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Hottest Evah June!

July 4, 2023
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood

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The UK had the hottest June on record, the Met Office has confirmed.

The average monthly temperature of 15.8C (60.4F) exceeded the previous highest average June temperature, recorded in 1940 and 1976, by 0.9C.

Climate change made the chance of surpassing the previous joint record at least twice as likely, scientists also said.

As well as the overall UK June record, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland each recorded their warmest June since the Met Office started collecting the data in 1884.

Dr Richard Hodgkins, senior lecturer in physical geography at University of Loughborough says it is notable how the warm weather "fits expectations of a changing climate in the UK".

He said researchers have been predicting patterns where weather appears to get "stuck", which would mean longer heatwaves.

The hot June was "somewhat like a typical weather event for the UK, but stretched out in time much longer than normal," he added.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66084543

The Met Office have announced the hottest June on record, and consulted their oracle, also known as a supercomputer, which has predictably told them that climate change is to blame.

Conveniently of course the Met Office forgot to mention that they do have records before 1884. The CET tells a rather different story, as last month only ranks 5th warmest:*

 

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The fact that the warmest June came in 1846, and 1676, 1822 and 1826 were also hotter rather demolishes the claims about global warming.

A daily comparison between 1846 and 2023 is instructive, as we find a very similar distribution of temperatures:

 

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https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/meantemp_daily_totals.txt

 

Mean temperatures peaked at 21.7C this June, as opposed to 22.0C in 1846. There were 5 days this year of 20C and over, and 9 days in 1846.

The CET data is also backed up by temperatures at Oxford Radcliffe Observatory, which again shows 1846 to be the hottest:

 

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https://www.geog.ox.ac.uk/research/climate/rms/daily-data.html

 

One particular claim sticks out:

He said researchers have been predicting patterns where weather appears to get "stuck", which would mean longer heatwaves

As we know, all sorts of “predictions” are made about global warming, and most never materialise. Hot, cold, wet, dry, windy, not windy – al of these can and have been blamed on climate change. We were promised dry summers, then wet ones, and now dry summers again. Meanwhile summer rainfall carries on as before, highly variable from year to year.

But where is the evidence for this nonsense about weather blocking. As usual climate scientists are never able to actually provide any proof, merely assertions. The obvious measure of cyclonic blocking would be rainfall, but as the charts below show, there is no evidence from the rainfall data for June or summers as a whole that such blocking is getting worse:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series

Neither is there any evidence from the consecutive number of hot days:

 

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Naturally the Met Office wants to use a week or two of sunshine in its campaign to catastrophise summer weather.

"An increase of 0.9C may not seem a huge amount, but it’s really significant because it has taken the average daytime and the night time temperature for the whole of the UK," Paul Davies, Met Office chief meteorologist and climate extremes principal fellow, told BBC News.

"That’s significant in a warming climate and because of the consequential impacts on society," he added.

As I am absolutely sure, Paul Davies knows full well that none of this is true, and that we have often had this sort of weather in the past. He also knows that the heatwave in 1976 was considerably longer and more intense than anything seen last month.

But it is obviously not in his job description to give the public the full facts.

BTW – I do accept that the western side of the country saw the highest anomalies, while the east had the lowest. The CET should therefore be a reasonable median point. It is relevant in this respect that the Midlands area within the Met Office’s UK dataset also claims June 2023 as the hottest:

 

55 Comments
  1. 2hmp permalink
    July 4, 2023 11:29 am

    The catastrophe is in the Met Office. Why is it that we rarely if ever get these ‘alarms’ from the Russel Universities.

  2. George Bridger permalink
    July 4, 2023 11:31 am

    BLATANT BBC LIES from the Marxist Britain-hating Useful Idiots, working ultimately for China.

    • The Informed Consumer permalink
      July 4, 2023 4:35 pm

      You don’t fall for the climate propaganda, but you fall for the China, China, China propaganda. Do you also fall for the Russia, Russia, Russia, the covid, covid, covid propaganda, and the Trump, Trump, Trump propaganda?

      We are doing this to ourselves, Xi is just sitting back laughing.

  3. Philip Mulholland permalink
    July 4, 2023 11:36 am

    Here is a different perspective on the source and cause of ocean water warming.
    The Climate Change Alternative We Ignore (to Our Peril)

    • July 4, 2023 12:43 pm

      Thanks for that link. A long read – but to my mind showing yet again that blaming everything on man made carbon dioxide emissions is wrong – and bankrupting the country through Net Zero will have no measurable effect.

      • Chris Phillips permalink
        July 4, 2023 8:47 pm

        Actually, even if carbon dioxide caused warming was real, which it isn’t, the UK shutting down completely and all of us dying, would have no effect on the world’s climate, because our contribution to world carbon dioxide emissions is so small ( much less than 1%).
        So our net zero obsession is just virtue signalling and Therese May needs to be called out for mindlessly imposing it on us

    • P Dean permalink
      July 4, 2023 5:22 pm

      Fascinating reference. Who is the Ethical Sceptic?

  4. Charlie Flindt permalink
    July 4, 2023 11:45 am

    I must say I enjoyed the ‘weather for the week ahead’ on the BBC last night, during which Chis Fawkes said: “The scientists tell us that the chances of beating the previous record [for June] has doubled over recent decades due to the emission of carbon dioxide and methane into the Earth’s atmosphere, and if we carry on at that rate, Junes like the one we’ve just had will come round once every two years by the time we get to the 1950s.” Yup, he said 1950s. I got confused, too. (Mind you, during a recent stort, he said waves would be the ‘height of two double decker buses’. There was no qualification of where these waves woud be found (Five miles out? Up the Solent?) – just a good old scary metaphor.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/66092495

    • Graeme No.3 permalink
      July 4, 2023 8:59 pm

      Same old, same old…
      2000: ‘Children won’t know what snow is by 2010.’
      Dr. David Viner a senior research scientist at the climate research unit CRU of the University of East Anglia “Within a few years winter snowfall will become a rare and exciting event. Children just aren’t going to know what snow is” Source: The Independent, March 20, 2000
      subsequently modified to 2013 then 2017 (no further Date)

      2007 Dr. David Viner within twenty years, the Mediterranean would become far too hot for European holiday makers, who would instead flock to Blackpool to take advantage of warmer summers in the UK.

      And for a contrary “opinion”
      2004: Britain to have Siberian climate by 2020
      Source: The Guardian, February 21, 2004
      Between 2010 and 2020, Europe would be hardest hit by climatic change, with an average annual temperature drop of 6°F (3°C).

  5. July 4, 2023 11:55 am

    The map shows South Wales as one of the hot zones.
    That has not been my experience. Often when I have gone to sit in the garden
    either a white cloud has come over or the wind has picked up.
    But we have had a few warm days so we are obviously all doomed
    They keep promising it will be like Spain or something
    Still waiting I guess it will need to reach that mythical tipping point,

    • Chris Phillips permalink
      July 4, 2023 8:50 pm

      Ahh….Al Gore tells us that we have already passed 5 tipping points

      • Dave Fair permalink
        July 5, 2023 5:37 am

        The only tipping points I worry about are the ones while on a bar stool.

  6. July 4, 2023 12:00 pm

    CO2 makes more sunshine! You know it makes sense 🤪

  7. July 4, 2023 12:04 pm

    Interesting that the two previous highs were during the cold spell from 1943 to 78, the cold spell that the climate gate mob cancelled. Does this mean we are going into another cold spell, with occasional hot Junes?

    • Up2snuff permalink
      July 4, 2023 2:50 pm

      petroalbion, possibly, if the birdlife ‘eating me out of house and home’ are anything to go by. Learning to read the signs in nature is quite important.

  8. Ray Sanders permalink
    July 4, 2023 12:08 pm

    Looking on the positive side. Even among the general public the Met Office is being considered a joke. The majority are simply dismissing these types of reports as nonsense. Only a few take this dross seriously and for all their making a nuisance of themselves they are now being seen for what they are – nutjobs.

  9. Beagle permalink
    July 4, 2023 12:15 pm

    Just to clarify, climate change is causing the weather to be less changeable?

  10. Realist permalink
    July 4, 2023 12:17 pm

    Less than sixteen degrees Celsius is NOT warm by any standards. If you look at 60 Fahrenheit, that is less than the recommended 70 in public places such as schools.

    • Gamecock permalink
      July 4, 2023 1:14 pm

      Yep. The world thinks Britain is too *&^%ing COLD.

      So MO takes this MOST WONDERFUL NEWS and spins it as something seriously, ominously BAD!

  11. Malcolm permalink
    July 4, 2023 1:13 pm

    I am amused that my old University (Mechanical Engineering) has a “Physical Geography” lecturer. Does that mean they now also have a “Spiritual Geography” course too?

    As I remember 1976, what we had was relentless burning sun. But that does not play a part in the temperature records, they measure air temperature in a shadow enclosure. This year the air temp average from many more sources than ever before might have been a trace higher than since 1886 but the sunshine seems to have been shorter and more intermittent.

    But cheating by not including the earlier data is not science. Equally bad is the BBC saying the data has demolished the previous record and other extreme language. Add to that the unchallenged long rant from some one at the start of last night’s “The Context” is a true demolition of their charter. That cannot be tolerated surely?

    • gezza1298 permalink
      July 4, 2023 3:37 pm

      Sadly, yes it probably does mean they have ‘spiritual geography’ knowing how woke the university system is when it is not acting as a route in for immigrants.

    • Ray Sanders permalink
      July 4, 2023 8:19 pm

      Two things Malcolm, Loughborough is still a centre of Engineering excellence – my son graduated there! However it has some seriously crap other departments and the Geography section is notably the worse.
      Re the BBC charter are you not familiar with the notorious BBC28gate?
      https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/here-s-a-bbc-scandal-that-should-really-make-you-disgusted/

      • Mike Post permalink
        July 5, 2023 9:46 am

        And just to remind folks, here is the full list of the BBC-claimed “best scientific experts” on the advice of whom the BBC decided to bias its reporting on manmade climate change:
        Robert May, Oxford University and Imperial College London
        Mike Hulme, Director, Tyndall Centre, UEA
        Blake Lee-Harwood, Head of Campaigns, Greenpeace
        Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Niels Bohr Institute, Copenhagen
        Michael Bravo, Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge
        Andrew Dlugolecki, Insurance industry consultant
        Trevor Evans, US Embassy
        Colin Challen MP, Chair, All Party Group on Climate Change
        Anuradha Vittachi, Director, Oneworld.net
        Andrew Simms, Policy Director, New Economics Foundation
        Claire Foster, Church of England
        Saleemul Huq, IIED
        Poshendra Satyal Pravat, Open University
        Li Moxuan, Climate campaigner, Greenpeace China
        Tadesse Dadi, Tearfund Ethiopia
        Iain Wright, CO2 Project Manager, BP International
        Ashok Sinha, Stop Climate Chaos
        Andy Atkins, Advocacy Director, Tearfund
        Matthew Farrow, CBI
        Rafael Hidalgo, TV/multimedia producer
        Cheryl Campbell, Executive Director, Television for the Environment
        Kevin McCullough, Director, Npower Renewables
        Richard D North, Institute of Economic Affairs
        Steve Widdicombe, Plymouth Marine Labs
        Joe Smith, The Open University
        Mark Galloway, Director, IBT
        Anita Neville, E3G
        Eleni Andreadis, Harvard University
        Jos Wheatley, Global Environment Assets Team, DFID
        Tessa Tennant, Chair, AsRia

        They are of course not what the BBC Trust claimed they were.

      • Malcolm permalink
        July 5, 2023 12:14 pm

        I was not of coursr aware of the names of the BBC “advisors” but I did know they had held a conference which decided, despite and in the face of their Charter, that they no longer needed to broadcast balance. Indeed should not.

        They have declared I am in effect a moral criminal, an intellectual illiterate and a social pariah. That is because I am in fact a real scientist who works on solid evidence and even then is analytically sceptical (questioning) of how exactly to interpret and apply that evidence. As a Mechanical Engineer that has served me in good stead and I haven’t killed or injured any one!

        I note that the President of the RS lead the discussion. He is denying the RS guiding principle by which he should live as I do. It is, in English; “Take no one’s word for it” yet he expects me to take his word.

        My lifetime motto I adopted from my Quaker School; “We seek the truth”. I wish the BBC would do just that – it effectively what its Charter says it must.

        Can we sue the BBC for breaching its terms and conditions?

  12. GeoffB permalink
    July 4, 2023 2:01 pm

    Lies by omission, it is just not acceptable for the met office to manipulate the presentation of the data to support the alleged climate change emergency, It really is fraud and it diminishes their credibility.

  13. Andrew Harding permalink
    July 4, 2023 2:30 pm

    Met Office diagram of 1991 – 2020 ‘anomaly’, mainly brown and red, what next black and dark grey for 2021 – 2030?

    “If you can’t blind them with science, baffle them with bulls*it!” – W.C. Fields.

  14. Up2snuff permalink
    July 4, 2023 2:43 pm

    Of course Met Office report, some might say claim, of “the hottest June ever” in 2023 completely falls apart when you consider the UK as a whole. For sure, the western half of the UK had a very good June while the eastern half of the UK had a ‘Curate’s egg’ of a June. What is really striking about the complete falsehood of this whole ‘weather mistaken for climate change’ thing on the part of the Met Office and its so-called ‘scientists’ is that they use the Central England Temperature when it suits their agenda or they use, in this case, the temperatures recorded for the western half of the whole UK!

  15. pardonmeforbreathing permalink
    July 4, 2023 2:53 pm

    “But where is the evidence for this nonsense about weather blocking. As usual climate scientists are never able to actually provide any proof, merely assertions”.

    Science exists only based on statistically significant empirical data obtained by a falsifiable methodology. An assertion or opinion is just words unless supported by data. If they do not substantiate there claims then where may I ask are the famous BBC fact checkers? Strange it appears they are only brought out of the cupboard when someone daring to have an opinion which does not conform to the progressive (marxist) narrative.

    That the BBC encourage pronouncements from Vroomfondel and Majikthise wannabees who now infest the Met Office in place of real sober scientists is to encourage a debasement of science. That NONE of these jokers are EVER called out when they get it wrong has to make you think we is being ‘ad. The Met Office has become one more in a line of once august institutions infiltrated by followers of the marxist virus and turning them into a clown show performing for liberal “news”(opinion) outlets as they seek to manipulate the masses. I speculate that no Islington party is complete without some sandal wearing beardy from the Met Office seated in prime position feeding their insatiable and desperate need to believe in human catastrophism, just one of their suite of marxist originating neuroses which collectively see Man and in particular Western Man and his creation, Western Civilization as a curse on the planet which needs to be expunged.

    There are more than a few very bad actors out there who are quite happy to watch and indeed encourage these useful idiots in their labours of self flagellation.

    If there are no repercussions for the drivel they spout, instead only fame and glory, who is surprised that they try to out do each other for asininity? Indeed we seem now to have reached the state where there are no consequences whatsoever for demonstrating clear incompetence, indeed “lying for the cause”. The controls are off, There is a cause and data is irrelevant and easily replaced with bare faced lies because in reality, how often and how publicly are they challenged? When was the last time the BBC or the pathetic Grauniad took one of their beardy luvvies to task for adding to Project Climate Fear for no substantiated reason?

    • Hamish McDougall permalink
      July 4, 2023 3:07 pm

      Applause….applause….

  16. July 4, 2023 3:03 pm

    I’m envious of all our friends who are color blind. They can’t see all the red on the map so they must be cooler and more comfortable.

    • Keith permalink
      July 5, 2023 11:18 am

      I’m one of them. I genuinely didn’t realise until recently that there are separate ‘Yellow’ and ‘Amber’ weather warnings.

  17. gezza1298 permalink
    July 4, 2023 3:41 pm

    And it seems that real scientists have concluded that only the variation of cosmic radiation over millennia explains the changes in the climate and not a minor trace gas.

    • July 4, 2023 4:28 pm

      A minor trace gas in the atmos, the Infra Red absorptive qualities of which are completely overwhelmed by the much more common Water Vapour. Hmmm So there is physics to challenge the media arts graduates claims. There is also geological history!

      To show just how bad things are, there is significant empirical data based evidence to show that the atmospheric concentration of CO2 over geological time has nothing at all to do with warming of any kind. Counter that with the climate religion, which presents only claims and assertions supported by associated screeching noises and performative dance backed by no empirical data of any kind.

      If you also take the absurd mantra “since the start of the industrial revolution” repeated by the impartial BBC ad nauseam literally, they are saying that one guy discovering black band iron ore in the Midlands ended the Little Ice Age all on his own by lighting one fire. The sheer asininity of this unchallenged sentence filler is a testament to the fact that in the public arena, “science” is done by arts graduates who add gravitas to their unsubstantiated twaddle by occasionally deferring to one or two regular once upon a time science educated Johnnies (who like the pay) in order to impress the great unwashed by nodding sagely with a furrowed brow while agreeing with everything the arts “educated” buffoons say.

  18. July 4, 2023 3:43 pm

    We had hail stones in Manchester today.

    • July 4, 2023 4:30 pm

      Those are a consequence of Anthropogenic Wotsisname, Do you not pay attention during your daily Klymutt indoctrination session?

  19. Rowland P permalink
    July 4, 2023 4:30 pm

    See electroverse.net where you will see that it’s a bit nippy in other parts of the world. Record cold temperatures are being recorded twice as much as record hot temperatures.

  20. veggie permalink
    July 4, 2023 4:44 pm

    electroverse.net was shut down. It’s now electroverse.info

  21. Gamecock permalink
    July 4, 2023 5:30 pm

    ‘Climate change made the chance of surpassing the previous joint record at least twice as likely, scientists also said.’

    This is mysticism, not science.

    ‘Dr Richard Hodgkins, senior lecturer in physical geography at University of Loughborough says it is notable how the warm weather “fits expectations of a changing climate in the UK”.’

    Oh, yeah. What an amazing coincidence!

    ‘The Met Office have announced the hottest June on record, and consulted their oracle, also known as a supercomputer, which has predictably told them that climate change is to blame.’

    Yes, another incredible coincidence. I.e., a computer programmed by people with ‘expectations of a changing climate’ told them what they expected to hear.

    ‘As usual climate scientists are never able to actually provide any proof, merely assertions.’

    It is mysticism. Teleology writ large.

  22. liardetg permalink
    July 4, 2023 8:54 pm

    Had to put on a sweater this weekend

  23. Stephen Deakin permalink
    July 4, 2023 9:13 pm

    If only they would stop lying….

  24. Eddie P. permalink
    July 4, 2023 9:23 pm

    The BBC’s Matt McGrath is claiming that the world temperature yesterday topped 17C for the first time ever.
    This is most odd as the current global temperature as aggregated from over 68,000 weather stations is only 14.16C. https://temperature.global/

  25. Wellers permalink
    July 4, 2023 11:45 pm

    Meet the Met Office’s ‘Extreme Team’ preparing for another day of data tampering…
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/environment/2023/05/25/met-office-extreme-weather-team/

    • Tonyb permalink
      July 5, 2023 7:54 am

      I met the team at the Met Office a couple of years ago. They are all excellent scientists but like so many in the industry have a group think mentality and use data bases that reflect their point of view.

      • pardonmeforbreathing permalink
        July 5, 2023 8:16 am

        That is not a definition of any science I am aware of. Gregor Mendel selectively used data because he did not understand the data which did not fit his hypothesis. Until quite recently such behaviour would result in unemployment. Now in the 21st century version of cowardly klymutt science, there is benefit in terms of career and also status to selectively look at data and in increasing numbers of cases use models because the damned data will not fit the narrative. Again this is not science and fills no useful perpose.

      • Gamecock permalink
        July 5, 2023 3:34 pm

        That’s a different story than I was taught, pardon.

        In genetics class (~1968), the professor referred to “the Mendelian Fudge Factor.”

        Mendel had figured out dominant and recessive genes, and the results of combination in breeding. But he had a serious bad statistics problem. Suppose he expected 75% of one type and 25% of another? He rarely ever got 75-25. He’d get 76-24, or 73-27, or whatever.

        His problem was that he couldn’t present this as proof to a doubting, ignorant public; he had to show 75-25, or he wouldn’t be believed.

        So he rubbed out a few fruit flies until the balance was exactly as predicted.

      • dave permalink
        July 5, 2023 10:13 pm

        “…rubbed out a few fruit flies…”

        He experimented with peas.

        “…a doubting, ignorant public…”

        He made no effort to publicise his work, beyond producing one paper in 1865. I am not sure he cared what anyone thought.

  26. John Anderson permalink
    July 5, 2023 3:03 am

    Roads, roves, concrete, car, truck, train and plane engines to name a few…. all belting out hot air? I wonder….

  27. cookers52 permalink
    July 5, 2023 7:58 am

    Now the Met Office have declared the warmest June evah, you just know the rest of the summer weather will be awful!

    • MrGrimNasty permalink
      July 5, 2023 8:18 am

      July is running cold in the CET, but then so did the first few days of June!

  28. July 5, 2023 8:28 am

    Coincidentally, or not…

    SUNSPOT COUNTS HIT A 21-YEAR HIGH: The sun is partying like it’s 2002. That’s the last time sunspot counts were as high as they are now. The monthly average sunspot number for June 2023 was 163, according to the Royal Observatory of Belgium’s Solar Influences Data Analysis Center. This eclipses every month since Sept. 2002.

    https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=05&month=07&year=2023

    • dave permalink
      July 5, 2023 10:30 am

      ” …the sun is partying…”

      I look at spaceweather.com every day among other sources of actual data. You have to ignore everything they write, as they are a bit like tornado hunters – in it for an adrenaline rush (sad). Solar Cycle is, so far, very much like Solar Cycle 24 in being only moderate. No Maunder minimum – yet.

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