No BBC, Climate Change Did Not Make Our Winter Worse.
By Paul Homewood
h/t Paul Kolk
More BS from the lying BBC:
Climate change is a major reason the UK suffered such a waterlogged winter, scientists have confirmed.
It was the country’s second wettest October to March period on record and a disaster for farmers, who faced flooded fields during a key planting period.
Global warming due to humans burning fossil fuels made this level of rainfall at least four times more likely, according to the World Weather Attribution group.
One farmer in Lincolnshire told the BBC that a third of his farm could not be planted in time this year.
Colin Chappell, a fourth generation farmer on the banks of the River Ancholme in Lincolnshire, who produces food including peas, oil and wheat, says he will only produce half what he would usually expect.
“There are some farms in the valley that will not see a harvest at all this year. That hasn’t happened here since 1948,” he says.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp992nxxe7do
Picking October to March is simply cherry picking.
As for a waterlogged winter, 2023/24 was not as wet as some other winters, including 1877 and 1915. Was climate change responsible for those winters?
.
It’s the same story in autumn, with last year’s being far from unprecedented.
The only reason for the wet weather we have had in recent months is the jet stream which has brought a lot more depressions our way than we usually see. It has done the same in the past, and will do so again in the future.
It has nothing to do with climate change.
FOOTNOTE
The BBC’s propaganda comes from the World Weather Attribution group, whose work has been rubbished in the past:
Or as Steve Koonin puts it:
Comments are closed.
NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
I think a minute reading Genesis Chapter 41 might help. (I always prefer the KJV, wonderful English).
A couple of extracts:-
46 And Joseph was thirty years old when he stood before Pharaoh king of Egypt. And Joseph went out from the presence of Pharaoh, and went throughout all the land of Egypt.
47 And in the seven plenteous years the earth brought forth by handfuls.
48 And he gathered up all the food of the seven years, which were in the land of Egypt, and laid up the food in the cities: the food of the field, which was round about every city, laid he up in the same.
49 And Joseph gathered corn as the sand of the sea, very much, until he left numbering; for it was without number.
And: –
53 And the seven years of plenteousness, that was in the land of Egypt, were ended.
54 And the seven years of dearth began to come, according as Joseph had said: and the dearth was in all lands; but in all the land of Egypt there was bread.
55 And when all the land of Egypt was famished, the people cried to Pharaoh for bread: and Pharaoh said unto all the Egyptians, Go unto Joseph; what he saith to you, do.
56 And the famine was over all the face of the earth: and Joseph opened all the storehouses, and sold unto the Egyptians; and the famine waxed sore in the land of Egypt.
57 And all countries came into Egypt to Joseph for to buy corn; because that the famine was so sore in all lands.
Now, of course, we understand that all the problems that Egypt and the Pharaoh experienced were due to those naughty Ancient Britons and their Planet Destroying SUVs. (Chinese SUVs used in China are beneficial of course.)
But perhaps our complaining farmer chum might still consider Joseph’s words of wisdom before starting his moaning routine.
And eventually Reality-Denier Psyentists and all the Policy-based Evidence-Makers will suffer their own, very well deserved, years of dearth.
Agree on KJV. One of my favourite passages (now!). I try to focus on that and not Thermageddonista BS.
‘The days of our years are threescore years and ten; and if by reason of strength they be fourscore years, yet is their strength labour and sorrow; for it is soon cut off, and we fly away.’
Psalm 90:10
Then there’s the Flood Before Noah which comes with instructions and a working replica.
Indeed, highly recommended lecture
I thought I might be the only one who remembered Finkel. Glad to see I was wrong. There are other interesting lectures in various places. In the one above he was involved in building a scaled down replica “ark” for a documentary. The things he has to say about the makers of documentaries! (Essentially, that the question of something actually being true or not does not even enter their sensationalism-focused minds). An “old school” expert – funny, eccentric, modest, and actually worth listening to.
Not like the UK’s PM (to switch). Cue jokes about “Wet Tory in his element”, “Sunak takes the plunge”, etc. The political class is so inept they cannot even announce a General Election properly! And yet the UniParty assume they have the right to run every aspect of the lives of seventy million people while trousering huge amounts of the money that belongs to those people.
The GWL up on the Downs at Upper Petham Bourne (Little Bucket Farm) is 84.4m today, down from its maximum this winter of about 86.5m which was below the maximum recorded level of 87.2m (ground level at the top of the well). The maximum envelope (since 1971) was extended a bit horizontally this season when highish levels persisted for longer than normal. All standard stuff. It affects the flow in the Westbrook (a chalk stream that we are trying to revive from a municipal ditch) and into Stonebridge Pond (at the head of Faversham Creek and the bottom of my little garden).
https://www2.bgs.ac.uk/groundwater/datainfo/levels/sites/LittleBucketFarm.html
https://check-for-flooding.service.gov.uk/station/9134
Hi Nigel is this the site you are referring to.
https://www.google.com/maps/@51.1825365,1.0355743,3a,75y,112.3h,57.41t/data=!3m7!1e1!3m5!1scdbQdhVYNy90YTI2zcNbLw!2e0!6shttps:%2F%2Fstreetviewpixels-pa.googleapis.com%2Fv1%2Fthumbnail%3Fpanoid%3DcdbQdhVYNy90YTI2zcNbLw%26cb_client%3Dmaps_sv.tactile.gps%26w%3D203%26h%3D100%26yaw%3D186.25589%26pitch%3D0%26thumbfov%3D100!7i13312!8i6656?coh=205409&entry=ttu
I used to regularly cycle past it ( training in my much fitter time trialling days- long gone!) and wonder what the comms were for. I am genuinely surprised the flow is out to Faversham as I had always assumed the Petham bourne ultimately flowed to the same outlet as the Elham Valley Nailbourne that runs close to the bottom of my garden in Barham. Every day’s a new lesson.
Yes, well spotted (ha! ha!), thank you. This is the location from the website.
https://check-for-flooding.service.gov.uk/station/9134?v=map&lyr=mv,ri,ti,gr,rf&fid=stations.9134&ext=1.032002,51.181264,1.039726,51.18418
The BGS site gives more detail.
https://www2.bgs.ac.uk/groundwater/datainfo/levels/sites/LittleBucketFarm.html
The well is 100 feet deep, perhaps that’s why the bucket was little.
The flow in Faversham is the water filtering through the chalk and then appearing west of M2, much reduced now by water company abstraction. There are artesian wells at the brewery and out at Harty Ferry where the chalk is confined by London Clay. In dry summers it disappears upstream from Chart Mills but it’s still flowing below the surface in the roughly ten feet of gravel in the old chalk bed carved out after the last ice age (or maybe an earlier one). I’m trying to get a better feel for the relationship between the drying up and the level in the chalk at Petham. The Seine is a chalk stream apparently although it’s mainly an English phenomenon.
The farmer says that hasn’t happened since 1948 so it isn’t unprecedented. Was ‘climate change’ around in 1948? 🙂
Yes! Going down which caused the ‘we’re all going to freeze to death’ panic by 1970s
It is worth pointing out that the land in our farmers part of the world has lost at least 2 foot of top soil in the last, about, 100 years which is likely to add to flooding problems.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/floods-power-cuts-war-disease-be-prepared-for-a-sudden-crisis-householders-urged/ar-BB1mPjv7?ocid=BingNewsSearch
I see the government are beginning to prepare the public for Net Zero.
Just the softening up has lead to appeals for calm and not stripping supermarket shelves. Imagine the fun when the BS really hits the fan.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13446219/emergency-survival-kit-floods-cyber-attacks-power-cuts.html
Looting the supermarkets when the “BS really hits the fan”
scientists have confirmed….some scientists have claimed from a new modelling run…
World Weather Attribution is Friederike Otto again.
Physicist with a doctorate in “philosophy of science” (not actual science) from the Free University Berlin in 2011. She joined the University of Oxford in the same year and was director of the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford before joining Imperial Grantham Institute in October 2021. She is also a Potsdam Schellnhuber alumnus.
2018, author on IPCC AR6 “The Scientific Basis”, which was published in August 2021, also an author on the IPCC’s Synthesis Report published in September 2022.
https://www.research.ox.ac.uk/article/2021-07-01-deadly-heat-the-pleasantly-terrifying-dr-fredi-otto-talks-extreme-climate-events
“Over the last handful of years, major advances have meant that what were concerns over the impact on climate change, are understood realities. And, she says, it is costing thousands, perhaps millions, of deaths globally every single year.
Thanks to advances in weather observations and computer modelling-based research by Dr Otto and her team, they now have the data. Previously, climate predictions tended to be based on one model. Now, she and her team use hundreds, thousands of simulations of models – using supercomputers and individuals who lend their processing power.
The use of very different models, high-quality observations and experience of many studies has led to her saying with certainty that climate change is behind more than one-in-three deaths from heat. She says, ‘Climate change makes hot extreme events [such as heatwaves in Europe] 100 times more likely.’
And we’re not talking about a bit of nice weather either,’ says Dr Otto. ‘The last heatwave in the UK caused 2,500 excess deaths.’”
She was misusing statistics and she wasn’t even at Imperial, the home of dodgy claims on Covid, when she made that statement.
She would have worked with Myles Allen at Oxford ECI and he has been banging the “attribution” drum for many years.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/sep/07/big-oil-must-pay-for-climate-change-here-is-how-to-calculate-how-much
“On 29 October 2012, when Hurricane Sandy slammed into America’s east coast, a storm surge of more than nine feet caused extensive flooding damage throughout the affected region. Researchers have since determined that the damage from that storm surge was greatly worsened by climate change.
Sea level along the East Coast has risen by about eight inches since 1900, as oceans have warmed and expanded in response to rising concentrations of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere, with subsiding land adding insult to injury.
More than six percent of the rise in global sea level resulted from emissions traced to ExxonMobil, Chevron and BP.”
Clever stuff!
Basically she is a lying b’stard. She attributed 2 UK hot days in July 2022 to climate change using data from just 3 sites CIMO rated as Class 5 (only “accurate” to 5°C.) of an RAF base, Durham University Observatory and St James’ Park central London. She is a plain evil bitch. First against the wall.
Argumentum ad misericordiam. Another fine climate science fallacy.
Pity party continues.
At least. But what caused the rain? ‘More likely’ is not a force. In fact, it’s a head fake. They don’t say “climate changed caused it,” as an obvious lie. “Four times more likely” is in fact the same lie.
Four times? I’ve now seen ‘ten times’! Is that ‘climate change’ change?
I’ve seen 45 times claimed. Climate attribution bingo 😂
Does no one think 3 SSWs in one winter, never recorded before, had any influence on this winter?
. . . and, of course, UK climate hasn’t changed since end of LIA, nearly 175 years ago.
It’s all completely fake. BBC, show us the books for your partners, World Weather Attribution. How much are you paying these scammers to say what you want? How much money does WWA make doing phony assertions?
Where we live in Shropshire where the winter been wet but quite mild. In fact the last few winters have been mild. People have a funny idea of what a bad winter is. I remember the winter of 1962/63 when my dad opened the front door and there was a wall of snow. As a kid I thought it was great. Schools were shut for weeks. Then when the thaw came they were shut again because the school was flooded. Then there was the winter of 1947. The army was called in to open roads and deliver food. Is that a good winter? There are some great videos of people just getting on with it, including postmen tramping through the snow, on foot, delivering. We have a photo of a Shropshire postman on horseback delivering the post in the snow. Isn’t it in the normal range for British weather?
On another note, just reading Steve Koonin’s book who has no time at all for Attribution Studies.
So the hunga tonga eruption spewed water vapour between 53-58 kms into the stratasphere, its got to come back down over a quite lengthy period, one might suggest this is now happening.
World Weather Attribution Group, two people in an office at the grantham trust(financed by carbon credit trader millionaire Jeremy Grantham) abusing Bayes Theorem. CRAP.
Not to mention the US old growth hardwood pellets burned at Drax. No ulterior motives at all.
“old growth hardwood“
Likely the pellets are neither from old growth or hardwood. It makes little difference. It is a dumb idea.
Perhaps not … (certainly an insane idea, the epitome of the green scams)
https://www.biofuelwatch.org.uk/axedrax-campaign/
https://theecologist.org/2018/apr/16/hardwood-forests-cut-down-feed-drax-power-plant-channel-4-dispatches-claims
Farmers always moan. It is just the instinct of peasants who are adept at cheating tax collectors. The (recently retired) farmer in my family just came back from his usual (been going there for twenty years) spring sojurn in his villa on the Italian Riviera. Asked what the weather was like he said “Same as always. Sunny. But me swimming pool was a bit chilly!”
Shakespeare in A MidSummer’s Night’s Dream blamed some persistent wet weather on a squabble between the Nature Deities,Titania and Oberon. Seems more more plausible to me than carbon dioxide.
OT
This is proper crazy?
For several years there was a plan to build a interconnector between Australia and Singapore. That was only 2700 miles and ultimately came to naught
Presumably this is an HVDC cable as inductive losses due to dispersion with AC over 3000 miles would be prohibitive. And the cost and reliability of such a HVDC cable system would also make such a system a poor investment. Then there is the loss of efficiency due transforming from HVDC to HVAC for local transmission. This would have to be based on ‘hot electron’ technology as there is no semiconductor technology capable of operation at such high DC voltages. The problem of AC dispersion on cables was solved by the English physicist Oliver Heaviside in the 19th century, but applicability to a power transmission system is dubious over that great distance. The phrase, ‘pissing in the wind’ comes to mind…
Here we go again
Neither Dame Julia Slingo, not Richard Betts, could tell the truth about anything. Reality-Deniers par excellence.
Back in Feb 2022 (17th) Liz Bentley, Chief Executive of the Royal Meteorological Society told Radio 4’s World at One
“If you look back over the last,say, 50 years or so there is no compelling trend that we’ve seen in the amount of storminess we get in the UK” and
“we’re not seeing any significant changes or trends within the number of storms or maximum wind gusts over the last five decades”
Today, BBC wevvah warning …. a forecast actually missing the “when” part?