February 1779–Exceptionally Warm
March 4, 2024
By Paul Homewood
As noted previously, February 1779 was actually warmer than last month in Central England. It is also worth noting that there is no identifiable trend or pattern in the distribution of warm Februarys:
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/meantemp_monthly_totals.txt
What is interesting is that, according to Weatherweb, February 1779 was extremely dry, in contrast to this year. Indeed the whole January to March period was particularly dry and mild.
Ironically though, the following winter was extremely cold.
https://premium.weatherweb.net/weather-in-history-1750-to-1799-ad/
14 Comments
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Everyone knows the UK is a weather lottery. Cherrypicking and counter-cherrypicking of data can go on forever. CO2 as a trace gas has no chance of being a big factor.
We can go a lot futher OldBrew. We have geological history, physics and even archaeology to guide us with empirical data. On the other side we have failed politicians, irritating actors and school truants oh yes and a quite appalling fellow who awarded himself a Nobel Prize telling us to believe…..
And chaotic systems can get “stuck” in a pattern until something shakes them loose, so weather we are experiencing that, random clumping or the complex effects of cycles combined with cycles is impossible to know.
Paul,
do you send your reports out to MSM like GB News, Times etc? If not you should.
More of that pesky historical data!
Trendline for February temperatures is clearly upwards.
Have you not been following the recent posts regarding unreliable UK recording sites?
The trend is over hundreds of years. Not a huge increase but a clear steady increase from about 3.8 to about 4.3 over the last 250 years.
This remains nonsense because randomness can manifest as “trend” in any data. We have less than 200 reliable data points for February. It’s child’s play to use a random walk to produce “trends” in 200 data points.
When potential randomness coincides with anecdotal evidence it begins to seem less random.
Is this some of that famous British humour?
7ºC . . . exceptionally warm !?!?
Mustn’t forget that, while the rest of world has “climate”, the British have “weather”!!!!
No pattern!?
It’s clearly 8 every 250 years…
The point is, warm February’s are possible as part of natural variability. No need to invoke anything else.
Paul
why not foi the met office for temperature data from their “since records began” class 1 stations and see what has really been happening with ‘climate change’
Unfortunately I cannot do this now because my caring duties don’t leave me with the time.
Cheers
Adrian