Our Global Boiling Summer Was As Hot As 1857!
By Paul Homewood
It seems an age since we had a couple of weeks of nice weather in June, which naturally had the Met Office leaping up and down to blame on climate change:
June has been confirmed as the hottest on record for the UK.
A rapid study by Met Office scientists found the chance of observing a June beating the previous record of 14.9°C, like we have this year, has at least doubled since the period around 1940. The previous record of 14.9°C was recorded in 1940 and 1976.
They knew, of course, that it was not the hottest on record, because they have the Central England Temperature series, and this dates back further their UK records.
And according to CET, June 1846 was more than a degree hotter. It was also hotter in 1676, 1822 and 1826. That, of course, demolished their claims about global warming.
As I pointed out at the time, the average temperature in June was high because of the quirks of the calendar. Relatively warm, sunny weather pretty much lasted all month, before quickly disappearing at the beginning of July. At no stage however did temperatures reach unusually high levels.
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2023/08/10/the-tale-of-two-summers-2023-v-1976/
The Met Office made a big play of the fact that June 2023 was hotter than 1976, part of the well-known summer of 1976.
It was grossly dishonest to even compare with 1976, because the heatwave only got going in the last week of June that year. When it did get going, temperatures peaked several degrees above this year, and the hot spell lasted well into July:
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html
As we can also see, there was another long heatwave in August 1976.
And despite all of that global boiling in June, the summer of 2023 ended up pretty unexceptional, barely above the 30-yr average, no warmer than 1857 and 1859. There have been 38 years with summer temperatures as high or higher.
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2023/07/04/hottest-evah-june/
There is an unmistakeable takeaway from these charts. This is the fact that average summer temperatures continue to fail to beat 1976, even if hot summers have tended to become more common.
And there is a good reason for this – hot summers are the result of dry, sunny weather, not global warming.
In other words, weather, not climate.
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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT 
Paul, they ARE getting desperate at the Met Office. If we move into a Maunder Minimum they realise all the work they have done to promote Global Warming and the Blair/Clinton add-on of Climate Change will be to no avail.
We’ve had thirty years of ‘climate-change’, its time for a new strap-line
No, no; you misunderstand the degree of wilful blindness that is exhibited in the CAGC community. If we go into another Maunder Minimum and the temperatures fall, they’ll be going around spraining their arms patting themselves on the backs about how everything they’ve worked toward to combat climate change has _worked_.
And we need to continue with more of the same to prevent the world returning to boiling!!
I see the Sunak post has disappeared. Good to see that things are otherwise back to normal. Meanwhile, for those trying to figure out what happened to Tony Heller:
Not quite as sinister as you might have feared.
Don’t worry about the Sunak post.
It had somehow corrupted the links on my site, so I deleted it with a couple of others.
It’s happened before – it seems to be a WordPress glitch
I carried out a study which shows very high correlation between CET and UK for the last 100 years so if it is hot on CET it is pretty well certain to be hot in the UK as a whole.
As I’ve posted before, I experienced snow in June 1976 in Cambridge (England, not Massachussets). Around about D-Day IIRC. It stayed fiarly cool for about a fortnight, before erupting into blazing warm sunshine at the end of the month. Great for punting!
First week of August 1976 I was driving my then boss back from Coventry down to Fowey in the early hours of the morning as he was too inebriated from the night before to barely walk. I spun the car 360 on ice! Mind you it was 5.3litreV12 E Type and I was a somewhat inexperienced driver of powerful cars. He just laughed hysterically. For years I thought it must have been my poor driving and I had imagined the black ice until reading other people’s account of that quirky frosty night in the middle of the heatwaves.
I can confirm snow in the first week of June 1976 in central Scotland.
Yes, and we’ve had it SEVERAL times SINCE around the 10th of JUNE – A9 Trunk road even closed. Gramps tells us that even from his associations at work, the OberAlp Pass was closed – much to his chagrin around / just before the 10th June of that year whilst working in that area. As for the 10th? Oh it just relates to many family member’s Birthday dates
Even now, we still remember them and that snowstorms! On Fire in May, and frozen in June is not new.
“A rapid study by Met Office scientists”
Doing rapid research is never a good idea, and usually results in errors
On other words cherry picking.
“A rapid study” otherwise means they can “revise” it later after the climate fear message has been received. Why does a sober supposedly scientific body need to do anything which may be prone to error? What was the urgency except that their masters told them to produce anything they could to keep klymutt fear in the minds of the believers.
The propoganda machine demands that every possible event is linked to climate change immediately.
That this is therefore not science doesn’t matter.
Huhm I don’t believe it all, at all. TODAY, N Scotland was to have (<20C) but in actual fact, we had 27C on the weather station and around 23-24C along the S-E facing house. The exotic plants have noticed the difference too: the much warmer nights with 17-18C recorded instead of the 10C+/- a couple for most of the summer since EARLY June, has given them the chance to grow again. As for the Fruit trees, just too late. ( and the waffle from the whether mannie this morning about End of summer and the Apples & Plums etc ( Ach I switched off) – the few apples an d no plums were finished a month ago. So by his logic, for us in the NORTH, this must be Winter? Of course it is – it's going to become WARMER!. Tatties lifted with no Blight this year – only good thing about it – but low yield and dry soil – no wheel ruts, PLENTY of Earthworms this year.
The weather men do spread disinformation either in their warmed up forecasts or in their weather reviews.
My particular dislike is the use of the phrase “wintery precipitation” which has been brought in in recent years. They appear to find it very hard to say snow. Sure on any particular day they could be forecasting sleet with possibilities of snow but I recall that mostly their wintery precipitation actually was snow. Did anyone else react to this?
I read a comment from a weather man (sorry can’t remember who) saying that the best day to ask him if there would be a white Christmas was Boxing Day.
In our house we are shocked by the very rare occasions when the weather forecasters use swear words: the “F” words (frost/freezing); the “C” word (cold); and the “S” words (snow/sleet). The reason it’s shocking when used is because they are heard so rarely. When one slips through, you wonder if they’ll get into trouble for it.
O/T: not only am I a fan of Mr Homewood’s blog but I also admire The Deplorable Climate Science Blog. Now the latter won’t open for me. Has anyone else encountered this difficulty?
Whenever I see the words ”on record’ I always ask myself what record?
The one the Met Office use….
The record’s stuck, the record’s stuck, the record’s stuck…
Repeat 33 1/3rd times per minute – or 45 times if emulating Donald Duck.
I wonder how far back does this record go?
I wrote to Guiness and asked them if my 12inch black circular piece of thin vinyl with a hole in the middle was a record. They never replied.
This one was the mean of the max and min so completely meaningless. Data recorded for a second or two, so probably the average of less than one minute of actual temperatures being used to claim something about an entire month – the 43,199 minutes didn’t matter
Why can’t the MET scientists and our politicians see what is so blindingly obvious ….I’m only talking about some simple basic secondary research
To paraphrase the old maxim attributed to Upton Sinclair: it is very difficult to get someone to see the obvious when retention of their job/funding depends upon them not seeing it.
Clearly the chance of beating the record was very small as it was a record. So say 1%. Doubling that to 2% is not exactly very scary. And unless you actually know the probability of it happening pre-CO2 then you can’t know how much the probability has increased. And we cannot know that probability, it’s literally impossible.
Pre Co2 means no life on earth.
14.9c, what does that relate to???
In the UK 30°C is the new 40°C – this year anyway.
Next we will be being told about hothouse winters… just watch
naww, but I see where you’re coming from. Night temps are really quite low this Summer. temperature this morning around or less than 8C. t’other morning where the Dew was really heavy, it was just about frozen!…. on Summer-warm soil ? And as the daylength gets shorter than nightlength, less sunshine, I am looking to a CO_OLD Winter this time – unless we start getting predominantly Southerly Winds.
Oh! Sorry , you meant hothouse winters as in glass pane insulation without additional heating, Aye, no use for exotics then.
Because its September. “Hot” is no longer an a solve term, so 30 degrees in September is a dangerous extreme because that’s near a record for the month. Regardless of what the science is or not, this is shameful propaganda.
So what exactly was the cause of the heat in 1857? And how are we so certain that isn’t the same thing that’s causing heat now?
They are expecting a record Marianna Spring
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/climate-change/tackling-climate-misinformation
“Despite the evidence and public concern about climate change… there is a proliferation of climate misinformation especially on social media. As one of the world’s leading weather and climate organisations we believe it is important we all have access to trusted, up to date information on climate change.
In this age where the flow of information is shared so quickly, we have developed a toolkit to provide information and clarity around topics on which misinformation is sometimes shared. Much of our scientific research forms part of the national and international scientific evidence for climate change and climate change impacts. These pages include the latest climate science from our own research as well as the latest internationally agreed science collated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
There are certain areas that are regularly questioned and unfortunately some of this scepticism can deflect attention away from important issues such as the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
The misinformation you may encounter
The Met Office has adjusted its colours to exaggerate climate change:
Our response: This isn’t true. The most recent change to the temperature colour scale was for accessibility reasons; helping those who are colour blind to understand the forecast. This means that more shades of light and dark are used rather than lots of different colours, which can be hard for those who are colour blind to fully understand.
The Met Office has changed how it reads temperatures to produce higher figures:
Our response: This isn’t true. Temperatures that appear in Met Office forecasts on screen are always air temperatures. This is the reading of a temperature inside a Stevenson screen at a height of 1.25m to 2m above the surface.
The Met Office keep adjusting the Central England Temperature record to exaggerate climate change:
Our response: We don’t. The Met Office maintains the Central England Temperature series and we have a process of continual review and improvement to ensure the dataset is robust. This can result in occasional updates to the series. We do this transparently by publishing our results.
To take account of changes in technology and the weather station network over time requires a careful process of adjusting the contributing data to produce a consistent series. This was an effort first undertaken by British climatologist Gordon Manley and was published in a paper to the Royal Meteorological Society in 1952 with the aim of producing a multi-century series to monitor climate change in the UK.
Temperature during the last two decades has not continued to rise:
Our response: The UK has a variable climate so can exhibit natural variations from year-to-year and even decade-to-decade. Human-caused climate change is super-imposed on this natural variation which can therefore appear to enhance or suppress the warming trend over short periods (see chart above).
Therefore, climate change is not expected to be a year-on-year increase in UK temperature, but when you look at the series as a whole it is clear that recent decades are warmer than any time in the past 360 years, and we expect further warming this century.”
Methinks they doth protest too much…
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/sep/04/bbc-marianna-spring-violent-rhetoric-conspiracyland