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Bude To Drown In 2050!

February 1, 2024
tags:

By Paul Homewood

h/t Robin Guenier

More silly scaremongering from the BBC:

 image

The residents of a seaside town are coming together to look at how they can tackle climate change. Bude, on the north Cornwall coast, has been described as the UK’s Maldives – idyllic and beautiful but facing an imminent threat due to rising sea levels.

As Alara Vural Wedgwood prepares to head out to train with the local Surf Life Saving Club, she says the beach and seafront are what brings the community together.

"People live here, it’s not just a tourist place," the marketing consultant says.

"There’s such a strong sense of community and a lot of that is based around the seafront. It’s what brings the community of Bude together."

But Mrs Vural Wedgwood fears "with climate change, there might not be a seafront in the way that we know it".

Images created by the Environment Agency show the potential impact rising sea levels could have on Bude.

The visualisations for Crooklets Beach show cafes, the car park and the town’s Surf Life Saving Club could all be underwater in about 30 years’ time.

"We’re talking about our hometown, parts of it being under water," Mrs Vural Wedgwood says.

"It is scary and actually makes it very real."

image

image

Liz Taylor, from the Environment Agency, says: "I understand people might be shocked.

"We produced those images based on scientific information to give an idea of what things could look like in the future if nothing was done.

"I think there is real potential to take positive action to adapt so that the community here can really thrive."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cornwall-68140885 

 

Far from using “scientific information”, as the EA claim, their silly make believe is based on the UK Climate Projections, issued by the Met Office in 2018. And these, in turn, are based on RCP8.5, the high emissions scenario which proper scientists have derided as impossible.

Their worst case scenario projects a 390mm rise in sea levels between 2020 and 2060 -  that’s 9.75mm a year:

 

image

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/ukcp/summaries/marine-climate-change-projections

 

Actual sea levels have been rising at just 1.94mm a year, with no acceleration throughout the record.

 

mean trend plot

https://www.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=170-161#tabscenario

Of that 1.94mm, about a third is the result of the land sinking:

image

 

But even a 390mm rise, twice that of the last 100 years, would not cause the sort of flooding implied by the EA’s fake image. The area they say will be under water, including the beach huts, cafe and car park are a good meter or so above sea level. The worst that would happen would be temporary flooding from a storm surge.

Sea levels at Bude have risen by 200mm or so since the end of the 19thC, without disrupting life for its inhabitants one jot.

And in another 100 years time, its future inhabitants will doubtlessly say the same.

60 Comments
  1. February 1, 2024 12:18 pm

    Yeah, yeah, yeah. And here the propagandists are back in 2014 trying to scare us with this.

  2. Gamecock permalink
    February 1, 2024 12:22 pm

    Bude is one year in to a five year £2m project looking at how it can adapt to the changing climate

    Why should I pity scammers?

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      February 1, 2024 12:26 pm

      That’s just for looking at it. A good surfing holiday, I’m sure, and paid to boot.

    • February 1, 2024 12:44 pm

      With a further £3 million from the Government.

      Can anybody do the picture as to how it would look like with the increase of just a few mm, as is projected by SCIENTISTS??

      • gezza1298 permalink
        February 1, 2024 6:28 pm

        £3million from taxpayers of course.

      • Sean permalink
        February 2, 2024 1:14 am

        Just copy the first picture…

      • Beancounter permalink
        February 4, 2024 12:19 pm

        Too similar to the 2020 version, which itself isn’t accurate.

    • February 1, 2024 1:50 pm

      Bude is one year in to a five year £2m project looking at how it can adapt to the changing climate“.

      That mean £2 mill spent on performative art and inviting their climate heroes to come and spout their baseless religion. What is left will be spent on pointless navel gazing and of course booking the halls and “refreshments”. Oh I forgot OF COURSE lots and lots AND LOTS of fact finding trips around the world to go and consult other useful idiots and associated chancers and rent seekers no doubt using climate conscious travel agencies who will also want to put their noses in the trough.

      The money would be better spent on fixing sea defences but that would not provide the climate weasels with oxygen.

      • dennisambler permalink
        February 4, 2024 2:55 pm

        “fact finding trips around the world”

        They could start with Scandinavia

        https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/map.html#plotTab

        Useful resource map of the world and sea level monitoring stations. Scroll for zoom, hold left mouse button to move around the map, right click for site record. PSMSL is the source for the NOAA charts, take away their trendlines for Newlyn and sea level has periods of levelling and even falling.

        The impression is always given that sea level is rising uniformly across the world, it doesn’t even rise uniformly from one side of a country to the other. Devonport, around the corner from Newlyn, shows little rise, similarly Ilfracombe further north from Bude.

        Stockholm sea level is 399 mm lower than 1889, because of glacial uplift, common across Scandinavia. That’s 3mm per year fall in sea level.

        Check out US and Canada west coast versus east coast, west is level or falling, east is rising. The white flags have the latest data range.

  3. eromgiw permalink
    February 1, 2024 12:46 pm

    It’s all a ploy to spend taxpayers’ cash on pointless projects. There was a sign up at the Eastbourne bandstand last summer boasting about how many millions they were spaffing on “climate action.”

  4. Sean Galbally permalink
    February 1, 2024 12:52 pm

    As far as I know the Maldives are still well above the sea and have not drowned as Al Gore assured us they would have done by now!

    • chrishobby1958 permalink
      February 1, 2024 3:41 pm

      That’s what I was going to say, the Maldives were predicted to be under water by now, it didn’t happen. So I suppose Britain’s Maldives is an accurate description but not for the reason that they think it is.

    • malfraser9a75f35659 permalink
      February 1, 2024 5:12 pm

      The Maldives are busy building a new airport and numerous hotels, not over worried then.

      • Beancounter permalink
        February 4, 2024 11:15 am

        As a resident of Bude it would be great to have one airport closer than Exeter, but to be as attractive as the Maldives we would need nicer weather and clearer seas.

  5. mjr permalink
    February 1, 2024 12:54 pm

    Also from the wonderful BBC this morning

    Could UK heatwaves be given names this summer? – BBC Weather also warning of 10000 heat deaths

    Just watching JHB on Talk discussing this with the wonderfully amusing Jim Dale (he’s fun but talks climate bollox)

    • mjr permalink
      February 1, 2024 12:57 pm

      also just noticed from yesterday’s BBC 

      Low rain and snowfall in Europe could hit UK food costs – BBC Weather droughts, pestilence, boils, frogs, etc etc etc

      they are going for the fear factor in a big way ……..

      • glenartney permalink
        February 1, 2024 5:16 pm

        This is contradicted by another BBC Website article, for the west of Scotland at least

        https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-67752167

        It said February and April have become up to 60 percent wetter in the last 30 years, particularly in the west, compared with the previous three decades.

        which then says

        The study suggests that over the next 60 years Scotland can expect to experience longer periods of dry weather, particularly around September.

        It is a load of tosh

    • It doesn't add up... permalink
      February 1, 2024 3:01 pm

      They are obviously trying to avoid finding real explanations for excess deaths.

    • arfurbryant permalink
      February 1, 2024 6:16 pm

      OMG! That means 2024 will have the highest number of named heatwaves ON RECORD!

      • February 1, 2024 6:19 pm

        Would this make the year, in BBC terms, ‘historic’ or ‘unprecedented?

    • gezza1298 permalink
      February 1, 2024 6:29 pm

      They don’t have that twat Dim Dale on TalkTV as well as GB News do they? 

  6. February 1, 2024 12:56 pm

    But Mrs Vural Wedgwood fears “with climate change, there might not be a seafront in the way that we know it”.

    “Might” covers a lot of possibilities.

    ” It’s all a ploy to spend taxpayers’ cash on pointless projects. “ At some point, this nonsense must surely be unlawful

    • tomcart16 permalink
      February 1, 2024 5:11 pm

      See what will be missed by viewing Google Maps especially at low tide.

      Not a lot to be missed.

      • In The Real World permalink
        February 2, 2024 11:30 am

        I often use this site for historical maps .https://maps.nls.uk/geo/explore/#zoom=5.0&lat=56.00000&lon=-4.00000&layers=1&b=1

        If you put up a 25 Inch map from about 1900 you can see the high and low water levels , then a blue slider on the map shows an actual overhead from today .

        And funnily enough , over the last 120 od years there is almost no difference .

        So , perhaps the rising sea level is something that will suddenly happen when the climate nutters say it will .

      • tomcart16 permalink
        February 2, 2024 4:41 pm

        Appreciate comment from In The Real World . Historical maps consulted. Tend to confirm that tidal foreshore was invaded by car park and tourist amenities. Is that what brings the community together – see Mrs Wedgewood’s assertions in main text?

        Speaking for myself ,of course , there are too many idle educated people with little to do but adopt absurd causes and presume to represent the historic community. Little employment in these settlements of holiday villas I suspect

  7. Joe Public permalink
    February 1, 2024 1:00 pm

    Surely Ms Alara Vural Wedgwood should be celebrating the fact that there’ll be more sea to surf in?

    • Gamecock permalink
      February 1, 2024 1:19 pm

      She should be celebrating that she has lived long enough to see the [inevitable] change.

  8. February 1, 2024 1:03 pm

    “We produced those images based on scientific information“. They are having a joke. They do not do science at the Environment Agency or the Met Office.

    • Gamecock permalink
      February 1, 2024 1:20 pm

      What kind of information is scientific information?

      • gezza1298 permalink
        February 1, 2024 6:31 pm

        Generally bullshit – pretty much the only growth industry left in the UK.

    • dmltdb1993b06d7 permalink
      February 2, 2024 4:59 am

      “We produced those images based on “Science FICTION” information to give an idea.

      Fixed if for you.

  9. Cheshire Red permalink
    February 1, 2024 1:03 pm

    Exaggerations so egregious they can only be called fraud.

  10. mjr permalink
    February 1, 2024 1:06 pm

    ooh nostalgia…. as a kid i spent three successive summer holidays in an apartment in one of the white houses at the very top of the picture. . They sometimes had go-kart racing on the car park. i’m not sure but i vaguely remember the carpark once flooding during a spring tide – although that memory may be as accurate as a BBC/Met Office prediction

    • mjr permalink
      February 1, 2024 1:07 pm

      but then nostaligia ain’t what it used to be 

  11. Charlie Flindt permalink
    February 1, 2024 1:06 pm

    If Bude is the UK’s Maldives, then there’s no need to panic. the latter are frantically building new airports ( https://www.airport-technology.com/projects/velena-international-airport-expansion/?cf-view ) and the airline founded by a well-known billionaire eco-activist is busy announcing new flights there. Irony on many levels. https://www.virginholidays.co.uk/destinations/indian-ocean/maldives-holidays

    • February 1, 2024 3:56 pm

      Bude – described as the UK’s Maldives

      The Maldives got a lot of free publicity by stage-managed whining about being drowned by seawater well before now. Good for tourist business – come over quick before it’s too late!

      If it was good for them, why not for Bude? The BBC is already helping their cause.

  12. Max Beran permalink
    February 1, 2024 1:39 pm

    There was a young lady from Bude…..

    • Cheshire Red permalink
      February 1, 2024 4:03 pm

      ….who was incredibly rude,

      she swam in the sea

      so all could see,

      as she swam everyday in the nude.

      I’ll get me coat.

      • Joe Public permalink
        February 1, 2024 6:13 pm

        +1

      • Paul H permalink
        February 1, 2024 7:38 pm

        …who used to perform in the nude.

        A wag in the front

        Said (sniff) I smell…

        Just like that, straight out loud, bl**dy rude!

      • Max Beran permalink
        February 1, 2024 7:51 pm

        That brazen young bather from Bude / Is soon to be sore CO2-ed / When sea levels rise /Way north of her thighs / No-one will know she is nude

  13. February 1, 2024 1:54 pm

    Funny how none of the climate word weasels and their propaganda outfits go anywhere near the Netherlands which one would think should be the most sensitive place.

    Thanks to Paul for showing what none of the propaganda outlets will show… relative movement of the Geoid which shows there is a lot more going on than net volume increase of seawater tectonics for example and also post glacial rebound and its rim effects.

  14. ancientpopeye permalink
    February 1, 2024 2:04 pm

    Stop the World and throw these doom-mongers off, we really don’t need them?

  15. Derek T permalink
    February 1, 2024 2:22 pm

    I wonder what recommendations they will come up with to preserve Bude from the forecast inundation. Or do they really believe that a bit more recycling and cutting a few CO2 emissions will stop it?

    • February 1, 2024 4:22 pm

      I turn my computer monitor off at night.

      That’ll do it.

      Won’t it?

      Sorry – China burns 12 million tonnes of coal a day? every day?? Well, I’ll only charge my phone every other day.  Enough, now?

  16. tomcart16 permalink
    February 1, 2024 5:07 pm

    “High tide” artists impression shows the loss of the post-war car park and tatty buildings on the foreshore. Can that be a bad thing?

    A fine sea lock at the entrance to the Bude Canal may benefit from a slight rise in sea level or have to be re-positioned at public expense and the insistence of the Inland Waterways Association.

    BBC issues more confected doom for the Thunberg tendency.

  17. Mark Hodgson permalink
    February 1, 2024 5:19 pm

    The BBC and the Guardian keep pushing this rubbish. I wrote about some of the goings-on at Bude a while ago:

    Shifting Sands

  18. Wodge permalink
    February 1, 2024 5:31 pm

    If you read all these scare stories it seems that everywhere in the world is going to be inundated before everywhere else!

  19. Curious George permalink
    February 1, 2024 7:14 pm

    They got 2 million pounds, no bad! Long live the Environment Agency.

  20. michael shaw permalink
    February 1, 2024 8:45 pm

    But our local BBC News ran a major story about the rising sea level threat to ‘Bood (Bude) so it must be true. No ?.

  21. Phil Grizzell permalink
    February 1, 2024 8:51 pm

    England is sinking into the sea while Scotland is rising at such a rate it may counteract the effects of sea level rise due to climate change, according to a new geological map.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/earthnews/6226537/England-is-sinking-while-Scotland-rises-above-sea-levels-according-to-new-study.html

  22. Gamecock permalink
    February 1, 2024 10:14 pm

    Am I reading this right?

    https://www.cornwalls.co.uk/weather/bude-tide-times.htm

    Bude has a 5.5 meter tide swing, twice a day? And they are terrorized by a 2mm per annum increase in sea level?

    • February 1, 2024 11:14 pm

      Yep GC you are reading that right. In 2019 it reached 7.7 metres (the highest in the last 20 years.) Beggars belief that anyone takes this sort of BS seriously but I can pretty much guarantee this nonsense will be all around the UK media for days yet.

  23. February 1, 2024 10:55 pm

    This was written:

    “We produced those images based on scientific information to give an idea of what things could look like in the future if nothing was done.

    Those images are based on political opinion designed to scare people so they will go along with schemes that make others richer and more powerful. 

    Sea level has gone up and sea level has gone down, not controlled by a trace gas that cannot be controlled by anything humans have done, can do or will do.

  24. tomo permalink
    February 2, 2024 1:35 pm

    And the EA specialises in finding consultants who do the sort of Science the EA like.

  25. Mewswithaview permalink
    February 2, 2024 4:59 pm

    As the sea level rises so does the sand and rocks deposited by the tides in the coastal vicinity of Bude. Why would those places be underwater in 2050?  Sure, you may get shifting currents have been washing away some parts of the coast for hundreds of years, that material is going to be washed up somewhere.

    • February 3, 2024 1:51 am

      Silt carried by rivers sinks, so sea levels rise at a constant rate. Silt also builds up behind dams–same mechanism.

  26. 4 Eyes permalink
    February 4, 2024 8:42 am

    The vertical scaling in this mock-up is utterly wrong. Full incompetent stupidity or full deceit. The water would have to have risen by 10 feet minimum to achieve that outcome. Liars.

  27. Beancounter permalink
    February 4, 2024 12:18 pm

    She doesn’t live in Bude – she lives in Whitstone about 9 miles away from Bude.
    The beach huts on the right hand side as you look at the EA “visualisation” are about 3 metres or more above the current high water mark; how could they disappear even if the sea level rose at 10mm per annum for 30 years?
    The concrete walls on the left hand side have mysteriously disappeared and been replaced by rocks – how could that happen?

    The car park has disappeared but not the skate park which is at the same level, very odd.

  28. Andrew Collinson permalink
    February 4, 2024 10:11 pm

    Entire countries were suppposed to be wiped from the face of the earth by 2000 acourding to the UN scaremongers of 1979. The Bude story is just that, a story, with no basis in science or reality. Camber castle has a 6ft sea wall, it’s now 3/4 of a mile from the sea. Morcombe bay is a vast area, with several areas now further from the sea. The envirionment agency are a useless body of over-payed arse polishers who fritter our money away. When it comes to real protection from flood or pollution they are bloody useless, same applies to air pollution, my community & liver can vouch for both.

Comments are closed.