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Review Of The 2022/23 Winter In England

March 3, 2023

By Paul Homewood

 image

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/uk-weather-forecast-snow-met-office-weekend-update-105930724.html

 

 

Apparently there’s going to be some yellow snow next week!!

But what did the winter just gone look like weather wise?

Let’s start with mean temperatures.

 

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series

Overall it was an unremarkable winter, just 0.1C above the 30-year average, which itself is only 0.6C higher than it was in the 1930s. This winter was 33rd warmest since 1884, in a tie with 1898/8, 1912/13 and 1936/7.

Apart from the exceptionally mild winter of 2015/16, no winter in the past decade has been warmer than earlier winters such as 1974/5 and 1988/9.

In short we have been having relatively mild winters lately because of weather, not climate change.

Our winters are said to be getting wetter, but the last two years have bucked the trend:

 

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series

While winter rainfall has been slowly trending up since the 1970s, long term averages are barely higher now than in the years up to 1940.

Again, it is noticeable that, with the exception of the exceptionally wet winter of 2013/14, other recent wet winters, such as 2019/20 and 2020/21 have not been unusually wet by historical standards.

The data tells us that the English climate is changing much less than we have been told.

21 Comments
  1. Gamecock permalink
    March 3, 2023 4:56 pm

    Peaches have bloomed very early this year. We still have a month with potential for frost.

    A neighbor was distraught this morning, saying, “We may not get any peaches at all this year!”

    Gamecock prefers to think we will get peaches extra early this year.

    Weather keeps changing. Oh noes!

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      March 3, 2023 7:08 pm

      A bit of manual fertilisation to maximise, then cover with fleece. Job jobbed.

    • Adam Gallon permalink
      March 4, 2023 7:51 am

      Getting some cold & wet weather this coming week.
      Peaches growing outdoors in England?

      • Chaswarnertoo permalink
        March 4, 2023 8:57 am

        Yep. But not with a late frost.

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      March 4, 2023 8:15 am

      I’d be worried. Happened tones in SW France last year – early blossoms on our stone fruit then a late frost killed them all. No plums, no peaches, no quinces.

      • MrGrimNasty permalink
        March 4, 2023 8:49 am

        Not even the cherry-plum blossom is out yet on the south coast, it was much earlier last year, no danger to stone fruits in the coming half-hearted cool spell.

        Peaches, almonds; always blossom very early, they are hardier than most people think – although weather like March 2013 can destroy a whole tree. The main problem to growing outdoor in the UK is leaf curl, although some varieties are supposedly less prone.

  2. Douglas Dragonfly permalink
    March 3, 2023 4:57 pm

    “Frank Zappa – Apostrophe (‘) – Don’t Eat the Yellow Snow Suite”

    • catweazle666 permalink
      March 3, 2023 6:32 pm

      You beat me to it!

  3. March 3, 2023 6:20 pm

    Not YELLOW snow!, is this from Ukraine? Or China?
    Lockdown called in 3, 2, 1…….

  4. Harry Passfield permalink
    March 3, 2023 6:30 pm

    I keep wondering if this cold period is actually as predicted by those that said SC24/25 would be very much cooler. And continue to be so….

    • dave permalink
      March 4, 2023 8:53 am

      “…SC24/25…”

      People exaggerate, don’t they? Which is typical of triumphal, point-scoring, arguments in pubs – the level everything has been reduced to by the shouty Left.
      SC25 does seem to have caused the wavy jet streams and meridional air flows predicted ten years ago by some canny scientists.

      SC26 is going to be the interesting one for the Sun, testing various hypotheses to breaking point.

      Also, tidal influences connected to the resonances of the 18.6 year orbital cycle of the Moon may manifest as an independent effect on the overall distribution of sea volumes and circulation, and hence on the Global climate.

      It is possible the Little Ice Age never finished. It may be coming back, and be at its extreme in 2070 A.D. Which is a blink of an eye on the time scale of the Solar System.

      Meanwhile, on our human time scale, gas prices in Europe slide inexorably:

      https://www.investing.com/commodities/dutch-ttf-gas-c1-futures-streaming-chart

  5. MrGrimNasty permalink
    March 3, 2023 7:02 pm

    Feb was exceptionally mild again this year.

    I always cut the tops off my hornbeam at the start of March. Last year the sap was definitely rising, the cut ends were dripping like taps, bone dry this year. Pear buds less developed too.
    So it’s definitely been a cooler winter than last year overall.

    This promised cold spell is looking less and less dramatic and very short lived currently. not going to be another 2013 that’s for sure.

    • Douglas Dragonfly permalink
      March 4, 2023 6:54 am

      According to the Ontario Native Literacy Project, the Ojibwe (or Anishinaabe) peoples of North America called the March full moon Ziissbaakdoke Giizas, the Sugar Moon, as it was when maple tree sap was harvested and also coincided with the Anishinaabe new year.

  6. liardetg permalink
    March 3, 2023 9:09 pm

    Astounding numbers of daff bulbs per clump this year. We had a very wet.January with the winterbourme running.

  7. Curious George permalink
    March 3, 2023 11:33 pm

    Isn’t it a little early for a requiem for a 2022/23 winter?

    • Chaswarnertoo permalink
      March 4, 2023 8:58 am

      Yep. March is gonna be COLD.

  8. Phoenix44 permalink
    March 4, 2023 8:19 am

    They are going to struggle to keep that 30 year average rising in the next couple of years. A couple of cool years dropping out and flat or declining means results in a plateau.

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      March 4, 2023 8:57 am

      The recent winter trend is really being dominated by exceptionally mild Febs, the chance of getting a third year in a row with a near +3C anomaly must be quite remote.

  9. Callie7bellA permalink
    March 4, 2023 9:42 am

    Cooler than average winter here in mid Devon. Wonder what other parts of the country were cooler than average, not that that is likely to be publicised by the powers that be. Coolest winter here for 10 years.

  10. Mewswithaview permalink
    March 4, 2023 9:54 am

    “When scientific integrity is undermined in pursuit of financial and political gain”
    https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/when-scientific-integrity-is-undermined

    There is a gold rush going on in climate research right now, as researchers scramble to cash in on their new-found access to politicians and philanthropists. As Professor Jessica Weinkle of the University of North Carolina-Wilmington stated in her opening remarks in testimony before the U.S. Senate last week, “Today, it is not easy to separate the going-ons in climate change research from the special interests of financial institutions.”

    She continues:

    The landscape of climate change research is made complicated by an outcropping of non-profit advocacy organizations that double as analytic consultants, hold contracts with private companies and government entities, and engage in official government expert advisory roles- all while publishing in the peer reviewed literature and creating media storms.

    This is not really an issue of any one entity. It is pervasive.

  11. gezza1298 permalink
    March 4, 2023 12:38 pm

    There hasn’t been much rain recently – very good for our football pitch sitting on Wealden clay – but the ground is still very wet. Could it be the lack of wind? Looking out just after noon today there is barely a twig moving. I recall a winter or two back when it was v cold everything was dried to the bone as if dessicated. Not sure if there was any wind then though.

Comments are closed.