Long Term CET Trends
By Paul Homewood
On my earlier post on CET numbers for this year, Joe Bastardi commented:
Isnt this like saying a team that has never won a game could get a tie. While its true the winters are colder, this year is near average. Lets not make a bigger deal out of this than it is. While it may be a sign of things to come ( I do think that) by itself, a near normal year for temps is nothing to write home about
Joe, of course, is quite correct in the sense that UK temperatures, both this year and in the last five years, are back to the sort of level we were used to seeing before the run of warmer years, which began around 1990.
Below is a chart of the annual CET, back to 1900, including my estimate of 9.3C for this year. There is nothing unusual about temperatures in recent years, rather it is the run of warm years that appear to be anomalous.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html
The uptick in the 1990’s correlates with the switch of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation to its positive phase around the same time. As Joe says, we will wait to see what happens when the AMO turns cold again.
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/09/17/us-drought-the-amo/
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Not so scary is it when actual temps are shown rather than anomalies. Less scary still if the degrees axis started at zero rather than 6 degrees.
The poley bears will be migrating en masse to Blighty’s shores. Arm yourselves.