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Global CO2 Emissions Likely To Rise Through 2050–US EIA

December 3, 2023

By Paul Homewood

 

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By 2050, energy-related CO2 emissions vary between a 2% decrease and a 34% increase compared with 2022 in all cases we modeled. Growing populations and incomes increase fossil fuel consumption and emissions, particularly in the industrial and electric power sectors. These trends offset emissions reductions from improved energy efficiency, lower carbon intensity of fuel mix, and growth in non-fossil fuel energy.
IEO2023 analyzes long-term world energy markets in 16 regions through 2050. We studied seven cases that explore differing assumptions of economic growth, crude oil prices, and technology costs. These cases consider only the international laws and regulations adopted through March 2023 and rely on the U.S. projections published in the Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023), which assumed U.S. laws and regulations as of November 2022.

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=61024&mc_cid=5f58d8297a&mc_eid=4961da7cb1

6 Comments
  1. December 3, 2023 4:26 pm

    Good. More planet greening.

  2. Gamecock permalink
    December 3, 2023 5:08 pm

    If you don’t like the outcome, change the model. The results will be just as valid. And just as useful.

  3. gezza1298 permalink
    December 3, 2023 7:44 pm

    Sorry, is it just me but are the tolerance ranges so large as to make their graphs complete bollocks??

    • bobn permalink
      December 4, 2023 1:14 pm

      Basically Gezza – YES. Just like everything in the climate alarm world its all assumption and the error bounds are enormous.
      For example the alarm fraternity assume (but dont measure or prove) the incoming solar radiation that warms our planet and changes our climate to one decimal place. However the error bands are plus or minus 17.0 on their assumption. Thats about plus or minus 7c in temp error possibility! This isnt science!

  4. 2hmp permalink
    December 4, 2023 7:47 am

    So ?

  5. M Fraser permalink
    December 4, 2023 5:52 pm

    Good, we need more CO2.

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