By Paul Homewood
From the Economist:
HANAMI, the Japanese custom of contemplating the impermanence of life by gazing at the fleeting beauty of blossoming flowers, goes back a long way. “The Tale of Genji”, a tenth-century masterpiece that is perhaps the world’s first novel, devotes a chapter to the cherry-blossom festival staged in the emperor’s great hall. Diarists have keenly chronicled the comings and goings of cherry blossoms for centuries—records from Kyoto, the old capital, date back 1,200 years. This precious, ancient data set reveals a disturbing trend: in recent decades, the blossoms have emerged much sooner than they once did.
By Paul Homewood
A walk back down memory lane, with one of my first posts in 2011!
It’s still relevant.
Is our climate becoming more extreme?
There has been much discussion recently about “Climate Disruption” or “Global Weirding”. John Holdren has talked about “increases in floods, wildfires, droughts, heat waves and hurricanes” while Rajendra Pachauri says “Based on observation, we know that there will be more floods, more drought, more heat waves and more extreme precipitation events. These things are happening”.
Al Gore of course is quick to blame any extreme weather event on climate change. Even reputable climate scientists such as Katharine Hayhoe talk about Global Weirding:-
“Heavy rains, deep snowfalls, monster floods and killing droughts are signs of a new normal of extreme U.S. weather events fueled by climate change” scientists and government planners said on Wednesday.
“It’s a new normal and I really do think that global weirding is the best way to describe what we’re seeing,” climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe of Texas Tech University told reporters.”
But are we really seeing more extreme weather nowadays?
Our memory of events from years ago tends to blur into the mists of time. Furthermore the global nature of today’s news media often brings to our attention stories which we would not have even known about if they had happened decades ago. I have therefore put together the following record of extreme weather events from 1971, which I hope will provide a certain amount of perspective when looking at what is happening today. Why 1971? Quite simply it is 40 years ago, a nice round number, and of course, before the gradual rise in global temperatures began a few years later.
Al Gore wants your money!
From Daily Caller:
A group of executives who want to fight global warming has published a new report calling for countries to spend up to $600 billion a year over the next two decades to boost green energy deployment and energy efficiency equipment.
The Energy Transitions Commission’s (ETC) report claims “additional investments of around $300-$600 billion per annum do not pose a major macroeconomic challenge,” which they say will help the world meet the goals laid out in the Paris agreement.
ETC is made up of energy executives, activist leaders and investment bankers, including former Vice President Al Gore, who would no doubt get a piece of the trillions of dollars they are calling for.
Shell are one of the prime movers behind the ETC, as they see it as a way to marginalise coal.
The ETC also demand a rapidly rising carbon price to prevent cheap fossil fuels from undermining the pace of the energy transition.
The first priority of British energy policy should be to enable business and households alike to have access to cheap and reliable sources of energy.
This is the key message of the Global Warming Policy Forum’s Energy Manifesto 2017 published today.
The GWPF has published its new Energy Manifesto.
The main demands are:
The new government should
- Undertake a new and up-to-date review of the economics of climate change.
- Suspend commitment to the Carbon Budgets in line with the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee’s recommendation.
- Suspend the Carbon Price Floor, a unilateral carbon tax that puts an unequal and unfair burden on British industry.
- Suspend commitments post-2020 under the EU Renewables Directive which puts an unequal burden on the UK economy.
- Phase out subsidies for renewable energy generators of heat and electricity. The renewables industry repeatedly claims that they are now cheaper than conventional energy. Government should take them at their word and cut all support after 2020.
- Freeze commitments to ethanol and biodiesel under the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation, which is distorting international food and crop markets.
- Remove mistaken incentives for the use of diesel in passenger vehicles.
- Remove all fiscal obstacles to further realisation of the potential of the North Sea reserves of oil and natural gas.
- Promote hydraulic fracturing to exploit the full potential of the massive UK shale resources.
- Increase research budgets for nuclear fission and fusion, and also for electricity storage.
- Redirect the UK’s international climate diplomacy towards equitable, joint approaches instead of the self-harm of unilateral targets and virtue signalling.
By Paul Homewood
January 2016 was an exceptionally wet month by any standards in the north east of Scotland.
Met Office data shows rainfall there that month of 266mm, more than double the long term average of 125mm.
While this was a record for any January, on records since 1910, how unusual is it for rainfall to be so much above average?
Perhaps not as unusual as you may think.
According to HH Lamb, rainfall in the same region was 2.5 times the long term average in August 1829:
HH Lamb: Climate, History and the Modern World – p251
Once in a while, Mother Nature comes along and reminds us who’s in charge.
Tony Heller has some worrying news of the latest climate fraud, this time from the DMI.
DMI have now apparently found evidence that Greenland has not been putting on quite as much ice as their original figures showed.
Their data so far this year has been a huge embarrassment to mythical claims of Greenland meltdown, as it has showed the Greenland ice cap growing at record rates.
Following a succession of similar stories of temperature tampering, extreme weather lies and changing historical Arctic sea ice data, the reputation of climate science has now hit a new low.
It is now obvious we can no longer rely on anything we are told.
By Paul Homewood
When we talk about glaciers retreating, it is worth recalling what the first IPCC Report in 1990 had to say about the matter:
In other words, glaciers began receding in the second half of the 19thC, and the fastest rate of retreat was 1920-60, before CO2 emissions could have had any significant impact.
By Paul Homewood
HH Lamb – Climate, History and the Modern World – p 262
Further to yesterday’s post about glaciers, it is worth noting what HH Lamb had to say on the matter.
The above panels show how far some of Switzerland’s glaciers retreated between 1820 and 1974.
Note the rapid retreat between 1925 and 1960, when it appears to have more or less stopped. (The book was written in 1982, since when melting has of course begun again).
Note as well the global nature of the process.
The other interesting comment concerns poleward movement of the range of birds and fish during the earlier period, something which again was reversed after 1960.
We often hear claims that such recent expansion of ranges is “proof of global warming”. In fact it is simply part of a natural process that began at the end of the Little Ice Age, long before mankind made any difference.
Solar ovens and sustained poverty for Africa
President Obama in Kenya checking out a solar panel.
Solar technology in Africa, including my country of Uganda, would bring good news to millions of people who today must use firewood, charcoal and dung for cooking. Millions of Africans die from lung infections caused by breathing fumes from these fires, millions more from eating spoiled food, drinking contaminated water and having spoiled medicines, because we don’t have electricity, sanitation or refrigeration. What we do have in abundance is extensive, sustained poverty.
A view from Africa about how they view Western obsession with climate change:
By Paul Homewood
From HH Lamb’s “Climate, History and the Modern World”
We know that sea levels have risen since the late 19thC, and that much of this is due to melting of glaciers and ice sheets. However, we also know that the same glaciers were growing rapidly during the Little Ice Age, so can we say that 20thC sea level rise is anything other than a natural process?
Let’s remind ourselves of just how great and widespread this glacial advance was.
The history of glacial advance in the European Alps is well documented. Historian, Brian Fagan, offers us this horrifying account: