry permalink
    January 9, 2023 11:28 am

    If they stopped recording urban temperatures and measured rural temperatures instead they would get a very different picture. The Met Office insist on showing urban temperatures which are seriously affected by mass heating because of the compact nature of urban areas.

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