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What David Attenborough’s climate change show didn’t tell you

April 21, 2019

By Paul Homewood

 

Ross Clark has also joined the party:

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Given the reception that awaited Richard Madeley when he ventured last week that David Attenborough is “not a saint, just a broadcaster” – something which is evidently true, though I haven’t formally checked with the Vatican – one delves into this subject with some intrepidness. Nevertheless, great documentary-maker though he may be, Attenborough cannot be allowed to get away with the propaganda element of his latest piece, his documentary Climate Change: the Facts which went out on Thursday evening….

 

If you are going to present a film called Climate Change: the Facts the very least you should be doing is, well, presenting the facts. Well here they are, in two of the areas which made up such a hefty part of the film: wildfires and hurricanes. Are wildfires increasing? They are according to Attenborough. One of the scientists who takes part in the programme, Professor Michael Mann of Penn State University, goes as far as to say there has been a “tripling in the extent of wildfires in the Western US”. He is not specific about his evidence for this claim, nor said over what timeframe wildfires are supposed to have trebled, but it is not a fair assessment of the data collected by the US Environment Protection Agency (EPA). This shows no upwards trend in the number of wildfires in the US over the past 30 years.

But then again, go back further, to the 1920s, and you see that both the number of US wildfires and acreage burned in them has plummeted.     

That is nothing to do with the climate – more down to firefighters getting better at tackling fires. But that reduction in wildfires – which, after all, were occurring naturally long before Europeans arrived in the US – has brought with it a problem: deadwood is not being cleared out at the rate which it used to be. As a result, when a wildfire does take hold, it tends to be a more powerful fire, which is one reason large acreages tend to get burned when fires do take hold. That was a large part of the debate which followed the wildfires in California last November.

But I know what will have entered the heads of many of Attenborough’s viewers: that wildfires are being caused by climate change and that is that…..

 

 

The same will be true for hurricanes. If you are child, for whom hurricanes are a novel phenomenon, watching the film will have given you the impression that hurricanes are pretty much a function of man-made climate change. A voiceover, indeed, makes the claim that climate change is causing ‘greater storms’. But again, the data on cyclone activity in the Atlantic, Gulf and Mexico and Caribbean does not support that idea. Figure one shows a very slight upwards trend in the number of hurricanes occurring in these waters but a flat or perhaps slightly downwards trend in the number of hurricanes making landfall in the US. There are two other methods of measuring hurricane activity which are used by the EPA. The first, the accumulated cyclone index (figure two) shows no obvious trend over the past 70 years. The second, the ‘power dissipation index’ shows an upwards spike in the early years of this century, followed by a reversion to mean since then.

 

Not that this seems to prevent documentary-makers like Attenborough resorting to footage of houses being demolished by winds and lorries being blown off bridges to show the supposed climate change we are already experiencing.

It is little wonder that terrified kids are skipping school to protest against climate change. Never mind climate change denial, a worse problem is the constant exaggeration of the subject. I had thought David Attenborough would be above resorting to the subtle propaganda which others have been propagating, linking every adverse weather event to climate change. But apparently not.   

 

You can read the full article here, though you will need to register for three free articles.

David Rose Attacks Attenborough’s “Flawed” Documentary

April 21, 2019

By Paul Homewood

I said the other day that the BBC might have gone too far with Attenborough’s pack of lies, and risked a backlash which would ultimately undermine their credibility on climate.

Well, the fightback has begun, with attack from David Rose:

 

 

 

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One of the most talked-about programmes of the past week – a primetime documentary on BBC1 – featured two people many seem to regard as living saints.

One was the presenter, Sir David Attenborough, the other Greta Thunberg, the Swedish teenage activist inspiring climate change ‘school strikes’ in several countries, including Britain.

The film’s title was Climate Change: The Facts, and these, Sir David claimed, are now ‘incontrovertible’. The film’s message was so bleak it could have been made by Extinction Rebellion, the eco-anarchist protest group which has brought Central London to a standstill.

No one has done more to convey the marvels of the natural world than Attenborough, and his long career has rightly earned him public acclaim.

Sadly, on this occasion, I believe he has presented an alarmist argument derived from a questionable use of evidence, whose nuances he has ignored.

Read more…

Isle de Jean Charles & Sea Level Rise

April 20, 2019
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood

 

 

Jaime Jessop has written the first of what may be a series of posts on Attenborough’s documentary  the other day.

She has taken a close look at the Isle de Jean Charles, which you will recall is gradually being flooded:

 

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Well, I sat through it, much to my disgust. It wasn’t easy. I don’t really know where to begin with the dissection of this truly awful climate change documentary from the BBC, so I guess I’ll just fire off this initial post picking up on one of the more obvious and egregious attempts to misinform the public.

The Isle de Jean Charles, Louisiana. It’s been largely submerged beneath the sea over the last 6 decades. The program gives the definite impression that the main reason for this inundation is sea level rise due to melting ice and thermal expansion of the oceans – driven by man-made climate change. Attenborough does mention oil extraction as a cause but his narrative is lost to the general tone of the messaging that this is a “climate catastrophe” and that the families driven from their homes in this part of Louisiana are some of the world’s first “climate refugees”. This is palpable bullshit.

Read the full post here.

 

I would two factoids:

 

Sea levels in the Mississippi delta have been rising at 9.08mm per annum, with no sign of acceleration.

8761724_meantrend

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=8761724

 

Global sea levels are, of course, rising at about 2mm a year, so only about a fifth of the rise at Grande Isle (one of the barrier islands) is due to absolute sea level rise.

Most of the rise is due to the land sinking. This can be clearly seen on the map below:

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https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.html

 

Whereas most global sites are seeing relative sea level rise of between 0 and 3mm pa, the east coast of the US is slightly higher, between 3 and 6mm. This is because the east coast has been tilting downwards since the end of the ice age, as the NW rises as a result of ice melting.

However, you will note those two red arrows off the Louisiana coast, denoting a rise of above 9mm pa. They represent Grande Isle and Eugene Island, which I gather is actually an oilfield on top of a submerged mountain!

Clearly whatever local factors are at play, they have nothing to do with climate change.

The Isle de Jean Charles is also badly affected by coastal erosion and the dredging of canals, which prevents sedimentation from rebuilding the Isle. A double whammy, in other words.

Emma Flies To Protest Climate Change–First Class No Doubt

April 19, 2019

By Paul Homewood

 

 

Luvvie Emma does her bit to save the planet!

 

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https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2019/04/19/rich-actress-emma-thompson-flies-5400-miles-to-protest-climate-change/

Climate Change- The Facts Part II

April 19, 2019

By Paul Homewood

 

 

WARNING: Embargoed for publication until 00:00:01 on 22/03/2019 - Programme Name: Climate Change with David Attenborough (tbc)  - TX: n/a - Episode: Climate Change with David Attenborough (tbc) - announcement (No. n/a) - Picture Shows: ***STRICTLY EMBARGOED UNTIL 00:00:01 FRIDAY 22nd MARCH 2019*** Sir David Attenborough - (C) BBC - Photographer: Polly Alderton

https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m00049b1/climate-change-the-facts

 

 

In Part I, we looked at Attenborough’s claims about the effects of climate change to date, most of which bore very little resemblance to reality.

The whole programme is clearly designed as an exercise in propaganda rather than establishing the facts. This is evident from the choice of “experts” wheeled on to provide the science.

Michael Mann, for instance, offered his views on hurricanes, flooding, heatwaves, droughts and wildfires, none of which is he especially qualified to talk about. Indeed, he probably knows no more than me about them.

The BBC could easily have invited a forestry expert, a meteorologist or hurricane expert, but it probably would not have got the answers it wanted.

Another “expert” is James Hansen, so you get my drift.

As a propaganda exercise, it is already working. Yesterday in the Express, the TV correspondent, in his preview, warbled on about how it was all much worse than he thought and how we “must do something”. Remember, this is the TV guy, who might know all about Eastenders, but probably knows no more about climate change than my dog!

In Part II, we look at the second half of the programme, which concerns itself with predictions of the future and what we should all do about it.

Read more…

Attenborough’s “Climate Change–The Facts

April 19, 2019

By Paul Homewood

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https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m00049b1/climate-change-the-facts

 

 

 

The BBC continued its climate change propaganda season last night with David Attenborough’s well trailered “Climate Change – The Facts?”

The opening sequences, recorded against film of hot weather and including these quotes, left no doubt of where the programme was headed:

“Right now we are facing our greatest threat in thousands of years – climate change”

“What we’re doing right now is we’re so rapidly changing the climate, for the first time in the world’s history people can see the impact of climate change”

“Greater storms, greater floods, greater heatwaves, extreme sea level rise”

“All of this is happening far faster than many of us thought possible”

Read more…

Posh Eco-Loon: No Holidays…. Except For Me!

April 17, 2019

By Paul Homewood

 

From Guido:

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Guido’s favourite posh eco-loon, Robin Boardman-Pattison, took pains to tell Adam Boulton this morning that people should not take foreign holidays. But his Instagram tells a different story, showing luxurious foreign holidays awash with palm trees, ski slopes, and historic landmarks. Posh Boardman-Pattison even boasted of being a guest at Buckingham Palace…

 

https://youtu.be/6i0eaMFk2kc

Before he started engaging in casual vandalism, Boardman-Pattison, attended the £17,500 per year boys-only Trinity School in Croydon, which has an indoor heated swimming pool, and regularly organises far flung foreign trips. One rule for the posh professional protesters, another rule for everyone else…

https://order-order.com/people/robin-boardman-pattison/

Rocketing Carbon Prices & A Stagnant Economy–Welcome To The EU Fantasy World

April 17, 2019

By Paul Homewood

 

 

Two items of news from the Telegraph today.

Discuss.

 

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https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/04/16/rocketing-eu-carbon-prices-spell-big-trouble-careless-companies/

 

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https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/04/17/chinas-economy-beats-expectations-stimulus-package-reboots-industrial/

Bernie Sanders among top one per cent of US earners

April 17, 2019

By Paul Homewood

 

 

Now that’s what I call a true socialist!

 

image https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/04/16/bernie-sanders-among-top-one-per-cent-us-earners-newly-released/?li_source=LI&li_medium=li-recommendation-widget

Successful Walrus Conservation

April 16, 2019
tags:

By Paul Homewood

 

 

 

Environmentalist Jim Steele wrote this historical account of Pacific walrus conservation, that has a lot of relevance to recent events:

  

The walrus is another example of improving environmental stewardship. Valued for its oil and ivory tusks, the Pacific walrus was subjected to intense commercial slaughter in the mid 1800s, and by the early 1900s, many worried they would soon go the way of the dinosaurs. Although population estimates have always been highly uncertain, as hunting was progressively limited, Pacific Walrus populations “increased from 50,000 to 100,000 animals in the late 1950s to more than 250,000 animals by 1985,” and they are believed to have now reached their maximum carrying capacity.557 As walrus numbers rebounded, they have crowded together at historic coastal haul-outs (Haul-outs are land locations where walruses congregate when not swimming). However some advocates are using the walrus’ recovery as evidence of ecological disruption caused by global warming and the loss of sea ice. But their fears would vanish if they had a more historical perspective.

Read more…