Could Extreme Weather Hit the 2026 World Cup?
By Paul Homewood
h/t Paul Kolk
The latest fake news from the BBC:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/66818689
According to BBC weatherman Simon King:
“Canada, the US and Mexico often get extreme weather. We’ve seen heatwaves, droughts and wildfires in recent years.
And with the 2026 World Cup being held in these locations, how much of a problem is extreme weather going to be?”
He uses as his example this year’s heatwave in Texas, which he falsely claims to be “record breaking”:
Far from being record breaking, temperatures of 38C (100F) in Dallas occur virtually every summer. The record there is 112F set in 1980.
And although the heatwave lasted a bit longer than normal this summer with 43 days of 100F or more, there is nothing unusual about this either:
http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu/
It’s the same story in Miami, where temperatures of 35C (95F) occur most years.
In neither city is there any evidence that temperatures are increasing.
Maybe Simon King should go and check what the weather was like the last time the US hosted the World Cup in 1994:
Comments are closed.
This kind of headline is known as a Betteridge I believe. A headline that poses a question to which the answer is always no.
I hope everyone enjoyed the drought that BBC headlines predicted for this summer.
Afternoon Coffee time and I get all this:
Huh, Denim brained …. and as for the football, … So? For how many years have we had World Cup competitions without major storm call-offs.
A friend has lived in Houston for the last twenty+ years and these temps are the norm. I am told it is a horrible place in the summer. Also who cares if it does affect the WC?
Yes, arrived in 1990 and am still here. Summer is always a challenge. Whether it is 105F and dry or 98F and humid. This year of our heatdome was the former, but let us have a couple of ours or respite ea RJ ly in the morning versus the usual sauna. The relative humidity is a huge factor and rarely discussed
Shit, can’t we’d dit the horrors, hopefully still understandable
if you recall, Jack Charlton kicked up a stink in 1986 about the heat and humidity the Irish faced and was throwing water at the players. Mexico held the competition in 1970 and again in 1986 (when Colombia dropped out) and similar hot temperatures were an issue, as well as the altitude. Further problems were caused by scheduling games involving european teams for the middle of the day so that they would be live in the european evening – for peak advertising. Spain and Italy were also warm but at least more games could be scheduled in the cooler times of day
Its peak advertising because its peak viewing. The former follows the latter.
It is however a very stupid idea to have the WC in the US in the summer. It is very hot and in many places it is very humid. I well remember going to Nashville in summer when I was a callow 16 year old and trying to play tennis during the day. I was drenched in sweat in minutes. Its pretty unpleasant.
He refers to a record breaking heatwave. This is true although the records were not broken in the cities he and you focus on. You have only to look at the Wikipedia entry to see that many heat related records were broken in other cities. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Western_North_America_heat_wave
Wikipedia.. Hm……….
Oh look , the troll is back quoting Wiki .
Does anybody think it might be William Connelly under another name . He was the one who changed everything on Wiki which told the real truth about the Global Warming fraud .
Also , most of the US temperature records were set in the 1930 s , and not many have been beaten since then .
I only referred to Wikipedia as a convenient place to bring the records together. If you are actually interested in whether the heatwave was recording breaking you can check each of those records. On the other hand if you are more interested in personal jibes then no need for any facts at all.
In fact , it looks like non of the 1930s temperature records have been broken ,https://realclimate.science/2011/04/02/1930s-was-the-hottest-decade-in-the-us/#gsc.tab=0
The link you refer to was written 13 years ago. We are talking about records that were set this year.
But nobody with any sense takes notice of climate reports being published now .https://heartland.org/opinion/media-advisory-96-of-us-climate-data-is-corrupted/
The vast majority of present reports are fake , and are being constantly adjusted to try to keep the climate fraud going
The people who maintain temperature records don’t take into account UHI they simply accept readings from poorly stied weather stations. The 40.3 degrees at RAF Conningsby minutes after a couple of Tornado jets landed is a perfect example and there’s plenty of others. Paul Homewood and Anthony Watts have debunked most of these “records”. Look up Anthony Watts’ surface station report or some of the articles on http://www.drroyspencer.com that show a large percentage of recent warming is due to the UHI
Did any long running rural stations set new records?
You are right. I was thinking of calculating averages where UHI is taken into account.
First – remember what started this. Homewood claimed the US heatwave was not record breaking. He was wrong. Plenty of records got broken (interestingly Spencer points out that July was record breaking globally – https://www.drroyspencer.com/2023/08/uah-global-temperature-update-for-july-2023-0-64-deg-c/). A record is a record whether it is due to UHI, El Nino or climate change.
To what extent is increase in UHI responsible for recorded temperature increases and records? This is contested. As it happens Spencer had a relatively recent blog item on this. https://www.drroyspencer.com/2023/07/the-urban-heat-island-effect-in-ghcn-station-temperatures-urban-locations-show-large-spurious-warming-effects/. In this he claims the effect is significant up to about 1980 but small after that. He refers to other papers which argue the effect is very small.
Matt – Tornadoes were retired years ago by the RAF, Typhoons are what are now at Coningsby.
I live not that far away & my car’s thermometer (Agreed, not a really scientific instrument) did hit 40C on the day. So, bloody hot it was.
However, the forecasts for the day did predict 40C, with the extreme & rare combinations of weather events that did occur.
Coningsby was just one of seven locations that went over 40 that day and 46 stations exceeded the previous record. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2022/record-high-temperatures-verified
Have you ever heard of the Urban Heat Island effect?
Are you aware that more and more weather stations are based at busy airports?
Do you know that a lot of the Eastern US had a cooler than average summer?
“Have you ever heard of the Urban Heat Island effect?”
yes
“Are you aware that more and more weather stations are based at busy airports?”
I am not sure that is true – many are but I don’t think the number has increased significantly in the last 40 years. But I am not sure. Perhaps you have a reference?
More importantly do you really think that the people whose job it is to measure and report temperature trends are not aware of this and don’t allow for it?
“Do you know that a lot of the Eastern US had a cooler than average summer?”
Yes – but the question was whether that particular heatwave broke some records. It did.
To Mark Frank in reply to
“Are you aware that more and more weather stations are based at busy airports?” you replied
I am not sure that is true – many are but I don’t think the number has increased significantly in the last 40 years. But I am not sure. Perhaps you have a reference?”
So you admit to having no knowledge at all about the subject but opine as if you are an expert.
Well here they are with coordinates
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-synoptic-and-climate-stations#:~:text=For%20instance%2C%20hourly%20temperature%20is,synoptic%20but%20sunshine%20is%20climate.
And for even more accurate data
I am confused. The question was whether the number of thermometers at airports in the USA have increased significantly over the last 40 years. You have supplied data on the location of thermometers in the UK at the moment. SO it is a snapshot in time not a trend and is the wrong country!
Interesting with respect to the Wiki site. It can be a good starting point, then one needs to verify the details.
The records from Phoenix are from the airport:
https://www.openstreetmap.org/?mlat=33.4278&mlon=-112.004&zoom=12#map=15/33.4289/-112.0139
The annual mean temperatures recorded in the last few decades are consistently warmer than those in the 1930s:
https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/phoenix/average-temperature-by-year
But the UHI effect must have increased significantly since then: the population in 1950 was 220,000, it is now 4.7 million.
The question being debated was whether the heat wave broke records. It is a separate question as to whether this was due to an increase in UHI, climate change or whatever.
To be classed as a record , something must follow standards and be verified .
The WMO has certain standards for temperature readings , and most of the US , [ apparently about 96% ] , and a lot of the UK ones , [ Airports etc ], do not meet these standards and therefore cannot be called records . [ except by the media and eco loons ].
If that is true then presumably the past temperatures that Homewood used to prove his case were also invalid. In fact the whole concept of a temperature in the USA goes out of the window and you wonder why Homewood bothered with the article.
Wokepedia has been cleansed of any evidence that contradicts the hottest evah narrative.
Please quote from an official source.
I used Wikipedia because it conveniently brought several records together in one place. Here is an even longer list: https://www.wunderground.com/article/safety/heat/news/2023-07-25-heat-records-us-europe-world-tracker-summer
I don’t suppose you will like that source either and I could look up the quoted temperatures but it is hard work and do you really think that either source is lying? The real scope for disagreement is that there are so many different types of record – highest max, highest min, highest average for a day, highest average for a month, number of consecutive days where max goes above 100F, 110F and so on. Then do this for each state, city – there are almost bound to be some records broken in a hot summer – the question is how many.
https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-high-and-low-temperatures
Thanks for the link which is interesting although it is hard to extract the answer to questions about records in July last year.
It shows that it is the mean of the minimum temperature that is rising quickly the mean of the maximum not so much .
The mean has risen because the minimum has risen, not so much because of the mean of the max.
Does AGW greenhouse gas forcings explain the rise in the mean of the minimum ?
Perhaps the worldwide increase in sunshine hours and disappearing clouds are due to AGW greenhouse gas forcings as well, who knows !
“Does AGW greenhouse gas forcings explain the rise in the mean of the minimum ?” Well it predicts more warming in the winter than the summer – https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-51221-w which is not quite the same but related. More realistically – the USA is less than 2% of the surface of the globe so it is a mistake to read too much into what happens there.
https://climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2022/clouds-and-sunshine-duration
Europe as well record breaking sunshine hours and disappearing clouds.
Is AGW greenhouse gas forcings causing this?
I have no idea. Do you?
I have no idea what causing the increasing trend in sunshine hours and disappearing clouds, but these 2 phenomenon do have a profound effect on the
recorded temperature both of land and sea surface temperature.
The sst and land temperature anomalies correlate almost perfectly with sunshine hours and disappearing clouds.
I have asked the most expert of climate science to explain but for some unknown reason they don’t want to talk about it.
All you can do is ask me if I know, well I don’t ,because it is unexplained by climate science.
Surely record temperatures are always going to be where the sun shines? Climate change or El Nino or whatever may raise temperatures overall – the very hottest ones which are the ones that set the records are going to be where the sun is shining.
The Earth’s surface is largely covered with oceans.
Water is excellent at warming up and retaining the heat when exposed to sunshine, that’s the way the climate weather systems work.
Land heats up and cools down more quickly than water – compare our climate to central Asia at the same latitude – so land is where the extremes are going to be and land where the sun is shining will be where the records will be broken.
The public is being misinformed on a massive scale .
Fake figures are coming from everywhere to try to fool people that the world is warming up .
But the real facts show that all of the “hottest Ever ” claims are just about all lies , or computer models which are just GIGO
What exactly are you trying to say? That a few cities in Texas, where UHI may of increased in the past few decades, proves that we’re in the midst of a climate crisis? I hope you realise how ridiculous claiming a climate crisis on the basis of a handful of daily temperatures from a very small area would sound, although obviously it’s the sort of thing the MSM do on a weekly basis. The big jump in global temperature anomalies in July, and equally high values in August are interesting, but quite likely due to the Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption. Most large eruptions cause cooling due to the amount of sulphur that’s injected into the stratosphere. HT was the first major subsea eruption since detailed weather records started being kept. Being subsea it injected orders of magnitude more water vapour into the stratosphere than other eruptions so it’s effect on temperatures will be totally different.
All I am trying to say is that the US Heat Wave broke many records (not just in Texas) and therefore Homewood is wrong when he claims it was not record breaking. I make no claims about the cause of the record temperatures.
While climate change increases the chances of temperature and rainfall records that doesn’t mean these records are evidence for climate change. However, increases in global and regional averages are evidence. The Hunga Tonga volcano probably added a bit to global temperatures this year but almost all experts think it was not enough to account for all the increase. https://www.space.com/did-tonga-undersea-volcano-cause-extreme-heat
Record temperatures? Really, Mark
Give me some examples from long running stations then
BTW – I’m not talking about “Records for that day”, which is of course a meaningless concept.
Just about all of the talk about record temperatures comes from fake readings and altering data .
The Hadley Centre which is used for Met Office reports has been caught out using fake readings .
https://notrickszone.com/2023/01/09/hadcrut-data-manipulation-changes-2000-2014-warming-trend-from-0-03c-to-0-14c-per-decade/
Hadcrut , also used by Net Office , changed previous records to try to claim excess warming .
And the NOAA has been proved to be lying about temperature records .https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/the-stunning-statistical-fraud-behind-the-global-warming-scare/
But actual facts have never stopped the GLOBAL WARMING FRAUDSTERS yet .And they keep coming out with their lies .
Remind me where the last world cup was held?
Sky Sports are already running an ad campaign on “Sport is under threat from Climate Change”
Of course not a single piece of evidence to support the utter tosh!
Sky ran a segment on how the MCC are meeting the challenge of Net Zero at Lords cricket ground.
The attempt to ‘brainwash’ of sports fans is well underway.
Not long ago media outlets were complaining about the carbon footprint of sporting events e.g. teams flying to fixtures or fans flying/driving to away games.
It is a demonstration of the BBC’s complete contempt for it’s audience that it has taken to wilful lying in it’s desperation to perform its agreed role as foremost promoter of Project Klymutt Fear. Could, might, maybe, ever present meaningless weasel words and NEVER ever do they critically revisit a claim they made which surprisingly has not come true. Have you noticed it is always about the future and not about now and what do they use as a basis, nothing less than the absolute fraud that is Climate Attribution where wrong models are taken, summed, twisted to give more statistical output, essentially any result wanted by the climate industrial complex as their “reason” to dismantle our very civilization. This is a propaganda war and it comes only one way. Science has no funding or will to counter this pernicious brainwashing of the population with science or should I say cyense promoted by arts graduates. It is absolutely unacceptable that the BBC are allowed to get away being used as a vehicle for false information (to hell with their weasel words disinformation and misinformation that they arrogantly claim to protect us from when in reality it is THEY who incessantly promote both).
The fact that there are not constant questions being asked in Parliament speaks volumes about the scale of the problem. A pox on them all!
I watched Rishi’s Press Briefing on BBC News yesterday and during his speech the rolling text on the right of the screen clearly implied that greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide cause climate change. They even started the item with pictures of fires and floods.
They could move the event to November like Qatar ’22 😎