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Climate Crisis! Hottest Xmas Since 2016!

December 27, 2023

By Paul Homewood

 

The Met Office was desperate to declare the warmest Xmas on record – sadly all they could claim was the warmest since 2016!

 

 

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For most, of course, such things are just a bit of fun. But for the Met Office, it is a chance to push their global warming propaganda.

Never mind the fact the 25th December has no more significance than any other day in the month.

And, as usual, they try to find significance in one day at Exeter being warmer than some other place in years past.

If you want to present an objective analysis, you must use data from the same location or other source. Otherwise you are simply comparing apples and oranges.

The obvious database is the CET, and this gives the lie to claims that our climate is somehow changing rapidly, at least in December.

The chart below only runs to 2020 and shows the highest December temperature recorded each year since 1900. There is little sign of temperatures shooting up, other than the outlier in 2015. What is more noticeable is that exceptionally cold Decembers used to be more common – in 1933, for instance, daytime temperatures never got above 6.4C:

image

https://www.ecad.eu/indicesextremes/index.php

The highest temperature this month is 13.4C, which is unexceptional by any standard. The last two Decembers were 14.1C and 13.5C.

The mild weather this Xmas is just that – WEATHER. And it is just the same weather we get at times during most years in December, typically a southwesterly airflow.

44 Comments
  1. Mike Jackson permalink
    December 27, 2023 12:15 pm

    Christmas traditionally is mild, according to some expert who gave his name to such warm/cold periods. (Help me out here, somebody!) The reason why a white Christmas is a betting matter is because of its rarity.
    I do recall a couple of times in childhood walking to Midnight Mass in freezing cold and bright stars (no street lights in our village in those days) but that was definitely an exception.

    • glenartney permalink
      December 27, 2023 12:36 pm

      It was Dickens who created the myth of a White Christmas.
      He was born in 1812, just two years before the last Thames Ice Fair, and grew up in the coldest decade of the 19th century. So he thought of winter and Christmas as cold and white which it was in the first decade of his life.
      For a Christmas to be classed as white by the Met Office, snow has to be observed falling somewhere in the UK during the 24 hours. This year it was a white Christmas. By that classification about 60% of Christmasses in the last 50 years have been white. In reality what most people would consider a White Christmas is much rarer.

      • John Hultquist permalink
        December 27, 2023 5:54 pm

        Also, Dylan Thomas:
        A Child’s Christmas in Wales

        I love this: “… I can never remember whether it snowed for six days and six nights when I was twelve or whether it snowed for twelve days and twelve nights when I was six.”

      • gezza1298 permalink
        December 28, 2023 11:57 am

        I thought the key for paying out bets was a flake of snow falling on the roof of the London Weather Centre? I well remember being out in the garden one Christmas Day burning some unwanted bits of chipboard and initially I thought it was my ash falling around me but it was snow. I was amazed given that it was not a cold day and I think it did fall in London which was not far away.

  2. tomcart16 permalink
    December 27, 2023 12:17 pm

    A distinct lack of self awareness at the Met. Office now that grandstanding has moved up so high on their agenda. No doubt someone among us will reveal that Equality, Diversity and Virtuosity (sic) is the next one down the list.

  3. December 27, 2023 12:22 pm

    Oh noooo! Christmas boiling! Santa just won’t know what reindeer are. Oh wait, no, that’s because all the reindeer are being driven away from their traditional migratory routes by planet saving wind turbines scattered across the Arctic tundra.

  4. David Pope permalink
    December 27, 2023 12:32 pm

    Yet the Met Office still had to officially declare it a White Christmas. What a shame for them…

  5. Nigel Sherratt permalink
    December 27, 2023 12:35 pm

    Wonder whose private jet triggered the temperature sensor at Exeter Airport? Maybe the Met Office hasn’t been able to afford one yet out of the supercomputer budget. Like the hottest day ‘evah’ at Brogdale in 2003 which was very likely a tractor or possibly an ice cream van exhaust. It was very hot that day, cracked the new lime plaster on south wall of St Peter Oare,(easily repaired).

    • December 27, 2023 7:52 pm

      The temperature here in Torbay, some 20 miles from Exeter Airport, I recorded as 12.6C at 3pm on Christmas Day, so may have been a little warmer closer to sundown as it brightened up from the drizzle and very strong south west winds I noted.

      I recorded 13.6C at 12noon on the 24th December.

  6. December 27, 2023 12:37 pm

    The really concerning thing about all this is that every real meteorologist knows this is BS. The weather station at Exeter Airport has actually not been there very long – its exact location can be seen on google maps at 50.737040528576564, -3.4058685811488543 (copy and paste). Go to google earth historic and it was installed sometime between 2006 and 2010.
    Over on Tallblokess site an evaluation was done here.

    WMO03839, Exeter Airport


    It is clearly only intended for aviation purposes – I guess the clue is in the name – and does not meet WMO standards for climate reporting as here.

    Click to access CIMO_Guide_2014-Met_Site_Classification.pdf

    Obviously there is no long term comparative data.
    A few years ago I had met our local TV weatherman (Ron Lobeck a former Naval meteorological officer) who said in his active days figures like these (airports, walled gardens et alia) were routinely ignored as they were considered worthless for anything other than local interest.
    That the likes of airport sites are considered of interest these days is not indicative of climate other than political climate.

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      December 27, 2023 12:56 pm

      Plus many, Ray! Have a Happy New Year! (That goes for you all here!)

    • gezza1298 permalink
      December 28, 2023 12:03 pm

      Sadly because pilots do need to know what the weather conditions are, every airport, air base and airfield has a weather station. Near me, Redhill Aerodrome is known to be in a frost hollow so gives a temperature that is only really of interest to those flying there or living nearby. And some of you might realise that not far away lies Gatwick Airport – the busiest single runway airport in the world. I now from experience that the area around the airport can be 4 degrees warmer than where I live.

  7. Phoenix44 permalink
    December 27, 2023 12:38 pm

    That resembles a random walk rather than anything else.

  8. nevis52 permalink
    December 27, 2023 12:48 pm

    I wonder what caused the Christmas Day record-breaking 15.6C in1920.

  9. Harry Passfield permalink
    December 27, 2023 12:53 pm

    That the MO can claim that a single instantaneous (longevity uncertain) reading from a non-compliant (under THEIR own rules) weather station (it is not) can be used as a justfication for claiming the country (by their implication, the whole country) enjoying the warmest Christmas for many years is, by any intellectual, logical and moral standpoint, FRAUDULENT!! It must be challenged…if only we had a Press with backbone!

    • December 27, 2023 3:21 pm

      Obliterating Wales with the temperature number was a bit uncouth 😎

      • evanpnz permalink
        December 29, 2023 5:37 pm

        Alas. Folks have no class nowadays.

  10. It doesn't add up... permalink
    December 27, 2023 1:08 pm

    But surely it will be hotter in Scotland in February?

    The John Hutton Institute fake story continues to propagate around the internet: MSN linked a version in the Evening Standard and another in the Independent just yesterday. A lie gets all around the world before the truth can get its boots on. It would make a perfect case study for OFCOM for looking at how fake news is spread. Did JHI ever issue a correction email having sent out their press release? Why is the fake story still propagating?

  11. Joe Public permalink
    December 27, 2023 1:13 pm

    All those years ago, how did they consistently select locations to build airports at locations that’d later provide temperature ‘records’?

    It’s amazing!

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-67817500#

    • December 27, 2023 1:37 pm

      Joe this clearly demonstrates how low the met office has sunk – in fact I would suggest borderline illegal. Take this quote “Temperatures hit 15.3C in Heathrow, west London, and Cippenham in Slough, the Met Office said.”
      Forget the ludicrous Heathrow site (any normal person would surely question that one) but what about the Cippenham one? Well earlier this year I challenged the Met Office to defend this site which is clearly a joke.
      http://www.google.com/maps/place/51°30‘24.4″N+0°38’33.7″W/@51.506808,-0.6439943,251m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m4!3m3!8m2!3d51.506763!4dTemperatures hit 15.3C in Heathrow, west London, and Cippenham in Slough, the Met Office said.-0.6426934?entry=ttu
      The reply was classic – they claimed the usual rigorous inspections ensured it was accurate! On a sewage farm next to settlement tanks! It does not even make Class 5.
      How can these people look themselves in the mirror?

      • John Hultquist permalink
        December 27, 2023 6:14 pm

        “sewage farm” ?? I wonder what the harvest** is.
        That place is nestled in the Slough Sewage treatment Works in Wood Lane, Slough.
        Not recommended for a temperature site, digestion is an exothermic process.

        **Search-up Milorganite — Wikipedia has a page.

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        December 27, 2023 7:45 pm

        John, you may joke but on R4 PM this evening they interviewed a chap whose company has managed to make A Grade aviation fuel from sewage. He reckoned it was as good as the real thing…..but….all the sewage in Britain over 12 months would not make more than 5% of fuel needed (it could gave been a lot less but I was laughing too much to catch the last part).

      • gezza1298 permalink
        December 28, 2023 12:05 pm

        I wonder how much more expensive poo-fuel is over kerosene? Many might call it a shit idea.

  12. December 27, 2023 1:38 pm

    Looks like I screwed up link – copy and paste to google maps 51.50683642816908, -0.6427202253607303

    • Gamecock permalink
      December 27, 2023 2:28 pm

      Works on Google Earth, too.

      I didn’t know you could do that!

      Looks like less than 15 meters from roadway, too.

      • December 27, 2023 8:19 pm

        Looking at Google Earth history, that site did not exist prior to 2016. What that tells you is that it has deliberately been installed, in a wholly unrepresentative site, in modern times to deceive. Lying bastards.
        The nearby “roadway” is the M4 motorway which, at that point, is one of Europe’s busiest roads!

    • Gamecock permalink
      December 27, 2023 10:15 pm

      Ray, did you type in all those numbers, or is there a way to capture them from Google Maps?

      • December 28, 2023 11:22 am

        GC, (this is from my laptop) I open google maps, move cursor to place I want to select then left click which brings up a little grey “kite” marker. Then right clicking on it brings up a drop down selection. The top option is the exact (digitalised) coordinates of the kite mark. Select those and it says “copied to clickboard”
        Then simply paste it to wherever you want. And yes it works on Google Earth, Bing Maps and probably others as well.
        This digitalised coordinate scheme is simpler than standard degrees, minutes and seconds and doesn’t seem to require defining N,S,E,W.
        Hope that helps.
        Ray

      • Gamecock permalink
        December 28, 2023 12:04 pm

        Got it. It works!

        Thanks!

  13. Gamecock permalink
    December 27, 2023 2:18 pm

    Gamecock protests the use of ‘warm,’ ‘warmest,’ and ‘milder’ when referring to 13.6°C!

  14. John Bowman permalink
    December 27, 2023 3:08 pm

    South West England – where tropical plants can grow, because…. Gulf Stream.

    “ What is more noticeable is that exceptionally cold Decembers used to be more common…”

    Which is consistent with a slightly warming climate system which produces less cold nights in Winter in Northern hemisphere – a real positive to add to more C02 producing more abundant plant life, particularly in dry areas.

    More global warming please; more CO2 please.

  15. December 27, 2023 3:46 pm

    Oh and look, what a surprise, another airport with a record. Since WHEN did airports turn into official Met Office recording sites? The reason for weather data recording at airports is for a totally different reason that the Met Office records data so a location at an airport which is reasonable for flying info is not the same as it should be for the Met Office where the airport is one great anomaly but an anomaly planes have to land and take off from!

    • December 27, 2023 4:56 pm

      The Met Office know that full well but they are just don’t care. They have long ceased to have any claim to either science or even honesty. As you know the UK hottest “record” was taken by the runway at RAF Coningsby. But this is what they are happy to lie about it

      “The UK’s new record-high temperature of 40.3°C at Coningsby, Lincolnshire, has been confirmed by the Met Office, following a rigorous process of analysis and quality control.
      The confirmation comes as quality control testing, including physical inspections, cross-checking of stations and sites and further testing of equipment was carried out on a number of sites where records were provisionally broken. These quality control measures are in accordance with the internationally-agreed World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) standards, which are required to be accepted as official records. ”

      Utter out and out lying. They know perfectly well that the site at RAF Coningsby gets nowhere near WMO standards. (Weirdly some posters on here actually try to speak up for these guys!) In my humble opinion they are fraudsters and should stand trial for it. Sorry rant over.

      • December 27, 2023 6:58 pm

        ‘RAF Coningsby gets nowhere near WMO standards’

        Is this it?
        https://www.google.co.uk/maps/dir//53.0939461,-0.167682/@53.094091,-0.1705144,400m/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu

      • December 27, 2023 8:08 pm

        Actually oldbrew that is not the site. This is it just a few yards away next to the “CY” marker. Copy and paste the following
        53.093902505216825, -0.17289080932153691 to google maps (ad Earth)

      • December 28, 2023 8:45 am

        Thanks 👍

      • gezza1298 permalink
        December 28, 2023 12:10 pm

        But we now know that three Typhoon fighters were going past as the temperature peaked for 30 seconds – yes, just 30 seconds thanks to electronic recording. Surely there should be a realistic time for a temperature to be recorded. On that day I put a datalogger outside to see what would happen and I set it to take readings every minute to see how that looked as much as anything.

  16. Mark Hodgson permalink
    December 27, 2023 7:32 pm

    Whatever the weather, they are desperate to push the climate change hysteria:

    Whatever the Weather

  17. December 28, 2023 8:22 am

    The forecasting of UK’s weather continues to contain elements of guesswork.

  18. liardetg permalink
    December 28, 2023 11:26 am

    Look at earth.nullschool.net to see how lucky lucky we are to be bathed in warm SW Atlantic winds! No snow. (Oops sorry about Scotland!). Over the water Norway is very minus, Norh Pole minus 28 top of Greenland minus 50,

  19. December 28, 2023 11:38 am

    For those interested in the undoubted and unquestionable accuracy of all Met Office temperature records, here is a rather spectacular video detailing just how perfectly natural the daily comings and goings of this flagship Met office official site are.

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