What the media won’t tell you about . . . hurricanes–Roger Pielke Jr
By Paul Homewood
Roger Pielke Jr’s has updated his analysis on Atlantic hurricanes:
Today is the official start to the 2023 hurricane season in the North Atlantic. Over the past few decades the media has increasing celebrated every hurricane as an indicator of climate change — whether juiced, intensified, linked, fueled — pick your favorite. Typically lost in the apocalyptic narrative has been actual science and data.
Below are five important conclusions from the scientific literature that are rarely, if ever, found in coverage of hurricanes.
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/2023-update-what-the-media-wont-tell
Roger covers five topics:
1) Atlantic Hurricane trends
2) US landfalling hurricane trends
3) Trends in hurricane damage
4) The role of societal change in disaster costs
5) The role of ENSO
His paper concludes that there is no evidence that hurricanes are becoming more frequent or intense, and that the increasing cost of such disasters is due to economic development, population increase and the fact that we all have much more “stuff”.
The full paper can be read here. I would thoroughly recommend it.
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
This will get bombed by the “narrative compliance checkers”. What Pielke should be saying is….
“Extreme Atlantic hurricane seasons now twice as likely as in 1980s
Climate breakdown has fueled ‘decisive increase’ in intensity, researchers say, as separate study links crisis to increased rainfall…
The study, which “hindcasted” the 2020 hurricane season with a computer model…”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/13/hurricanes-atlantic-climate-change-tropical-cyclones
Or something like that. Facts can be so tiresome.
So what can anyone do to correct what the media will not tell us? This has become the increasingly entrenched problem since global cooling became global warming.
It’s not only the media. It is also politicians who keep ignoring facts.
They are both as incompetent, ignorant and untrustworthy as each other, which is why they enjoy each others company so much.
More slickly crafted BBC propaganda twisting the twister facts. Note how it starts with a section designed to get an emotional response from you, to soften you up for the BS to follow.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-us-canada-65700588
Dr Junior is playing their game. You can’t win playing someone else’s game.
‘Climate change is important’
No. It’s not. No climate on earth is changing.
‘For storm numbers, rapid intensification probability and extreme precipitation, “climate change detection/attribution studies are not yet definitive for hurricane activity metrics, and more research is needed for more confident conclusions.”’
Hurricanes are weather phenomena. Numbers are a function of weather conditions, not ‘climate change.’ ‘Climate change’ CANNOT have any effect. ‘Rapid intensification’ is a made up metric. Again, it’s simply a function of the weather. Ditto precipitation. How fast the storm moves is the principal factor. How fast is a function of weather. For example, there is a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico right now. It is being sheered by high winds aloft, and dry air feeding into the storm center. Neither could possibly have anything to do with ‘climate change.’
As Dr Spencer pointed out years ago, the North Atlantic basin is warm enough to support hurricanes EVERY YEAR. Whether they form or not is a function of weather conditions.
Dr Pielke misses the boat by playing along.
And, of course, there are tornados: this is from this morning’s BBC news digest:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-us-canada-65700588
“from BBCs Carl Nasman”
It includes such gems as
“unlike other weather events, tornados can be difficult to predict”
“researchers haven’t seen an increase in their frequency (and) intensity can be subjective” BUT
“there does seem to be an increase in clusters of tornados (lots happening in one region)”
“they seem to be moving south east where there are more mobile homes, so they are more impactful”
“there isn’t a clear link between climate change and tornados” though “greater warming thoughout the years is causing more severe storms making tornados more likely to form on any given day”.
In short, the sort of report that would get a 12 year old a “fail” in any self-respecting school exam.
A truthful headline would be “Tornados show no evidence of any change in the climate; some areas getting more but others fewer – expert says that’s what to expect with random weather events”.
He ain’t in Kansas any more…
is there a record of the total number of hurricanes (landfall and ocean locked) per year?
There’s US Hurricanes here:
https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html
And Atlantic Hurricanes here:
https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/comparison_table.html
Both come from NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division
Someone needs to share with Mr Patterson at the WSJ given his story in Saturdays paper