WMO’s State Of The Climate Propaganda
By Paul Homewood
https://reliefweb.int/report/world/state-global-climate-2022-enarruzh
I was away when this was published, so I won’t do a full analysis. There are, however, a few items I wish to highlight:
Drought in India:
As far as global food production is concerned, cereal production hit an all time record in 2021, as it did in Asia and Africa. Whether 2.3 billion are facing food insecurity or not, it has nothing to do either with climate change or the weather:
.
Secondly, they claim that crop yields in India suffered because of the drought in spring last year. The reality is that weather is never perfect, and sometimes it is too hot, too cold, too wet or too dry. To cherry pick a couple of months weather and call it climate change is fraudulent.
In any event, drought or no drought, both cereal and horticulture products set record high outputs in the July 2021 to June 2022 period.
https://pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=1894899
Moreover this year’s spring harvest in India is expected to be at or close to record levels, following a plentiful monsoon last summer:
https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/india-india-grain-and-feed-update-february-2023
Floods, Droughts & Heatwaves
The report is, of course, full of weather disasters, to give the impression that they are getting worse.
The reality is somewhat different, with the number of deaths from natural disasters in 2022 amongst the lowest on record:
Antarctic Sea Ice
https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index
Despite the claim of record low sea ice, the WMO fail to point out that the long term trend is flat, and that Antarctic sea ice extent reached record highs just a few years ago. Was that due to global warming as well?
It is clear from the data that there are often wild swings in sea ice extent form year to year, so plainly there are natural factors at work here.
Climate Change Continues To Advance
According to the WMO:
From mountain peaks to ocean depths, climate change continued its advance in 2022,
On the contrary, there is nothing to suggest that the world’s climate is any different to what it has been for the last few decades.
Comments are closed.
Question for informed commentators
Is there a place I can find a list of the global average temperature by year ssy since 1983 ?
I realise global annual average is meaningless and records have been adjusted But it would be helpful to point out to the (mainly) young just what has changed during their lifetime.
Good question.
What may be more useful is the map that shows how the vast majority of the planet has no recording of temperature at all which renders the concept of a global temperature utterly meaningless.
Both would be very useful
Have you a link to the relevant website, please, Gezza?
WUWT has a good resource library too.
Worth bearing in mind also that even Hansen is on record as saying that global average temperature is “not a useful metric”.
The problem is the indoctrination in the entire education system since the “climate” hysterics started.
>>mainly young
This site is very good for showing Global temperatures .http://temperature.global/
It takes readings from thousands of gauges over the world , and as yet , has not been taken over to show ” Adjusted ” readings like a lot of them are .
But as the real temperatures show that the last 8 years have all been below the 30 year average , it might not be long before it is censored to show what Greens want .
Very interesting.
Thank you. This gives a deviation from a 30 year average. But does not specify what the average temperature was, or what the 30 years were.
Goes back to 2015, but it’s a start to help thanks.
UAH6 gives global atmospheric temperatures beginning in the late 1970s. With the recent corrections in NOAA’s STAR satellite dataset, we can be assured that the world has been warming at only about 0.13 ℃/decade for the past 43+ years. During that period the globe went through one of its periodic upswings in temperature as part of about a 60 to 80-year cycle.
Surface stations and pre-ARGO SSTs are useless for scientific work.
Dave Fair , the adjustments to the temp readings have changed the real warming of 0.03 per decade up to the 0.13/0.14 that they are claiming now .https://notrickszone.com/2023/01/09/hadcrut-data-manipulation-changes-2000-2014-warming-trend-from-0-03c-to-0-14c-per-decade/
In The Real World, please reread my last sentence; surface datasets mean less than nothing to me. Satellites (& radiosondes) and ARGO show us that the Earth has been warming slightly and that UN IPCC CliSciFi climate models are “negative information” political devices used by charlatans to dupe the gullible.
Thank you, Where do I find this data
aandbfields, start with the website Watts Up With That run by Anthony Watts. Also visit the UAH6 satellite temperature reconstruction in maintained by Drs. Spencer and Christy at the University of Alabama at Huntsville.
Thank you
WUWT – just started doing it.
Thank you
This shows anomalies, but goes back to 1850…
Climate at a Glance: Global Land and Ocean:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/all/7/2016-2022?trend=true&trend_base=10&begtrendyear=2016&endtrendyear=2022
That is very useful, thank you
The most accurate prediction of global temperature I’m aware of is to found in Habibullo Abdussamatov’s paper of 2008, although the theory he expounds is likely incomplete as it doesn’t consider the cyclical effect of solar magnetic flux on cosmic ray sheilding which may influence cloud formation and albedo…
‘The Sun Defines The Climate’ [November 2008]:
Click to access abduss_nkj_2009.pdf
The only thing you have to remember is that according to official sources, everywhere is warming twice as fast as everywhere else !!
I am still trying to get my old head round that one
A montage of such newspaper headlines can be seen at the end of this article…
‘Explained: Low Solar Activity And A ‘Meridional’ Jet Stream Flow’ [January 2023]:
https://electroverse.co/low-solar-activity-and-a-meridional-jet-stream-flow/
I wonder if the war in Sudan has any effect on ‘food insecurity’ given that it is the 3rd largest country in Africa, and the largest before South Sudan was split off in a previous war, which was news to me.
And so true that weather is never perfect every year. I have what looks like the first fruit on my cherry plum since 2015 as this year the weather caused the blossom to appear in March when there were some pollinators around. Often it has blossomed in February which is far too early. I do know that it is too far north for the tree even in Surrey but haven’t we been told the planet is warming?? Not much sign of apple blossom yet and we are not safe from frosts as one year we had 2 frosty nights after the first week of May. As for drought – I don’t think I have ever seen it so wet here.
The ground here in Devon is saturated, the river at the bottom of my garden has been flowing strongly for weeks, yet we are still in drought and we have just had a hosepipe ban imposed on almost all Devon. Incompetence, bad planning or climate change? Take your pick!
Philip I live in Kent on the North Downs. Here we have an intermittent stream known as the Nailbourne that even Wikipedia knows only flows when the water table is high enough.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Stour#Nailbourne
Despite our so called “drought” it started flowing in its normally dry section at the end of December and is still flowing strongly even now. Even after very wet periods it normally dries up by mid April.
Do we really have a drought at the moment? I know we don’t here but who needs real world evidence when a “computer model” will do?
You missed out ‘propaganda’, Phillip.
Incompetence. Sadly, from top to bottom, this country is awash with incompetent people who compound this by being wilfully ignorant. Not sure if this is the result of transforming our ‘education’ system to achieve the opposite of educating especially as we can see how much the alleged teachers are enjoying their strike days.
WUWT had a full review of the WMO propaganda document 4 days ago if anyone wants to know more.
‘From mountain peaks to ocean depths, climate change continued its advance in 2022’
Ibid gezza: We have no weather stations on most mountain peaks, and none at ocean depths. They are literally making it up, and it’s obvious they are making it up. They assume their audience is adolescent.
BWTM: the notion of ‘climate’ at ‘ocean depths’ is STUPID.
‘Climate’ is the generalized weather of an area or region. Weather is “the state of the atmosphere with respect to heat or cold, wetness or dryness, calm or storm, clearness or cloudiness.” There is NO F*&^ING ATMOSPHERE at ‘ocean depths.’
Every damn sentence can be picked apart. The document is an embarrassment.
“Ibid ” Strewth GC it is an education in itself just reading your posts but “BWTM” (basic worksite traffic management?) – you really got me on that one!
But wait! There’s more.
That reminds me of when I first saw “FBPE” after someone’s Twitter handle; it didn’t take long to deduce that it stood for Full Blown Psychotic Episode.
So Antarctic sea ice is almost precisely at the same ebb as the year 1980 in line with the pattern of Ryan Maues global hurricane frequency index . No noticeable increase over 40 years
“We have the tools, the knowledge, and the solutions. But we must pick up the pace. We need accelerated climate action with deeper, faster emissions cuts to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degree Celsius. We also need massively scaled-up investments in adaptation and resilience, particularly for the most vulnerable countries and communities who have done the least to cause the crisis,” said Mr Guterres.”
Tools, knowledge, Solutions? Emission cuts take no CO2 already added out of the atmosphere, but they make it much more difficult to continue the transition to renewables and all-electric transportation because conventional transportation is doing all of the work. The same is true for adaptations and resilience to extreme weather. What that must mean is gasoline and biofuels that depend on gasoline will be required for quite a while. It’s just common sense Mr. Guterres.
‘We need accelerated climate action’
I can translate: “The West must die QUICKER. Why do you persist? Resistance is futile.”
What we actually need is for politicians to stop trying to “play God” with Mother Nature. The climate changes irrespective of how many taxes, regulations and even bans that the politicians invent, all of which make life worse for ordinary people and businesses.
>>‘We need accelerated climate action
Another tool in the box to hit the public with.
https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/news/climate/impacts/atmospheric-rivers-becoming-so-intense-we-need-to-rank-them-like-hurricanes
O/T Wind as of 1400 today is producing 0.44GW just 1.5%.
Does anyone know at what stage ie % of CO2 in the atmosphere is critical to support life on Earth?
I’ve heard 150 ppm is minimum, but that is such a round number, I’m sure it’s speculation.
FRANK MORRIS HALL, Department of Geology University of Minnesota. Dated Minneapolis, Minn., April 10, 1906.
“It is well known that the atmosphere would be incapable of holding sufficient heat to support life if it were depleted of its carbon dioxide, it’s water vapor, and its dust particles. These three components of the air act as conservers of the radiant energy received from the sun by the earth. The slow giving up of the heat derived by the earth from the sun keeps the surface air at a medium temperature. If, however, the above-named three elements were removed from the air, and especially the carbon dioxide, then radiation would keep pace with absorption, thus producing permanent, glacial conditions. Doctor Arrhenius, as quoted by [T.C.] Chamberlin, is authority for the statement that a reduction of 45 to 48 per cent of the present amount of carbon dioxide in the air would bring on glacial conditions and that an increase of 2.5 to 3 times its value would restore the mild temperatures of Tertiary time over the Northern Hemisphere. (Journal of Geology, vol. 5.)
Present amount in 1906 would have been ~280 ppm. A reduction of 45% would leave about 154 parts-per-million.
The generally accepted level of CO2 in the atmosphere which is necessary to support life is about 0.02 to 0.03 %.
The current level of 0.04% has led to big increases in crops around the world , and levels in the past of many times higher than at present have led to much extra greening of the planet .
But the present level is mostly from naturals causes , and the human contribution is only about 3% of the total .
Or to put it another way , the UKs CO2 emissions make up about 0.00001 % of the atmosphere , [ or 1 part in 10 million parts ].
Hello M Fraser. Things get bad below 180ppm but happily, cycles have a way of turning. You might like
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987116300305
Glaciers have always advanced and retreated over the centuries. Why should the current climate be any different?
I have mentioned this before but it is worth mentioning again.
We have been told that the climate on Earth has been warming due to a rise in atmospheric CO2, caused by mankind. This was disproved by atmospheric data during the Covid19 Pandemic during the worldwide lockdown, when the actual evidence demonstrated that the rate of atm. CO2 rise was 3%; in other words 97% was natural.
Humanity paid dearly for this lie with increasing energy costs and restrictions.
Given that we have been told continually, vociferously and frequently ad nauseum for 30+ years that the Earth has been warming during these three+ decades! The time has come to assess these claims subjectively, as well as objectively and ask; ‘how much different is the current climate to how it was in 1993?’
I personally have seen no significant difference, not only in the last 30 years, but also no difference in the last 50 years! I will be 68 yo on Monday, so I have half a century of experience of the UKs’ climate, less the three years I lived in Southern Spain. 30 years ago we were told that by now, climate refugees would be heading North! I can confirm that my friends in the Costa del Sol are still happily living there and I will continue to holiday there too!
The whole concept of AGW is seriously flawed and a full independent enquiry into how £Billions have been squandered based upon a lie, that has ruined lives and bankrupted businesses and individuals!
One of the Bank of England’s top economists wonders why there is a such reluctance to accept that UK households were becoming worse off. Union leaders suggest the huge energy costs are to blame. Others blame Putin or Brexit but I’m totally aligned to Andrew’s last paragraph.
To ruin the prospects of our grandchildren for just one part of CO2 in 10 million, as Real World suggests, does take some believing.
Perhaps those union leaders should take a look at the TAX element of the actual price at point of sale.
>>Union leaders suggest the huge energy costs
Andrew, you are ignoring the vast amounts of money that has and is flowing into governments, individuals, NGOs and crony capitalist businesses. They are all very happy with what is going on and it is only their opinions that matter.
If 97% of what’s in the atmosphere today was natural it would be about 407 ppm. (420 x 97%). The pre-industrial value is ~280 ppm. So, that leaves 127 ppm.
The Guardian said:
A warmer ocean, then, is less able to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Consequently, more of the carbon dioxide we emit will remain in the atmosphere, which will lead to more warming.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/sep/28/how-our-warmer-oceans-are-contributing-to-climate-breakdown
Of course, being the Guardian, it attributes everything to ‘we emit’ — then blames the oceans for climate change, with its headline:
‘How our warmer oceans are contributing to climate breakdown’.
Too many logic fails to unwind in a comment 🙄
“If 97% of what’s in the atmosphere today was natural it would be about 407 ppm. (420 x 97%). The pre-industrial value is ~280 ppm. So, that leaves 127 ppm”.
Atmospheric CO2 concentration was once 200,000 ppm. Despite this 500x current concentration, algae and other photosynthetic organisms evolved, thrived and rapidly reproduced. How could that be? The Earth would have been a hell-hole?
It took an awful lot of digging to find the actual truth, however this is the reality!
Yes, CO2 is a GHG, but only certain wavelengths of IR radiation can excite a CO2 molecule. They are 2.7, 4.3 & 15 micrometres, the rest are irrelevant. A photon of the relevant wavelength, strikes the molecule, briefly excites it within microseconds it emits a photon of a longer wavelength cooling it to its previous state. Any CO2 molecule, that is in the same trajectory, but at a greater distance is unaffected.
The optimal heating takes place at 20ppm, which will warm the atmosphere, but most certainly not if its concentration is higher!
The last time there was a “public inquiry”, it got whitewashed and even now still no prosecutions for fraud or at the very least “misuse of public funds”
>>full independent enquiry
The biggest impact on farming in 2022 was the forcing by the UN of farmers in Sri Lanka to use “natural” and “organic” farming, instead of the current highly reliable and productive farming. Sri Lanka normally exports rice, but the crops were so bad that they had to import rice. The same with tea.
Why doesn’t the WMO include this in their report?
Only slightly OT but the UK Met Office just can’t help itself just like the WMO.
Today the Guardian report – “The Met Office recorded a high of 20.2C in Pershore, Worcestershire.”
“In Pershore”???? Or perhaps at the end of the runway at RAF Pershore (Throckmorton) which is obviously really representative of the locality!!! The red kite marks the site of the Stevenson Screen
https://www.google.com/maps/place/52°08'54.2“N+2°02’28.4″W/@52.148401,-2.0425151,209m/data=!3m2!1e3!4b1!4m4!3m3!8m2!3d52.148401!4d-2.041225
Deceitful bastards.
A little further investigation into the Pershore/Throckmorton site shows it consistently records a few degrees higher than the surrounding areas. Is this just the “trackside” effect of the now disused airfield or something else?
{The site data can be viewed here https://wow.metoffice.gov.uk under search location put “Pershore”}
Well quite possibly the grim effects of animal decomposition could be warming the area as 133,000 carcasses from Covid alarmist Neil “pantsdown” Ferguson’s previous foray into Foot and Mouth hysteria are buried there.
“As the carcasses decompose, they produce what the engineers call “liquor”.
Every day 12,000 gallons of the liquid waste is extracted from the burial pits and sent for treatment at Minworth treatment works in the West Midlands.”
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/1843130.stm#:~:text=The%20nine%20pits%20at%20an,%2C%20Herefordshire%2C%20Shropshire%20and%20Worcestershire.
No wonder the area warms up a bit! But of course the Met Office account for this…don’t they?