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A Bit Of Common Sense

March 19, 2018

By Paul Homewood


A rather pertinent letter in the Sunday Telegraph yesterday:


SIR – Con Coughlin asks how the Government could leave us so exposed to Putin’s threat.

The answer is that the primary purposes of all departments of state are now made secondary to other aims. Energy production is secondary to ecological priorities. Education is secondary to the political agenda of the Blob.

Transport is about HS2 vanity projects, not helping solve the rail chaos suffered by millions daily. Law and order is secondary to fear and favouring cultural sensitivities. Actual defence is a very secondary issue for the Ministry of Defence apparatchiks.

Virtue-signalling is the main concern of post-Blair governance, and the public is starting to suffer the consequences of this tendency to prioritise activists over the common-sense majority.

Tim Bradshaw


SSW Event Was Widely Forecast In Early Feb

March 19, 2018

By Paul Homewood


It has been suggested that the Sudden Stratospheric Warming event in the middle of last month was not widely forecast well beforehand, and that somehow only the Met Office knew about it.

In fact, this is bunkum, as amateur weather blogger Mark Vogan discussed on 5th February:

Read more…

Clean Coal Is The Way To Power Africa – And South African Academics Know How

March 18, 2018
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood


GWPF brings us the story, originally published by the Daily Maverick, of how South African academics are pushing the frontiers of clean coal:



Professor Rosemary Falcon heads the Sustainable Coal Research Group at the University of the Witwatersrand (Wits) in Johannesburg, where the late Nelson Mandela studied law in the 1950s.

Falcon leads a team of nine academics along with 20 Mastersand doctoral students who, with their own laboratory at Wits, say they have proved conclusively that clean coal is not only possible, but among the cheapest ways to generate electricity on a continent where more than 600 million Africans live without power.

Read more…

Did The Met Office Forecast The Beast In January?

March 18, 2018

By Paul Homewood


The Met Office seem to have been stung by media criticisms of their long range warnings about the Beast from the East at the end of February.


Various media reports have been commenting on our longer-range warnings in the run-up to the recent cold snap.

This period of severe weather was very well predicted and the first signs appeared around one month before the start, when we were able to offer broader advice about the likelihood of a cold signal. Our advice to government and the public ramped up in confidence and detail starting from the early signs in late January as events became clearer in our forecasts:

  • 26 January: The first indications of a possible cold spell were given in our one-to-three month outlook for contingency planners. On 26 January we said:
    ‘For February, below-average temperatures are more likely than above-average temperatures. The likelihood of impacts from cold weather during February is greater than normal.’



[Note: that this public outlook is always updated a week later (2nd February), leaving only the three-month view. The one-month outlook reverts to the 30-day forecast at this time.]

So, in summary, the severe cold snap of late February and early March was very well predicted, even from long-range on this occasion. The Met Office provided clear and regular updates on the increasing levels of risk from late January onwards to ensure everyone was aware of how the weather would impact them and they could be prepared for it.

Read more…

Natural Gas – New England: LNG-by-rail to the rescue?

March 17, 2018

By Paul Homewood


Ironic news from New England, as the global oil and gas consultancy GCA reports:



Natural Gas – New England: LNG-by-rail to the rescue?

The Massachusetts legislature has adopted a very green agenda in recent months, which has resulted in a stance against fossil fuels that some critics are pointing to as counterproductive, in terms of greenhouse gas emissions.  The State has opposed gas pipeline expansion in the region, one of the most energy dependent parts of the US for winter supplies of gas and LNG for both heating and electricity generation.

Some have pointed at the recent import of gas originating from the new Yamal LNG export facility in Russia (of which the second arrived just this week) as a negative and unwanted consequence of the lack of pipeline capacity.  Electric generators in New England are also having to consider oil-fired peaking generators as a result of potential gas shortages, with double the carbon of the equivalent gas-fired plant.

Another possible consequence of the “anti-gas pipeline” stance being taken is that novel technologies are being looked at to move gas around, some of which GCA has been following in less developed jurisdictions.  For example, LNG-by-rail, which has only been permitted so far for the Alaska Railroad Company (since 2015) appears to be emerging as one way to alleviate the winter gas shortages in New England.  Based on ISO containers placed on flatbed trucks, the technology represents a potentially viable and cost-effective way of shipping LNG over land.  At sufficient scale, LNG-by-rail has a number of advantages over trucking by road, where GCA estimates the cost penalty is of the order of US$1/MMBtu for every one hundred miles, an order of magnitude costlier than a high-pressure transmission line.

The technology has sufficient backers that a number of regulatory moves are being made to try to have LNG reclassified under current regulations that apply to cryogenic substances, and various safety case initiatives are underway.  Coupled with interest in the use of LNG as a fuel for locomotives, such as the “NextFuel”TM – a locomotive concept being developed by GE, the rail industry may soon start to mirror the marine sector, being both a means to transport large quantities of gas, and also a user itself, as a low cost, efficient and environmentally friendly fuel.


Green opponents of gas pipelines may end up with a much more energy intensive alternative. Not to mention one that sounds like an accident waiting to happen.


Read more…

UK Natural Gas Imports

March 16, 2018

By Paul Homewood





Following comments about gas imports into the UK, I thought I would take the opportunity to clarify the situation.

Read more…

Thanks to the anti-fracking lobby, Britain can’t avoid Russian gas

March 15, 2018

By Paul Homewood


Gee, thanks Greenpeace and your useful idiot Nimbys:

 ScreenHunter_2186 Mar. 15 19.02

Who stands between the government and a proper, effective sanctions regime against Russia? Not Jeremy Corbyn, though he might wish he could. Putin is going to get away with the Salisbury attack, suffering little more than a token expulsion of diplomats, thanks to anti-fracking protesters. They didn’t mean it, of course. When they stood before the bulldozers in the Sussex village Balcombe, jumped up and down about mini-Earth tremors in Lancashire they thought they were doing the Earth a favour. They saw UK-produced shale gas as a dirty alternative to clean, carbon-free energy. But they were wrong. In the short to medium term at least the alternative to UK-produced shale gas was imported gas, an increasing proportion of which comes from Russia.

Read more…

NOAA Tamper With NY Temperatures Again

March 15, 2018

By Paul Homewood




According to the heavily adjusted NOAA data, last month was the fifth warmest February on record in the Central Lakes Division of NY State, with an average mean temperature of 31.4F.


Prior to 1981, the warmest was February 1954, which averaged 29.8F. In other words, NOAA claim that February 1954 was 1.6F colder than last month.

Which all looks very suspicious, because the opposite picture is shown at the high quality station of Ithaca Cornell University:





At Cornell, Feb 1954 averaged 30.4F, compared to 30.1F this year.

So 1954 was in fact 0.3F warmer. Compared with NOAA’s claim that last month was 1.6F warmer, this means that NOAA’s figures show 1.9F more warming than the record at Cornell.

Of course, there may be some small differences between Cornell and the Central Lakes division as a whole. However, Central Lakes (Division 10) is only a very small part of NY State, and it is not conceivable that variation within the division could account for a discrepancy of 1.9F.

In any event, as we already know, nearly all of the USHCN stations in Central Lakes confirm that NOAA’s dataset bears no relationship to actual station data, and massively increases the warming trend.



Cornell is also regarded as such a high quality site, that the Northeast Regional Climate Center have given it its own “Ithaca Climate Page”, clearly believing it is representative of NY as a whole.

In short, Ithaca Cornell is not some backyard amateur operation, but a very carefully maintained, long running record.


NOAA’s own station metadata confirms there has been no more than a minor change in location since 1954:




And observing times have been during the morning throughout the record, meaning that the usual excuse for tampering used by NOAA’s apologists, Time of Observation Bias, does not wash.



If you take 1.9F off the current temperatures shown by NOAA, there is nothing unusual about the temperature last month.

Quite simply, NOAA’s graph is fake.

Public Accounts Committee Prefers Us To Drown In Debt Than “Sacrifice Green Objectives”

March 15, 2018

By Paul Homewood


h/t Dave Ward


If we ever needed evidence that our MPs are living in a different universe to the rest of us, take a look at the latest report from the Public Accounts Committee, courtesy of the Mail:



A influential group of MPs has branded the Government’s sale of the Green Investment Bank (GIB) as “deeply regrettable”, claiming Britain’s green objectives have been sacrificed in favour of driving down debt.

The Public Accounts Committee (PAC) said the £2.3 billion deal had not secured the best return for taxpayers and would not protect the GIB’s purpose in the coming years, as it outlined a string of failings surrounding the sale to a consortium led by Macquarie Group.

In a damning report, it found that the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy had not grasped whether the GIB had ever achieved its goal of helping to haul “more investment into the green economy” and “creating an institution that lasts”.

It added that the Government’s appetite for reducing debt had forced it into a “reactive” sale, leading “a number of compromises” being made to get the deal over the line.

The GIB was launched in 2012 to channel investment into low carbon development and has since been rebranded the Green Investment Group (GIG) by its current owners.

Sir Geoffery Clifton-Brown, deputy chair of the PAC, said the Government had lessons to learn about selling public assets.

He said: “Government set up the Green Investment Bank to grow investment in the green economy and thus help the UK meet its climate change obligations.

“The manner in which it was sold off is therefore deeply regrettable. Government did not carry out a full assessment of the Bank’s impact before deciding to sell, nor did it secure adequate assurance over the Bank’s future role.

“This was a UK initiative but the rebranded Green Investment Group is not bound to invest in the UK’s energy policy at all, nor to invest in the kind of technologies that support its climate objectives.

“The protracted sale process put Government on the back foot; had it been shrewder, it could have secured a better return for taxpayers.”

The deal was sealed in April last year, with Macquarie Group, Macquarie European Infrastructure Fund 5 and the Universities Superannuation Scheme seizing control of the GIB.


It is the Green Bank itself, and not the sale of it, that was not serving the interest of taxpayers. If these green schemes had been so good, then they would have attracted funding from commercial banks, instead of needing to have taxpayer money sprayed at them.

As for the claim that Britain’s green objectives have been sacrificed in favour of driving down debt, I would have thought taxpayers would be over the moon.

ITV News: Wind Farm Blades Eroding After Few Years At Sea

March 14, 2018

By Paul Homewood

Talking of wind power costs, a special ITV report this week reveals how 140 turbine blades are having to be replaced because of erosion at the London Array, only launched in 2013:


An investigation by ITV News Meridian has revealed that turbine blades at the world’s largest offshore wind farm off Kent have developed a fault.

Actress and activist Emma Thompson has even fronted a controversial Greenpeace campaign, claiming wind power costs have halved.

However, this video has since been removed from their website and social media sites.


Erosion repairs to the turbines could cost millions of pounds as the owners are forced to carry out emergency repairs to 140 of the turbines.

Critics of the so-called ‘green energy’ say it raises questions about whether wind power makes economic sense.

The ITV video report can also be viewed on the above link.

Despite luvvie Emma Thompson’s grossly misleading claims, the London Array earned an estimated £265 million  £192 million in ROC subsidies last year, on top of the value of electricity sold.

It will continue to harvest such obscene amounts for the next twenty years, unless it drops to pieces in the meantime.

When the London Array was launched, David Cameron lauded it as a great day. Unfortunately the rest of us will be paying for it for a long time to come.



I originally quoted the cost of subsidy as £265m. However, this includes the value of electricity sold.