EM-DAT Miss The Great North Sea Floods Of 1953
By Paul Homewood
We are told that weather disasters are now much more common, something which is apparently confirmed by the official disaster database, EM-DAT. What the UN don’t tell you is that many disasters in the past were never officially logged.
Indeed if you look at floods in the UK, something which should be accurately recorded for a century and more, EM-DAT show that nobody died between 1952 and 1977. In contrast, 36 have died since 2007.
https://ourworldindata.org/natural-disasters
Now take a closer look, and see if you can find what is missing.
Yes, the North Sea floods in 1953, recognised as one of the worst natural disasters ever to hit Britain, and which left 307 dead on the east coast alone.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-lincolnshire-64414388.amp
How on earth does a catastrophe like this get missed by EM-DAT?
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Maybe the 1953 flooding deaths were ignored as it wasn’t caused by extreme precipitation.
Nor man-made ….climate change is only 20 years old
Is it included in the very large 1952 gigure?
No that’s only about 30
Paul , the historical accounts attest to eight deaths in and around Bristol and seven in the city of Bath during the Great Flood of 1968 . There is no flood fatality column for the year 1968 in the EM DAT/CRED time series either and I suspect – mindful that the addition of the 53 and 68 death tolls would manifest as a downward trendline – 13 deaths is an under-estimate for that flood disaster too.
1952 is the lynton floods.
100,000 killed in 1099
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2015.00084/full
We’re there really that many flood deaths in 1952? Or was plotted wrongly…
1952 included the Lynmouth flood, death toll of 36
59 died at Canvey across the estuary, BBC (of course) includes doomster Prof. who says that Netherlands let alone Canvey are doomed because Thames will be 2.2 metres higher by 2300 and another Prof. who says things might be OK if we get to ‘zero emissions’ (not just net!) asap.
The December 2013 (more or less 60th anniversary) storm surge flood came half way up my garden, more than a foot lower than 1953.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-essex-64255567
It is often a fine line between incompetence and malice.
It is called “diversity” these days.
Often there is a considerable overlap.
The floods of 10th July 1968 in Somerset seem also to have fallen off the radar. 6.8 inches of rain fell on the Mendip Hills over six hours.
7 people died in Keynsham and one man in Blackford.
Perhaps that alone tells you the REAL purpose of this “database”.
Rewriting history by another name….
Never assume any institution or function is meant to do what it says on the tin
Yes. Ironically when it was set in the 1990s they were honest about these issues. Since then they seem to have been subsumed by the UN
Off-Topic :
Guardian :
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/24/european-countries-pledge-huge-expansion-of-north-sea-wind-farms
“European countries [including UK] pledge huge expansion of North Sea wind farms
Nine countries sign declaration to turn North Sea into ‘Europe’s biggest green power plant’”
Aiming to both curb reliance on Russian gas and radically reduce the use of CO2-emitting fossil fuels, the nine countries aim to boost their combined North Sea offshore wind capacity to 120GW by 2030 and 300GW by 2050.”
Norway’s prime minister and Britain’s energy security minister, Grant Shapps, also committed at the summit in Ostend, Belgium, on Monday to build more wind farms, develop “energy islands” – connected renewable generation sites at sea – and work on carbon capture projects.”
The UK alone will either require at least 600 GW of Chinese built wind turbines by 2050 if hydrogen is used for energy storage for when the wind doesn’t blow, or lots of foreign supplied gas for the proposed CCUS.
Or, of course, we just live with expensive and intermittent supplies of electrical energy.
When questioned about intermittency/storage one commentator replied that the meeting attended by (the idiot) Shapps was to set out a plan to interconnect these windfarms by a vast grid so that there will always be energy from somewhere. This fantasy has entered the realm of mass insanity.
Insanity indeed. Firstly a lack of wind can easily cover the whole of the North Sea. Secondly, even if one part of the North Sea is still generating power all of the participants in ths scheme will be wanting it. 300 GW of installed wind capacity is totally insufficient.
They don’t seem to understand how to think about the problem. If they want wind to always cover the needs if five countries even if 4/5ths is not generating then they need to build 4 times as much as they need when it is generating. That means the capital cost will be 4 times higher and a good deal of the time you will be making constraint payments. This means costs for consumers will be vast. We seem to be in a world where the more insane a scheme is, the more likely it is to take place.
Phoenix 44:
I have come to the conclusion that the UK electricity supply has become the plaything of lunatics.
Firstly politicians completely ignorant of the difficulties and fuelled by hubris. They assume that what they say will (somehow) come true.
Secondly the public service completely ignorant of the difficulties and fuelled by ignorance or reality.
And thirdly a few troughers who are completely ignorant of the difficulties and fuelled by financial greed.
The end result will be a disaster.
It is not as if they haven’t been warned. Derek Birkett wrote “When will the lights go out?” in 2011 and has continued warning about the coming problems without any avail.
His book is weel worth reading. Also a Youtube on Net Zero.
I suggest that when the inevitable happens that nothing less than a “French haircut” is necessary.
The European Wind Turbine Industry has already told the EU that it does not have the capacity to meet the politicians unrealistic demands, especially as it has been making huge losses these past couple of years.
Wind Europe Press Release 16th March 2023 ‘EU Green Industry Plan falls short for now’
“The European Commission presented its Green Deal Industrial Plan. Goals require it to build over 30 GW of new wind farms every year to 2030. Europe has a big wind energy supply chain today but it’s not big enough to produce these volumes ”
CEO of Wind Europe is quoted thus “we simply don’t have enough factories and infrastructure today to build and install the volumes Europe wants”
https://windeurope.org/newsroom
Lots of other interesting stuff there
I understand the financial industry is starting to back off on paying out on these crackpot schemes too, that’ll knock the whole scam on the head.
“European countries [including UK] pledge huge expansion of North Sea wind farms”
So, UK will not only be naked when they can no longer afford a military (Net Zero it is called), they will have their power supply out at sea where it CANNOT BE DEFENDED!
Norway or Denmark may simply say, “Surrender, or we will destroy your power supply.”
Helping the invader is the UK’s core goal of invasion preparations.
“We will meet them on the beach, with sandwiches.”
Ain’t gonna happen, nobody can afford it, the wheels are coming off as I type.
One of the projects enjoying a political signoff was the LionLink interconnector (tactfully renamed from Eurolink). This is to be 1.8GW, with a UK landfall near Sizewell. That means extra grid capacity is needed to deliver from the nuclear plant and the interconnector to demand in the London area, and a different set of transmission lines to feed in surplus wind for export from the North. In Dutch waters there will be an additional HVDC station linked to a yet to be decided wind farm in the Dutch sector. So we get to import wind from Dutch suppliers when the Dutch don’t want it.
The landfall in the Netherlands has yet to be decided, partly because they haven’t decided on the wind farm yet. It is unlikely that it will conveniently connect to a new dispatchable power station as the BritNed interconnector did, terminating next door to the coal fired MPP3 plant at Maasvlakte, Rotterdam. However, the Dutch may have their eyes on output from Sizewell without having to pay the cost of a stupid investment in more EPR capacity.
Mannian manipulation of official data….egregious cherry picking when you think of the fatalities who are “disappeared” by these criminals.
There were also bad floods in Boscastle, Cornwall in the consecutive summers of 1957 and 1958 – at least one death. It shows this database is wrong.
But has anyone written to EM-DAT to ask them why?
I am sure the response would be contemptuous weasel words.
Even if the data are correct, these are miniscule numbers. To save say 10 lives year you would spend very small amounts. These numbers are far lower than the numbers of mothers and babies effectively killed by the NHS in one hospital by midwives refusing to follow best practice. Further, I doubt very much if these people were killed “by” floods. Most, if not all, will have died during a flood, often doing something not too bright. There’s really no reason why floods in the UK should be life-threatening to any degree we should worry about. And of course the numbers must be adjusted for population and other factors to actually be comparable.
“Most, if not all, will have died during a flood, often doing something not too bright.”
So true.
“In 2021, there were 68 fatalities due to hurricanes reported in the United States.”
ALL US hurricanes carry advance warnings of several days. There could be ZERO fatalities, if it were to be individual goals. But freedom allows people to make their own choices. When they don’t work, it is not justification for government action. But politicians are happy to exploit their demise.
Because it did not suit their agenda?
Hundreds drowned across Northern Europe; thousands of animals killed.
It’s often ‘forgotten’
More climate porn:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-12011005/The-countries-set-hardest-hit-heatwaves-coming-years-revealed.html
I tracked down the paper, and noted that these days they are keen to record press mentions and Twitter reach
https://www.altmetric.com/details/127700797
The paper itself is here
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abm6860
The methods section of the paper reveals:
The future projections follow the experimental design of the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project of CMIP6 (33), using the SSP-RCP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway–Representative Concentration Pathway) scenarios (34) SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585. CanESM5 has a high equilibrium climate sensitivity of 5.6 K, whereas MIROC6 is at the lower end at 2.7 K.
So they are using RCP 8.5 and a model with an outrageously high ECS -way above the IPCC official range – to generate their extreme projections.
It should be labelled for entertainment and Hollywood script writing only.
News of the future.
Used to be a Saturday Night Live skit.
A new phrase that I have thought up: Climate Washing. It is used by th climate cult and involves air brushing, ingnoring or lying about previous climate/ weather conditions/ events which are equal or exceed current conditions/ events to further their own agenda.