Weather Girl Does Not Understand Hurricanes!
August 31, 2023
By Paul Homewood
Weather Girl Laura Tobin apparently thinks there is some significance in the fact that Idalia was the first major hurricane to hit Apalachee Bay in Florida:
https://twitter.com/Lauratobin1/status/1697135705246310733
Given that Florida’s coastline is 1350 miles long, and that the strongest winds in any hurricane usually don’t extend more than a few miles from the centre, most of the State’s coast can also claim to have never experienced a major hurricane.
There is therefore significance in her remarks. I pointed this out to her, but she has declined to respond!
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Cat3? or Cat4? Well I dunno – as I commented earlier, watching several FLorida Webcams, I DID NOT SEE anything that indicated that ANY such big storm was imminent. Maybe it was hiding Stage Left, or was it right ? (
Dunno – not into this Art n Drama theatricals )
As fur puir wee Laura, Och dinnae be sich ae bullie an’ leave the lassie aloan, she’s jist dae’n her joabie. (sarc) …. bUT THAT’S THE TROUBLE , ISN’T IT….. The sympathy vote?
Be fair, she just stated a simple fact without drawing any conclusions (the way most weather commentators would have done!). Incidentally, every time I try to comment I now get a warning “dangerous website, advised not to continue”). Any idea why this is – have the Thought Police taken over?
I’ve not had any problem so far. Could this be your ‘provider’ playing games? If so I would switch without a second’s hesitation.
Terry may I suggest you change your web browser. Maybe try this one that I use without any issues. https://www.opera.com
I use Vivaldi on both phone and laptop.
Not encountered an issue on either.
Also use Vivaldi for email
Yes, Opera is fine here.
No issues here with Firefox.
But another place to look could be your antivirus logs
>>warning “dangerous website, advised not to continue”
What about this old report?
http://www.hurricanescience.org/history/storms/1930s/LaborDay/
The Labor Day Hurricane [LDH] first came across the FL Keys and the LDH gets the bulk of attention. It then stayed in the Gulf and moved north, making landfall near Cedar Key south of the recent landfall. Cedar Key is 58 miles southeast of Apalachee Bay.
Tropical Storm Bonnie – a lesser event — hit Florida in almost exactly the same location, in 2004. She was overshadowed by Charlie. Bonnie was the first of five tropical systems in the 2004 season to make landfall in Florida, coming ashore the day before Hurricane Charley struck. H. Charley was a major hurricane and made landfall near the island of Cayo Costa, just west of Fort Myers; that is, well south of the current location of interest.
Cedar Key is not part of the “current location” of interest?
What’s where? Broadlands’ question

Locals will have to say whether or not they live on the coast of Apalachee Bay. I would follow, roughly, the 29.6°N Parallel – – from St George Island on the west to Steinhatchee on the east. Keaton Beach is there, but Cedar Key is to the southeast.
This map appears to suggest similar:
She is a paid mouthpiece……will repeat any gibberish for cash
About Laura from wiki-lies
“Tobin was born and raised in Northampton. She attended Duston Upper School, gaining A-Levels in mathematics, physics and art, and then obtained a degree in physics and meteorology at the University of Reading.[1][2] Tobin also completed a World Meteorological Organization course on climate.[3]”,
“Tobin also completed a World Mereological Organization course on climate”. And that means??????
Maybe I am thick but surely the people who should know about such things are called climatologists or atmospheric physicists OR paleo climatologists or geologists with knowledge of recent geological history. That it outside of the purview of meteorology. Does she know that climate is the average of weather over a period of time ( currently an arbitrary 30 years).I can only speculate on the content of the course she attended………..
I was at university with her like. Photographic memory but does not understand a word of it. Reading? There is /was what we used to call a university there? Sorry if I offend any real alumni. She is a regurgitator of received wisdom. Your clear piece of critical thinking should have been her first thought. That it wasn’t speaks volumes. She is called a scientist. The most fundamental skill one must learn is to think critically and NEVER to accept any data or claim on face value and to question, question, question.
We will all live to regret the deliberate end of the Enlightenment
I dont think any of us here will live to see the worst of it but I do fear for my children and grand kids.
Yet the Enlightenment brought us two devastating World Wars, the horrors of Communism and Fascism, the madnesses of Pol Pot, Stalin, Mao and Kim Jong Il, the French Revolution with its Terror and latterly seemingly endless conflict with much of Islam. There was perhaps a brief period in the 1980s and 1990s when we had increasing political, social and economic freedom, with advances in technology and some areas of science but that has now been almost wholly reversed across the West and we are once again ruled by disdainful and ignorant elites, full of petty grievances and absurd dogma.
That is a very jaundiced view . So there were no wars before, no misery, no pestilence, no abject poverty? So what do you advocate? Going back to the stone age and having religious theocracies deciding our fate, oh and life expectation back in the low 30s? That has worked very well in the past.
Why not answer the points? Were there world wars where millions died? Were there industrial extermination camps? Were hundreds of millions deliberately starved to death as part of political policy? Were class and racial hatreds stirred to mass murder? Were people sterilised and gassed in the name of science? The rise of politcal movements and the use of science in the name of politics are the direct result of the Enlightenment. To pretend otherwise and that the Enlightenment was all loveliness and freedom is absurd. And to pretend that since the Enlightenment we haven’t seen the worst of history is wilful blindness.
That is about the most egregiously blind opinion I have ever read. So! What is your solution? You seem to know what is wrong so come on “enlighten” us. Go back to the stone age perhaps? You think people were all nice and fluffy singing the stone age version of kumbaya back then? People behave badly regardless of the tools available to them but to completely ignore the benefits and focus on the downside is simply ignorant. To blame the Enlightenment for the actions of man which have never changed through history is to take wilful asininity to a new height.
‘Idalia is now a tropical storm in South Carolina with torrential rain’
Don’t know about you guys, but Gamecock had a fabulous round of golf this morning in . . . South Carolina.
Overall, not much of a storm here. Couple inches of rain over 3 days. A neighbor had a big tree blow over on his house, but no one was hurt and contractors had it removed next day. Blue tarp over the hole in his roof. He said it may take a few months to organize a contractor to fix the hole, but overall, no BFD. Insurance will cover all but his deductible.
I was down on our South Coast yesterday and at a football match last night where one of my fellow fans commented, as the rain fell, that ‘it felt like November’. Sums up the bulk of our 3 summer months.
This morning, like yesterday morning, is fabulous. 60 °F when I headed out for my daily walk. 59 °F dew point, too.
This is late September weather . . . on the 1st!
Though mid-90s forecast for mid-week.
The insinuation of her comment, since we know she it an ecoactivist, is that global warming has caused the first hurricane at Apalachee Bay.
Good word, insinuation.
They can’t blame it on climate change, so they blame it on climate change . . . by insinuation.
“Climate change doesn’t cause problems; climate change makes problems more likely.”
I find the old farmers almanac to be more accurate than TV weather predictions which are now too politicised
From her Twitter posts she seems a real airhead whose main preoccupation is fashion and her personal image. A typical lightweight scientist.