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810,960 To Go !

March 26, 2015

By Paul Homewood  

 

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http://www.theccc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/1790_CCC-infographics-4pp_11.pdf

 

Under the glorious future John Gummer and his chums at the Committee on Climate Change have in store for us, one third of new cars will be plug in by 2025.

He has got a long way to go!

According to the SMMT, registrations of plug in cars last year rose to a remarkable 14518, out of a total of 2,476,435 new cars registered, a pathetic 0.58%. This is despite the govt (for which, read taxpayer) chucking a subsidy of £5000 at anyone buying electric cars, something that will be totally unsustainable at much higher sales volumes.

 

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http://www.smmt.co.uk/2015/01/december-2014-ev-registrations/

 

Still, we’ll be alright, Gummer has another cunning plan!

 

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I think this has something to do with hedgehogs!    

 

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https://youtu.be/w9lmCpIzhFo

Update On Cyclone Pam

March 26, 2015
tags:

By Paul Homewood

  

A damaged home in Seaside, near the Vanuatu capital of Port Vila, on Saturday (image handout from Australian Red Cross)

 

 

Nearly a couple of weeks on, it is perhaps time for a round up of where we are with Cyclone Pam.

 

As far as the death toll is concerned, fatalities are much lower than some of the earlier wild estimates. The official UN Situation Report on 22nd March gives a latest figure of 11 confirmed deaths.

This is a much lower death toll than in some earlier cyclones, for instance the 1951 one that left 100 dead, as the International Disaster Database shows:

 

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http://www2.wpro.who.int/internet/files/eha/toolkit/web/Country%20Profiles/Vanuatu/Vaunatu%20Disaster%20Profile.pdf

 

The Vanuatu Meteorological Service describes the 1951 storm in their report, Tropical Cyclones in Vanuatu.

 

Read more…

Dr Christopher Essex On Climate Science

March 26, 2015

By Paul Homewood  

 

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http://www.breitbart.com/london/2015/03/25/not-because-of-payment-but-because-the-science-is-so-damn-bad/ 

 

 

A though provoking piece today in Breitbart by Dr Christopher Essex.

 

Members of the Scientific Council of the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) recently criticized the Royal Society’s positions on climate.

Their clear, authoritative scientific objections to the Royal Society’s positions reveal the weak scientific foundation on which the great climate fervor has been based. The public must either become conversant enough to grasp this or step back and get out of the way of those who have. Scientists don’t need to be paid to oppose the ideas of climate orthodoxy, because those ideas are just so damn bad.

To the Bitter End

Accusing scientists of venal motives when they raise questions about climate has come to be what passes for scientific debate. Unlike the GWPF critique, this is not science at all. Al Gore recently renewed calls for climate deniers (as they are pejoratively called by the dogmatists) to be punished. This follows brazen political-style attacks on scientists because of their views on climate. In particular there has been an aggressive assault questioning our ethics, morality, competence, and even sanity. It has been amazingly coordinated, coming simultaneously from a number of fronts: activists, Congress, Hollywood, and even some psychologists.

This entire assault could not be more anti-scientific. The protagonists are political interlopers in science who do not understand or respect the nature of scientific truths and how they are discovered, let alone how they are justified. One of the greatest lessons from the history of science is that humans don’t only get things wrong, but they stubbornly hang on to the stupidest of ideas to the bitter end. I do not absolve myself from this; it is my legacy as much as yours.

Read more…

Christian Organisations Fail To Address The Real Problems Facing Africa

March 25, 2015
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By Paul Homewood  

 

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http://www.christianpost.com/news/is-fighting-global-warming-the-solution-to-water-shortages-in-kenya-or-elsewhere-135795/

 

There was a very interesting Op-Ed by Calvin Beisner in the Christian Post last week, reacting to one of the seemingly endless and mindless bangings of the drum by Christian outfits over the perils of climate change.

 

E. Calvin Beisner

E. Calvin Beisner, Ph.D.,is the founder and national spokesman for The Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation.

 

Late last year a group of evangelical environmentalists associated with the Office of Social Justice (OSJ) of the Christian Reformed Church, after returning from visiting Kenya, were featured in a series of videos titled "Climate Conversation: Kenya in which they say poor Kenyans are suffering from reduced rainfall caused by manmade global warming.

"It’s unfortunate, but farmers all over Africa are talking about changing weather patterns," says Dr. Dennis Garrity, Director General, World Agroforestry Center, U.S.A. "There has been enormous changes in the onset of the rainy season, the length of the rains, the duration and the intensity of drought during the rainy season. And it all fits the scientific evidence that Africa is in fact the area of the world that is going to suffer the most from climate change."

Craig Sorley, Care of Creation Director for Kenya, explains, "Farmers in the past, when I was a young man, always say the rains were so predictable. And now the rains have become very unpredictable. They are playing a guessing game as to when the rains are going to arrive."

A native Kenyan farmer, Margaret, says, "It used to rain in January. But now the rain has changed. It doesn’t come in January. Now it comes in February."

Sorley acknowledges that climate change isn’t the only factor causing water shortages in Kenya. Deforestation is another. Because of it, he says, "a lot of the water that comes to our landscape flows very quickly off of that landscape and goes down into the ocean, and leaves behind a rather dry landscape. I think that’s a combination of not only broader climate change across the globe but also as a result of the damage we have done to ourselves, to our landscapes."

"This issue of climate change can no longer be ignored," insists Kyle Meyaard-Schaap, OSJ Creation Care Coordinator, U.S.A. "I know it’s divisive, I know that it’s polarized, but that’s not a good enough excuse. I can’t look at the people that I talked to in this last ten days and tell them, ‘Yes, but, this issue is polarized, this issue hurts people’s feelings when you talk about it at home.’ That’s just not good enough for me anymore."

The implication is clear: To help the poor in Kenya (and other developing nations), we must fight global warming.

Yet the relevant climate facts in Kenya don’t support these claims.

Read more…

Carry On Lying!

March 25, 2015
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By Paul Homewood  

 

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http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/mar/16/climate-change-aggravating-cyclone-damage-scientists-say 

 

 

Readers will recall that I spotted the Guardian’s false claim that Cyclone Pam was “the most powerful cyclone to hit the South Pacific  since records began.

 

So I though I would fire off a complaint to IPSO, the new Independent Press Standards Organisation, who have replaced the old Press Complaints Commission.

Unfortunately IPSO. who are a voluntary body set up by the press themselves, tell me that the Guardian have not joined them! In other words, the Guardian are free to publish whatever further lies they see fit.

 

Ironically, it was the Guardian themselves who instigated the Leveson Inquiry, which is now likely to lead to state control of the press.

Head Of African Development Bank Attacks Hypocritical Westerners

March 24, 2015

By Paul Homewood

 

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http://www.powerengineeringint.com/articles/2015/03/afdb-says-western-nations-hypocritical-in-decision-to-rule-out-funding-coal-power.html

 

The head of the African Development Bank has effectively told the UN and green groups to forget the climate crap and focus on eliminating poverty.

PEI report:

 

The head of the African Development Bank’s (AfDB) is defending his decision to continue financing coal-fired power plants, despite pressure from environmental groups and UN officials to shift more funds towards cleaner energy.
President of the bank, Donald Kaberuka said the region did not “have the luxury” of ruling out polluting fuels in favour of more costly renewables such as wind and solar.

Read more…

When Politics Come Up Against Reality

March 24, 2015
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By Paul Homewood  

 

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http://www.powerengineeringint.com/articles/2015/03/germany-faces-nuclear-shutdown-conundrum.html

 

PEI report on the mess that Germany has made with nuclear power:

 

The prospect of the German taxpayer paying to cover nuclear reactor shutdowns is a live one as utilities continue to struggle, according to a government report.
As part of the country’s
Energiewende (energy transition) policy, Angela Merkels government decided to phase out nuclear power by 2022 but the expense involved in storing the waste and decommissioning the plants may prove beyond power companies.
Utility executives say more specifics on plans are needed.

 

Merkel

 

“There are still no clear answers to many fundamental questions involving final and intermediate storage, dismantling [reactors] and transporting radioactive waste,” said Frank Mastiaux, chief executive of EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG, one of Germany’s largest utility companies. “Concrete concepts have long been promised, but there is nothing yet in sight.”
That move forced EnBW and Germany’s other big utilities—E.ON SE,RWE AG and a unit of Sweden’s Vattenfall AB—to book billions of euros in write-downs on nuclear assets and increase their provisions for early decommissioning of the facilities. The provisions now total about $40bn (€37bn). The cost could ultimately top €50bn.
And that money might have to be covered by taxpayers if a power company faces insolvency or some other scenarios, the government report warned.
“Based on the current legal situation, there are risks that the financial provisions set aside by the nuclear operating companies aren’t sufficient and therefore it can’t be ruled out that, in a worst-case scenario, significant costs…could fall on the public,” said the report commissioned by the economy ministry and prepared by lawyers, auditors and tax consultants.
Meanwhile storage of nuclear waste is also emerging as a growing problem with the government now aiming to designate a disposal site by 2031, though subsequent geological exploration and construction could delay any opening to about 2050.
Until a final disposal site is found, all waste will be stored temporarily. Keeping interim facilities safe is expensive with E.ON recently stating that delays in finding a disposal site will cost the German nuclear industry $2.82bn (€2.6bn).

 

One of these days, maybe politicians will consult reality before they embark on their fantasy policies. But there again……….

Global Sea Ice Trends

March 23, 2015
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood  

 

According to the February 2015 sea ice report from the NSIDC:

 

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http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2015/03/possibly-low-in-the-north-definitely-high-in-the-south/

 

I wonder why our Claire has not got around to updating it for 2014?

 

global.daily.ice.area.withtrend

http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/

Rapid Recovery In Arctic Sea Ice Volume Back To 2006 Levels

March 23, 2015
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By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Ima Debatin’

 

screenhunter_8077-mar-23-06-20

 

 

Despite all of the headlines recently about “record low Arctic ice”, sea ice extent has actually been regrowing for the last two weeks, and is nearly back to where it was on 22nd February.

 

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http://arctic-roos.org/observations/satellite-data/sea-ice/observation_images/ssmi_ice_area.png

 

Read more…

The Truth Behind The Totten Glacier

March 22, 2015
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By Paul Homewood

 

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http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-26/sea-water-melting-totten-glacier-in-antarctica-from-below/6047076

 

The Totten Glacier in East Antarctica is the latest scare story for melting glaciers and rising sea levels. This report from ABC seems typical:

 

Warm ocean water is melting one of the world’s biggest glaciers from below, potentially leading to a rise in sea levels, Australian scientists have discovered.

Australian icebreaker Aurora Australis recently returned to Hobart from Antarctica, with a team of 23 scientists who had used new technology to collect the first water samples near the Totten Glacier.

Steve Rintoul from the Australian Climate and Environment Cooperative Research Centre said the results indicated the glacier was being melted by the sea water beneath it.

"The measurements we collected provide the first evidence that warm water reaches the glacier and may be driving that melt of the glacier from below," he said. 

According to Australian Antarctic Division estimates, the Totten Glacier holds enough water to raise sea level by six metres and scientists said it had been thinning over the past 15 years.

"We used to think the glaciers in east Antarctica were unlikely to be affected by the ocean because they were a long way away from the warm ocean waters," he said.

"The fact that it’s changing is something new, we used to think that the glaciers in east Antarctic were very stable and unlikely to change."

But he said it was too soon to tell if the glacier was melting as a result of a changing global climate.

"What our observations can’t tell us is how things have changed over time, because this is the first time anyone has made measurements in this area," he said.

"The measurements we’ve collected here are crucial for setting a benchmark that can be used to assess future change." 

 

This one is, of course, just one more in a run of scare stories about melting Antarctic glaciers. Although the scientists are reluctant to link this with global warming, many in the media will not let that fact stop from doing so.

There appear to be a few obvious, initial thoughts:

 

Read more…