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Hottest May! Believe Us, Not Your Lying Eyes!

June 4, 2024

By Paul Homewood

“The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command"

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https://x.com/metoffice/status/1797631245666423247

The Met Office has now shredded the last bit of credibility it had.

Do they seriously expect people to believe this lie? And it is not just warmer by a few hundredths of a degree. They actually dare to claim it is a whole degree warmer than ever before.

First off, as they have now done three times in the last year, they have declared a record hot month, without even mentioning that longer running CET data shows it was much warmer in the 19thC. In this case, May 1833 was a full degree hotter. To not mention this fact is proof that the Met Office are no longer interested in facts, only political propaganda.

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/meantemp_monthly_totals.txt

CET also shows that we had several similarly warm Mays in the 19thC, which raises the question – are we comparing like with like when we compare temperatures nowadays with those from 50 or 100 years ago?

Which of course brings us back to the junk nature of the Met Office’s weather station network. As we know, most of it is unfit to be used for climatological purposes, as poor siting means they can have margins of error up to 5C.

At no stage was the weather last month anything out of the ordinary. We had a few, pleasant days, but temperatures never got above the level regularly seen in other years. The highest temperature of the month on CET was only 24.3C, well below the record of 28.9C set in May 1944, and 28.6C in May 1947. There have been 33 years which recorded higher May temperatures.

And the second half of the month was distinctly cool.

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

Compare last month with May 1947, for instance, which experienced a real heatwave:

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https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/IO_3a2c7ec8-d5af-44f1-ab15-8d6cab925b40/

Temperatures last month got nowhere near 90C. And the hot weather lasted for more than a few days. Apart from those two cool spells, the month was largely dominated by anti-cyclonic warmth. Yet according to the Met Office, May 2024 was 1.7C hotter than May 1947.

May 1953 was another hot month, but the Met Office say it was 1.9C cooler than last month:

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The Met Office have argued that the warmth last month, according to their figures, was due to night time temperatures. However their data also shows a record for May based on daily max temperatures.

We are well familiar with the concerns about the accuracy of the Met Office temperature dataset. But let me give you one more example.

Ray Sanders, who has spent much time on this topic, noticed that the highest UK temperature of the day was set last week at Neatishead in Norfolk. He did not recognise this station and it was not on the Met Office’s classification list.

When he enquired with the Met Office, they told him that the station only began operations in December 2022. So their dataset now includes a station which almost certainly is in a hot spot, whether geographic or because of poor siting. And consequently, up goes the Met Office’s temperature for that part of Norfolk. (They also asked him why he was enquiring about the station classification – plainly they are desperate to stop the public finding out the truth about their stations!)

Multiply that out a hundred times, and you can quickly add a degree or two to the national temperature.

The Met Office obviously now feel emboldened enough to publish these sort of claims, no matter how outrageous. They know the public don’t believe them, but no longer care.

Finally let’s finish with the twitter commenters, nearly all of which are highly critical and incredulous:

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90 Comments leave one →
  1. Devoncamel permalink
    June 4, 2024 3:53 pm

    My wife and I stared at eachother in disbelief when this claim was made on the ITV weather last night.

  2. June 4, 2024 3:54 pm

    Gaslighting on a grand scale. The message seems to be that Spring was exceptionally warm because the nights were extremely warm and most of the country failed to notice it because they were in bed! But it’s not just minimum night time temperatures which the claim of a ‘record hot’ May and spring rely upon; it’s elevated daytime temperatures too, which apparently occurred when it was overcast and chucking it down! But they’ve come unstuck this time: Project Gaslight has backfired spectacularly.

    • June 4, 2024 4:24 pm

      Jaime, I am compiling a dossier of evidence demonstrating just how corrupted Met Office Data is. It is my ultimate intention to take legal proceedings against them as the only option to get to the truth. The Met Office have got to the point of refusing to answer legitimate questions from me and even having the audacity to refuse to answer unless I tell them why I am asking! (n.b. I have copied Paul in on some of their responses).

      I am now on my 4th FOI request for data which means every time I want basic data I have to wait 20 working days before I eventually get it. I can now prove that the MO are fabricating data for weather stations that simply do not exist despite them quoting detailed co-ordinates and altitudes for the non- existent sites. Perversely the real meteorologists there know the data is fabricated but are too worried for their positions to speak openly.

      Ready for this……one of those meteorologists had given me some inside information to use. Shortly afterwards my emails were hacked. Luckily for me my email provider took issue with this and released my access and cleared the hack. As Paul can testify I then had to use a new email address just to access this site.

      In essence since the latter 70’s their raw data has knowingly and progressively been taken from inappropriate and over recording sites whilst simultaneously removing good quality sites. May seem trivial but the effect is surprisingly large.

      Yesterday’s joint highest temperature in Scotland was recorded here.

      https://www.google.co.uk/maps/place/57%C2%B012'17.8%22N+2%C2%B012'19.3%22W/@57.2050004,-2.2062348,147m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m10!1m5!3m4!2zNTfCsDEyJzE4LjAiTiAywrAxMicxNC40Ilc!8m2!3d57.205!4d-2.204!3m3!8m2!3d57.2049444!4d-2.2053611?entry=ttu

      Bear in mind this is an official World Meteorological Organisation site WMO 03091 and its data specifically counts towards both UK and Global temperature recording. It is actually one of their “better” sites – you should see some of the really crap ones!

      You really could not make it up…….but they are!

      • June 4, 2024 4:47 pm

        On the linked pic the jet on the tarmac must be all of 40 metres from the weather station 🤣 – they cannot be serious!

      • June 4, 2024 5:20 pm

        That’s quite shocking Ray. For a long time I was willing to give Met Office data the benefit of the doubt, but it seems pretty obvious now that too many of the stations they are using are not fit for purpose. But even more concerning is the fact that the organisation appears to have been infiltrated by personnel and management intent on pursuing a political agenda. Like we can no longer trust our once trusted national broadcaster, it appears we can no longer trust our national meteorological service. Very depressing.

      • June 4, 2024 7:52 pm

        Best of lluck with your plan.

      • shaneduncan59 permalink
        June 5, 2024 8:00 am

        Hi Ray,

        Have you contacted the ICO about the Met office’s lack of cooperation?

      • nevis52 permalink
        June 5, 2024 9:50 am

        Well done Ray – keep up the good work. Apparently, according to some Climate Scientists on Radio 2 news this morning, we have only five years to save the planet!

    • June 4, 2024 7:49 pm

      Im not sure it has backfired. Sure we all know it’s crap, as do most other sceptics of the cagw farce , but does the general public know? I’m not so sure Several people I’m loosely acquainted with have uncritically shared the net office claims.

  3. dave permalink
    June 4, 2024 4:07 pm

    “Met Office scientists have enormous noses which are held on to the face by suction. They are seven feet tall. They do not know propriety. They show their feelings without thinking.” Well, if they tell porkies about the climate we should pass the word about them. (Actually this written by a Japanese after seeing Portuguese priests in 1543. I thought it was too good a description to go to waste.)

  4. ralfellis permalink
    June 4, 2024 4:28 pm

    Anecdotal evidence from nature.

    A local ornamental oak tree near the south coast of England, would like to penn a letter of complaint to the Met Office. The letter reads in part:

    Quote:

    “Dear Met Office, I did not come into leaf until 1st of June this year, because it was so darn cold. People who come to see me, have never seen me so sparsely clothed in leaf, so late in the year. I am over 200 years old, and this year may well be the death of me. Please have a heart. Sincerely, Suffering Oak Tree”.

    .

    Note: This is a very broad tree with large pointed leaves bigger than a hand, something like a Black Oak.

    R

    • mikewaite permalink
      June 5, 2024 2:02 pm

      Oh dear, I presume that implies “ash before oak” and we all know what that means. So for next 3 months never venture outside without a brolly.

  5. trevorshurmer permalink
    June 4, 2024 4:36 pm

    Paul be careful assuming the Met Office location at Neatishead is a rubbish location. I live in Norfolk, I am familiar with the area, it is effectively countryside / broads area, nowhere near a city. Whether the station deserves a rubbish status I don’t know, but Neatishead is unlikely to attract this sort of rating – though I may be wrong.

    • June 4, 2024 6:32 pm

      Yes, it’s probably just the micro location.

    • In The Real World permalink
      June 4, 2024 7:41 pm

      Neatishead has an RAF station . I believe it is still used for its Radar , but not sure if any jets still fly out of there .

      But you can be sure that it gives the sort of figures they want , and like about 80 % of the other ones around the country , are not real measurements complying with the WMO.

    • June 4, 2024 7:48 pm

      Trevor….it is by a radar station and they have, so far, refused to detail exactly where it is nor its assessed CIMO classification. It is highly unlikely to be representative of the local area…and that is the point!

      • trevorshurmer permalink
        June 4, 2024 8:32 pm

        Yes Ray, I realise exactly what Neatishead is, having visited the area many times and I don’t know where the weather station is located. It isn’t visible as far as I can see, on Google Earth. I also believe that the Met Office should be fully transparent but clearly aren’t so I understand the suspicion. I may take a drive there soon and have a look for myself.

    • June 4, 2024 8:54 pm

      Hi Trevor, if you do get over there please do let me know if you locate the site, it would be very helpful indeed. You can always contact me through ray.m.sanders1956@gmail.com . I suspect the site is within the overall museum complex and thus unlikely to be a reliable site. It was worth noting the new Met Office radar messed up local mobile networks and data transmission. Ray

      • bobn permalink
        June 5, 2024 1:54 am

        Yes, Neatishead was just a small RAF radar station (no runways), but closed down 3 decades ago i believe. The previous local Met site was RAF Coltishall (north of norwich), with a permanent Met manning, but closed in 2009. So if this new site site has popped up at the old radar site it’s very unlikely to be established to a good standard.

      • bnice2000 permalink
        June 5, 2024 4:08 am

        52°43’56.94″ N 1°27’41.42″ E

        Maybe ?

  6. frankobaysio permalink
    June 4, 2024 5:03 pm

    The latest Government Consultation Document just released regarding a Smart and Secure Electricity system. I am not quite sure about this statement in the introduction.
    “The Smart Secure Electricity Systems (SSES) Programme is designed to create the technical and
    regulatory frameworks to enable the untapped flexibility from small scale devices, such as domestic
    electric vehicle charge points and heat pumps. It should contribute to electricity system decarbonisation
    in a way that protects consumers and the electricity system.”
    Link : https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/delivering-a-smart-and-secure-electricity-system-implementation?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign

  7. Epping Blogger permalink
    June 4, 2024 5:19 pm

    The last few evenings on BBC weather it has been apparent the speaker was embarassed to say the daytime temperatures would be cool and not the boiling ones he had instructions to say. He did go on to repeat that May was unusually warm AT NIGHT.

    Has he heard of the urban heat effect which is why weather stations should be located away from convrete, buildings or generators. During one of the Royal celebrations I spotted a weather tation in St James’s Park, which is a pretty poor location, and it was inside a protective screen where two generators had been put. No doubt the records for that day and night were unusually war

  8. devonblueboy permalink
    June 4, 2024 5:30 pm

    Can you go any lower than zero credibility?

    • Nigel Sherratt permalink
      June 4, 2024 6:19 pm

      ‘But everything means less than zero’

  9. malcolmbell7eb132fe1f permalink
    June 4, 2024 5:33 pm

    I remember 1976 very clearly. Total hosepipe ban, dusty brown laws, Hyde Park nearly white. It was every day for near three months. This year is not (yet) even close to those conditions .

    Can we get data for both years from only the same sites and instruments so we know we are comparing like for like exactly?

    Right now I prefer my memory to their charts.

    • June 4, 2024 8:31 pm

      Malcolm, I was 20 in 1976. It really was the most fantastic summer. Back then all we were concerned about was the drought causing us to run out of beer! I had the best suntan of my life….and I am quite a blondie!

  10. John Brown permalink
    June 4, 2024 5:50 pm

    The Met Office is a government Trading Fund Agency owned by the Department for Science, Innovation and Technology (DSIT). The Secretary of State for DSIT is the Rt Hon Michelle Donelan MP who has a BA from York University in History & Politics.

    If you run any institution on the basis of something besides competence, you soon become institutionally incompetent.

    • Nigel Sherratt permalink
      June 4, 2024 6:11 pm

      Alok Sharma has a BSc in Applied Physics with Electronics from Salford. That didn’t stop him blowing up a perfectly useable power station. Cummings has a ‘tech’ fetish and look where that got us. He has a First in Ancient and Modern History from Oxford (Exeter College). They are all psychopaths, damaged and dangerous people.

      • bobn permalink
        June 5, 2024 1:57 am

        Salford polytexch – where’s that?

    • Phoenix44 permalink
      June 4, 2024 8:17 pm

      Do you think ministers somehow run such things? That a Tory MP who is also a climate scientist ought to be in charge?

  11. 1saveenergy permalink
    June 4, 2024 6:00 pm

    In the world of global boiling & after the “hottest May ever” we get …

    https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/24366184.snow-falls-upland-areas-scotland/?ref=ebbn&nid=1388&u=7b2a8d7531b023e4cc37b1b60401d833&date=040624

    • gezza1298 permalink
      June 4, 2024 8:01 pm

      GB News uses the MetOrifice and I was surprised to hear the presenter say that there would be snow in the Highlands and temperatures would drop tomorrow after a cold night down to single figures overnight. The wind will make it feel colder and the wunderground forecast for tomorrow has a maximum of 60F!!!

    • chriskshaw permalink
      June 4, 2024 10:01 pm

      I enjoyed the solitary comment at the end of the Herald piece that i copy it here for your delectation

      M trew
      3 hrs ago
      User ID: 4971807
      Well where we live in the highlands we did not have the warmest ever bs may on record. We had over twice the usual rain and very little warmth. Got to love the met office and their pretendy man made net zero fibs.

  12. Nigel Sherratt permalink
    June 4, 2024 6:04 pm

    Definitely a cadre of hard core Thermageddonistas at Met Office. I was driven out of Cruising Association by a retired one not at all happy that I dared to question ‘The Science’.

  13. glenartney permalink
    June 4, 2024 6:06 pm

    Ray Sanders deserves a great deal of thanks for his dogged research into these Met Office records and willingness to share what he finds.

    • michael shaw permalink
      June 4, 2024 9:40 pm

      Absolutely !. But no gong I bet.

  14. glenartney permalink
    June 4, 2024 6:57 pm

    O/T

    World’s biggest solar farm goes online, big enough to power a country

    The world’s biggest solar plant has come online in China, capable of powering a small country with its annual capacity of more than 6 billion kilowatt hours.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/solar-panel-worlds-biggest-china-b2556245.html

    Is that 6TWh or have I made an error? If so then about 25% of electricity consumed in the Irish Republic. It must be a very small country like Malta and only during daylight hours

    • June 4, 2024 7:10 pm

      Yes, that’s right, about 6TWh.

      It’s the size of New York city, and they say could power Papua New Guinea!

      But being the Independent, they don’t explain what Papua are supposed to do at night!

      It’s annual output is also only enough to power China for about 8 hours!

    • Dave Andrews permalink
      June 5, 2024 4:50 pm

      Here’s the strange thing.

      China added 217GW of solar power in 2023 bringing its installed capacity up to 20.9%. But solar only provided 3% of China’s electricity during the year.

      To paraphrase a previous comment by IDAU it seems a lot of wind and solar in China is built according to the plan but may not actually be functioning.

      • Dave Andrews permalink
        June 5, 2024 4:57 pm

        To put that 3% into perspective coal provided 70% of China’s electricity in 2023.

  15. A wife permalink
    June 4, 2024 7:20 pm

    I told my husband that it is the warmest May since 1890 and he said rubbish. I pointed out it’s from the Met Office. He changed his mind and said it’s overnight temperatures which explains it. That is to say, he agrees with them now. He would have taken the jabs offered to us if I had not stopped him. You can’t wake some people up, ever.

  16. 2hmp permalink
    June 4, 2024 7:36 pm

    I keep daily max/min temperatures here near Gatwick, and this May was slightly cooler than last year.

  17. Van_Patten permalink
    June 4, 2024 8:09 pm

    reading a Cityam piece this morning and it claimed that all five months this year had been the warmest on record. Channelling Goebbels to an uncanny degree.

  18. Graeme Hook permalink
    June 4, 2024 8:32 pm

    Can’t hide the cold in New Zealand though, cold hurts!

    “By the numbers: We just survived the coldest March in over a decade”

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/350232269/numbers-we-just-survived-coldest-march-over-decade

  19. Bernard Taylor permalink
    June 4, 2024 8:46 pm

    It begs the question: ‘does global warming matter if you don’t notice it?’

    • June 4, 2024 10:09 pm

      If a tree falls in a forest and there is nobody there to hear it does it make any sound?

      • Gamecock permalink
        June 5, 2024 5:17 pm

        If a guy says something when his wife isn’t around, is he still wrong?

      • devonblueboy permalink
        June 5, 2024 7:01 pm

        Of course, 😁

  20. liardetg permalink
    June 4, 2024 8:59 pm

    We have hot water bottles at bedtime even now (4 Jun)

    • 1saveenergy permalink
      June 5, 2024 8:39 am

      I’ve got a hot woman … & an electric blanket !!

      • devonblueboy permalink
        June 5, 2024 8:58 am

        Too much information!!

  21. June 4, 2024 9:34 pm

    I’m sure I heard on the news a quote of the average temperature to two decimal places. You couldn’t make it up (unless you are the Met Office).

  22. michael shaw permalink
    June 4, 2024 9:56 pm

    News from the front (probably a cold front !) :-

    For the first time EVAH, we had the gas CH on for a few hours in May (that’s in 37 years).

    The apple, plum & raspberry/loganberry fruit crop currently looks to be minimal, after a prolific but late flowering. The stone fruit is suffering the worst ‘June drop’ I have ever seen. After allegedly heavy rain & floods !.

    Garlic is the worst it has ever looked but nowhere near harvest.

    The warmest May evah is simply not true.

    1. June 4, 2024 10:14 pm

      Beyond ridiculous, what can we do about it?

    2. June 4, 2024 10:14 pm

      Beyond ridiculous, what can we do about it?

      • michael shaw permalink
        June 4, 2024 10:51 pm

        Well the coming Gen Election certainly won’t fix anything serious.

    3. Nordisch geo-climber permalink
      June 4, 2024 11:27 pm

      Crystal clear cold evening as I walked back from the Tuesday discussion tonight. Like autumn.

    4. elevated permalink
      June 5, 2024 1:18 am

      Obviously nowhere near good enough for anyone to challenge for addition to this list:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1,000_first-class_runs_before_the_end_of_May

    5. John Moffat permalink
      June 5, 2024 5:19 am

      Paul, am no longer able to view images, ie graphs etc. Is there some issue at your end?

    6. June 5, 2024 5:48 am

      It is plausible that this was the warmest average temperature for May, but it distracts from the more interesting fact that The Pause may still be alive and well in the UK. I will update my 2018 analysis of Central England average temperature VARIATIONS, it is immune to poor siting, as long as the poor siting remains constant.

      • June 5, 2024 9:28 am

        Hi climanrecon, which CET stations are you currently using? The Met Office have recently included Pershore College to the CET and that is an atrocious Grade 4 site.

        • June 5, 2024 12:55 pm

          I use the Met Office long historical station data, which start with Aberporth and end with Waddington, 14 stations with current data.

      • June 5, 2024 11:49 pm

        Hi Climanrecon, is this the list you are referring to?

        https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/historic-station-data.

        Can you advise the names of the 14 stations you are using because some of those appearing on the above lists are actually long closed down. For example the Lowestoft site closed nearly 14 years ago and there is no longer any active station in Lowestoft at all. Yes they are still crediting it with data but that means nothing at all to the Met Office!

        I genuinely would be obliged with your help as you have obviously put in considerable effort.

    7. Bernt Clausen permalink
      June 5, 2024 6:57 am

      We have had the same claims from DMI in Denmark. They had to claim it was the “Hottest Spring” and the “first time in 129 years without frost in May”, which shows that frost free Mays also appeared before the so-called global warming. I wonder if they thought of that.

      DMI claims they have country wide measurements back form 1874, so I asked them if they could send me information about how their stations were classed, using the WMO classification (1 for best at 5 for worst). I was informed that DMI abandoned that classification scheme “many years ago” but are in discussions with the other Nordic countries on a new classification method.

      Now this answer from DMI prompts a series of follow up questions from me as I would like to know how you compare the data from the (for years) unclassified stations with data from the (then) classified stations. I have not heard back from them yet….

      • June 5, 2024 9:32 am

        ” I was informed that DMI abandoned that classification scheme “many years ago”

        That is an interesting quote. ISO/WMO standard 19289:2014(E) was only introduced in 2014 and is a World Meteorological Organisation standard requirement.

    8. glenartney permalink
      June 5, 2024 7:27 am

      Paul

      Is this a typo?

      Temperatures last month got nowhere near 90C

    9. June 5, 2024 8:17 am

      Looking at the Met Office charts for May 2024, it is clear that the unusual warmth, both by day and by night, is across Scotland and much less so across England.

      This may explain the difference between the CET record, central England only, and the Met Office claims, which are for the UK as a whole.

    10. June 5, 2024 9:18 am

      R4 More Or Less prog just used Ed Hawkins to refute The Reform Parties climate claims

    11. europeanonion permalink
      June 5, 2024 10:47 am

      It’s difficult to imagine a weather record for the whole of UK in the 19th century. It wasn’t until we had a national railway network that we had universal time, the 1880’s? What are the chances of an authenticated national weather monitor with standards for measurement and unified instrumentation on the same basis? Sounds like an informal hobbyist exercise ripe for exploitation.

      • 1saveenergy permalink
        June 5, 2024 8:10 pm

        Railway time was a standardised time first used by the Great Western Railway in England in November 1840,

        Greenwich Mean Time 1847,

        October 1884, an international conference in Washington, DC decided to split the world into 24 separate hourly time zones based on GMT,

        In 1928, the term Universal Time (UT) was introduced,

        Coordinated Universal Time (UTC). Started in 1956,

        • Gamecock permalink
          June 5, 2024 8:40 pm

          For many years, I thought India went with a half-hour off GMT to protest British colonial times.

          I recently learned that India is in 2 time zones, but they want to stick with a single time, so they averaged the 2 times, resulting in a half-hour diff.

          The redneck in me likes the old theory better.

    12. tomo permalink
      June 5, 2024 4:23 pm

    13. mailed7fed1fa4c permalink
      June 5, 2024 6:22 pm

      It was very noticeable that the aforementioned BBC article was quickly removed from the News website to vanish into oblivion.

      Perhaps, perhaps someone in the news department smelt a “rat”!!!!

    14. info807a016983d permalink
      June 5, 2024 8:33 pm

      In the late 50s or early 60s, a cartoon appeared in Punch that shows 2 meteorologists standing in the door of their office looking out at blazing sunshine while on the wall indoors the glass is dropping and instruments give out urgent warnings of Force 8 gales and torrential rain. One man says to the other: “Frankly, Henderson, that weather out there is absolute nonsense.”

      Some things never change.

    15. Allan Jones permalink
      June 6, 2024 12:15 am

      I was also dumbfounded by the ‘news’ this has been a warm May.

      Question, It is now definitive that circa 70% of MO stations are junk, as in 2 to 5 degC error band applicable. And this seems to be well received here. However it seems to me that with UHI and siting issues next to buildings etcl the errors band applicable will be towards hotter rather than colder.

      if one could collectively demonstrate an error band of 5 degrees is likely to be say -1.5 to +3.5 for 70 % of MO figures it would help to blow their skewed data to the climategate bin it deserves

    16. Nordisch geo-climber permalink
      June 6, 2024 9:57 am

      In the English Lake District, it has been perfectly obvious from a climbing perspective that:

      2020 scamdemic year – warm sunny good climbing

      2021 same good weather, plenty of climbing

      2022, 2023, now 2024 – cool, damp, little climbing.

      Current April and May 2024 have been well below expected temperatures.

      • Gamecock permalink
        June 6, 2024 10:43 am

        It seems climate is independent of weather.

    17. June 9, 2024 2:02 am

      It’s the latest version of the Solomon Asch experiment measuring Opinions and Social Pressure.

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