Review Of The 2022/23 Winter In England
By Paul Homewood
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/uk-weather-forecast-snow-met-office-weekend-update-105930724.html
Apparently there’s going to be some yellow snow next week!!
But what did the winter just gone look like weather wise?
Let’s start with mean temperatures.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series
Overall it was an unremarkable winter, just 0.1C above the 30-year average, which itself is only 0.6C higher than it was in the 1930s. This winter was 33rd warmest since 1884, in a tie with 1898/8, 1912/13 and 1936/7.
Apart from the exceptionally mild winter of 2015/16, no winter in the past decade has been warmer than earlier winters such as 1974/5 and 1988/9.
In short we have been having relatively mild winters lately because of weather, not climate change.
Our winters are said to be getting wetter, but the last two years have bucked the trend:
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series
While winter rainfall has been slowly trending up since the 1970s, long term averages are barely higher now than in the years up to 1940.
Again, it is noticeable that, with the exception of the exceptionally wet winter of 2013/14, other recent wet winters, such as 2019/20 and 2020/21 have not been unusually wet by historical standards.
The data tells us that the English climate is changing much less than we have been told.
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Peaches have bloomed very early this year. We still have a month with potential for frost.
A neighbor was distraught this morning, saying, “We may not get any peaches at all this year!”
Gamecock prefers to think we will get peaches extra early this year.
Weather keeps changing. Oh noes!
A bit of manual fertilisation to maximise, then cover with fleece. Job jobbed.
Getting some cold & wet weather this coming week.
Peaches growing outdoors in England?
Yep. But not with a late frost.
I’d be worried. Happened tones in SW France last year – early blossoms on our stone fruit then a late frost killed them all. No plums, no peaches, no quinces.
Not even the cherry-plum blossom is out yet on the south coast, it was much earlier last year, no danger to stone fruits in the coming half-hearted cool spell.
Peaches, almonds; always blossom very early, they are hardier than most people think – although weather like March 2013 can destroy a whole tree. The main problem to growing outdoor in the UK is leaf curl, although some varieties are supposedly less prone.
“Frank Zappa – Apostrophe (‘) – Don’t Eat the Yellow Snow Suite”
You beat me to it!
Not YELLOW snow!, is this from Ukraine? Or China?
Lockdown called in 3, 2, 1…….
I keep wondering if this cold period is actually as predicted by those that said SC24/25 would be very much cooler. And continue to be so….
“…SC24/25…”
People exaggerate, don’t they? Which is typical of triumphal, point-scoring, arguments in pubs – the level everything has been reduced to by the shouty Left.
SC25 does seem to have caused the wavy jet streams and meridional air flows predicted ten years ago by some canny scientists.
SC26 is going to be the interesting one for the Sun, testing various hypotheses to breaking point.
Also, tidal influences connected to the resonances of the 18.6 year orbital cycle of the Moon may manifest as an independent effect on the overall distribution of sea volumes and circulation, and hence on the Global climate.
It is possible the Little Ice Age never finished. It may be coming back, and be at its extreme in 2070 A.D. Which is a blink of an eye on the time scale of the Solar System.
Meanwhile, on our human time scale, gas prices in Europe slide inexorably:
https://www.investing.com/commodities/dutch-ttf-gas-c1-futures-streaming-chart
Feb was exceptionally mild again this year.
I always cut the tops off my hornbeam at the start of March. Last year the sap was definitely rising, the cut ends were dripping like taps, bone dry this year. Pear buds less developed too.
So it’s definitely been a cooler winter than last year overall.
This promised cold spell is looking less and less dramatic and very short lived currently. not going to be another 2013 that’s for sure.
According to the Ontario Native Literacy Project, the Ojibwe (or Anishinaabe) peoples of North America called the March full moon Ziissbaakdoke Giizas, the Sugar Moon, as it was when maple tree sap was harvested and also coincided with the Anishinaabe new year.
Astounding numbers of daff bulbs per clump this year. We had a very wet.January with the winterbourme running.
Isn’t it a little early for a requiem for a 2022/23 winter?
Yep. March is gonna be COLD.
They are going to struggle to keep that 30 year average rising in the next couple of years. A couple of cool years dropping out and flat or declining means results in a plateau.
The recent winter trend is really being dominated by exceptionally mild Febs, the chance of getting a third year in a row with a near +3C anomaly must be quite remote.
Cooler than average winter here in mid Devon. Wonder what other parts of the country were cooler than average, not that that is likely to be publicised by the powers that be. Coolest winter here for 10 years.
“When scientific integrity is undermined in pursuit of financial and political gain”
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/when-scientific-integrity-is-undermined
There hasn’t been much rain recently – very good for our football pitch sitting on Wealden clay – but the ground is still very wet. Could it be the lack of wind? Looking out just after noon today there is barely a twig moving. I recall a winter or two back when it was v cold everything was dried to the bone as if dessicated. Not sure if there was any wind then though.