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Tesla’s Big Battery Goes Up In Smoke

July 30, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

 

h/t Joe Public

 

Now who would have guessed?

 

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 https://twitter.com/i/status/1421024646799921153

Is You House Ready For Sub-Tropical Britain?

July 30, 2021
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By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Ian Magness

 

 

 

There was a time when the Telegraph was a serious newspaper!

 

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The mid 13th century ditty Sumer is icumen in is one of our oldest songs. Composed at Reading Abbey in the 1260s, the song is also the first known musical composition featuring a six-part polyphony in the English language. Otherwise known as the Summer Canon, it celebrates the many joys of a British summer: the meadows blooming, cuckoos trilling and all the landscape bursting into glorious life.

In the mid-latitudes of the northern hemisphere, the months of June, July and August have for centuries been celebrated in our culture as the season of carefree relaxation after enduring the dark months of winter. But now the prospect of summer coming in appears to be an increasingly ominous one. 

As we have seen across the country in recent weeks, summer is rapidly becoming the season of heatwaves, wildfires and flash floods. The Met Office’s annual State of the UK climate report, published yesterday, sheds new light on the Great British subtropical summer we must soon learn to live with – and indeed is already upon us.

According to the report (which covers last year), in early August 2020, temperatures hit 34C on six consecutive days, with five “tropical nights” where the mercury did not drop below 20C, making it one of the most significant heatwaves to affect southern England in the past 60 years.

Even if humanity manages to restrict global warming to 1.5C (when currently we are on course for double that) British summers are likely to regularly see temperatures of above 40C in the future.

And as we have seen on the streets of London in recent days, where patients were evacuated from an East London hospital and homes, roads, and tube stations were deluged, extreme summer flooding events are also becoming more likely as a warmer climate enables the atmosphere to hold more moisture, which then dumps down on us in rainfall. Last year was the third warmest, fifth wettest and eighth sunniest on record for the UK.

“We have already changed the climate, without a doubt,” says Professor Richard Betts, head of climate impact research at the Met Office Hadley Centre. “For now we have to live with the changes that are already here, and adapt to them.”

Betts was one of the authors of the UK’s climate change risk assessment report, which advises the Government and published its latest findings in June. The report highlighted eight risk areas that need urgent attention over the next two years – prominent among them the risk to human health from overheating in buildings as temperatures continue to soar. Last August’s heatwave, for example, led to more than 1,700 deaths across Britain. According to a new report by the Red Cross, heat-related deaths in Britain could triple to about 7,000 annually over the next 30 years.

“I think there is a big change needed in our housing stock particularly around overheating,” says Rachel Brisley, a Yorkshire-based technical director in climate services for JBA Consulting, and co-author of the report. “We are very adaptable as a species and can cope with higher temperatures, but we do need to consider our living environment.”   

One prominent concern is new-build homes that have been heavily insulated to comply with building regulations but in some cases without the adequate ventilation to disperse properly the heat in summer. In recent weeks, some people living in new-build properties have complained about sweltering temperatures as the heat is trapped inside.

“A lot of focus has been on making homes energy efficient, which is a very good thing but we have not been setting ourselves up to deal with heatwaves,” says Betts. “You might have a low carbon home but it could still overheat in summer.”

Our homes will also change in other ways. Brisley says we should invest in shutters and blinds and on extremely hot days fight our instincts by keeping the windows firmly closed. Pale choice of paint colours will reflect the light and heat rather than absorbing them, and some experts advise fitting a protective film to windows to filter UV rays from the sun.

Increased flood risk, too, will also require a rethink of the layout of our homes. In properties at risk of flooding, experts advise moving plug sockets high up the walls, replacing the lower steps on a flight of stairs with concrete instead of wood, pulling up ground floor carpets and tiling with waterproof adhesive and grout, using water-resistant plaster, placing appliances such as fridges and water tanks on raised plinths and having a wall-mounted television.

The issue is cost. In 2017, the Building Research Establishment estimated the total outlay of creating a fully flood-resistant home to be about £60,000. Currently, this money is often made available in grants following extreme flooding events, although it is widely agreed we need to be far more proactive in transforming our housing stock.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/07/29/weatherproof-home-sub-tropical-britain/

 

Yes, it’s the absurd Joe Shute again!

Read more…

Electrification of road freight using overhead cables

July 30, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

From GWPF:

 

 

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Putting overhead cables on just motorways and dual carriageways could cost around £58 billion (the basis of this figure is set out below). It will be practically impossible to install overhead cables on most of the rest of the 31,800 miles of the major road network. If the freight fleet is to be fully electric, lorries would therefore have to rely on on-board batteries in places where they cannot be charged by the overhead cable.

Electrifying the freight fleet would require a major expansion of electricity generation capacity. Assuming this comes from from wind power, 22 GW of new windfarms would be needed (assuming an improved capacity factor of 0.4) supported by sufficient storage capacity. Detailed calculations are set out below. This new capacity is likely to cost over £88 billion and there would be significant ongoing operating costs. For comparison, total wind capacity in 2019 in the UK was 24.1 GW.

Energy supply to the trucks would have to be guaranteed at all times. This will mean that electricity generation from natural gas has to be retained for when the wind was not blowing. The alternatives – battery storage or nuclear – are prohibitively expensive or are politically unacceptable.

The total capital cost could therefore be £130–150 billion, and there would be significant ongoing operating costs.

Honest life-cycle analysis is needed for all the alternative approaches. This should include greenhouse gas (GHG) contributions from the electricity used for running the lorries, manufacturing and the end- of -life disposal/recycling of batteries and installing the infrastructure. Running long-haul transport on electricity alone will certainly not be a zero-GHG solution even with increasing decarbonisation of the electricity supply. If the battery capacity needed is large, even after some of the electricity is taken from overhead cables, such an approach could have minimal or even negative impact on GHG emissions compared to using advanced diesel engines.

Detailed calculations and considerations

Read more…

Britain, climate change and the reality of extreme weather events-Ross Clark

July 29, 2021
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood

 

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‘Extreme weather will be the norm,’ says the Guardian. Britain is gaining a more ‘violent’ climate according to Sir James Bevan, chief executive of the Environment Agency. ‘The UK is already undergoing disruptive climate change with increased rainfall, sunshine and temperatures, according to scientists,’ wites the BBC’s ‘environmental analyst’ Roger Harrabin.

But how many people making these sorts of claims have actually read the Met Office’s report – the ‘State of the UK Climate 2020’ – as opposed to merely reading the press release? Not for the first time, the real data presents a very different world from the one depicted in the increasingly hysterical reporting on climate change.

Firstly, temperatures. There is a clear upward trend in temperature over the UK in the past 60 years (following a slight decline in the two decades prior to that). We can argue about heat islands – and I certainly wouldn’t trust temperature records set at Heathrow, with its concrete aprons and jets spewing out hot gases. But the overall data points unmistakably to rising temperatures. There has been a corresponding downward trend in the frequency of frosts, as might be expected. However, the data also shows that in the UK at least the predominant period of warming was the 1980s and 1990s, with a distinct levelling-off over the past decade. Claims that warming is ‘accelerating’ are not justified by data, at least not in Britain.

Now for rainfall. Much reporting this morning focuses on 2020 being the fifth wettest year since 1862, averaged over Britain. Certainly it was a wet year, but what matters more is the long-term trends. Averaged across Britain, the Met Office report notes, the decade 2011-20 was 9 per cent wetter than the period 1961-90. But there are two things to note about this. Firstly, the biggest increase in rainfall in 2011-20 compared with the 1960-1990 reference period was during the winter and summer months, with the spring becoming drier and autumn pretty unchanged.

The wetter summers are in direct contradiction to climate models. The Climate Projections published by Defra in 2009, for example, predicted that UK summers would be between 17 per cent and 23 per cent drier by the 2080s. Indeed, as recently as the dry summer of 2018 the more general worry was about the UK suffering summer droughts. It is odd to read, then, that today’s report supposedly confirms predictions that have been made by climate scientists for decades.

Secondly, the UK-wide rainfall figure hides a wide differential in rainfall trends across the country, with greater increases in the north and west, especially in the Scottish Highlands and much less marked changes in the more populous south and east.

Full story here.

(You can register for 5 free articles a month to read it)

What is interesting is that Ross Clark has homed in on my two key points:

1) There has been no rise in temperatures in the last decade.

2) The increase in rainfall is largely confined to Scotland, with little long term changes in the south and east.

UK already undergoing disruptive climate change-BBC

July 29, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t various!

 

The BBC/Met Office have wheeled out their latest bit of propaganda:

 

 

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The UK is already undergoing disruptive climate change with increased rainfall, sunshine and temperatures, according to scientists.

The year 2020 was the third warmest, fifth wettest and eight sunniest on record, scientists said in the latest UK State of the Climate report.

No other year is in the top 10 on all three criteria.

The experts said that, in the space of 30 years, the UK has become 0.9C warmer and 6% wetter.

The report’s lead author Mike Kendon, climate information scientist at the UK Met Office, told BBC News: “A lot of people think climate change is in the future – but this proves the climate is already changing here in the UK.

“As it continues to warm we are going to see more and more extreme weather such as heatwaves and floods.”

Scientists warn of worse extreme weather if global temperatures rise and politicians fail to curb carbon emissions.

The report says the UK has become hotter, sunnier and rainier:

  • 2020 was the third warmest UK year since 1884; all the years in the top 10 are since 2002
  • Last year was one of the least snowy on record; any snow mainly affected upland and northern areas
  • Spring 2020 was the UK’s sunniest on record, and sunnier than most UK summers.
  • 2020 was the UK’s fifth wettest year; six of the 10 wettest years have been since 1998

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-57988023

 

Quite why extra sunshine is disruptive I have no idea. Nor, for that matter, why climate change would cause the sun to shine more.

But what about the substantive issues?

Read more…

Net Zero threatens to cripple British households as costs are dumped onto energy bills

July 29, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

 

From GWPF:

 

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Currently, UK consumers are funding renewable energy investors to the tune of £12 billion per year, taken from consumer bills as stealth taxes. These subsidies are projected to grow over the coming years, reaching a total of about £13 billion a year in the mid- 2020.

But on top of this huge and rising cost, the government now plans to add a whole catalogue of additional Net Zero subsidies, as the recent news reports below reveal.

* The government plans to force consumers to subsidise the installation of charging stations for electric vehicles (EV) by raising electricity bills.

* Ministers are in the process of drawing up legislation that will force households to fund the construction of new nuclear power plants through the use of a surcharge on energy bills.

* Households face paying an extra £200 per year to fund greenhouse gas removal technology.

* The wind energy lobby has warned that consumers will have to subsidise offshore wind farms indefinitely, refuting the often repeated claim that renewables are close to becoming “subsidy-free”, and confirming analysis showing that wind power costs have not fallen.

* Energy bills face an additional rise in cost as the power grid operator is increasingly forced to pay wind farms to switch off turbines. ‘System balancing’ costs alone were £2 billion last year and could hit £2.5 billion per year over the next decade as renewable capacity continues to grow.

Industrial and commercial consumers with the option of relocating to countries with cheaper energy will obviously do so.

Households, the other hand, will simply have to cut down on food and other expenditures in order to pay their energy bills and cut their standard of living.

The GWPF’s director Benny Peiser said:

It is fairly certain that most households would be unable to keep their heads above water as this torrent of additional Net Zero costs overwhelms their domestic budgets. Neither Boris Johnson nor his government would survive this unwise and unjust imposition on the British people.

Flash Floods Not Getting Worse In England

July 29, 2021
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By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Leeds Chris

 

This article from 2016 has great relevance regarding the recent floods in London. David Archer is a leading hydrologist at the School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University:

 

 

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Over the last four years, I have been compiling chronologies of flash floods and the associated causes from intense rainfall, associated occurrence of hail, and results in terms of drowning, deaths by lightning, destruction of houses and bridges, erosion of hillsides and valleys and flooding of property. The main focus of SINATRA has been on Northeast England, Cumbria and Southwest England but chronologies are now almost complete for Lancashire and Yorkshire; an additional less comprehensive chronology has been prepared for the rest of Britain. The source material has been mainly the online British Newspaper archive, with its 15 million searchable pages, but a wide range of documentary sources has also been used. Given the rapid growth of published newspapers in the mid nineteenth century, the records can be considered comprehensive since at least 1850.

In compiling this chronology, event by event, I was struck by the variability of occurrence by year and by decade, which did not fit with the concept of more intense rainfall in a world warming with climate change (Kendon et al. 2014). The most frequent and really damaging flash floods tended to concentrate in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries and there were fewer events in many of the later decades of the twentieth century. Figure 1 shows the decadal chronology for Northeast and Southwest England (Archer et al, 2016)

Read more…

Problems At Chevron’s £3bn CCS Project

July 29, 2021
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By Paul Homewood

 

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Chevron is receiving heavy flak and potential fines for failing to meet emissions reduction targets at its troubled carbon capture and storage (CCS) scheme that forms a crucial element of the Gorgon liquefied natural gas (LNG) export project in Australia. Its partners include Shell and ExxonMobil.

Yesterday, Chevron admitted that its CCS project, described by the US giant as the world’s largest, has failed to meet a five-year target for burying carbon dioxide (CO2) under Barrow Island off Western Australia. The Gorgon joint venture, which also includes Osaka Gas, Tokyo Gas and JERA, shipped its first LNG cargo in 2016.

Read more…

BBC Says Flash Floods Getting Worse

July 28, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

Today’s dose of BBC climate propaganda:

 

 

 

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Flash flooding affects cities across the world and has become more common because of climate change.

Parts of London and the south of England were left underwater after heavy rain in July.

 

What is flash flooding?

Flash floods usually happen during intense rainfall – when the amount of water is too much for drains and sewers to deal with.

It can occur very quickly and without much warning.

Roads can become unpassable – with vehicles abandoned – and homes and shops damaged by floodwater.

Floods can affect key public infrastructure including transport networks and hospitals. In London, some hospitals had to ask patients to stay away after they lost power.

 

Why does it happen in cities and towns?

Urban areas are more likely to experience this type of "surface water" flooding because they have a lot of hard surfaces – everything from paved front gardens to roads, car parks and high streets.

When rain hits them it can’t soak into the ground as it would do in the countryside.

An example was seen when New York City was hit by Storm Elsa in July, flooding the subway system.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-57969877

You would have thought the BBC has answered its own question in those last few sentences, but, surprise surprise, they have to wheel out the climate change bogeyman:

In many places – including much of the UK – old sewer systems were built based on historic rainfall projections.

Dr Veronica Edmonds-Brown of the University of Hertfordshire said the growth of London was also a problem as its Victorian era drainage system "cannot cope with the huge increase in population".

What utter drivel!

Read more…

Net Zero by 2050 is dead in the water. So what’s plan B?

July 27, 2021

By Paul Homewood

 

 

The media is finally starting to wake up. Pity they did not years ago:

 

 

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Boris Johnson has always tried to take a ‘cakeist’ position on Net Zero. We can drastically cut carbon emissions while boosting living standards, he claims. But the truth is, the sacrifices being demanded of us in the name of Net Zero are incompatible with democracy, and the PM knows it.

Just look at the anguish the gas boiler ban is causing to the government. Johnson has now conceded that the ban will have to be pushed back from 2030 to 2035. It will have to be some other prime minister’s problem.

The boiler ban was a key plank of the government’s Net Zero strategy. Gas boilers were to be replaced with heat pumps. These heat pumps are not what anyone could call a reasonable alternative to boilers. While a boiler can heat your house fairly quickly at the flick of a switch, a heat pump can take around 24 hours to heat your home to between 17 to 19 degrees celsius – i.e., not-quite room temperature.

For the pleasure of living in your not-quite warm house, you will have to fork out around £10,000 for the unit and installation. Then, according to the Climate Change Committee (CCC), you can expect to spend an additional £100 per year on your energy bills.

If you want to own a heat pump and have a house that’s more than lukewarm, you’ll need lots of extra insulation. This means yet more tens of thousands of pounds in renovation costs. The Energy Technologies Institute estimates that a ‘deep retrofit’ could cost as much as building a home from scratch. This is not money that any ordinary person has down the back of the sofa – or that the taxpayer can reasonably cover for millions of households.

Getting used to this reduced lifestyle ‘will take an attitudinal shift’, says Chris Stark, CEO of the CCC. This is quite the understatement. It means abandoning what was once a completely normal expectation in a developed country: having a warm home in winter.

In our Net Zero future, we can also forget having a stable and affordable supply of electricity. Boris says he wants to make the UK the ‘Saudi Arabia of wind power’. But we should be wary of green energy experiments. Places like California that have rushed to swap nuclear and fossil fuels with renewable energy are regularly faced with rolling blackouts. Since Germany embarked on its Energiewende (energy transition), its electricity prices are now among the highest in the world, though, ironically, this hasn’t done much to lower CO2 emissions.

Net Zero is easily the largest national project the UK has embarked on since the Second World War. But even as politicians boast about it on the world stage, parading their harsh ‘targets’ at every opportunity, they have tried to downplay its significance to the public. It’s just a tax rise here, a subsidy there, maybe a bit less meat-eating or not rinsing the plate before loading it into the dishwasher. Technology will take care of the rest, anyway, they say.

But when the public really finds out what Net Zero means, will they tolerate it? The gilets jaunes protests in France were the most significant public revolt since 1968. They were sparked by an eco-tax. This tax didn’t affect the metropolitan liberals who dreamt it up. They were baffled that anyone would stand in the way of carbon neutrality. But they had to reverse course. This tax was but a drop in the ocean compared to Net Zero.

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