India Determined To Increase Coal Output
By Paul Homewood
h/t Dennis Ambler
This is in the latest edition of World Coal
While growth in coal production slows gradually across the globe, India is setting itself apart from other countries, with its ambitions to aggressively increase its output.
India’s coal industry is the second largest in the world with production in its 2022 – 2023 fiscal year (ended 31 March) of 893 million t, an annual increase of 14.8%, having achieved 8.7% growth in the previous year, with the country now accounting for over 10% of global production, ranking it second after China.
This growth is being driven by the Indian government’s push to reduce dependency on imports and realise AtmaNirbhar Bharat, or ‘self-reliant India’. Imports of coal are critical to India and have been steadily rising, accounting for 24% of consumption in 2022 compared with 12% in 2010. In order to achieve self-reliance, the Indian government is working towards increasing the domestic output to over 1 billion t of coal in 2023 – 2024 and 1.5 billion t by 2029 – 2030, with coal-fired power remaining a key element of its electricity portfolio.
In 2023, coal-fired power is forecast to account for 72% of total power generated in India, with a slight reduction by 2030 to 64%. While a reduction, by 2030 this figure will compare to coal’s share of 27% of total power generation globally and 45% of power produced in China, currently the world’s largest producer of coal-fired power. Renewable power is growing – in April, the Indian government set a target of having? 500 GW?of installed renewable energy by 2030, including 280 GW of solar power and 140 GW of wind power – but while India did commit to a ‘phase down’ of coal at the COP26 global climate forum in Glasgow in 2021, it does not mean a reduction in overall coal demand. Overall demand for coal is forecast to rise from around 1.1 billion t in 2022 – 2023 to over 1.6 billion t by 2029 – 2030, with the share of coal for power generation forecast to account for two-thirds of the total. By 2030, India’s share of global coal-fired power is expected to jump from 13% in 2023 to 18%. In contrast, China’s share of total coal-fired power generation is forecast to remain relatively flat, rising from 54% in 2023 to 56% in 2030
https://www.worldcoal.com/coal/13122023/indias-coal-sector-bucking-the-trend/
It’s worth pointing out that China and India already account for 62% of world coal output. Add in Russia and Indonesia, neither of whom have any intention of abandoning coal, and the figure rises to 75%.
While the West is fiddling around on the fringes, the simple reality is that the world will still be using billions of tonnes for a long time to come.
BP Energy Review
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They are not stupid in India.
And hopefully that will continue if they re-elect Modi in the spring.
That’s because neither the Indian nor Chinese scientists believe in the AGW hoax.
Today’s BBC ultraspin
‘Bangladesh sees dramatic rise in lightning deaths linked to climate change’
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-67779223
“Nasa, the UN and the government of Bangladesh cite increased storminess due to climate change as a reason for the increase in deadly strikes.”
300 a year die of lightning vs 20 in the US
Tweeted by @BBCNewsAsia and @BBCScienceNews (X has suppressed 2 of the 5 replies)
story by Rajini Vaidyanathan her previous climate tweets
Re-tread of an old story. In 2016 the Government of Bangladesh decided to make an issue out of of lightning deaths and injuries, and declared it a ‘natural disaster’ to raise awareness.
In the last ten years, the population of Bangladesh has risen from 152 million to 174 million. Is it possible that there is simply an increasing number of targets for the bolts?
The following is a survey from the point of view of it being a public health issue:
https://www.banglajol.info/index.php/BMRCB/article/view/41801
There are simply no figures reliable enough to extract trends of deaths per million.
The only (fairly) reliable, hard fact about the actual prevalence in Bangladesh of lightning which I could glean from the article was that the average number of days with lightning strikes in the most dangerous month (May) was nine before 1981 and is now twelve.
I suppose three more a month is possible. What it means, if anything, is anybody’s guess.
Perhaps the BBC could do a report on road deaths in Bangladesh which seem to be increasing by a thousand a year? I DO know what is happening here. More and more people are taking to the road, as wealth increases, and many of them can not drive!
https://www.dhakatribune.com/bangladesh/320155/clouded-figures-understanding-road-accidents-in
Seems the “report” from 2020 about England being underwater in the near future is being promoted again by the Daily Mirror https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/terrifying-climate-change-map-shows-31701241?int_source=nba
wonder what caused them to reproduce this again today.. Nudge unit wanting to ramp up fear again?
just noticed they’re also showing again the article about the village in wales built on the sand dunes that will disappear when the authorities stop updating the sea defences.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/doomed-seaside-village-become-first-31705125?int_source=nba
isn’t this the one that was discussed a month or two ago. Definitely the nudge unit are active
What about the 1981 claim (by several ‘scientists including Steven Schneider) that global warming would see Buckingham Palace 7 feet underwater?
Of course it might come true soon, like the claim in 1988 that the Maldives and parts of Florida would be underwater within 30 years. Could this be the excuse for another attempt to silence Trump at his home?
So how would the CO2 reduction by the UK over the next 25 years compare with the extra CO2 produced from these planned Coal fired power stations? As much as 1%? Do our politicians really believe the cost, inconvenience and our pain will have achieved anything?
“Do our politicians really believe…?”
Yes they do! But this is only part of our problem. Insanity stalks the land, and reaches out like “the Borg” to engulf more and more of the Establishment.
Luckily (?), as Adam Smith noted, “There is a lot of ruin in a country.” Many businesses and institutions adapt to, or dodge, the nonsense, and actually keep working. But is this not merely enabling and appeasing behaviour, making things worse in the long run?
According to the IEA China, India, Indonesia , Vietnam and the Philippines currently represent 70% of world coal demand and the growth of coal demand in these countries has more than offset the decline in demand in the EU, US, Korea, Japan, Canada and Australia.
They expect China and India alone will account for more than 70% of global coal consumption by 2026.
IEA ‘Coal 2023 Analysis and forecast to 2026’ (Dec 2023)
” decline in demand in the EU, US, Korea, Japan, Canada and Australia. ”
Australia has substantial reserves of coal and a “developing energy crisis”. My opinion is that the primary cause of the “developing energy crisis” is the continuing closure of coal-fired power stations without equivalent replacement.
Quite correct: The moron now in charge of electricity wants offshore wind and huge areas of solar panels, all joined by several thousand kilometres of transmission lines.
I would point out that farmers don’t want towers over their lands and that the vast areas of deserts are dusty which reduces solar output by at least 50%.